World Hybrid & Electric Vehicles Industry Study with Forecasts for 2018 & 2023 Study #3155 June 2014 $ pages

Transcription

1 World Hybrid & Electric Vehicles Industry Study with Forecasts for 2018 & 2023 Study #3155 June 2014 $ pages Abstract: This Freedonia industry study presents historical demand data for 2003, 2008 and 2013, and forecasts for 2018 and 2023 by type (micro/mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, fuel cell electric), market segment (light vehicles, medium and heavy trucks and buses), world region, and for 18 countries. The study also considers market environment factors, reviews technology, details industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 48 industry players, including Toyota, Honda and BMW. World hybrid and electric vehicle (H/EV) sales will more than double through 2018, reaching 25.6 million units and accounting for nearly one-quarter of all new motor vehicles sold. Market advances will be led by micro and mild hybrids. Micro hybrids are conventional vehicles equipped with startstop systems. Mild hybrids feature regenerative braking in addition to start-stop systems, and some of these also come equipped with a small electric motor that helps start the vehicle but cannot propel it without the aid of an internal combustion engine. These systems deliver considerable fuel savings relative to their low additional cost and can reduce overall vehicle emissions. In 2018, the micro and mild hybrid demand total will be 20.1 million units, full and plug-in hybrid sales will be 4.1 million units, and electric vehicle (EV) demand will be nearly one million units. EVs will post the most rapid market gains of any product type, albeit from a very small current sales base. Western Europe was the first region of the world to adopt micro/mild hybrid vehicles on a mass scale. As a result, Western Europe is and will remain by far the largest regional market for micro and mild hybrids and for H/EVs overall, representing 44 percent of total demand in However, micro/mild hybrid sales are projected to grow faster in other parts of the world, particularly in North America and the Asia/Pacific region. The Asia/Pacific region, excluding Japan, will represent the fastest growing market for H/EVs through Within the region, China will represent the most substantive sales increases in both unit and percentage terms, fuelled by an increasing number of micro/mild hybrids offered for sale in the country and by further narrowing of the price premium over conventional vehicles. In addition, European, Japanese, and US automakers will continue to open and expand existing plants in China and partner with domestic firms to take advantage of government subsidies for vehicles purchased from locally based suppliers. The US will remain the world s largest EV market, accounting for over one-fifth of the global demand total in 2018.

2 Table of contents: INTRODUCTION I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4 General 4 World Economic Overview 5 Recent Historical Trends 5 World Economic Outlook 6 World Population Overview 10 Per Capita GDP Trends 12 World Motor Vehicle Overview 14 Motor Vehicle Production 15 Motor Vehicle Demand 18 Motor Vehicles in Use 20 Environmental & Regulatory Factors 22 Emissions Regulations 23 Rebates & Incentives 25 Pricing Trends 27 III. TECHNOLOGY 29 General 29 Hybrid & Electric Powerplants 30 Micro/Mild Hybrid 32 Full Hybrid 33 Plug-In Hybrid 34 Battery Electric 34 Fuel Cell 35 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Commercialization Issues 36 Safety Concerns 36 Battery Life 36 Electric Vehicle Range 38 Fueling Infrastructure Readiness 38 Energy Storage Technologies 39 Well-to-Wheels Efficiency & Pollution Comparisons 41 Regulatory Compliance 42 Technology Penetration 44 IV. WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND 45 General 45 Regional Overview 46 Demand 46 Vehicles in Use 49 Production 51 Micro/Mild Hybrid Vehicle Production 54 Full/Plug-In Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Production 55 International Trade 56 Demand by Type 58 Hybrid 61 Micro/Mild Hybrid 62

3 Full Hybrid 65 Plug-In Hybrid 68 Electric 70 Battery 72 Fuel Cell 73 Demand by Segment 75 Light Vehicles 75 Medium & Heavy Trucks & Buses 78 V. NORTH AMERICA 80 General 80 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 81 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Market Outlook 85 United States 87 Canada 94 Mexico 100 VI. WESTERN EUROPE 107 General 107 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 109 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Market Outlook 112 Germany 115 United Kingdom 121 France 127 Italy 133 Spain 139 Netherlands 145 Belgium 151 Austria 157 Sweden 163 Other Western Europe 169 VII. ASIA/PACIFIC 176 General 176 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand 178 Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Market Outlook 181 Japan 184 China 191 India 197 South Korea 204 Other Asia/Pacific 210 VIII. OTHER REGIONS 217 Central & South America 217 Eastern Europe 224 Russia 231 Poland 237 Other Eastern Europe 243 Africa/Mideast 249 IX. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 257

4 General 257 Industry Composition 258 Market Share 261 Micro/Mild Hybrid Vehicles 262 Full/Plug-In Hybrid Vehicles 263 Electric Vehicles 264 Research & Product Development 266 Manufacturing 267 OEM & Supplier Competitive Strategies 268 Marketing & Distribution 269 Cooperative Agreements 271 Financial Issues & Requirements 280 Mergers, Acquisitions, & Industry Restructuring 281 Company Profiles 283 Alcoa Incorporated 284 Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Company Limited 285 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG 286 Blue Energy, see GS Yuasa and Honda Motor BMW Brilliance Automotive, see Bayerische Motoren Werke Bosch (Robert) GmbH 290 BYD Company Limited 295 Chery Automobile Company Limited 298 Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited 299 Continental AG 301 Daimler AG 304 Delphi Automotive plc 311 DENSO Corporation 314 Deutsche ACCUmotive, see Daimler Eaton Corporation plc 316 Exide Technologies 318 Fiat SpA 320 Ford Motor Company 322 Freescale Semiconductor Incorporated 325 Freightliner Custom Chassis, see Daimler Fuji Electric Company Limited 326 General Motors Company 328 Gillig LLC 331 GS Yuasa Corporation 332 Halla Visteon Climate Control, see Visteon Hitachi Limited 334 Honda Motor Company Limited 336 Hyundai Motor Company 341 JAC Motors, see Anhui Jianghuai Automobile JATCO, see Mitsubishi Motors and Nissan Motor Johnson Controls Incorporated 345 Keihin Corporation 347 Kia Motors, see Hyundai Motor LG Chem Limited 349 Linamar Corporation 351 Lithium Energy and Power, see Bosch (Robert) and GS Yuasa Lithium Energy Japan, see GS Yuasa and Mitsubishi Motors

5 Order information: Price: Mazda Motor Corporation 353 Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus, see Daimler Mitsubishi Motors Corporation 355 New Flyer Industries Incorporated 359 Nissan Motor Company Limited 361 NMKV, see Mitsubishi Motors and Nissan Motor NuCellSys, see Daimler Panasonic Corporation 368 Peugeot SA 370 Renault SA 373 Saft Groupe SA 378 SAIC Motor Corporation Limited 380 Samsung SDI Company Limited 381 SB LiMotive, see Samsung SDI Shenzhen BYD Daimler New Technology, see BYD and Daimler Suzuki Motor Corporation 383 TE Connectivity Limited 385 Tesla Motors Incorporated 386 Toshiba Corporation 389 Toyota Motor Corporation 391 Valeo SA 398 Visteon Corporation 402 Volkswagen AG 404 Volvo Car Group 410 ZF Friedrichshafen AG 412 Zytek Group Limited 415 Other Companies Mentioned in the Study Individual license: $ Corporate license: $ Possibility to purchase by section Link: