100% Renewable Energy Solutions from Plan to Realisation

Transcription

1 Joint Actions on Climate Change 8-10 June 2009, Aalborg, Denmark Danish Alternative (Biomass transport) Wind Power 60,9 TWh 37,0 TWh Electricity Demand 37,0 TWh Photo Voltaic H2 Electrolyser H 2 CHP, HP and 16,7 TWh Power plants Solar thermal 2,1 TWh 53,5 TWh 41,4 TWh Fuel Biomass Total Household & 90,4 TWh 90,4 18,0 TWh Industry TWh Bio-fuel production 31,0 TWh 27,9 TWh District Heating Grid loss 42,8 TWh 25 % 14,0 TWh Bio-fuel production Heat Demand 56,8 TWh Transport 50,7 TWh 100% Renewable Energy Solutions from Plan to Realisation Henrik Lund Professor in Energy Planning Aalborg University

2 100% renewable energy solutions from plan to realisation What we already have done in Denmark What we aim to do in the future (100% Renewable Energy) How this can be done ( illustrated by the IDA Energy Plan 2030) How this is being implemented, cases from North Jutland (Thisted and Frederikshavn)

3 The first oil crisis in 1973 The Danish energy consumption in 1972 Primary Energy Supply 1972 Oil Coal Natural Gas Renewable Energy

4 30 Years of active Energy Planning 30 years of active Government and Parliament Energy Policies. Including NGO alternative strategies and public debate

5 30 years with a stable energy consumption World Primary Energy Consumption PJ Danish Primary Energy Supply RES PJ 200 Nuclear Ngas Oil Coal Oil Coal Natural Gas Renewable Energy

6 At present Denmark is more than self-sufficient PJ Danish Primary Energy Supply PJ Danish Energy Production Oil Coal Natural Gas Renewable Energy Oil Natural gas Renewable Energy

7 Danish oil production and prognosis The Danish Energy Authority, 2002

8 Value of Danish Energy Products Export of Total energy 20 Oil technology MDK K Natural Gas Coal E lectricity and fuels Value of Danish Energy Products Danish export of Energy Technology % MDK K The Danish Energy Authority, 2006 Natural gas C rude oil MDK K % 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Export Share of Total Exports

9 3 Challenges Danish CO2 emissons 70 Climate Change Mio.ton Actual Corrected World Primary Energy Consumption '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 Year 400 Security of supply (Fossil fuels) 1000 PJ RES Nuclear Ngas Oil Coal Industry, economy and jobs Danish export of Energy Technology 20% 18% 16% 14% Export MDK K % 10% 8% Share of Total 15 6% Exports 10 4% 5 2% %

10 The long-term Objective of Danish Energy Policy Expressed by former Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen in his opening speech to the Parliament in 2006 and in several political agreements since then: To convert to 100% Renewable Energy Prime minister 16 November 2008: We will free Denmark totally from fossil fuels like oil, coal and gas Prime minister 16 November 2008: position Denmark in the heart of green growth

11 Three targets in the IDA Energy Year 2006 To maintain security of energy supply To cut CO 2 emissions by 50 % by year 2030 compared to the 1990 level To create employment and to quadruple the export in the energy industry

12 During the IDA Energy Year meetings and seminars by the IDA groups and societies More than 1600 participants Coordination by the IDA Committee for the environment Overall energy system analysis at Alborg University

13 IDA Energiplan 2030

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15 100% Renewable Energy in Primær energiforsyning 100% VE i år 2050, PJ , Eksport VE-el Solvarme Biomasse Naturgas Olie Kul Ref 2030 IDA 2030 IDA 2050 Bio IDA 2050 Vind IDA 2050 Biomass potentials and consumtion in IDA 2030, PJ DEA potential IDA 2030 Max potential Waste Energy crops Slurry fibre fraction Slurry biogas Wood Straw

16 Conclusions 100 Percent Renewable is physically possible and the first toward 2030 is feasible to the Danish Society. The methodology of design is a very complex process. The combination of a creative phase involving many single experts and detailed system analyses seems efficient and can be recommended.

17 Thisted Kommune inhabitants Area of km 2 App companies and industries 245 km 2 is National Park

18 Denmark s leading Climate Municipality More than 100 per cent of the electricity demand and more than 80 per cent of the heat supply Are already today produced by renewable energy

19 What are Thisted doing? New ambitious Energy Plan: Vision: Thisted municipality are going to be a CO2-neutral pioneer. Goal: Thisted municipality are going to be internationally known for CO2- reductions. Focus on energy are going to create new jobs in the local areas.

20 House heating: New heat plan of District heating Frederikshavn

21 Energy Supply year 2007 Natural Gas CHP Waste CHP Wind turbines

22 Copyright: KMS, COWI, Frederikshavn Kommune Energy Town Frederikshavn To start with: 20 percent RES in 2007 Phase 1: App. 40 percent RES in 2009 Phase 2: 100 percent RES in 2015 Phase 3: 100 percent RES in 2030 coordinated with 100 percent in DK Nielstrup rattenvej Egerisvej vej Elling el Tuenvej Amagervej Mariendalsvej Knivholt markvej Nørtvedvej Skolevangsvej Skeltvedvej Kilden Stenhavevej Nørgårdsvej Lienvej Koldenåvej Bækmojenvej Knivholtvej Strandby Hjørringvej Frederikshavn Langdalsvej Flade rævdalvej Tegnforklaring: Energiby Frederikshavn Vrangbækvej Hestvangvej rsted Haldbjerg Understedvej dvej Øksnebjergvej Vangen Frederikshavn Varme A/S Strandby Varmeværk A.M.B.A. Naturgas Uoverenstemmelser mellem matrikeltema og det tekniske kort (bygninger, hegn mv.) kan alene skyldes forskelle i opmålings metoder for kortet og er derfor ikke nødvendigvis udtryk for en juridisk uoverensstemmelse i virkeligheden. Frederikshavn Kommune Teknisk Forvaltning Init: ngtehbj Rådhus Allé 100 Mål: 9900 Frederikshavn 1:40000 Tlf Dato: Emne: Energiby Frederikshavn. Varmegrænser

23 100% RES in 2015 New Waste CHP plant (185 GWh Waste) Big Biogas plant ( GWh biogas) Wind Power (35-60 MW) Biogas/Electricity and Methanol for transportation

24 Phase 1: MW Wind Power m 2 solar thermal Absorption heat pump in Strandby Heat Pump on waste water in Frederikshavn Biogas from Skagen being used for cars and busses in Frederikshavn

25 Joint Actions on Climate Change 8-10 June 2009, Aalborg, Denmark Danish Alternative (Biomass transport) Wind Power 60,9 TWh 37,0 TWh Electricity Demand 37,0 TWh Photo Voltaic H2 Electrolyser H 2 CHP, HP and 16,7 TWh Power plants Solar thermal 2,1 TWh 53,5 TWh 41,4 TWh Fuel Biomass Total Household & 90,4 TWh 90,4 18,0 TWh Industry TWh Bio-fuel production 31,0 TWh 27,9 TWh District Heating Grid loss 42,8 TWh 25 % 14,0 TWh Bio-fuel production Heat Demand 56,8 TWh Transport 50,7 TWh 100% Renewable Energy Solutions from Plan to Realisation Henrik Lund Professor in Energy Planning Aalborg University