Turkish Petroleum Law ) Member companies mainly have activities in 2 sectors: Exploration & Production Sector Natural Gas Market
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1 Latest Developments in Turkish Natural Gas Market and Their Impacts on Transit Pipeline Projects June 20, 2012 Istanbul Altan Kolbay Secretary General Gas to Power Turkey
2 About PETFORM Established in 2000, PETFORM has played a crucial role in the transfer of private sector views to the public authorities regarding to Turkish energy legislation amendments (Natural Gas Market Law, Petroleum Market Law, Turkish Petroleum Law ) Member companies mainly have activities in 2 sectors: Exploration & Production Sector Natural Gas Market
3 PETFORM Member 50 Energy Companies AKENERJİ AKSA DOĞALGAZ ALADDIN MIDDLE EAST ANATOLIA ENERGY ANGORAGAZ ATTİLA DOĞAN İNŞAAT AVRASYA GAZ AYGAZ DOĞAL GAZ BM HOLDİNG BOSPHORUSGAZ BP ÇALIK ENERJİ DEMİRÖREN EGL DOĞAL ENERJİ EDISON EGE GAZ ENEL ENERCO ENERJİ ENERJİSA ENI E.ON TURKEY ENERJİ ERDGAZ EWE ENERJİ EXXONMOBIL GDF SUEZ GENEL ENERGY GÜNEY YILDIZI PETROL HATTUŞA ENERJİ HONEYWELL IBS RESEARCH MARSA ENERGY MEDGAZ NATURGAZ N.V.TURKSE PERENCO OMV PALMET ENERJİ POZİTİF DOĞALGAZ SHELL ENERJİ SOCAR TURKEY ENERJİ STATOIL TEKFEN İNŞAAT TEMI THRACE BASIN TIWAY TURKEY TOTAL TURCAS VALEURA ENERGY VALVITALIA ZMB GAZ DEPO ZORLU ENERJİ
4 PETFORM Members in Turkish Economy (2011) Total Turnover : 63.7 billion TL (~ 35.2 billion USD = 5% of GDP) Total Tax : 4.3 billion TL (~ 2.4 billion USD) Total Employment : 31,500
5 GDP vs. Power Demand Growth ( ) Source: Energy Market Regulatory Authority
6 Energy Density vs. Energy Consumption Per Capita (2010) Source: Turkey Energy Efficiency Report (2010)
7 Change in Energy Balance ( ) Change Total Energy Demand (million toe) % Total Domestic Production (million toe) % Total Energy Imports (million toe) % Coverage of Domestic Production to Total Consumption 48% 29% - 40% Source: Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources
8 Energy Consumption by Source ( ) Source: Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources
9 Share of Energy in Turkey s Total Imports (billion USD) Crude Oil & Petroleum Products Natural Gas Coal Total Energy Imports Turkey s Total Imports Share of Oil & Gas in Turkey s Total Imports 18.8% 18.7% 20.5% Source: Ministry of Economy
10 Development Process of Turkish Natural Gas Market USSR Turkey Contract ( ) Contract (6 bcm) Contract (Turusgaz) Russia - Turkey ( & Blue Stream) Contract 3 February 1998 LNG Supply from Algeria (1998) Natural Gas Market Law ( ) Gas Supply from Iran (2002) Blue Stream Project (December 2002) Preparation Process Market Development Based on Russian Gas Increase in Gas Supply Sources First Steps in Liberalization Process Market Development in Liberalization Process
11 Gas Purchase Agreements Contract Date of Signature Date of Operation Duration (Years) Volume (Plateau bcma) Date of Expiration Russia (West) Feb 1986 Jun Algeria (LNG) Apr 1988 Aug Nigeria (LNG) Nov 1995 Nov Iran Aug 1996 Dec Russia (B.Stream) Dec 1997 Feb Russia (West) Feb 1998 Mar Azerbaijan Mar 2001 Jul Source: Energy Market Regulatory Authority
12 Gas Imports by Source Country ( ) (bcm) Share in Total (2011) Russia % Iran % Azerbaijan % Algeria (LNG) % Nigeria (LNG) % Spot LNG % Total Source: Energy Market Regulatory Authority
13 BOTAŞ vs. Private Importers LNG vs. Pipe Gas Source: Energy Market Regulatory Authority
14 Gas Supply Demand Balance ( ) Source: : IEA Turkey 2009 Review
15 PETFORM s Suggestions for a Competitive Gas Market 1. Cost-Based Pricing Mechanism 2. No restrictions for private sector s imports 3. Legal unbundling of BOTAŞ 4. Clear Roadmap for Gas Release 5. Legal and Commercial Ground for Gas Hub
16 Gas Pipelines via Turkey Source: BOTAŞ
17 Main Principles for Transit Regulations 1. Long term gas cooperation Sustainable gas production Further gas potential in the region Commercial arrangements to underpin gas supply to other markets 2. Non discrimination Provisions of access to third parties and capacity allocation in the transportation system Provision of well defined rules and procedures about non discrimination on transit tariffs and transit operations Provision of specific responsibilities to the regulatory body to ensure non discrimination
18 Main Principles for Transit Regulations 3. Transparency Posting and publishing transit tariffs and the related methodology of calculation Preparing and putting in place well defined procedures for accessing the existing or future transit capacity either through regulated or negotiated access (such as open season procedures) Providing specific roles and responsibilities of a regulatory body 4. Cost reflective and objective tariff mechanism Allowed revenue requirement for the Transit System Operator (TSO) shall include depreciation of the investments (new and existing assets), reasonable and fair return on the asset value, annual operating costs All the relevant costs (depreciation of the investment + operational costs + reasonable revenue) should be shared evenly across all shippers in the system
19 THANK YOU...
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