How To Understand The History Of The Open Source Community

Transcription

1 O Estado do Mercado Open Source Encontro Nacional sobre Tecnologia Aberta 30 de Setembro Lispólis, Pólo Tecnológico de Lisboa Gabriel Coimbra Integrated Marketing Products Director, IDC Iberia Research / Consulting / Events / Go-to-Market Services gcoimbra@idc.com Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.

2 Agenda Níveis de utilização do OSS Serviços para OSS Intenções de investimento Tendências específicas do Linux IDC

3 Quais os níveis de utilização do OSS? IDC

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7 Top OSS Projects by Organization Type (% of Project Mentions ) IDC

8 Top OSS Projects by Organization Size (% of Project Mentions ) IDC

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11 Como são os projectos OSS suportados? IDC

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15 Quais a perspectivas de evolução? IDC

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18 Quais as tendências específicas do Linux? IDC

19 Worldwide Shipments and Subscriptions Looking at the industry holistically 12,000 Windows 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Unix Other Host/Server OS/400 NetWare Mainframe Linux Combined Shipments and Subscriptions and Nonpaid Deployments (000) IDC Source: IDC,

20 Linux Server OS vs. Unix Server OS Worldwide Shipments/Subscriptions/Deployments Observations: Unix growth has been stagnant or declining since peaking in 2000 Linux growth has ramped up and continues to grow far beyond what Unix ever was Subscriptions/Deployments (000) 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Unix Linux IDC Source: IDC,

21 Linux Server OS vs. Unix Server OS Worldwide Installed Base Observations: Life expectancy of Linux has increased over the past 5 years Unix has been negatively impacted by Windows as well Subscriptions/Deployments (000) 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Unix Linux IDC Source: IDC,

22 Qual a dimensão do ecossitema Linux? IDC

23 Evolution of Linux Servers by Workload Worldwide Linux Server Shipments, (% of shipment total) Business Processing: 3% to 11% of total Decision Support: 6.3% to 10.8% of total Web/infrastructure stays at 50% of total Nonpaid likely impacts some segments 100% 80% 60% Other Industrial R&D Web Infrastructure IT Infrastructure Collaborative 40% 20% Application Development Decision Support Business Processing 0% IDC Source: IDC Server Workloads Study,

24 The Linux & Open Source Ecosystem Worldwide revenues for hardware, packaged software and services aboard Linux Revenue ($M) 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, What s missing from this picture? Open source software used on Unix & Windows (Such as JBoss on Windows, MySQL on Solaris, etc.) PC hardware-related revenue CAGRs: Software: 23.2% Hardware: 1.7% Services: 17% Linux and Open Source Services Linux Server Hardware* Application Software App Development & Deployment Software Linux Operating System System Infrastructure Software (excl. OS) *Note: Linux server hardware excludes OS revenue IDC Source: IDC, October

25 The Linux Ecosystem CAGRs Solid revenue growth for the Linux ecosystem Worldwide Software CAGRs led by: Application software: 27.4% Includes ERP, CRM, supply chain management, manufacturing applications, and engineering application software Application development & deployment software: 20.5% Includes database, middleware, dev tools, dev life-cycle products, app deployment software/application serving/transaction/middleware and data analysis software System infrastructure software: 21.3% Includes Systems mgmt, virtualization software, storage, security Linux and open source-related services CAGR: 17.6% Systems integration, software deployment and support, outsourcing, education and training and consulting Linux server hardware CAGR: 1.7% IDC Source: IDC, October

26 The Realities of Today s Market Worldwide Y-Y Software Revenue Growth by Platform 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% Y-over-Y growth dips in 2008/2009 for all platforms Linux growth dips early, but still retains the highest rate Unix software spending growth not expected to recover 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% Linux and Linux-related Software Windows and Windows-Related Software Unix and Unix-related Software Overall Market IDC Source: IDC Software Market Forecaster, April

27 Gabriel Coimbra Integrated Marketing Products Director, IDC Iberia Research / Consulting / Events / Go-to-Market Services Mobile: gcoimbra@idc.com IDC