Electric cars and the Sustainable Future

Transcription

1 Electric cars and the Sustainable Future

2 The coincidence of four factors put tremendous pressure on the auto industry 2

3 Development Electrification Electric Vehicle E - Vehicle Electric Vehicle EV optimized Platform Plug In Hybrid ICE, Electric Motor EV mit REX Full-Hybrid Electric Motor ICE with generator ICE Electric Motor Mild-Hybrid Micro-Hybrid ICE, Electric Motor ICE, Start-Stop yesterday today tomorrow 3

4 Components for Electrification Ni-Metal Battery Li-Ionen Battery Electric Power Steering Range Extender Inverter 1st Generation E-Motor E-Brake Assistant Electric Wheel Hub Start Stop Automatic yesterday today tomorrow 4

5 Experiences of customers What can customers experience with 1000 Wh? 250 m height difference B- Segment Vehicle Car today 4 km driving by car. Free time & Sport acceleration 12x to 50 km/h Vision 10 km driving by car sleeping 12 h 30 km riding bicycle 4 h watching TV Preparing 50 cups tea 14 km jogging 1/4 full bath 2 h playing golf Body weight: 70 kg 5

6 Experience Electrification What can customers experience with Electrification? Electric driving experience high middle A Emission free traffic light stop + electric acceleration up to 40 km/h + elektric driving 3-5 km + elektric driving up to 50 km driving up to 100 km low Start/Stop Automatic 50 Wh Supercap Wh Battery+ ICE Wh Battery+REX Wh Battery Size of energy storage system/ type 6

7 Drivers for sustainable Mobility Climate changes NEW LEGAL REQUIREMENTS Oil ressources, fuel price CHANCE FOR ENERGY SUPPLIER Environmental awareness Experiencing the NEW MOBILITY Green Image CHANCE FOR NEW TECHNOLOGIES Technology leadership A CHANCE for EUROPE NEW Technologies CHANCE FOR NEW PRODUCTS High purchase price NEW BUSINESS MODELS Electrification drivetrain CHANGES OF INFRASTRUCTURE new consumer behavior- new technologies- new vehicles, new laws- new infrastructure new business models the NEW as a CHANCE 7

8 Energy concept of complete vehicle Energy consumption [kwh/ 100km] city cycle incl. real life conditions optimization auxiliaris & air conditioning braking! new, high efficient thermo systems! energy recuperation drivetrain losses roll resistance aerodynamics! efficient aggregates! optimized tires! mass reduction vehicle! OEM: Aerodynam. optimized body Significant reduction of energy consumption needs common work Current energy consumption 20-25kWh/ 100km Source: R. Bosch GmbH Target energy consumption 8-15kWh/ 100km 8

9 Technical Potential Analysis Power and Energy Flow NEDC Cycle Full- Hybrid ML350 - HySUV Hybrid Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle Measures Optimized Strategy Hybrid technology enables the optimization of power flow of the entire vehicle system and supports general measures. Hybridisation Concept 9

10 What does energy efficiency cost (2013)? 60,000 EU market incl. VAT Price incl. 19% VAT EV (red curve): incl. Battery price ICEs (black curve): Honda FR-V, Opel Zafira, Citroen Berlingo Purchase price! 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 Rolling Chassis Show car MILA EV EV Platform 10, ,000 40,000 60,000 80, , , , , , ,000 Volume / year 10

11 Total Cost of Ownership Comparison to VW Polo 1.4 Mila EV Basic:! ,00 incl. 19% VAT (# ) VW Polo:! ,00 incl. 19% VAT (# ) Car life time (EV & ICEV) 7 years, km, Battery life time 7 years, not considered: residual value Mila EV EVO Basic: Fixed electricity price: 0,126 EUR/kWh (80% night, 20% day tariff) Consumption: 13,8kWh/100km Insurance + no tax, service: assumptions MS VW Polo 1.4 Fixed fuel price,: 1,2 EUR/l City consumption: 6,0 l/100km Insurance + tax, service : according Auto Test 08/

12 Energy Storage Wh are stored in Supercap Energiebatterie Energy battery Bambusssprossen Bambussprossen Bamboo Wood Holz Bread Semmelknödel Semmelknödl dumpling Rapeseed Rapsöl oil Schokolade Chocolate Gasoline Benzin Weight of energy storage kg 12

13 Batteries: Portfolio Electric Energy Storage SuperCaps: highest specific power; limited for applications due to poor energy density Li-Ion: high power and energy density; preferred technology at some point in the future Specific Power, W/kg at Cell Level DLC Pb Ni-Mh Li-Ion Future Li-Ion? NiMH: state of the art; up to 70% less energy and power density on system level Pb Technology for Micro Hybrid applications only Specific Energy, Wh/kg at Cell level 13

14 Cell Price Development Lithium Ionen Battery: Cell costs 120% Price (%) 100% 80% 60% Current costs! % Optimization of production (mass production, cell power) new materials -60% 40% -15 % cell standardization!315 material price!250-10%!200-5%! Source: Continental AG 14

15 Apple an interesting inspiration for the Automotive Industry patent aluminium housing Apple operating system standard components size difference FOCUS speed difference no difference Source: Cisco Systems 15

16 Mini uses this model currently personalization association Peugeot diesel engine product difference FOCUS association difference no difference Source: Cisco Systems 16

17 Conclusion Degree of Electrification Engine: ICE Electric auxiliary system Engine: ICE High power -> ICE low electric range of coverage Engine: electric dominant High power -> electr. machine high electric range of coverage Engine: pure electric Gasoline Diesel EU Market incl. value-added tax Purchase price! Volume per year Ni-Metal Battery Li-Ion Battery? 17

18 Many things started Still many possibilities and chances NEW LEGAL REQUIREMENTS Everyone on ist own or common? CHANCE FOR ENERGY SUPPLIER What is the role? EXPERIENCE THE NEW MOBILITY Energy efficiency a rate for premium? CHANCE FOR NEW TECHNOLOGIES Who has the potential to finance? A CHANCE FOR EUROPE How do we keep that chance? CHANCE FOR NEW PRODUCTS Who can handle the complexity? NEW BUSINESS MODELS Which one will accomplish? CHANGE OF INFRASTRUCTURE What are the new possibilities? It is not a question of IF and WHEN It is a question of HOW and WHO World is changing Let US change the world 18