Fund Forum Lugano 25 Novembre 2013



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Transcription:

Zest Asset Management Markets Strategy & Asset Allocation by Maurizio Novelli CIO & Global Strategist Zest AM Fund Forum Lugano 25 Novembre 2013

Market Expectations & Consensus View Financial Strategy

Global Outlook Growth Expectations

Global Outlook - Monetary Stimulus & Growth Expectations

MSCI World Financial Strategy

Global Outlook Earnings Expectations Financial Strategy

US Interest Rate 10 y

Expectations & Reality Financial Strategy

Global Outlook Global Growth

Global Outlook Global Trade

Global Outlook Global Trade & Global Growth

Global Outlook Global Credit

QE, Global Monetary Stimulus and Economic Growth Financial Strategy

US Economic Growth & QE

QE Net or Gross and Net Effect

QE & Money Multipliers Liquidity Trap Risks on The Rise

QE & Money Multipliers Liquidity Trap Risks on The Rise

Debt Growth & GDP Growth Correlation

Global Growth & The Big 5 Drivers Financial Strategy

The Global Credit Cycle 2000-2007 Financial Strategy

The Global Real Estate Boom 1998-2007

The Debt Cycle 2001-2012

The China Cycle 2000-2012

The Global Mining Investments 2005-2012

Wealth Effect and Consumptions The American Case

US The Wealth Effect

US The Wealth Effect

US The Wealth Effect Financial Strategy

US The Wealth Effect

Where the global comsumptions are weak Financial Strategy

The Quest for New Drivers

The Quest for New Drivers

Long Term Implications

Global Outlook A Low Growth Environment

Global Outlook A Low Growth Environment

Global Outlook Just an Inventory Cycle

Interest Rates Outlook US 10y Real Yeld

USD Index

USD JPY

EUR USD

EM Flows & Valuations Financial Strategy

CHINA Financial Strategy

Hong Kong

EM Consumer Discretionary

EM Consumer Discretionary Index

Pharma & Biotech Global Index

The conventional view serves to protect us from the painful job of thinking John Kenneth Galbraith

Zest Asset Management Sicav 12, Rue E. Ruppert L 2453 Luxembourg Luxemburg

This document was produced by and the opinions expressed are those of Zest Asset Management Sicav as of the date of writing and are subject to change. It has been prepared solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It does not constitute an offer or an invitation by or on behalf of Zest Asset Management Sicav to any person to buy or sell any security. Any reference to past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future. The information and analysis contained in this publication have been compiled or arrived from sources believed to be reliable but Zest Asset Management Sicav does not make any representation as to their accuracy or completeness and does not accept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof. This document may not be reproduced either in whole, or in part, without the written permission of Zest Asset Management Sicav. La presente pubblicazione è stata redatta da Zest Asset Management Sicav. Le informazioni qui contenute sono state ricavate da fonti ritenute affidabili, ma non sono necessariamente complete, e l accuratezza delle stesse non può essere in alcun modo garantita. La presente pubblicazione viene a Voi fornita per meri fini di informazione ed illustrazione, ed a titolo meramente indicativo, non costituendo pertanto la stessa in alcun modo una proposta di conclusione di contratto o una sollecitazione all acquisto o alla vendita di qualsiasi strumento finanziario. Il documento può essere riprodotto in tutto o in parte solo citando il nome Zest Asset Management Sicav.