Packet-Pair Bandwidth Estimation: Stochastic Analysis of a Single Congested Node

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Packet-Pair Bandwidth Estimation: Stochastic Analysis of a Single Congested Node"

Transcription

1 Packet-Pair Badwidth Estimatio: Stochastic Aalysis of a Sigle ogested Node 1 Seog-ryog Kag, 2 Xiliag Liu, 1 Mi Dai, ad 1 Dmitri Loguiov 1 Texas A&M Uiversity, ollege Statio, TX 77843, USA {skag, dmitri}@cs.tamu.edu, mi@ee.tamu.edu 2 ity Uiversity of New York, New York, NY 116, USA xliu@gc.cuy.edu Abstract I this paper, we examie the problem of estimatig the capacity of bottleeck liks ad available badwidth of edto-ed paths uder o-egligible cross-traffic coditios. We preset a simple stochastic aalysis of the problem i the cotext of a sigle cogested ode ad derive several results that allow the costructio of asymptotically-accurate badwidth estimators. We first develop a geeric queuig model of a Iteret router ad solve the estimatio problem assumig reewal cross-traffic at the bottleeck lik. Noticig that the reewal assumptio o Iteret flows is too strog, we ivestigate a alterative filterig solutio that asymptotically coverges to the desired values of the bottleeck capacity ad available badwidth uder arbitrary (icludig o-statioary) cross-traffic. This is oe of the first methods that simultaeously estimates both types of badwidth ad is provably accurate. We fiish the paper by discussig the impossibility of a similar estimator for paths with two or more cogested routers. I. INTRODUTION Badwidth estimatio has recetly become a importat ad mature area of Iteret research [1], [2], [4], [5], [6], [7], [1], [11], [12], [14], [15], [16], [18], [19], [2], [21], [22], [23], [24], [25], [26], [27]. A typical goal of these studies is to uderstad the characteristics of Iteret paths ad those of cross-traffic through a variety of ed-to-ed ad/or router-assisted measuremets. The proposed techiques usually fall ito two categories those that estimate the bottleeck badwidth [4], [5], [6], [12], [13] ad those that deal with the available badwidth [11], [19], [24], [26]. Recall that the former badwidth metric refers to the capacity of the slowest lik of the path, while the latter is geerally defied as the smallest average uused badwidth amog the routers of a ed-to-ed path. The majority of existig bottleeck-badwidth estimatio methods are justified assumig o cross-traffic alog the path ad are usually examied i simulatios/experimets to show that they ca work uder realistic etwork coditios [4], [5], [6], [7], [12]. With available badwidth estimatio, crosstraffic is essetial ad is usually take ito accout i the aalysis; however, such aalysis predomiatly assumes a fluid model for all flows ad implicitly requires that such models be accurate i o-fluid cases. Simulatios/experimets are agai used to verify that the proposed methods are capable of dealig with bursty coditios of real Iteret cross-traffic [11], [19], [24], [26]. To uderstad some of the reasos for the lack of stochastic modelig i this field, this paper studies a sigle-ode badwidth measuremet problem ad derives a closed-form estimator for both capacity ad available badwidth A = r, where r is the average rate of cross-traffic at the lik. For a arbitrary cross-traffic arrival process r(t), we defie r as the asymptotic time-average of r(t) ad assume that it exists ad is fiite: 1 t r = lim r(u)du <. (1) t t Notice that the existece of (1) does ot require statioarity of cross-traffic, or does it impose ay restrictios o the arrival of idividual packets to the router. While other defiitios of available badwidth A ad the average cross-traffic rate r are possible, we fid that (1) serves our purpose well as it provides a clea ad mathematically tractable metric. The first half of the paper deals with badwidth estimatio uder i.i.d. reewal cross-traffic ad the aalysis of packetpair/trai methods. We first show that uder certai coditios ad eve the simplest i.i.d. cross-traffic, histogram-based methods commoly used i prior work (e.g., [5]) ca be misled ito producig iaccurate estimates of. We overcome this limitatio by developig a asymptotically accurate model for ; however, sice this approach evetually requires ergodicity of cross-traffic, we later build aother model that imposes more restrictio o the samplig process (usig PASTA priciples suggested i [26]), but allows cross-traffic to exhibit arbitrary characteristics. Ulike previous studies [26], we prove that the correspodig PASTA-based estimators coverge to the correct values ad show that they ca be used to simultaeously measure capacity ad available badwidth A. To our kowledge, this is the first estimator that measures both ad A without cogestig the lik, assumes o-egligible, o-fluid cross-traffic i the derivatios, ad applies to o-statioary r(t). Note that while this estimator ca measure A over multiple liks, its iheret purpose is ot to become aother measuremet tool or to work over multi-ode paths, but rather to uderstad the associated stochastic models ad dissemiate the kowledge obtaied i the process of writig this paper. Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

2 We coclude the paper by discussig the impossibility of buildig a asymptotically optimal estimator of both ad A for a two-ode case. While estimatio of A may be possible for multi-ode paths, our results suggest that provably-coverget estimators of do ot exist i the cotext of ed-to-ed measuremet. Thus, the problem of derivig a provably accurate estimator for a two-ode case with arbitrary cross-traffic remais ope; however, we hope that our iitial work i this directio will stimulate additioal research ad prompt others to prove/disprove this cojecture. II. STOHASTI QUEUING MODEL I this sectio, we build a simple model of a router that itroduces radom delay oise ito the measuremets of the receiver ad use it to study the performace of packet-pair badwidth-samplig techiques. Note that we depart from the commo assumptio of egligible ad/or fluid cross-traffic ad specifically aim to uderstad the effects of radom queuig delays o the badwidth samplig process. First cosider a uloaded router with o cross-traffic. The packet-pair mechaism is based o a observatio that if two packets arrive at the bottleeck lik with spacig x smaller tha the trasmissio delay of the secod packet over the lik, their spacig after the lik will be exactly. I practice, however, packets from other flows ofte queue betwee the two probe packets ad icrease their spacig o the exit from the bottleeck lik to be larger tha. Assume that packets of the probe traffic arrive to the bottleeck router at times a 1, a 2,...ad that iter-arrival times a a 1 are give by a radom process x determied by the server s iitial spacig. Further assume that the bottleeck ode delays arrivig packets by addig a radom processig time ω to each received packet. For the remaider of the paper, we use costat 1 packet size q for the probig flow ad arbitrarily-varyig packet sizes for cross-traffic. Furthermore, there is o strict requiremet o the iitial spacig x as log as the modelig assumptios below are satisfied. This meas that both isolated packet pairs or bursty packet trais ca be used to probe the path. Let the trasmissio delay of each applicatio packet through the bottleeck lik be q/ =, where is the trasmissio capacity of the lik. Uder these assumptios, packet departure times d are expressed by the followig recurrece 2 : { a1 + ω 1 + =1 d = max(a,d 1 )+ω + 2. (2) I this formula, the depedece of d o departure time d 1 is a cosequece of FIFO queuig (i.e., packet caot depart before packet 1 is fully trasmitted). Furthermore, packet caot start trasmissio util it has fully arrived (i.e., time a ). The value of the oise term ω is proportioal to the umber of packets geerated by cross-traffic ad queued 1 Methods that vary the probig packet size also exist (e.g., [6], [1]). 2 Times d specify whe the last bit of the packet leaves the router. Similarly, times a specify whe the last bit of the packet is fully received ad the packet is ready for queuig. arrival departure Fig. 1. Departure delays itroduced by the ode. time i frot of packet. The fial metric of iterest is iterdeparture delay y = d d 1 as the packets leave the router. The various variables ad packet arrival/departure are schematically show i Figure 1. Eve though the model i (2) appears to be simple, it leads to fairly complicated distributios for y if we make o prior assumptios about cross-traffic. We ext examie several special cases ad derive importat asymptotic results about process y. A. Packet-Pair Aalysis III. RENEWAL ROSS-TRAFFI We start our aalysis with a rather commo assumptio i queuig theory that cross-traffic arrives ito the bottleeck lik accordig to some reewal process (i.e., delays betwee crosstraffic packets are i.i.d. radom variables). I what follows i the ext few subsectios, we show that modelig of this directio requires statioarity (more specifically, ergodicity) of cross-traffic. However, sice either the i.i.d. assumptio or statioarity holds for regular Iteret traffic, we the apply a differet samplig methodology ad a differet aalytical directio to derive a provably robust estimator of capacity ad average cross-traffic rate r. The goal of bottleeck badwidth samplig techiques is to queue probe packets directly behid each other at the bottleeck lik ad esure that spacig y o the exit from the router is. I practice, however, this is rarely possible whe the rate of cross-traffic is o-egligible. This does preset certai difficulties to the estimatio process; however, assumig a sigle cogested ode, the problem is asymptotically tractable give certai mild coditios o cross-traffic. We preset these results below. To geerate measuremets of the bottleeck capacity, it is commoly derived that the server must sed its packets with iitial spacig o more tha (i.e., o slower tha ). This is true for uloaded liks; however, whe cross-traffic is preset, the probes may be set arbitrarily slower as log as each packet i arrives to the router before the departure time of packet i 1. This coditio traslates ito a d 1 ad Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

3 (2) expads to: d = { a1 + ω 1 + =1 d 1 + ω + 2. (3) From (3), packet iter-departure times y after the bottleeck router are give by: y = d d 1 = +ω, 2. (4) Notice that radom process ω is defied by the arrival patter of cross-traffic ad also by its packet-size distributio. Sice this process is a key factor that determies the distributio of sampled delays y, we ext focus o aalyzig its properties. Assume that iter-packet delays of cross-traffic are give by idepedet radom variables {X i } ad the actual arrivals occur at times X 1,X 1 + X 2,... Thus, the arrival patter of cross-traffic defies a reewal process M(t), which is the umber of packet arrivals i the iterval [,t]. Usig commo covetio, further assume that the mea iter-arrival delay E[X i ] is give by 1/λ, where λ = r is the mea arrival rate of cross-traffic i packets per secod. To allow radom packet sizes, assume that {S j },j = 1, 2,...are idepedet radom variables modelig the size of packets i cross-traffic. We further assume that the bottleeck lik is probed by a sequece of packet-pairs, i which the delay betwee the packets withi each pair is small (so as to keep their rate higher tha ) ad the delay betwee the pairs is high (so as ot to cogest the lik). Uder these assumptios, the amout of cross-traffic data received by the bottleeck lik betwee probe packets 2m 1 ad 2m (i.e., i the iterval (a 2m 1,a 2m ]) is give by a cumulative reward process: v = M(a ) M(a 1) j=1 S j, =2m, (5) where represets the sequece umber of the secod packet i each pair. For ow, we assume a geeral (ot ecessarily equilibrium) process M(t) ad re-write (4) as: M(a ) M(a 1 ) j=1 y = + v = +, =2m. (6) Sice classical reewal theory is mostly cocered with limitig distributios, y by itself does ot lead to ay tractable results because the observatio period of the process captured by each of y is very small. Defie a time-average process W to be the average of {y i } up to time : W = 1 y i. (7) The, we have the followig result. laim 1: Assumig ergodic cross-traffic, time-average process W coverges to: lim W = + λe[x ]E[S j ] = +E[ω ], (8) S j Sd1 1 mb/s 1 mb/s 1.5 mb/s R 1 R 2 Sd2 1 mb/s Fig mb/s Rcv1 Rcv2 Sigle-lik simulatio topology. where E[x ] is the mea iter-probe delay of packet-pairs. Proof: Process W samples a much larger spa of M(t) ad has a limitig distributio as we demostrate below. Applyig Wald s equatio to (6) [28]: E [y ]= + E[M(a ) M(a 1 )]E[S j ]. (9) The last result holds sice M(t) ad S j are idepedet ad M(a ) M(a 1 ) is a stoppig time for sequece {S j }. Equatio (9) ca be further simplified by oticig that E[M(t)] is the reewal fuctio m(t): E [y ]= + (m(a ) m(a 1 ))E[S j ]. (1) Assumig statioary cross-traffic, (1) expads to [28]: E [y ]= + λe[x ]E[S j ]. (11) Fially, assumig ergodicity of cross-traffic (which implies that of process y ), we ca obtai (11) usig a large umber of packet pairs as the limit of W i (7) as. Notice that the secod term i (8) is strictly positive uder the assumptios of this paper. This leads to a iterestig observatio that the filterig problem we are facig is quite challegig sice the sampled process y represets sigal corrupted by a o-zero-mea oise ω. This is a drastic departure from the classical filter theory, which mostly deals with zero-mea additive oise. It is also iterestig that the oly way to make the oise zero-mea is to either sed probe traffic with E[x ]=(i.e., ifiitely fast) or to have o crosstraffic at the bottleeck lik (i.e., λ = r =). The former case is impossible sice x is always positive ad the latter case is a simplificatio that we explicitly wat to avoid i this work. We will preset our aalysis of packet-trai probig shortly, but i the mea time, discuss several simulatios to provide a ituitive explaatio of the results obtaied so far. B. Simulatios Before we proceed to estimatio of, let us explai several observatios made i previous work ad put them i the cotext of our model i (6) ad (8). For the simulatios i this sectio, we used the s2 etwork simulator with the topology show i Fig. 2. I the figure, the source of probe packets Sd1 seds its data to receiver Rcv1 across two routers R 1 ad R 2. The speed of all access liks is 1 mb/s (delay 5 ms), Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

4 frequecy.4.3 frequecy.2 frequecy.1 frequecy values of y() (ms) values of y() (ms) values of y() (ms) values of y() (ms) (a) r =1mb/s (b) r =1.3 mb/s (a) r = 75 kb/s (b) r =1mb/s The histogram of measured iter-arrival times y uder BR cross- Fig. 3. traffic. The histogram of measured iter-arrival times y uder TP cross- Fig. 4. traffic. while the bottleeck lik R 1 R 2 has capacity =1.5 mb/s ad 2 ms delay. Note that there are five cross-traffic sources attached to Sd2. We ext discuss simulatio results obtaied uder UDP cross-traffic. I the first case, we iitialize all five sources i Sd2 to be BR streams, each trasmittig at 2 kb/s ( r =1mb/s total cross-traffic). Each BR flow starts with a radom iitial delay to prevet sychroizatio with other flows ad uses 5-byte packets. The probe flow at Sd1 seds its data at a average rate of 5 kb/s for the probig duratio, which results i 1% utilizatio of the bottleeck lik. I the secod case, we lower packet size of cross-traffic to 3 bytes ad icrease its total rate to 1.3 mb/s to demostrate more challegig scearios whe there is packet loss at the bottleeck. These simulatio results are summarized i Fig. 3, which illustrates the distributio of the measured samples y based o each pair of packets set with spacig x (the results exclude packet pairs that experieced loss). Give capacity =1.5 mb/s ad packet size q =1, 5 bytes, the value of is 8 ms. Fig. 3 shows that oe of the samples are located at the correct value of 8 ms ad that the mea of the sampled sigal (i.e., W ) has shifted to 11.7 ms for the first case ad 14.5 ms for the secod oe. Next, we employ TP cross-traffic, which is geerated by five FTP sources attached to Sd2. The TP flows use differet packet sizes of 54, 64, 84, 1,4, ad 1,24 bytes, respectively. The histogram of y for this case is show i Fig. 4 for two differet average cross-traffic rates r = 75 kb/s ad r =1mb/s. As see i the figure, eve though some of the samples are located at 8 ms, the majority of the mass i the histogram (icludig the peak modes) are located at the values much higher tha 8 ms. Recall from (8) that W of the measured sigal teds to +E[ω ]. Uder BR cross-traffic, we ca estimate the mea of the oise E[ω ] to be approximately =3.7 ms i the first case ad =6.5 ms i the secod oe. The two aive estimates of based o W are = q/w =1, 25 kb/s ad = 827 kb/s, respectively. Likewise, for the TP case, the measured averages (i.e., 12.2 ad 13.3 ms each) of samples y lead to icorrect aive estimates = 983 kb/s ad = 92 kb/s, respectively. I order to uderstad how ad the value of W evolve, we ru aother simulatio uder 1 mb/s total TP cross-traffic ad plot the evolutios of the absolute error ad that of W i Fig. 5. As Fig. 5(a) shows, the absolute error betwee ad coverges to a certai value after 5, samples y, providig a rather poor estimate 1, 1 kb/s. Fig. 5(b) illustrates that W i fact coverges to +E[ω ], where the mea of the oise is W =3.9 ms. Previous work [1], [4], [5], [15], [22] focused o idetifyig the peaks (modes) i the histogram of the collected badwidth samples ad used these peaks to estimate the badwidth; however, as Figs. 3 ad 4 show, this ca be misleadig whe the distributio of the oise is ot kow a-priori. For example, the tallest peak o the right side of Fig. 3 is located at 13 ms ( = 923 kb/s), which is oly a slightly better estimate tha 827 kb/s derived from the mea of y. Moreover, the tallest peak i Fig. 4(a) is located at 14.5 ms, which leads to a worse estimate = 827 kb/s compared to 983 kb/s computed from the mea of y. To combat these problems, existig studies [1], [4], [5], [15], [22] apply umerous empirical methods to fid out which mode is more likely to be correct. This may be the oly feasible solutio i multi-hop etworks; however, oe must keep i mid that it is possible that oe of the modes i the measured histogram correspods to as evideced by both graphs i Fig. 3.. Packet-Trai Aalysis Aother topic of debate i prior work was whether packettrai methods offer ay beefits over packet-pair methods. Some studies suggested that packet-trai measuremets coverge to the available badwidth 3 for sufficietly log bursts of packets [1], [4]; however, o aalytical evidece to this effect has bee preseted so far. Other studies [5] employed packet-trai estimates to icrease the measuremet accuracy of bottleeck badwidth estimatio, but it is ot clear how these samples beefit asymptotic covergece of the estimatio process. We cosider a hypothetic packet-trai method that trasmits probe traffic i bursts of k packets ad averages the iterpacket arrival delays withi each burst to obtai idividual 3 Eve though this questio appears to have bee settled i some of the recet papers, we provide additioal isight ito this issue. Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

5 Absolute error (kb/s) Average sample values (ms) frequecy frequecy x x values of y() (ms) values of y() (ms) (a) (b) W (a) k =5 (b) k =1 Fig. 5. (a) The absolute error of the packet-pair estimate uder TP crosstraffic of r =1mb/s. (b) Evolutio of W. Fig. 6. The histogram of measured iter-arrival times Z k based o packet trais ad BR cross-traffic of r =1.3 mb/s. samples {Z}, k where is the burst umber. For example, if k =1, samples y 2,...,y 1 defie Z1 1, samples y 12,...,y 2 defie Z2 1, ad so o. The reaso for excludig samples y 1,y +1,...,y k+1 is because they are based o the leadig packets of each burst, which ecouter large iter-burst gaps i frot of them ad do ot follow the model developed so far. I what follows i this sectio, we derive the distributio of {Z} k as k. laim 2: For sufficietly large k, costat x = x, ad a regeerative processes M(t), packet-trai samples coverge to the followig Gaussia distributio for large : { Z k } D N (, λxv ar[s j λe[s j ]X i ] ) (k 1) 2, + λxe[s j] (12) where D deotes covergece i distributio, N(µ, σ) is a Gaussia distributio with mea µ ad stadard deviatio σ, ad X i are iter-packet arrival delays of cross-traffic. Proof: First, defie a k-sample versio of the cumulative reward process i (5): V k = M(a k ) M(a k( 1)+1 ) j=1 S j, =1, 2,... (13) Process V k is also a coutig process, however, its timescale is measured i bursts istead of packets. Thus, V k determies the amout of cross-traffic data received by the bottleeck lik durig a etire burst. Equatio (13) shows that Z k ca be asymptotically iterpreted as the reward rate of the reward-reewal process V k : Z k = + V k (k 1), (14) where k 1 is the umber of iter-packet gaps i a k-packet trai of probe packets. Assumig M(t) is regeerative ad for sufficietly large k, we have [28]: Z k = + V1 k + o(1). (15) (k 1) Applyig the regeerative cetral limit theorem, costraiig the rest of the derivatios i this sectio to costat x = x, ad assumig E[X i ] < [28]: { } V k ( 1 D N k 1 λxe[s j ], λxv ar[s j λe[s j ]X i ] k 1 (16) ombiig (15) ad (16), we get (12). First, otice that the mea of this distributio is the same as that of samples {y } i (11), which, as was ituitively expected, meas that both measuremet methods have the same expectatio. Secod, it is also easy to otice that the variace of Z k teds to zero as log as Var[X i ] is fiite. laim 3: If Var[X i ] is fiite, the variace of packet-trai samples Z k teds to zero for large k. Proof: Sice λ, x, ad E[S j ] are all fiite ad do ot deped o k, usig idepedece of S j ad X i i (12), we have: ( λxv Var[Z]= k ar[sj ]+λ 3 xe 2 ) 2 [S j ]Var[X i ] (k 1) 2, (17) which teds to for k. As a result of this pheomeo, loger packet trais will produce arrower distributios cetered at +E[ω ]. The BR case already studied i Fig. 3(b) clearly has fiite Var[X i ] ad therefore samples {Z} k must exhibit decayig variace as k icreases. Oe example of this covergece for packet trais with k =5ad k =1is show i Fig. 6. D. Discussio Now we address several observatios of previous work. It is oted i [5] that while packet-pair histograms usually have may differet modes, the histogram of packet-trai samples becomes uimodal with icreased k. This readily follows from (12) ad the Gaussia shape of {Z}. k Previous papers also oted (e.g., [5]) that as packet-trai size k is icreased, the distributio of samples {Z} k exhibits lower variace. This result follows from the above discussio ad (17). Furthermore, [5] foud that packet-trai histograms for large k ted to a sigle mode whose locatio is idepedet of burst size k. Our derivatios provide a isight ito how this process happes ad shows the locatio of this sigle mode to be +E[ω ] i (12). I summary, packet-trai samples {Z} k represet a limited reward rate that asymptotically coverges to a Gaussia distributio with mea E[y ]. Perhaps it is possible to ifer some ). Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

6 characteristics of {X i } by observig the variace of {Z k } ad applyig the result i (12); however, sice there are several ukow parameters i the formula (such as Var[X i ] ad E[S j ]), this directio does ot lead to ay tractable results uless we assume a particular process M(t). Sice {Z k } asymptotically ted to a very arrow Gaussia distributio cetered at +E[ω ], we fid that there is o evidece that {Z k } measure the available badwidth or offer ay additioal iformatio about the value of as compared to traditioal packet-pair samples {y }. IV. ARBITRARY ROSS-TRAFFI I this sectio, we relax the statioarity ad reewal assumptios about cross-traffic ad derive a robust estimator of ad r. Assume a arbitrary arrival process r(t) for crosstraffic, where r(t) is its istataeous rate at time t. We impose oly oe costrait o this process it must have a fiite time average r show i (1). The goal of the samplig process is to determie both ad r. Sice r >imply costat packet loss ad zero available badwidth, we are geerally iterested i o-trivial cases of r. Stochastic process r(t) may be reewal, regeerative, a superpositio of ON/OFF sources, self-similar, or otherwise. Furthermore, sice packet arrival patters i the curret Iteret commoly exhibit ostatioarity (due to day-ight cycles, routig chages, lik failure, etc.), our assumptios o r(t) allow us to model a wide variety of such o-statioary processes ad are much broader tha commoly assumed i traffic modelig literature. Next, otice that if the probig traffic ca sample r(t) usig a Poisso sequece of probes at times t 1,t 2,..., the average of r(t i ) coverges to r (applyig the PASTA priciple [28]): r(t 1 )+r(t 2 ) r(t ) 1 t lim = lim r(u)du = r, t t (18) as log as delays τ i = t i t i 1 are i.i.d. expoetial radom variables. I order to accomplish this type of samplig, the seder must emit packet-pairs at expoetially distributed itervals. Assumig that the i-th packet-pair arrives to the router at time t i, it will sample a small segmet of r(t) by allowig g i amout of data to be queued betwee the probes: g i = t i +x i t i r(u)du r(t i )x i, (19) where x i is the spacig betwee the packets i the i-th packetpair. Agai, assumig that y i is the i-th iter-arrival sample geerated by the receiver, we have: y i = + g i = +r(t i)x i. (2) Fially, fixig the value of x i = x, otice that W has a well-defied limit: lim W 1 = lim = + x lim ( + r(t ) i)x i r(t i ) = +x r. (21) I essece, this result 4 is similar to our earlier derivatios, except that (21) requires much weaker restrictios o crosstraffic ad also shows that a sigle-ode model is completely tractable i the settig of almost arbitrary cross-traffic. We ext show how to extract both ad r from (21). A. apacity Observe that (21) is a liear fuctio of x, where r is the slope ad is the itercept 5. Therefore, by ijectig packetpairs with two differet spacigs x a ad x b, oe ca compute the ukow terms i (21) usig two sets of measuremets {yi a} ad {yb i }. To accomplish this, defie the correspodig average processes to be W a ad W: b W a = 1 yi a, W b = 1 yi b. (22) The simplest way to obtai both W a ad W b usig a sigle measuremet is to alterate spacig x a ad x b while preservig the PASTA samplig property. Usig a oe-bit header field, the receiver ca uambiguously sort the iterarrival delays ito two sets {yi a} ad {yb i }, ad thus compute their averages i (22). While samples are beig collected, the receiver has two ruig averages produced by (22). Subtractig W b from W a, we are able to separate r/ from : lim (W a W)= b (x a x b ) r. (23) Next, deote by the followig estimate of at time : = W a W a W b x a. (24) x a x b Takig the limit of (24), we have the followig result. laim 4: Assumig a sigle cogested bottleeck for which time-average rate r exists, coverges to : lim =. (25) Proof: Re-writig (25): lim = + x a r x (x a x b ) r a =, (26) (x a x b ) which is obtaied with the help of (21), (23), ad (24). Our ext result shows a more friedly restatemet of the previous claim. 4 A similar formula has bee derived i [3], [8], [19] ad several other papers uder a fluid assumptio. 5 For techical differeces betwee this approach ad previous work (such as TOPP [19]), see [17]. Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

7 TABLE I AVAILABLE BANDWIDTH ESTIMATION ERROR Bottleeck capacity Relative error (mb/s) Model (29) Pathload Spruce IGI % 46.5% 27.9% 84.5% 5 8.3% 4.1% 23.4% 9.% 1 1.1% 4.9% 26.9% 89.% % 38.5% 24.5% 83.1% Relative estimatio error (a) E Relative estimatio error (b) E A orollary 1: Assumig a sigle cogested bottleeck for which time-average rate r exists, estimate = q/ coverges to capacity : lim = lim B. Available Badwidth = lim q W a W x a W b a x a x b q(x a x b ) x a W b x b W a =. (27) Notice that kowig a estimate of i (27) ad usig r i (23), it is easy to estimate the mea rate of cross-traffic: (W a W lim ) b = r, (28) x a x b which leads to the followig result. orollary 2: Assumig a sigle cogested bottleeck for which time-average rate r exists, the followig coverges to the available badwidth A = r: ( lim q xa x b W a + W b ) x a W b x b W a = r = A. (29). Simulatios We cofirm these results ad compare our models with several recet methods spruce [26], IGI [8], ad pathload [12] through s2 simulatios. Sice the mai theme of this paper is badwidth estimatio i heavily-cogested routers, we coduct all simulatios over a loaded bottleeck lik i Fig. 2 with utilizatio varyig betwee 82% ad 92% (the exact value chages depedig o ad the iteractio of TP cross-traffic with probe packets). Delays x a ad x b are set to maitai the desired rage of lik utilizatio. Defie E A = Ã A /A ad E = / to be the relative estimatio errors of A ad, respectively, where A is the true available badwidth of a path, Ã is its estimate usig oe of the measuremet techiques, is the true bottleeck capacity, ad is its estimate. Table I shows relative estimatio errors E A for spruce, IGI, ad pathload. Forpathload, we averaged the low ad high values of the produced estimates Ã. I the IGI case, we used the estimates available at the ed of IGI s iteral covergece algorithm. Also ote that we fed both spruce ad IGI the exact bottleeck capacity, while model (29) ad pathload operated without this iformatio. As the table shows, spruce performs better tha pathload i heavily-cogested cases, which is expected Fig. 7. Evolutio of relative estimatio errors of (27) ad (29) over a sigle cogested lik with = 1.5 mb/s ad 85% lik utilizatio. Relative estiamtio error (a) spruce Relative estimatio error (b) IGI Fig. 8. Relative estimatio errors E A produced by spruce ad IGI over a sigle cogested lik with = 1.5 mb/s ad 85% lik utilizatio. sice it ca utilize the kow capacity iformatio. Iterestigly, however, IGI s estimates are worse tha those of pathload eve though IGI utilizes the true capacity i its estimatio algorithm. A similar result is observed i [26] uder a relatively small amout of cross-traffic (2% to 4% lik utilizatio). Next, we examie models (27), (29) with a large umber of samples to show their asymptotic covergece ad estimatio accuracy. We plot the evolutio of relative estimatio errors E ad E A i Fig. 7. As Fig. 7(a) shows, coverges to a value that is very close (withi 3%) to the true value of. I Fig. 7(b), the available badwidth estimates quickly coverge withi 1% of A. For the purpose of compariso, we ext plot estimatio errors E A produced by spruce ad IGI i Fig. 8. As Fig. 8(a) shows, eve with the exact value of ad after 1, samples, spruce exhibits a error of 27%. Furthermore, IGI s estimates are much worse tha spruce s as illustrated i Fig. 8(b), which plots the evolutio of errors util IGI s iteral algorithm termiates. To better uderstad these results, we ext study how the accuracy of capacity iformatio provided to spruce ad IGI affects their measuremet accuracy. D. Further Aalysis of spruce ad IGI Sice bottleeck capacities of Iteret paths are ot geerally kow, the use of spruce ad IGI may be limited to a small umber of kow paths, uless these methods ca obtai capacity measuremets from other tools such as ettimer [15], [16], pathrate [5], or approbe [13]. These estimators of are usually very accurate whe the routers alog the path are ot highly utilized; however, as lik utilizatio icreases, Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

8 Relative estimatio error Relatvie estimatio error spruce IGI mea of y() (ms) Simulatio result y=x mea of y() (ms) Simulatio result y=x Ratio of estimated ad real x() (ms) x() (ms) (a) (b) (a) BR cross-traffic (b) TP cross-traffic Fig. 9. (a) Relative capacity estimatio error E measured by approbe. (b) Relative estimatio errors E A of spruce ad IGI based o the ratio /. Fig. 1. overgece of ω to zero-mea additive oise for large x uder BR ad TP cross-traffic. their results ofte become iaccurate. Hece, a atural questio is how robust are spruce ad IGI to iaccurate values of provided to their estimatio process? We examie this issue below, but first discuss simulatio results of approbe to illustrate the pitfalls that may estimators of experiece over heavy-loaded bottleeck liks. For the approbe simulatio, we use the topology show i Fig. 2 with a sigle bottleeck lik whose utilizatio was kept at 85% usig five TP cross-traffic sources. Fig. 9(a) plots the evolutio of E produced by approbe i this experimet. As the figure shows, approbe s miimum filterig is sesitive to radom queuig delays i frot of the first packet of the pair ad ca evetually coverge to a completely wrog value (6% error). We ext examie how the value of supplied to IGI ad spruce affects their accuracy. We plot the relative estimatio errors i Fig. 9(b), i which the accuracy of both methods deteriorates whe / becomes large. To uderstad the exact effect of o these methods, we have the followig simple aalysis. Accordig to [8], IGI first seds packet trais Z i with iterpacket spacig x i (x i <x j for i<j) to determie the turig poit ˆx. Each packet-trai cosists of k back-to-back packets ad the turig poit is the -th iter-packet spacig x at which the receivig rate of probe traffic starts to match the sedig rate: ˆx = x = 1 k y i. (3) k 1 Subsequetly, IGI computes the average cross-traffic rate r as followig [8]: (y i ) y i >max(,ˆx) r = (31) (k 1)ˆx ad estimates available badwidth by subtractig (31) from its a-priori kow value of : à = r. Notice from (31) that the average cross-traffic r depeds o the capacity value provided to the estimatio algorithm. This depedecy explais the icreased estimatio iaccuracy whe / 1 as illustrated i Fig. 9(b). Similarly, estimatio accuracy of spruce also chages as a fuctio of. For example, eve though spruce provides i=2 better estimates tha IGI with a correct capacity value = = 1.5 mb/s, it exhibits large estimatio errors (over 2%) whe exceeds by 33%. This meas that the accuracy of spruce is also heavily depedet o the performace of the uderlyig bottleeck badwidth estimatio method. To better uderstad this observatio, we ext aalyze spruce s estimatio process. Spruce collects idividual samples A i [26]: ( A i = 1 y i ), (32) where y i is the i-th measured packet spacig at the receiver. The algorithm averages samples A i to obtai a ruig estimate of the available badwidth: A = 1 A i =2 2 y i. (33) q Takig the limits of (33) ad substitutig W from (21) ito (33), we get à = lim A = x r. (34) This brief aalysis shows that the badwidth estimatio mechaism i spruce requires that the seder set its iterpacket spacig x to be =q/. This is possible whe is kow exactly; however, i cases whe is ot correctly estimated, the iitial spacig x caot be set to ad spruce caot coverge to A. Also otice that if r, estimatio errors are geerally small; however, as lik utilizatio icreases, ay deviatio of x/ from 1 will have a sigificat impact o Ã. V. MULTIPLE LINKS I this sectio, we exted our sigle-ode model to the case of multiple cogested routers ad cojecture that it is impossible to derive a closed-form solutio that filters out the oise itroduced by cross-traffic at several liks of a ed-toed path. A. Large Iter-Probe Delays osider the origial model of a router i (2). This time, assume that oe of the probe packets queue behid each other at the bottleeck router. This meas that packet 1 leaves Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

9 Sd1 1 mb/s Sd2 1 mb/s Rcv1 1 mb/s R p R 1 R 2 1 mb/s 1 mb/s 1 mb/s Sd3 Rcv3 Rcv2 Trasmissio delay (ms) estimated x1 4 (a) Sigle cogested lik Trasmissio delay (ms) estimated x1 4 (b) Two cogested liks Fig. 11. Multi-lik simulatio topology. Fig. 12. The evolutio of estimated trasmissio delay for a sigle ad two cogested liks. the router before packet arrives, which is expected if iterpacket spacig x at the source is very large compared to the trasmissio delay. Uder these assumptios, d 1 <a ad (2) becomes: d = a + ω +, 1. (35) Hece, iter-departure delays y are: y = a a 1 + ω ω 1, 2. (36) Notice that the first term a a 1 i (36) is the iter-arrival delay x of the probe traffic ad the secod term ω ω 1 ca be modeled as some zero-mea radom oise. This ca be explaied ituitively by oticig that uder the assumptio of large x, each router delays probe packets (o average) by the same amout. The the distace betwee each pair of subsequet packets fluctuates aroud the mea of x. Usig a iductive argumet, it is also easy to show the followig. laim 5: If the iitial spacig x is larger (i a statistical sese) tha queuig delays experieced by packets at each router of a N-hop ed-to-ed path, the mea of the sampled sigal y is equal to E[x ] ad the followig holds for each router j: E[ω (j) ω (j) 1 ]=. (37) To cofirm that the zero-mea model i (37) holds i practice, we ru s2 simulatios with 85% utilizatio at the bottleeck lik ad varyig packet sizes of BR ad TP cross-traffic. The plots of E[y ] as a fuctio of x for differet values of x = x are show i Fig. 1. As the two figures show, E[y ] coverges to x at 4 ad 1 ms, respectively, at which time the oise at the bottleeck router becomes zero-mea-additive. Note that similar results hold for multiple cogested routers, differet traffic patters, ad differet packet sizes. Also ote that the poit at which E[y ] coverges to x is ot ecessarily the value of the available badwidth as was suggested i prior work [8]. B. Recursive Model for Multi-Node Paths Assumig multiple cogested routers alog a path, the result i (25) o loger holds. To better uderstad multi-lik effects, we use the topology i Fig. 11, where the bottleeck lik has capacity 1.5 mb/s ad pre-bottleeck lik p =1.8 mb/s. Five FTP sources are attached to each of sd2 ad sd3 ad both liks are utilized by cross-traffic at 85%. Fig. 12 illustrates the covergece process of for the sigle-ode ad multi-ode cases. As Fig. 12(b) shows, estimates do ot coverge to the true value of =8ms, regardless of the umber of samples y i. Notice that it is possible to recursively exted the origial model i (26) to multiple cogested liks where the iput x of each lik is the output y of the previous lik. However, this model becomes itractable as we show ext. Add idex j to each process ad each radom variable to idicate that it is local to router j alog the path from the seder to the receiver. Further assume that Q (j) i is the queuig delay (due to cross-traffic ad other probe packets) i frot of packet i iside router j ad φ (j) i is some zero-mea oise process at router j at time i. The, we defie the followig recursive model: { j + ω (j) i, x (j) i <Q (j) i 1 y (j) i = j + φ (j) i, x (j) i Q (j) i 1, (38) where y (j) i is the departure spacig of the i-th packet-pair from router j, j = q/ j is the trasmissio delay of the probe packets over lik j, ad x (j) i is the arrival spacig betwee the probes at router j. Notice that if the arrival spacig betwee packets i 1 ad i (which is simply x (j) i = y (j 1) i ) is less tha the time packet i 1 speds i the buffer (i.e., Q (j) i 1 ), the two packets queue behid each other ad follow the model developed earlier i this paper. Whe the opposite holds, the packets do ot queue behid each other ad the router adds i.i.d. zero-mea oise φ (j) i to j.. ojecture of Impossibility Oe of the mai difficulties of this situatio is the stochastic mixture of the two types of oise i (38). While at this time we do ot offer a complete treatmet of this problem, we show that eve whe all liks follow the first model (i.e., all packets queue behid each other), the problem appears itractable. Uder these assumptios, (38) leads to: W (j) = j + 1 j r j (t i )x (j) i, (39) Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

10 apacity estimates (kb/s) 15 1 bottleeck 5 =.5 mb/s =1 mb/s =1.2 mb/s Fig. 13. Evolutio of estimated badwidth for two cogested liks. where r j (t) is the cross-traffic process at router j. Foratwo cogested-router case, (39) becomes: W (2) = r 2 (t i )y (1) i 2 = r x 1 2 [ r 2 (t i ) 1 + r ] 1(t i )x 1 r 1 (u)r 2 (u)du. (4) Sice Poisso samples take at the receiver lead to obtaiig a time average of a mixed sigal itroduced by the two routers, it appears impossible to filter out the ukow cross-traffic statistics or the mai itegral i (4). We ext examie how the amout of cross-traffic i two cogested liks affects the estimatio accuracy of the earlier models developed i the paper. We set the average crosstraffic rates r 1 (t) ad r 2 (t) to be the same i both routers (i.e., r 1 = r 2 = µ) ad vary this value betwee 5 kb/s ad 1.2 mb/s. We agai use the topology i Fig. 11 ad plot i Fig. 13 the value of computed usig (27) whe crosstraffic is simultaeously ijected ito both liks ( p =2mb/s, =1.5 mb/s). As the figure illustrates, the estimates of the bottleeck badwidth coverge to a value that is sigificatly less tha the true capacity ad become progressively worse as µ icreases. VI. ONLUSION This paper examied the problem of estimatig the capacity/available badwidth of a sigle cogested lik ad showed a simple stochastic aalysis of the problem. Ulike previous approaches, our estimatio did ot rely o empirically-drive methods, but istead used a queuig model of the bottleeck router that specifically assumed o-egligible, o-fluid cross-traffic. It is also the first model to provide simultaeous asymptotically-accurate estimatio of both ad A i the presece of arbitrary cross-traffic. Our aalysis i the multi-ode cases suggests that the problem of obtaiig provably-coverget estimates of ad A i such eviromets does ot have a solutio. This isight possibly explais the lack of aalytical/stochastic justificatio for may of the proposed methods. Kowig that accurate estimatio of for the multi-ode case is impossible will potetially provide a importat foudatio for the methods that rely o empirically-optimized heuristics. REFERENES [1] B. Ahlgre, M. Björkma, ad B. Melader, Network Probig Usig Packet Trais, Swedish Istitute Techical Report, March [2] M. Allma ad V. Paxso, O Estimatig Ed-to-Ed Network Parameters, AM SIGOMM, August [3] J. Bolot, Ed-to-Ed Packet Delay ad Loss Behavior i the Iteret, AM SIGOMM, September [4] R.L. arter ad M.E. rovella, Measurig Bottleeck Lik Speed i Packet Switched Networks, Iteratioal Joural o Performace Evaluatio 27 & 28, [5]. Dovrolis, P. Ramaatha, D. Moore, What Do Packet Dispersio Techiques Measure? IEEE INFOOM, April 21. [6] A.B. Dowey, Usig PATHHAR to Estimate Iteret Lik haracteristics, AM SIGOMM, August [7] K. Harfoush, A. Bestavros, ad J. Byers, Measurig Bottleeck Badwidth of Targeted Path Segmets, IEEE INFOOM, March 23. [8] N. Hu ad P. Steekiste, Evaluatio ad haracterizatio of Available Badwidth Probig Techiques, IEEE Joural o Selected Areas i ommuicatios, vol. 21, No. 6, August 23. [9] V. Jacobso, ogestio Avoidace ad otrol, AM SIGOMM, [1] V. Jacobso, pathchar A Tool to Ifer haracteristics of Iteret Paths, ftp://ftp.ee.lbl.gov/pathchar/. [11] M. Jai ad. Dovrolis, Ed-to-Ed Available Badwidth: Measuremet Methodology, Dyamics, ad Relatio with TP Throughput, AM SIGOMM, 22. [12] M. Jai ad. Dovrolis, Pathload: A Measuremet Tool for Ed-to- Ed Available Badwidth, Passive ad Active Measuremets (PAM) Workshop, 22. [13] R. Kapoor, L. he, L. Lao, M. Saadidi, ad M. Gerla, approbe: a Simple ad Accurate apacity Estimatio Techique, AM SIGOMM, August 24. [14] S. Keshav, A otrol-theoretic Approach to Flow otrol, AM SIGOMM, [15] K. Lai ad M. Baker, Measurig Badwidth, IEEE INFOOM, [16] K. Lai ad M. Baker, Measurig Lik Badwidths Usig a Determiistic Model of Packet Delay, AM SIGOMM, August 2. [17] X. Liu, K. Ravidra, B. Liu, ad D. Loguiov, Sigle-Hop Probig Asymptotics i Available Badwidth Estimatio: A Sample-Path Aalysis, AM IM, October 24. [18] B.A. Mah, pchar: A Tool for Measurig Iteret Path haracteristics, bmah/ Software/ pchar/, Jue 21. [19] B. Melader, M. Björkma, P. Guigberg, A New Ed-to-Ed Probig ad Aalysis Method for Estimatig Badwidth Bottleecks, IEEE GLOBEOM, November 2. [2] A. Pasztor ad D. Veitch, Active Probig usig Packet Quartets, AM IMW, 22. [21] A. Pasztor ad D. Veitch, The Packet Size Depedece of Packet Pair Like Methods, IEEE/IFIP IWQoS, 22. [22] V. Paxso, Measuremets ad Aalysis of Ed-to-Ed Iteret Dyamics, Ph.D. dissertatio, omputer Sciece Departmet, Uiversity of aliforia at Berkeley, [23] S. Ratasamy ad S. Mcae, Iferece of Multicast Routig Trees ad Bottleeck Badwidths usig Ed-to-Ed Measuremets, IEEE INFOOM, March [24] V. Ribeiro, R. Riedi, R. Baraiuk, J. Navratil, ad L. ottrell, pathhirp: Efficiet Available Badwidth Estimatio for Network Paths, Passive ad Active Measuremets (PAM) Workshop, 23. [25] D. Sisalem ad H. Schulzrie, The Loss-delay Based Adjustmet Algorithm: A TP-friedly adaptatio scheme, IEEE Workshop o Network ad Operatig System Support for Digital Audio ad Video (NOSSDAV), [26] J. Strauss, D. Katabi, ad F. Kaashoek, A Measuremet Study of Available Badwidth Estimatio Tools, AM IM, 23. [27] R. Wade, M. Kara, ad P.M. Dew, Study of a Trasport Protocol Employig Bottleeck Probig ad Toke Bucket Flow otrol, IEEE IS, July 2. [28] R.W. Wolff, Stochastic Modelig ad the Theory of Queues, Pretice- Hall, Proceedigs of the 12th IEEE Iteratioal oferece o Network Protocols (INP 4) /4 $ 2. IEEE

I. Chi-squared Distributions

I. Chi-squared Distributions 1 M 358K Supplemet to Chapter 23: CHI-SQUARED DISTRIBUTIONS, T-DISTRIBUTIONS, AND DEGREES OF FREEDOM To uderstad t-distributios, we first eed to look at aother family of distributios, the chi-squared distributios.

More information

Output Analysis (2, Chapters 10 &11 Law)

Output Analysis (2, Chapters 10 &11 Law) B. Maddah ENMG 6 Simulatio 05/0/07 Output Aalysis (, Chapters 10 &11 Law) Comparig alterative system cofiguratio Sice the output of a simulatio is radom, the comparig differet systems via simulatio should

More information

Characterizing End-to-End Packet Delay and Loss in the Internet

Characterizing End-to-End Packet Delay and Loss in the Internet Characterizig Ed-to-Ed Packet Delay ad Loss i the Iteret Jea-Chrysostome Bolot Xiyu Sog Preseted by Swaroop Sigh Layout Itroductio Data Collectio Data Aalysis Strategy Aalysis of packet delay Aalysis of

More information

Properties of MLE: consistency, asymptotic normality. Fisher information.

Properties of MLE: consistency, asymptotic normality. Fisher information. Lecture 3 Properties of MLE: cosistecy, asymptotic ormality. Fisher iformatio. I this sectio we will try to uderstad why MLEs are good. Let us recall two facts from probability that we be used ofte throughout

More information

Case Study. Normal and t Distributions. Density Plot. Normal Distributions

Case Study. Normal and t Distributions. Density Plot. Normal Distributions Case Study Normal ad t Distributios Bret Halo ad Bret Larget Departmet of Statistics Uiversity of Wiscosi Madiso October 11 13, 2011 Case Study Body temperature varies withi idividuals over time (it ca

More information

Hypothesis testing. Null and alternative hypotheses

Hypothesis testing. Null and alternative hypotheses Hypothesis testig Aother importat use of samplig distributios is to test hypotheses about populatio parameters, e.g. mea, proportio, regressio coefficiets, etc. For example, it is possible to stipulate

More information

Modified Line Search Method for Global Optimization

Modified Line Search Method for Global Optimization Modified Lie Search Method for Global Optimizatio Cria Grosa ad Ajith Abraham Ceter of Excellece for Quatifiable Quality of Service Norwegia Uiversity of Sciece ad Techology Trodheim, Norway {cria, ajith}@q2s.tu.o

More information

CHAPTER 3 DIGITAL CODING OF SIGNALS

CHAPTER 3 DIGITAL CODING OF SIGNALS CHAPTER 3 DIGITAL CODING OF SIGNALS Computers are ofte used to automate the recordig of measuremets. The trasducers ad sigal coditioig circuits produce a voltage sigal that is proportioal to a quatity

More information

Chapter 7 - Sampling Distributions. 1 Introduction. What is statistics? It consist of three major areas:

Chapter 7 - Sampling Distributions. 1 Introduction. What is statistics? It consist of three major areas: Chapter 7 - Samplig Distributios 1 Itroductio What is statistics? It cosist of three major areas: Data Collectio: samplig plas ad experimetal desigs Descriptive Statistics: umerical ad graphical summaries

More information

Soving Recurrence Relations

Soving Recurrence Relations Sovig Recurrece Relatios Part 1. Homogeeous liear 2d degree relatios with costat coefficiets. Cosider the recurrece relatio ( ) T () + at ( 1) + bt ( 2) = 0 This is called a homogeeous liear 2d degree

More information

Overview of some probability distributions.

Overview of some probability distributions. Lecture Overview of some probability distributios. I this lecture we will review several commo distributios that will be used ofte throughtout the class. Each distributio is usually described by its probability

More information

1 Computing the Standard Deviation of Sample Means

1 Computing the Standard Deviation of Sample Means Computig the Stadard Deviatio of Sample Meas Quality cotrol charts are based o sample meas ot o idividual values withi a sample. A sample is a group of items, which are cosidered all together for our aalysis.

More information

Chapter 6: Variance, the law of large numbers and the Monte-Carlo method

Chapter 6: Variance, the law of large numbers and the Monte-Carlo method Chapter 6: Variace, the law of large umbers ad the Mote-Carlo method Expected value, variace, ad Chebyshev iequality. If X is a radom variable recall that the expected value of X, E[X] is the average value

More information

Normal Distribution.

Normal Distribution. Normal Distributio www.icrf.l Normal distributio I probability theory, the ormal or Gaussia distributio, is a cotiuous probability distributio that is ofte used as a first approimatio to describe realvalued

More information

Discrete Mathematics and Probability Theory Spring 2014 Anant Sahai Note 13

Discrete Mathematics and Probability Theory Spring 2014 Anant Sahai Note 13 EECS 70 Discrete Mathematics ad Probability Theory Sprig 2014 Aat Sahai Note 13 Itroductio At this poit, we have see eough examples that it is worth just takig stock of our model of probability ad may

More information

In nite Sequences. Dr. Philippe B. Laval Kennesaw State University. October 9, 2008

In nite Sequences. Dr. Philippe B. Laval Kennesaw State University. October 9, 2008 I ite Sequeces Dr. Philippe B. Laval Keesaw State Uiversity October 9, 2008 Abstract This had out is a itroductio to i ite sequeces. mai de itios ad presets some elemetary results. It gives the I ite Sequeces

More information

Chapter 7 Methods of Finding Estimators

Chapter 7 Methods of Finding Estimators Chapter 7 for BST 695: Special Topics i Statistical Theory. Kui Zhag, 011 Chapter 7 Methods of Fidig Estimators Sectio 7.1 Itroductio Defiitio 7.1.1 A poit estimator is ay fuctio W( X) W( X1, X,, X ) of

More information

Vladimir N. Burkov, Dmitri A. Novikov MODELS AND METHODS OF MULTIPROJECTS MANAGEMENT

Vladimir N. Burkov, Dmitri A. Novikov MODELS AND METHODS OF MULTIPROJECTS MANAGEMENT Keywords: project maagemet, resource allocatio, etwork plaig Vladimir N Burkov, Dmitri A Novikov MODELS AND METHODS OF MULTIPROJECTS MANAGEMENT The paper deals with the problems of resource allocatio betwee

More information

Center, Spread, and Shape in Inference: Claims, Caveats, and Insights

Center, Spread, and Shape in Inference: Claims, Caveats, and Insights Ceter, Spread, ad Shape i Iferece: Claims, Caveats, ad Isights Dr. Nacy Pfeig (Uiversity of Pittsburgh) AMATYC November 2008 Prelimiary Activities 1. I would like to produce a iterval estimate for the

More information

0.7 0.6 0.2 0 0 96 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5

0.7 0.6 0.2 0 0 96 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 96.5 97 97.5 98 98.5 99 99.5 100 100.5 Sectio 13 Kolmogorov-Smirov test. Suppose that we have a i.i.d. sample X 1,..., X with some ukow distributio P ad we would like to test the hypothesis that P is equal to a particular distributio P 0, i.e.

More information

University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics. Distributions related to the normal distribution

University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics. Distributions related to the normal distribution Uiversity of Califoria, Los Ageles Departmet of Statistics Statistics 100B Istructor: Nicolas Christou Three importat distributios: Distributios related to the ormal distributio Chi-square (χ ) distributio.

More information

5: Introduction to Estimation

5: Introduction to Estimation 5: Itroductio to Estimatio Cotets Acroyms ad symbols... 1 Statistical iferece... Estimatig µ with cofidece... 3 Samplig distributio of the mea... 3 Cofidece Iterval for μ whe σ is kow before had... 4 Sample

More information

Non-life insurance mathematics. Nils F. Haavardsson, University of Oslo and DNB Skadeforsikring

Non-life insurance mathematics. Nils F. Haavardsson, University of Oslo and DNB Skadeforsikring No-life isurace mathematics Nils F. Haavardsso, Uiversity of Oslo ad DNB Skadeforsikrig Mai issues so far Why does isurace work? How is risk premium defied ad why is it importat? How ca claim frequecy

More information

Asymptotic Growth of Functions

Asymptotic Growth of Functions CMPS Itroductio to Aalysis of Algorithms Fall 3 Asymptotic Growth of Fuctios We itroduce several types of asymptotic otatio which are used to compare the performace ad efficiecy of algorithms As we ll

More information

LECTURE 13: Cross-validation

LECTURE 13: Cross-validation LECTURE 3: Cross-validatio Resampli methods Cross Validatio Bootstrap Bias ad variace estimatio with the Bootstrap Three-way data partitioi Itroductio to Patter Aalysis Ricardo Gutierrez-Osua Texas A&M

More information

Analyzing Longitudinal Data from Complex Surveys Using SUDAAN

Analyzing Longitudinal Data from Complex Surveys Using SUDAAN Aalyzig Logitudial Data from Complex Surveys Usig SUDAAN Darryl Creel Statistics ad Epidemiology, RTI Iteratioal, 312 Trotter Farm Drive, Rockville, MD, 20850 Abstract SUDAAN: Software for the Statistical

More information

1. C. The formula for the confidence interval for a population mean is: x t, which was

1. C. The formula for the confidence interval for a population mean is: x t, which was s 1. C. The formula for the cofidece iterval for a populatio mea is: x t, which was based o the sample Mea. So, x is guarateed to be i the iterval you form.. D. Use the rule : p-value

More information

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT1 Financial Mathematics

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT1 Financial Mathematics Istitute of Actuaries of Idia Subject CT1 Fiacial Mathematics For 2014 Examiatios Subject CT1 Fiacial Mathematics Core Techical Aim The aim of the Fiacial Mathematics subject is to provide a groudig i

More information

Determining the sample size

Determining the sample size Determiig the sample size Oe of the most commo questios ay statisticia gets asked is How large a sample size do I eed? Researchers are ofte surprised to fid out that the aswer depeds o a umber of factors

More information

Sequences and Series

Sequences and Series CHAPTER 9 Sequeces ad Series 9.. Covergece: Defiitio ad Examples Sequeces The purpose of this chapter is to itroduce a particular way of geeratig algorithms for fidig the values of fuctios defied by their

More information

Incremental calculation of weighted mean and variance

Incremental calculation of weighted mean and variance Icremetal calculatio of weighted mea ad variace Toy Fich faf@cam.ac.uk dot@dotat.at Uiversity of Cambridge Computig Service February 009 Abstract I these otes I eplai how to derive formulae for umerically

More information

On the Capacity of Hybrid Wireless Networks

On the Capacity of Hybrid Wireless Networks O the Capacity of Hybrid ireless Networks Beyua Liu,ZheLiu +,DoTowsley Departmet of Computer Sciece Uiversity of Massachusetts Amherst, MA 0002 + IBM T.J. atso Research Ceter P.O. Box 704 Yorktow Heights,

More information

Overview. Learning Objectives. Point Estimate. Estimation. Estimating the Value of a Parameter Using Confidence Intervals

Overview. Learning Objectives. Point Estimate. Estimation. Estimating the Value of a Parameter Using Confidence Intervals Overview Estimatig the Value of a Parameter Usig Cofidece Itervals We apply the results about the sample mea the problem of estimatio Estimatio is the process of usig sample data estimate the value of

More information

Subject CT5 Contingencies Core Technical Syllabus

Subject CT5 Contingencies Core Technical Syllabus Subject CT5 Cotigecies Core Techical Syllabus for the 2015 exams 1 Jue 2014 Aim The aim of the Cotigecies subject is to provide a groudig i the mathematical techiques which ca be used to model ad value

More information

Confidence Intervals for One Mean

Confidence Intervals for One Mean Chapter 420 Cofidece Itervals for Oe Mea Itroductio This routie calculates the sample size ecessary to achieve a specified distace from the mea to the cofidece limit(s) at a stated cofidece level for a

More information

*The most important feature of MRP as compared with ordinary inventory control analysis is its time phasing feature.

*The most important feature of MRP as compared with ordinary inventory control analysis is its time phasing feature. Itegrated Productio ad Ivetory Cotrol System MRP ad MRP II Framework of Maufacturig System Ivetory cotrol, productio schedulig, capacity plaig ad fiacial ad busiess decisios i a productio system are iterrelated.

More information

Infinite Sequences and Series

Infinite Sequences and Series CHAPTER 4 Ifiite Sequeces ad Series 4.1. Sequeces A sequece is a ifiite ordered list of umbers, for example the sequece of odd positive itegers: 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29...

More information

INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE COUNCIL (IPC)

INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE COUNCIL (IPC) INVESTMENT PEFOMANCE COUNCIL (IPC) INVITATION TO COMMENT: Global Ivestmet Performace Stadards (GIPS ) Guidace Statemet o Calculatio Methodology The Associatio for Ivestmet Maagemet ad esearch (AIM) seeks

More information

CHAPTER 3 THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY

CHAPTER 3 THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY CHAPTER 3 THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY OVERVIEW A dollar i the had today is worth more tha a dollar to be received i the future because, if you had it ow, you could ivest that dollar ad ear iterest. Of all

More information

Tradigms of Astundithi and Toyota

Tradigms of Astundithi and Toyota Tradig the radomess - Desigig a optimal tradig strategy uder a drifted radom walk price model Yuao Wu Math 20 Project Paper Professor Zachary Hamaker Abstract: I this paper the author iteds to explore

More information

Capacity of Wireless Networks with Heterogeneous Traffic

Capacity of Wireless Networks with Heterogeneous Traffic Capacity of Wireless Networks with Heterogeeous Traffic Migyue Ji, Zheg Wag, Hamid R. Sadjadpour, J.J. Garcia-Lua-Aceves Departmet of Electrical Egieerig ad Computer Egieerig Uiversity of Califoria, Sata

More information

.04. This means $1000 is multiplied by 1.02 five times, once for each of the remaining sixmonth

.04. This means $1000 is multiplied by 1.02 five times, once for each of the remaining sixmonth Questio 1: What is a ordiary auity? Let s look at a ordiary auity that is certai ad simple. By this, we mea a auity over a fixed term whose paymet period matches the iterest coversio period. Additioally,

More information

SECTION 1.5 : SUMMATION NOTATION + WORK WITH SEQUENCES

SECTION 1.5 : SUMMATION NOTATION + WORK WITH SEQUENCES SECTION 1.5 : SUMMATION NOTATION + WORK WITH SEQUENCES Read Sectio 1.5 (pages 5 9) Overview I Sectio 1.5 we lear to work with summatio otatio ad formulas. We will also itroduce a brief overview of sequeces,

More information

COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S 2 CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS

COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S 2 CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS COMPARISON OF THE EFFICIENCY OF S-CONTROL CHART AND EWMA-S CONTROL CHART FOR THE CHANGES IN A PROCESS Supraee Lisawadi Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Sciece ad Techoology, Thammasat

More information

Data Analysis and Statistical Behaviors of Stock Market Fluctuations

Data Analysis and Statistical Behaviors of Stock Market Fluctuations 44 JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS, VOL. 3, NO. 0, OCTOBER 2008 Data Aalysis ad Statistical Behaviors of Stock Market Fluctuatios Ju Wag Departmet of Mathematics, Beijig Jiaotog Uiversity, Beijig 00044, Chia Email:

More information

Theorems About Power Series

Theorems About Power Series Physics 6A Witer 20 Theorems About Power Series Cosider a power series, f(x) = a x, () where the a are real coefficiets ad x is a real variable. There exists a real o-egative umber R, called the radius

More information

A probabilistic proof of a binomial identity

A probabilistic proof of a binomial identity A probabilistic proof of a biomial idetity Joatho Peterso Abstract We give a elemetary probabilistic proof of a biomial idetity. The proof is obtaied by computig the probability of a certai evet i two

More information

CHAPTER 7: Central Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Means)

CHAPTER 7: Central Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Means) CHAPTER 7: Cetral Limit Theorem: CLT for Averages (Meas) X = the umber obtaied whe rollig oe six sided die oce. If we roll a six sided die oce, the mea of the probability distributio is X P(X = x) Simulatio:

More information

CS103A Handout 23 Winter 2002 February 22, 2002 Solving Recurrence Relations

CS103A Handout 23 Winter 2002 February 22, 2002 Solving Recurrence Relations CS3A Hadout 3 Witer 00 February, 00 Solvig Recurrece Relatios Itroductio A wide variety of recurrece problems occur i models. Some of these recurrece relatios ca be solved usig iteratio or some other ad

More information

1 Correlation and Regression Analysis

1 Correlation and Regression Analysis 1 Correlatio ad Regressio Aalysis I this sectio we will be ivestigatig the relatioship betwee two cotiuous variable, such as height ad weight, the cocetratio of a ijected drug ad heart rate, or the cosumptio

More information

The Stable Marriage Problem

The Stable Marriage Problem The Stable Marriage Problem William Hut Lae Departmet of Computer Sciece ad Electrical Egieerig, West Virgiia Uiversity, Morgatow, WV William.Hut@mail.wvu.edu 1 Itroductio Imagie you are a matchmaker,

More information

Universal coding for classes of sources

Universal coding for classes of sources Coexios module: m46228 Uiversal codig for classes of sources Dever Greee This work is produced by The Coexios Project ad licesed uder the Creative Commos Attributio Licese We have discussed several parametric

More information

Systems Design Project: Indoor Location of Wireless Devices

Systems Design Project: Indoor Location of Wireless Devices Systems Desig Project: Idoor Locatio of Wireless Devices Prepared By: Bria Murphy Seior Systems Sciece ad Egieerig Washigto Uiversity i St. Louis Phoe: (805) 698-5295 Email: bcm1@cec.wustl.edu Supervised

More information

PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS

PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS UNIVERSITY OF CALICUT SCHOOL OF DISTANCE EDUCATION B Sc. Cousellig Psychology (0 Adm.) IV SEMESTER COMPLEMENTARY COURSE PSYCHOLOGICAL STATISTICS QUESTION BANK. Iferetial statistics is the brach of statistics

More information

UC Berkeley Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. EE 126: Probablity and Random Processes. Solutions 9 Spring 2006

UC Berkeley Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. EE 126: Probablity and Random Processes. Solutions 9 Spring 2006 Exam format UC Bereley Departmet of Electrical Egieerig ad Computer Sciece EE 6: Probablity ad Radom Processes Solutios 9 Sprig 006 The secod midterm will be held o Wedesday May 7; CHECK the fial exam

More information

Multi-server Optimal Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Anup Basu, Irene Cheng and Yinzhe Yu

Multi-server Optimal Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Anup Basu, Irene Cheng and Yinzhe Yu Multi-server Optimal Badwidth Moitorig for QoS based Multimedia Delivery Aup Basu, Iree Cheg ad Yizhe Yu Departmet of Computig Sciece U. of Alberta Architecture Applicatio Layer Request receptio -coectio

More information

Measures of Spread and Boxplots Discrete Math, Section 9.4

Measures of Spread and Boxplots Discrete Math, Section 9.4 Measures of Spread ad Boxplots Discrete Math, Sectio 9.4 We start with a example: Example 1: Comparig Mea ad Media Compute the mea ad media of each data set: S 1 = {4, 6, 8, 10, 1, 14, 16} S = {4, 7, 9,

More information

Department of Computer Science, University of Otago

Department of Computer Science, University of Otago Departmet of Computer Sciece, Uiversity of Otago Techical Report OUCS-2006-09 Permutatios Cotaiig May Patters Authors: M.H. Albert Departmet of Computer Sciece, Uiversity of Otago Micah Colema, Rya Fly

More information

Estimating Probability Distributions by Observing Betting Practices

Estimating Probability Distributions by Observing Betting Practices 5th Iteratioal Symposium o Imprecise Probability: Theories ad Applicatios, Prague, Czech Republic, 007 Estimatig Probability Distributios by Observig Bettig Practices Dr C Lych Natioal Uiversity of Irelad,

More information

Annuities Under Random Rates of Interest II By Abraham Zaks. Technion I.I.T. Haifa ISRAEL and Haifa University Haifa ISRAEL.

Annuities Under Random Rates of Interest II By Abraham Zaks. Technion I.I.T. Haifa ISRAEL and Haifa University Haifa ISRAEL. Auities Uder Radom Rates of Iterest II By Abraham Zas Techio I.I.T. Haifa ISRAEL ad Haifa Uiversity Haifa ISRAEL Departmet of Mathematics, Techio - Israel Istitute of Techology, 3000, Haifa, Israel I memory

More information

5 Boolean Decision Trees (February 11)

5 Boolean Decision Trees (February 11) 5 Boolea Decisio Trees (February 11) 5.1 Graph Coectivity Suppose we are give a udirected graph G, represeted as a boolea adjacecy matrix = (a ij ), where a ij = 1 if ad oly if vertices i ad j are coected

More information

1 The Gaussian channel

1 The Gaussian channel ECE 77 Lecture 0 The Gaussia chael Objective: I this lecture we will lear about commuicatio over a chael of practical iterest, i which the trasmitted sigal is subjected to additive white Gaussia oise.

More information

where: T = number of years of cash flow in investment's life n = the year in which the cash flow X n i = IRR = the internal rate of return

where: T = number of years of cash flow in investment's life n = the year in which the cash flow X n i = IRR = the internal rate of return EVALUATING ALTERNATIVE CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROGRAMS By Ke D. Duft, Extesio Ecoomist I the March 98 issue of this publicatio we reviewed the procedure by which a capital ivestmet project was assessed. The

More information

MARTINGALES AND A BASIC APPLICATION

MARTINGALES AND A BASIC APPLICATION MARTINGALES AND A BASIC APPLICATION TURNER SMITH Abstract. This paper will develop the measure-theoretic approach to probability i order to preset the defiitio of martigales. From there we will apply this

More information

Taking DCOP to the Real World: Efficient Complete Solutions for Distributed Multi-Event Scheduling

Taking DCOP to the Real World: Efficient Complete Solutions for Distributed Multi-Event Scheduling Taig DCOP to the Real World: Efficiet Complete Solutios for Distributed Multi-Evet Schedulig Rajiv T. Maheswara, Milid Tambe, Emma Bowrig, Joatha P. Pearce, ad Pradeep araatham Uiversity of Souther Califoria

More information

The analysis of the Cournot oligopoly model considering the subjective motive in the strategy selection

The analysis of the Cournot oligopoly model considering the subjective motive in the strategy selection The aalysis of the Courot oligopoly model cosiderig the subjective motive i the strategy selectio Shigehito Furuyama Teruhisa Nakai Departmet of Systems Maagemet Egieerig Faculty of Egieerig Kasai Uiversity

More information

Week 3 Conditional probabilities, Bayes formula, WEEK 3 page 1 Expected value of a random variable

Week 3 Conditional probabilities, Bayes formula, WEEK 3 page 1 Expected value of a random variable Week 3 Coditioal probabilities, Bayes formula, WEEK 3 page 1 Expected value of a radom variable We recall our discussio of 5 card poker hads. Example 13 : a) What is the probability of evet A that a 5

More information

INFINITE SERIES KEITH CONRAD

INFINITE SERIES KEITH CONRAD INFINITE SERIES KEITH CONRAD. Itroductio The two basic cocepts of calculus, differetiatio ad itegratio, are defied i terms of limits (Newto quotiets ad Riema sums). I additio to these is a third fudametal

More information

Maximum Likelihood Estimators.

Maximum Likelihood Estimators. Lecture 2 Maximum Likelihood Estimators. Matlab example. As a motivatio, let us look at oe Matlab example. Let us geerate a radom sample of size 00 from beta distributio Beta(5, 2). We will lear the defiitio

More information

Class Meeting # 16: The Fourier Transform on R n

Class Meeting # 16: The Fourier Transform on R n MATH 18.152 COUSE NOTES - CLASS MEETING # 16 18.152 Itroductio to PDEs, Fall 2011 Professor: Jared Speck Class Meetig # 16: The Fourier Trasform o 1. Itroductio to the Fourier Trasform Earlier i the course,

More information

Statistical inference: example 1. Inferential Statistics

Statistical inference: example 1. Inferential Statistics Statistical iferece: example 1 Iferetial Statistics POPULATION SAMPLE A clothig store chai regularly buys from a supplier large quatities of a certai piece of clothig. Each item ca be classified either

More information

Chapter 7: Confidence Interval and Sample Size

Chapter 7: Confidence Interval and Sample Size Chapter 7: Cofidece Iterval ad Sample Size Learig Objectives Upo successful completio of Chapter 7, you will be able to: Fid the cofidece iterval for the mea, proportio, ad variace. Determie the miimum

More information

Convention Paper 6764

Convention Paper 6764 Audio Egieerig Society Covetio Paper 6764 Preseted at the 10th Covetio 006 May 0 3 Paris, Frace This covetio paper has bee reproduced from the author's advace mauscript, without editig, correctios, or

More information

Chair for Network Architectures and Services Institute of Informatics TU München Prof. Carle. Network Security. Chapter 2 Basics

Chair for Network Architectures and Services Institute of Informatics TU München Prof. Carle. Network Security. Chapter 2 Basics Chair for Network Architectures ad Services Istitute of Iformatics TU Müche Prof. Carle Network Security Chapter 2 Basics 2.4 Radom Number Geeratio for Cryptographic Protocols Motivatio It is crucial to

More information

A Faster Clause-Shortening Algorithm for SAT with No Restriction on Clause Length

A Faster Clause-Shortening Algorithm for SAT with No Restriction on Clause Length Joural o Satisfiability, Boolea Modelig ad Computatio 1 2005) 49-60 A Faster Clause-Shorteig Algorithm for SAT with No Restrictio o Clause Legth Evgey Datsi Alexader Wolpert Departmet of Computer Sciece

More information

Research Article Sign Data Derivative Recovery

Research Article Sign Data Derivative Recovery Iteratioal Scholarly Research Network ISRN Applied Mathematics Volume 0, Article ID 63070, 7 pages doi:0.540/0/63070 Research Article Sig Data Derivative Recovery L. M. Housto, G. A. Glass, ad A. D. Dymikov

More information

The following example will help us understand The Sampling Distribution of the Mean. C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 50 miles 84 miles 38 miles 120 miles 48 miles

The following example will help us understand The Sampling Distribution of the Mean. C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 50 miles 84 miles 38 miles 120 miles 48 miles The followig eample will help us uderstad The Samplig Distributio of the Mea Review: The populatio is the etire collectio of all idividuals or objects of iterest The sample is the portio of the populatio

More information

3 Basic Definitions of Probability Theory

3 Basic Definitions of Probability Theory 3 Basic Defiitios of Probability Theory 3defprob.tex: Feb 10, 2003 Classical probability Frequecy probability axiomatic probability Historical developemet: Classical Frequecy Axiomatic The Axiomatic defiitio

More information

FOUNDATIONS OF MATHEMATICS AND PRE-CALCULUS GRADE 10

FOUNDATIONS OF MATHEMATICS AND PRE-CALCULUS GRADE 10 FOUNDATIONS OF MATHEMATICS AND PRE-CALCULUS GRADE 10 [C] Commuicatio Measuremet A1. Solve problems that ivolve liear measuremet, usig: SI ad imperial uits of measure estimatio strategies measuremet strategies.

More information

Quadrat Sampling in Population Ecology

Quadrat Sampling in Population Ecology Quadrat Samplig i Populatio Ecology Backgroud Estimatig the abudace of orgaisms. Ecology is ofte referred to as the "study of distributio ad abudace". This beig true, we would ofte like to kow how may

More information

Basic Elements of Arithmetic Sequences and Series

Basic Elements of Arithmetic Sequences and Series MA40S PRE-CALCULUS UNIT G GEOMETRIC SEQUENCES CLASS NOTES (COMPLETED NO NEED TO COPY NOTES FROM OVERHEAD) Basic Elemets of Arithmetic Sequeces ad Series Objective: To establish basic elemets of arithmetic

More information

Example 2 Find the square root of 0. The only square root of 0 is 0 (since 0 is not positive or negative, so those choices don t exist here).

Example 2 Find the square root of 0. The only square root of 0 is 0 (since 0 is not positive or negative, so those choices don t exist here). BEGINNING ALGEBRA Roots ad Radicals (revised summer, 00 Olso) Packet to Supplemet the Curret Textbook - Part Review of Square Roots & Irratioals (This portio ca be ay time before Part ad should mostly

More information

Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about. µ when the population standard deviation is unknown

Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about. µ when the population standard deviation is unknown Z-TEST / Z-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about µ whe the populatio stadard deviatio is kow ad populatio distributio is ormal or sample size is large T-TEST / T-STATISTIC: used to test hypotheses about

More information

Confidence Intervals. CI for a population mean (σ is known and n > 30 or the variable is normally distributed in the.

Confidence Intervals. CI for a population mean (σ is known and n > 30 or the variable is normally distributed in the. Cofidece Itervals A cofidece iterval is a iterval whose purpose is to estimate a parameter (a umber that could, i theory, be calculated from the populatio, if measuremets were available for the whole populatio).

More information

Lesson 17 Pearson s Correlation Coefficient

Lesson 17 Pearson s Correlation Coefficient Outlie Measures of Relatioships Pearso s Correlatio Coefficiet (r) -types of data -scatter plots -measure of directio -measure of stregth Computatio -covariatio of X ad Y -uique variatio i X ad Y -measurig

More information

Inference on Proportion. Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses. Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion. Confidence Interval

Inference on Proportion. Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses. Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion. Confidence Interval Chapter 8 Tests of Statistical Hypotheses 8. Tests about Proportios HT - Iferece o Proportio Parameter: Populatio Proportio p (or π) (Percetage of people has o health isurace) x Statistic: Sample Proportio

More information

SPC for Software Reliability: Imperfect Software Debugging Model

SPC for Software Reliability: Imperfect Software Debugging Model IJCSI Iteratioal Joural of Computer Sciece Issues, Vol. 8, Issue 3, o., May 0 ISS (Olie: 694-084 www.ijcsi.org 9 SPC for Software Reliability: Imperfect Software Debuggig Model Dr. Satya Prasad Ravi,.Supriya

More information

The Fundamental Capacity-Delay Tradeoff in Large Mobile Ad Hoc Networks

The Fundamental Capacity-Delay Tradeoff in Large Mobile Ad Hoc Networks The Fudametal Capacity-Delay Tradeoff i Large Mobile Ad Hoc Networks Xiaoju Li ad Ness B. Shroff School of Electrical ad Computer Egieerig, Purdue Uiversity West Lafayette, IN 47907, U.S.A. {lix, shroff}@ec.purdue.edu

More information

NEW HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTATIONAL METHODS FOR MORTGAGES AND ANNUITIES. Yuri Shestopaloff,

NEW HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTATIONAL METHODS FOR MORTGAGES AND ANNUITIES. Yuri Shestopaloff, NEW HIGH PERFORMNCE COMPUTTIONL METHODS FOR MORTGGES ND NNUITIES Yuri Shestopaloff, Geerally, mortgage ad auity equatios do ot have aalytical solutios for ukow iterest rate, which has to be foud usig umerical

More information

Hypergeometric Distributions

Hypergeometric Distributions 7.4 Hypergeometric Distributios Whe choosig the startig lie-up for a game, a coach obviously has to choose a differet player for each positio. Similarly, whe a uio elects delegates for a covetio or you

More information

Optimal Adaptive Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS Based Retrieval

Optimal Adaptive Bandwidth Monitoring for QoS Based Retrieval 1 Optimal Adaptive Badwidth Moitorig for QoS Based Retrieval Yizhe Yu, Iree Cheg ad Aup Basu (Seior Member) Departmet of Computig Sciece Uiversity of Alberta Edmoto, AB, T6G E8, CAADA {yizhe, aup, li}@cs.ualberta.ca

More information

PROCEEDINGS OF THE YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL FOR BONUS-MALUS SYSTEM

PROCEEDINGS OF THE YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL FOR BONUS-MALUS SYSTEM PROCEEDINGS OF THE YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY Physical ad Mathematical Scieces 2015, 1, p. 15 19 M a t h e m a t i c s AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL FOR BONUS-MALUS SYSTEM A. G. GULYAN Chair of Actuarial Mathematics

More information

TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Seminar on DVD for SOA Exam MLC

TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Seminar on DVD for SOA Exam MLC TO: Users of the ACTEX Review Semiar o DVD for SOA Eam MLC FROM: Richard L. (Dick) Lodo, FSA Dear Studets, Thak you for purchasig the DVD recordig of the ACTEX Review Semiar for SOA Eam M, Life Cotigecies

More information

Chapter 5 O A Cojecture Of Erdíos Proceedigs NCUR VIII è1994è, Vol II, pp 794í798 Jeærey F Gold Departmet of Mathematics, Departmet of Physics Uiversity of Utah Do H Tucker Departmet of Mathematics Uiversity

More information

Present Value Tax Expenditure Estimate of Tax Assistance for Retirement Saving

Present Value Tax Expenditure Estimate of Tax Assistance for Retirement Saving Preset Value Tax Expediture Estimate of Tax Assistace for Retiremet Savig Tax Policy Brach Departmet of Fiace Jue 30, 1998 2 Preset Value Tax Expediture Estimate of Tax Assistace for Retiremet Savig This

More information

Automatic Tuning for FOREX Trading System Using Fuzzy Time Series

Automatic Tuning for FOREX Trading System Using Fuzzy Time Series utomatic Tuig for FOREX Tradig System Usig Fuzzy Time Series Kraimo Maeesilp ad Pitihate Soorasa bstract Efficiecy of the automatic currecy tradig system is time depedet due to usig fixed parameters which

More information

Designing Incentives for Online Question and Answer Forums

Designing Incentives for Online Question and Answer Forums Desigig Icetives for Olie Questio ad Aswer Forums Shaili Jai School of Egieerig ad Applied Scieces Harvard Uiversity Cambridge, MA 0238 USA shailij@eecs.harvard.edu Yilig Che School of Egieerig ad Applied

More information

MTO-MTS Production Systems in Supply Chains

MTO-MTS Production Systems in Supply Chains NSF GRANT #0092854 NSF PROGRAM NAME: MES/OR MTO-MTS Productio Systems i Supply Chais Philip M. Kamisky Uiversity of Califoria, Berkeley Our Kaya Uiversity of Califoria, Berkeley Abstract: Icreasig cost

More information

THE HEIGHT OF q-binary SEARCH TREES

THE HEIGHT OF q-binary SEARCH TREES THE HEIGHT OF q-binary SEARCH TREES MICHAEL DRMOTA AND HELMUT PRODINGER Abstract. q biary search trees are obtaied from words, equipped with the geometric distributio istead of permutatios. The average

More information

Here are a couple of warnings to my students who may be here to get a copy of what happened on a day that you missed.

Here are a couple of warnings to my students who may be here to get a copy of what happened on a day that you missed. This documet was writte ad copyrighted by Paul Dawkis. Use of this documet ad its olie versio is govered by the Terms ad Coditios of Use located at http://tutorial.math.lamar.edu/terms.asp. The olie versio

More information