Key Economic Indicators

Transcription

1 1 Key Economic Indicators July, 2016* Updated as on 22/07/2016 Table-1 Growth Rate of GVA at basic price at Constant ( ) prices (in %) Industry (NS) * (NS) * (NS) # (PE) I. Agriculture II. Industry Mining & quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water supply Construction III. Services GVA at basic prices *: Second Revised Estimates ;#:First Revised Estimate; NS: New Series Estimates ; PE: Provisional Estimate Source: Central Statistics Office. Table -1-A Growth Rate of GDP at Factor Cost (at prices) (in %) Industry I. Agriculture II. Industry Mining & quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water supply Construction III. Services GDP at factor cost Source: Central Statistics Office. * Please see Explanatory Note on page no. 32.

2 2 Table 2 Sectoral Share in GVA at basic price at constant ( ) prices (in %) Industry (NS) * (NS) * (NS) * (NS) # (PE) I. Agriculture II. Industry Mining & quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water supply Construction III. Services GVA at basic prices *: Second Revised Estimates ;#:First Revised Estimate; NS: New Series Estimates ; PE: Provisional Estimate Source: Central Statistics Office. Table- 2-A Sectoral Share in GDP at Factor Cost (at Prices) (in %) Industry I. Agriculture II. Industry Mining & quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas & water supply Construction III. Services GDP at factor cost Source: Central Statistics Office.

3 3 Table-3 Estimates of Expenditure on GDP at constant ( Prices) (NS) * (NS) * (NS) * (NS) # (PE) GDP (Rs. in crore) Share of major Component Private Consumption Public Consumption GFCF Exports Imports Growth GDP Private Consumption Public Consumption GFCF Exports Imports *: Second Revised Estimates ;#:First Revised Estimate; NS: New Series Estimates ; PE: Provisional Estimate Source: Central Statistics Office. Table-3-A GDP at Market Prices (at prices) GDP (Rs. in crore) Share of major Component Private Consumption Public Consumption GFCF Exports Imports Growth (%) GDP Private Consumption Public Consumption GFCF Exports Imports Source: Central Statistics Office.

4 4 GVA at basic prices (Rs. in crore) Table -4 Quarterly GVA at basic price at constant Prices Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Growth (%) GVA at basic prices Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services Source: Central Statistics Office. Disclaimer: Since CSO has stopped providing data at Factor cost on quarterly basis, therefore quarterly estimates of sectoral share in GDP at Factor Cost has been discontinued.

5 5 Table -5 Agricultural Production Crop Season Food grain Production (in million tonnes) (3 rd AE) Rice Kharif Total Wheat Rabi Coarse Cereals Kharif Total Cereals Kharif Total Tur Kharif Gram Rabi Urad Kharif Total Moong Kharif Total Total Pulses Kharif Total Total Foodgrains Kharif Total Production of Oilseeds and other commercial crops (in lakh tonnes)/lakh bales Groundnut Kharif Rabi Total Castorseed Kharif Sesamum Kharif Nigerseed Kharif Rapeseed & Mustard Rabi Linseed Rabi Safflower Rabi Sunflower Kharif Rabi Total Soyabean Kharif Total Nine Oilseeds Total Cotton # Total Jute # # Total Mesta # # Total Jute & Mesta # # Total Sugarcane (Cane) Total # Lakh bales of 170 kgs. each # # Lakh bales of 180 kgs. each, A.E.: Advance Estimates Source: Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Department of Agriculture & Co-operation

6 6 Table -6 Employment & Unemployment Indicators ( ) Rural Urban Rural+ Urban Male Female Person Male Female Person Male Female Person Usual Principal Status LFPR WPR PU UR Usual Status (PS +SS) LFPR WPR PU UR Current Weekly Status LFPR WPR PU UR Current Daily Status LFPR WPR PU UR Note: Formulas used for calculation of above variables: Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) = Worker Population Ration (WPR) = Proportion Unemployed (PU) = no. of employed persons + no. of unemployed persons 1000 total population no. of employed persons 1000 total population no. of unemployed persons 1000 total population no. of unemployed persons Unemployment Rate (UR) = no. of employed persons + no. of unemployed persons 1000 Source: NSSO report (68 th round) Employment and Unemployment Situation in India,

7 7 Estimates Table -7 All India Rural & Urban Unemployment Rates ( ) (%) Rural Urban Rural+ Urban Male Female M+F Male Female M+F Male Female M+F Usual Principal Status Usual Status (ADJ) Current Weekly Status Current Daily Status Source: NSSO Report (68 th Round) Employment and Unemployment Situation in India, Table-8 All India Rural & Urban Unemployment Rates based on Usual Principal Status (UPS) approach ( ) (%) Sector Male Female Person Rural Urban Rural + Urban Source: Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment Table-9 Average Monthly % changes in Employment based on various quarterly survey results Sl. No. Industry/Groups Percentage changes in employment based on various quarterly survey results Dec,14 over Sept,14 Mar,15 over Dec,14 June,15 over Mar,15 Sept,15 over June,15 1 Textiles including Apparels Leather Metals Automobiles Gems & Jewellery Transport IT/BPO Handloom/Power loom Overall Source: Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment

8 8 Table 10 Gross Capital Formation by industry of use at constant ( ) prices (Rs. crore) Item * * * % Change over previous year Agriculture, forestry and fishing Industry 1,221,286 1,255,740 1,208,918 1,252, (i) Mining & quarrying (ii) Manufacturing (iii) Electricity, gas & water supply & other utility services (iv) Construction Services (i) Trade, repair, hotels & restaurants (ii) Transport, storage, communication & services related to broadcasting (iii) Financial services (iv) Real Estate, ownership of dwellings & professional services (v) Public administration and defence (vi) Other services Total GCF by industry of use* 3,204,473 3,342,627 3,412,575 3,603, *: Second Revised First Revised Estimate * This does not include valuables and adjustment factor from flow of funds. Source: Central Statistics Office. Table- 10-A Gross Capital Formation -At constant ( ) prices (in Rs. crore) Industry Agriculture, forestry and fishing 105, , , ,734 2 Mining & quarrying 68,372 57,045 63,006 70,567 3 Manufacturing 611, , , , Registered 521, , , , unregistered 90,498 42,462 87, ,601 4 Electricity, gas & water supply 86,007 98, , ,817 5 Construction 115,157 88,523 83,950 86,037 6 Trade, hotels & restaurants 103, , , ,820 7 Transport, storage & communication 94, , , ,234 Financing, insurance, real estate & 8 business services 184, , , ,545 9 Community, social & personal services 237, , , , Valuables 47,263 59,987 94, , Gross capital formation by type of assets adjusted 1,656,892 1,570,333 1,841,263 2,100,497 Source: Central Statistics Office.

9 9 Table 11 Ratio of Savings and Investment to GDP At current prices (%) Item * * * 1 Gross Domestic saving Public sector Public non-financial corporation Public financial corporations General Government Household Sector Gross financial savings Financial liabilities Savings in physical assets Savings in the form of valuables Private Corporate Sector Private non-financial corporation Private financial corporation Private Sector Net capital inflow from ROW Gross Capital Formation (Investment) Saving-investment gap *: Second Revised First Revised Estimate Source: Central Statistics Office Table-11-A Ratio of Savings and Investment to GDP At current market prices (%) Industry Gross Domestic saving Public sector Private sector Household sector Financial saving Saving in physical assets Private Corporate sector Gross Capital Formation (Investment) Public sector Private sector Corporate sector Household sector Gross Fixed Capital Formation Stocks Valuables Saving-investment Gap Source: Central Statistics Office.

10 10 Sector Weight Table -12 Growth Rates of Core Industries (%) Apr-May Apr-May May-15 May-16 Coal Crude Oil Natural Gas Refinery Products Fertilizers Steel Cement Electricity Overall Index Source: Office of the Economic Adviser, DIPP.

11 Table-13 Growth Rates of Index of Industrial Production-Broad Sectors (Base: =100) (Year on year %) Year/Month Mining Manufacturing Electricity Overall (Apr-May) (Apr-May) Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: Central Statistics Office. 11

12 12 Year/Month Table 14 Growth Rates of Index of Industrial Production-Use Based Categories (Base: =100) (Year on Year %) Basic Goods Capital Goods Intermediate Goods Consumer goods (total) Consumer Durable Consumer Nondurable Overall (Apr-May) (Apr-May) Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: Central Statistics Office.

13 13 Table 15 Growth Rates of Index of Industrial Production- Manufacturing Subgroups (Year on year %) Industry Code Description (Apr-May) May Food products & beverages Tobacco products Textiles Wearing apparel Luggage, handbags etc Wood & wood products Paper & Paper products Publishing,printing & reproduction of 22 recorded media Coke, refined petroleum products & 23 nuclear fuel Chemcals and chemical products Rubber and plastic products Other non-metallic mineral products Basic metals Fabricated metal Pro Machinery and equipment n.e.c Office, accounting & computing 30 machinery Electrical machinery & appartus Radio, TV and communication 32 equipment Medical, precision & optical 33 instruments,watches and clocks Motor vehicles, trailers Other transport equipment n.e.c Furniture Source: Central Statistics Office.

14 14 Commodity ALL COMMODITIES I PRIMARY ARTICLES Weight Table 16 Wholesale Price Index and Inflation (Base: =100) (Year on year %) Index Apr-16 May-16 Jun II FUEL & POWER MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS Total Consumer Non Durable Total Consumer Durable Total Intermediates Total Basic Goods Total Capital Goods Total Food CND less primary food Inflation (year on year) % ALL COMMODITIES I PRIMARY ARTICLES II FUEL & POWER MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS Total Consumer Non Durable Total Consumer Durable Total Intermediates Total Basic Goods Total Capital Goods Total Food CND less primary food Source: Office of the Economic Adviser, DIPP. Note: Yearly indices are average of monthly indices.

15 15 Table: 17 Consumer Price Inflation (Industrial Workers) Base: 2001=100 Index/Inflation Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 CPI-IW (Index) CPI-IW (Inflation) Source: Labour Bureau. Note: Yearly indices are average of monthly indices. Table: 18 All India Inflation rates (%) based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Consumer Food Price Inflation (CFPI) on Base: 2012=100 Indices June 2016 (Prov.) May 2016 (Final) June 2015 (Final) Rural Urban Combd. Rural Urban Combd. Rural Urban Combd. CPI (General) CFPI Note: Prov.-Provisional, Combd.-Combined. Source: CSO Table: 19 All India Consumer Price Index Numbers and inflation rates for Agricultural (CPI-AL) and Rural Labourers (CPI-RL) (Base: =100) Indices/Inflation Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 CPI-AL (Index) CPI-AL (Inflation) CPI-RL (Index) CPI-RL (Inflation) Source: Labour Bureau. Note: Yearly indices are average of monthly indices.

16 16 Table 20 Public Finance Some Important Parameters (Rs. in crore) (RE) (BE) 1. Revenue Receipt 572, , , Gross Tax Revenue 624, , , Tax Revenue Net to Centre 456, , , Non Tax Revenue 116, , , Non Plan Expenditure 721, , , Revenue Expenditure 657, , , Capital Expenditure 63,171 91,808 79, Plan Expenditure 303, , , Revenue Expenditure 253, , , Capital Expenditure 49,507 64,797 78, Total Expenditure 1,198,919 1,197,328 1,304, Revenue Expenditure 911,809 1,040,723 1,145, Capital Expenditure 112, , , Revenue Deficit 338, , , Fiscal Deficit 418, , , Fiscal Parameters as percent of GDP 1. Revenue Receipt Gross Tax Revenue Tax Revenue Net to Centre Non Tax Revenue Non Plan Expenditure Revenue Expenditure Capital Expenditure Plan Expenditure Revenue Expenditure Capital Expenditure Total Expenditure Revenue Expenditure Capital Expenditure Revenue Deficit Fiscal Deficit RE: Revised Estimate, BE: Budget Estimate Source: Department of Economic Affairs.

17 Table-21 FPI/FII Net Investment (INR crores) Year/Month Equity Debt Total (Apr-Jul*) Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul-16* Source: SEBI. Since June 01, 2014, the data on FPI investments is disseminated on the websites of NSDL and CDSL. *up to 21 st July,

18 18 Table-22 FDI/FII Inflows FDI INFLOWS (In US$ mn) Cumulative flow Net FII in US $ million , , , (-)15, , , (P) (P) (P) Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: DIPP & RBI. Note: The monthly figures of FDI inflow reflect the equity component only.

19 19 Table-23 Sector-wise FDI Inflows (in US$ million) Industry Groups Total Food products Fermentation Industries Textiles Wood Products Paper Leather Chemicals Rubber, Plastic & Petroleum Products (including oil exploration) Non Metallic Minerals Metals and Metal Products Machinery and Equipments Transport Equipments Others Manufacturing Mining (including mining services) Power Telecommunication Total (Industry) Services Others Total Source: DIPP Note: Total is the sum of FDI since Table 24 Year-wise/Scheduled Industry-Wise Distribution of Investment Indicated in Industrial Entrepreneurs Memoranda (in Rs. Crore) Industry Groups Food and Food Products 15,924 15,637 19,663 30, Fermentation industries 8,230 4,566 3,139 6, Textiles and Apparels 10,730 9,200 26,566 26, Wood & Wood products Paper & Paper products 5,841 6,037 6,264 5, Leather & Leather products Chemicals & Chemical 155,756 27,661 56,110 57, Products Rubber & Rubber products 2,867 2,118 5,819 8, Cement & Building Materials 125,948 53, ,318 81, Metals 364, , , , Machinery 556, , , , Transport and auto equipments 24,862 5,048 12,290 9, Others 207,842 95,958 80, , Fuel 42,225 61,743 73,015 8, Total 1,522,566 1,039,848 1,731,731 1,537, Source: DIPP.

20 20 Table 25 Nominal Exchange Rate of Rupee per USD Year/Month Rupees per US Dollar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Source: FEDAI Indicative Market Rates (on yearly/monthly Average Basis) Data from May, 2012 onwards are based on average of RBI s reference rate.

21 21 Year Cash Reserve Ratio Bank rate Table 26 Monetary Indicators (%) Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate Base Rate* Call Money Rate** Current Account Deficit^ Q Q Q Q Q # 7.25# 6.25# Q Q3 4.00## 7.75## 6.75## 5.75## 9.70## Q Q1 4.00$ 7.00$ 6.50$ 6.00$ 9.70 Source: RBI. * Base rate is median base rate of SCBs. ** Weighted Average. ^ per cent of from # effective from ## effective from $ effective from Not Available

22 22 Table - 27 Food and Non-Food Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks Year SCBs food credit SCBs non-food credit Rs.crore % (Y-o-Y) Rs.crore % (Y-o-Y) Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: RBI Note: Yearly data relate to amount outstanding as on last reporting Friday of March. * As on Apr 29, 2016.

23 23 Sr.No Industry Table - 28 Sectoral Deployment of Bank Credit Rs. (in billion) Outstanding as on May.30, May.29, May.27, Variation (Y o-y) (in percent) May.29, 2015 / May.30, 2014 May.27, 2016 / May.29, Mining & Quarrying (incl. Coal) Food Processing Sugar Edible Oils & Vanaspati Tea Others Beverage & Tobacco Textiles Cotton Textiles Jute Textiles Man-Made Textiles Other Textiles Leather & Leather Products Wood & Wood Products Paper & Paper Products Petroleum, Coal Products & Nuclear 2.8 Fuels Chemicals & Chemical Products Fertiliser Drugs & Pharmaceuticals Petro Chemicals Others Rubber, Plastic & their Products Glass & Glassware Cement & Cement Products Basic Metal & Metal Product Iron & Steel Other Metal & Metal Product All Engineering Electronics Others Vehicles, Vehicle Parts & Transport 2.15 Equipment Gems & Jewellery Construction Infrastructure Power Telecommunications Roads Other Infrastructure Other Industries Industries Source: RBI. Note: Data are provisional and relate to select banks which cover 95 per cent of total non-food credit extended by all scheduled commercial banks.

24 24 Table 29 Foreign Trade (US $ billion) Year/Month Exports % Growth Import % Growth Trade Balance (Apr-Jun) April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June Source: Department of Commerce.

25 25 Table -30 Growth of Exports (in %) (As per the new classification) Commodity (P) A MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS (WITH OUT PETRO) MARINE PRODUCTS LEATHER & MFRS GEMS & JEWELLERY SPORTS GOODS CHEMICALS & RELATED PRODUCTS PLASTIC & RUBBER ARTICLES ARTICLES OF STONE, PLASTER, CEMENT, ASBESTOS, MICA OR SIMILAR MATERIALS; CERAMIC PRODUCTS; GLASS AND GLASSWARE 8 PAPER & RELATED PRODUCTS BASE METALS OPTICAL, MEDICAL & SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS ELECTORONICS ITEMS MACHINERY OFFICE EQUIPMENTS TRANSPORT EQUIPMENTS PROJECT GOODS TEXTILES & ALLIED PRODUCTS OTHERS B ORES & MINERALS C PLANTATIONS D AGRI&ALLIED PRDTS E PETROLEUM CRUDE & PRODUCTS TOTAL EXPORTS Source: Department of Commerce.

26 26 Table 31 Growth of Imports (%) (As per the new Classification) Commodity (P) A MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS (WITH OUT PETRO) MARINE PRODUCTS LEATHER & MFRS GEMS & JEWELLERY SPORTS GOODS CHEMICALS & RELATED PRODUCTS PLASTIC & RUBBER ARTICLES ARTICLES OF STONE, PLASTER, CEMENT, ASBESTOS, MICA OR SIMILAR MATERIALS; CERAMIC PRODUCTS; GLASS AND GLASSWARE 8 PAPER & RELATED PRODUCTS BASE METALS OPTICAL, MEDICAL & SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS ELECTORONICS ITEMS MACHINERY OFFICE EQUIPMENTS TRANSPORT EQUIPMENTS PROJECT GOODS TEXTILES & ALLIED PRODUCTS OTHERS B ORES & MINERALS C PLANTATIONS D AGRI&ALLIED PRDTS E PETROLEUM CRUDE & PRODUCTS TOTAL IMPORTS Source: Department of Commerce

27 27 World Indicators Table - 32 Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product- Expenditure Approach (% Change Over Same Period Previous Year) Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Country Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile France Germany Greece Italy Japan Korea Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States European Union (28 countries) China Colombia India Indonesia South Africa Source: OECD statistical database as on 21st July, Shows Not Available.

28 28 Country Table - 33 Index of Industrial Production (2010 = 100) Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile France Germany Greece Italy Japan Korea Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area ( countries) European Union ( countries) G OECD - Europe OECD - Total Brazil India Russia Source: OECD statistical database as on 21 st July, Shows Not Available.

29 29 Country Table 34 Exports (USD Billion) May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic France Germany Israel Italy Japan Korea Mexico Netherlands Spain Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States European Union ( countries) Brazil China (People's Republic of) India Indonesia Russia South Africa BRIICS economies Source: OECD statistical database as on 21 st July, *BRIICS economies include Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa... Shows Not Available.

30 30 Country Table 35 Imports (USD Billion) May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Australia Austria Canada Chile France Germany Israel Italy Japan Korea Mexico Netherlands Spain Turkey United Kingdom United States European Union ( countries) Brazil China (People's Republic of) Colombia Costa Rica India Indonesia Russia South Africa BRIICS economies Source: OECD statistical database as on 21 st July, *BRIICS economies include Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa... Shows Not Available.

31 31 Country Table - 36 Consumer Prices (% tage Change over the Same Period Previous Year) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Mar Apr May Jun Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic France Germany Greece Italy Japan Korea Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area (19 countries) European Union (28 countries) G OECD - Europe OECD - Total Brazil China (People's Republic of) India Indonesia Russia South Africa Source: OECD statistical database as on 21 st July, Shows Not Available.