Transportation Fuels & Plug-in Electric Vehicles Utility Collaboration

Transcription

1 Transportation Fuels & Plug-in Electric Vehicles Utility Collaboration Dan Bowermaster Program Manager, Electric Transportation MGA Webinar January 20, 2015

2 Contents State of the Plug-in Electric Vehicle Industry What Is Around the Corner Utility Actions Closing Thoughts 2

3 Cumulative PEV Sales In USA Exceed 290k 119k Sold in 2014 (Versus 97k in 2013) 300, , , , , , , , ,000 75,000 50,000 25,000-3 Total Sales Oct-14 Dec-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Feb-12 Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Dec-12 Feb-13 Apr-13 Jun-13 Aug-13 Oct-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Nissan GM Tesla Toyota Ford Other PHEV/EREV BEV

4 Regulatory Push California has Mandated 1.5M ZEVs by 2025 (3.3M including seven other states) We Are Here Plug-In Electric Vehicles Fuel Cell Vehicles 4

5 Auto Industry Investing $ Billions In New PEVs 6 PEVs Arrived In 2014 and More On The Way Make Model Type Body Style Battery (kwh) AER (miles) Launch BMW i3 BEV; REx 5 door hatchback 22 84/72 Q Mercedes B-Class BEV 5 door hatchback Q BMW i8 PHEV Sports car Q KIA Soul BEV 5 door hatchback Q Porsche Cayenne PHEV SUV Q VW egolf BEV 5 door hatchback Q

6 Auto Industry Investing $ Billions In New PEVs 15+ Models Are On The Way Make Model Type Body Style Battery (kwh) AER (miles) Launch Hyundai Sonata PHEV Sedan Q Chevrolet Volt PHEV Hatchback Q BMW X5 PHEV SUV 9 20 Q Audi A3 etron PHEV Wagon Q Mercedes C350 PHEV Luxury sedan Q Tesla Model X BEV SUV/Crossover TBD 250 Q Mercedes S-Class PHEV Luxury sedan TBD TBD Q Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV SUV Q Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV SUV/Crossover TBD TBD 2016 Chrysler Town & Country PHEV Minivan TBD TBD 2016 Volvo V60 PHEV Wagon TBD TBD 2016 Audi Q7 etron PHEV SUV TBD 25 Q Nissan Leaf BEV Hatchback TBD TBD Q Chevrolet Bolt BEV Hatchback TBD 200 Q VW Cross Coupe PHEV SUV Q

7 2016 Chevrolet Volt 50 Mile All-Electric Range Arrives Q

8 2018 Chevrolet Bolt 200 Miles All-Electric Range Arrives Q

9 PEV State of the Nation and Looking Ahead Market Sales strong through Q over 290,000 in the USA (+20% YOY) Leaf sold 30k in 2014; PHEVs lower Major launches by BMW, Mercedes, VW, Mitsubishi, Audi, Porsche, and Tesla Mercedes will offer 10 plug-in models by 2017 Honda announced BEV and PHEV by 2018 Next-gen Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf, Toyota Prius (2016/2017 model year) Oil/gas prices expected to stay low what does this mean for PEV sales? New PEV buyer mainstream New PEV buyer Tesla buyer PEV drivers finishing up with Gen 1 Volt/LEAF/etc. Charging infrastructure More focus on workplace and MUDs and less on public Proprietary networks versus OCPP Utility role Georgia Power now offering businesses $500 rebate for L2 install CA IOU proposals (see next page) 9

10 CA CPUC Now Considering Utility Infrastructure Proposals Note: Should be 5,000 for SDG&E and 30,000 for SCE Source: Slide presented by Adam Langton, CPUC, Silicon Valley Leadership Group/PG&E PEV Workshop, Palo Alto, CA, December 16,

11 What About Impact on the Grid? Open Standards-based Vehicle-Grid-Integration Gives Flexibility OEMs Evaluating Direct Path Chrysler Mercedes Toyota OEMs Evaluating B2B Path BMW GM Ford Honda Toyota Goal: Evaluate system-level cost and performance trade-offs among various information paths while enabling all approaches 11

12 What About Smart Charging? Vehicle-to-Grid? Does Anyone Know? One Viewpoint: Open VGI Platform Overview 12

13 Phase 1: Proof Of Concept for Open VGI Platform The Big Demo Sacramento Status: completed 10/16/2014 at SMUD Action: sent single signal to stop and start charging of seven PEVs Charge Status Display Result: Success! Plugged In The Line Up: 7 OEM PEVs Plugged In 13

14 A Few Closing Thoughts From the Mainstream Automotive Press Most Tesla Model S owners will be happy with 240V charging at home. Plug it in at night, sleep, and wake to a car ready for another 200-mile day. Beats pumping gas. Tesla Model S P85D. Car and Driver, Feb 2015: 52. Print. Audi, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Porsche are about to invest a combined $7.5B in new high-end electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids due out between 2018 and Their target: the American upstart from Silicon Valley. Kacher, Georg. Germany s Plan to Shock Tesla. Automobile, Feb 2015: 52. Print. 14