Green tax reform in Denmark

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1 Green tax reform in Denmark Why and how? Green Budget Europe September 15th 2011 Martin Lidegaard Chairman of CONCITO

2

3 Who is CONCITO?

4 Who is CONCITO? University of Aalborg: Dean Frede Blaabjerg Senior Researcher Rob Marsh Senior Researcher Kirsten Engelund Thomsen Senior Researcher Lars Engberg Associate Professor Claus Lassen University of Aarhus: Professor Mikael Skou Andersen Professor Ellen Margrethe Basse Professor Peter Kemp Research Professor Jørgen E. Olesen Professor Ole Færgeman Copenhagen Business School: Professor Jens Frøslev Christensen Professor Susse Georg Associate Professor Christian Erik Kampmann GEUS: Professor Jens Christian Refsgaard University of Southern Denmark: Professor Henrik Wenzel Roskilde University: Professor Lise Drewes Nielsen Associate Professor Per Homann Jespersen Associate Professor Jacob Rendtorff Technical University of Denmark: Program Manager Kirsten Halsnæs Head of Center Bjarne W. Olesen Professor Thomas Højlund Christensen Professor Svend Svendsen Senior Researcher Henrik Gudmundsson Senior Researcher Kristian Borch Associate Professor Susanne Balslev Associate Professor Jeppe Rich University of Copenhagen: Dean Per Holten-Andersen Professor Christian Friis Bach Professor Svend Christensen Professor Thomas Højrup Professor Peter Nedergaard Professor Øjvind Lidegaard Professor John R. Porter Associate Dean Birgitte Sloth

5 Who is CONCITO? Thomas Ahlstrup, Part. for Indus. Biotec Jesper Asholt, actor Ole Boisen, actor Kim Carstensen, fmr. general secretary, WWF Henning Christophersen, fmr. deputy chairman, European Commission and fmr. foreign minister and minister for finance Jørn Jespersen, general manager, Danish Environmental Tech, fmr. MP Jørgen Henningsen, Senior Advisor, European Policy Center Per Henriksen Susanne Krawack, The Triangle Region, Tobias Lau, Social Action Martin Lidegaard, chairman, fmr. MP Torben Melchior, fmr. president of the supreme court Henrik Nordbrandt, author Fritz Schur, chairman of the board, consul Göran Wilke, Exergi

6 How does CONCITO work? Climate Outreach Business Community Politicians Consumers/Citizens

7 Why a green tax reform?

8 The challange The world faces three crises: The economic crises The climate crises The resource crises The three crises are interlinked and global

9 50% Co2 reduktion i % i 2030 Source: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis.

10 50% Co2 reduktion i % i 2030 Source: DMI

11 The Arctic Ice is Melting Extent ( )

12 The Inland Ice is Melting Mass Change ( )

13 The economic framework Price on oil Source: Energistyrelsen

14 The economic framework Price on coal Source: Energistyrelsen

15 The economic framework Price on metals Source: London Metal Exchange

16 The economic framework Source: FAO

17 The challange Three basic assumptions: The three crises are interlinked and can only be addressed properly by a common strategy for a new green economic growth The three crises are global but we have to deal with them nationally and regionally The most important tool will be a green tax reform

18 Goal of a green tax reform To develop scenarios for a tax reform which enhances an environmentally, economically and socially sustainable development By broadening the tax base and substituting taxes on human resources (labor, education & skills) by taxes on pollution and the use of natural resources And acknowledging global aspects climate change and mobile production factors

19 How a green tax reform?

20 Acknowledgement Governments should not be afraid to impose tax rates that will in fact achieve the environmental objective.. OECD: Taxation, Innovation and the Environment

21 Why comprehensive? Potential side effects: Revenue: Increased revenue. Provides opportunity to reduce distortions in the existing set-up and/or contribute to fiscal consolidation Equity: Adverse effect on equity goals. Necessitates changes in taxes and/or transfers Politics: Probably more easy But still difficult

22 Sustainable Use of Resources Environmental resources Air Water Natural resources Land Housing Oil Biodiversity Human resources Labor - in a global economy Emissions ETS Carbon footprint Mobile Capital Competitiveness Mobile Humans Migration

23 Revenue from environmental end energy-related taxes Energy Vehicles 25,6 CO2 5,8 Additional environmental taxes 34,3 (DKK billion) 3,8 SUM 69,5

24 Revenue from natural resources Property Taxes 36 (DKK billion) North Sea 24 SUM 60

25 Tax Structure Environmental Resources (Energy, CO2, vehicles-related) 70 (DKK billion) = 8 pct. Natural resources (North sea and property) 60 = 7 pct. Human Resources (Income and social contributions) 433 = 52 pct. Other taxes and duties (e.g. VAT, various duties, corporation tax) 279 = 33 pct. SUM 842 = 100 pct.

26 New Tax Structure Today New Natural Resources Environmental Resources Human Resources: 60 (DKK billion) Other duties:

27 A new CO2e based VAT - the tax of the future?

28 Another perspective: Emissions by consumption

29 Another perspective: Emissions by consumption

30 Thank you!

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