EXPORT-IMPORT BANK OF INDIA: Catalysing India s Trade and Investment. July 01, 2015

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1 EXPORT-IMPORT BANK OF INDIA: Catalysing India s Trade and Investment July 01, 2015

2 INDIAN ECONOMY SNAPSHOT PARAMETER FY 2010 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 GDP (current prices, US$ bn) GDP Growth (constant prices, %) e Exports Merchandise (US$ bn) Imports Merchandise (US$ bn) Exports Services (US$ bn) Software Exports (US$ bn) Imports Services (US$ bn) Current Account Balance (US$ bn) Forex Reserves (US$ bn) (as on end-march) FDI Inflows (US$ bn) FDI Outflows* (US$ bn) Note: e : estimates; * - FDI Outflows include Equity, Loan and Guarantee Issued Source: IIF, MOCI, CSO, RBI 2

3 (US$ bn) INDIA S INTERNATIONAL TRADE Towards Increased Global Integration through Trade India's Exports India's Total Trade India's Imports India's Trade Balance India s total merchandise trade increased from US$ 467 billion in FY2010 to US$ 757 billion in FY Exports from India have increased at a CAGR of 11.6% from 179 billion in FY2010, to US$ 310 billion in FY2015 India s Export to GDP ratio increased from 13.3% in FY2010 to 15.6% in FY Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India Share of India in world merchandise export 1.7% in 2014; Rank 19 (up from 29 th in 2005) Foreign Trade Policy aims at increasing India s merchandise and services exports to US$ 900 billion by FY

4 INDIA S SHARE IN GLOBAL MERCHANDISE EXPORTS Rankings Country 2005 Country 2010 Country 2012 Country 2013 Country 2014 Grand Total Grand Total Grand Total Grand Total Grand Total Germany 9.2 China 10.3 China 11.1 China 11.7 China USA 8.6 USA 8.4 USA 8.4 USA 8.4 USA China 7.3 Germany 8.2 Germany 7.6 Germany 7.7 Germany Japan 5.7 Japan 5.0 Japan 4.3 Japan 3.8 Japan France 4.4 Netherlands 3.8 Netherlands 3.6 Netherlands 3.6 Netherlands Netherlands 3.9 France 3.4 France 3.1 France 3.1 France UK 3.7 South Korea 3.0 South Korea 3.0 South Korea 3.0 South Korea Italy 3.6 Italy 2.9 Russia 2.9 UK 2.9 Italy Canada 3.4 UK 2.7 Italy 2.7 Hong Kong 2.8 Hong Kong Belgium 3.2 Belgium 2.7 Hong Kong 2.7 Russia 2.8 UK Hong Kong 2.8 Hong Kong 2.6 UK 2.6 Italy 2.8 Russia South Korea 2.7 Russia 2.6 Canada 2.5 Belgium 2.5 Canada Russia 2.3 Canada 2.5 Belgium 2.4 Canada 2.4 Belgium Singapore 2.2 Singapore 2.3 Singapore 2.2 Singapore 2.2 Singapore Mexico 2.0 Mexico 1.9 Saudi Arabia 2.1 Mexico 2.0 Mexico Chinese Taipei 1.9 Chinese Taipei 1.8 Mexico 2.0 UAE 2.0 UAE Spain 1.8 Spain 1.7 UAE 1.9 Saudi Arabia 2.0 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 1.7 Saudi Arabia 1.6 Chinese Taipei 1.6 Spain 1.7 Spain Malaysia 1.3 India 1.5 India 1.6 India 1.7 India Sweden 1.2 UAE 1.4 Spain 1.6 Chinese Taipei 1.6 Chinese Taipei Switzerland 1.2 Australia 1.4 Australia 1.4 Australia 1.3 Australia Austria 1.2 Brazil 1.3 Brazil 1.3 Brazil 1.3 Switzerland Brazil 1.1 Malaysia 1.3 Thailand 1.2 Switzerland 1.2 Malaysia UAE 1.1 Switzerland 1.3 Malaysia 1.2 Thailand 1.2 Thailand Thailand 1.1 Thailand 1.3 Switzerland 1.2 Malaysia 1.2 Brazil Ireland 1.0 Poland 1.0 Indonesia 1.0 Poland 1.1 Poland Australia 1.0 Sweden 1.0 Poland 1.0 Indonesia 1.0 Austria Norway 1.0 Indonesia 1.0 Sweden 0.9 Austria 0.9 Indonesia India 0.9 Austria 1.0 Austria 0.9 Sweden 0.9 Czech Republic 0.9 Source: WTO 4

5 INDIA S EXPORT: Shifting Southwards India s Export Destinations (US$ 83.5 bn) India s Export Destinations (US$ bn) CIS & Baltics 1% 0.5% CIS & Baltics 1% 1% Asia 48% Europe 24% Africa 7% Asia 50% Europe 18% Africa 11% North America 17% North America 14% LAC 3% LAC 5% Direction of exports moving towards Developing countries Share of Asia, Africa and LAC regions increased sharply from 58% in to 66% in ; Of this, share of Asia region rose from 48% to 50% during this period Future trade flows to be geared towards the developing nations (buttressed by GOI policies) Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India 5

6 INDIA S IMPORT: Shifting Southwards India s Import Sources (US$ bn) India s Import Sources (US$ bn) CIS & Baltics CIS & Baltics 27% Asia 36% Europe 23% LAC Africa 3% North America 7% Asia 59% Europe 16% Africa 8% LAC 7% North America 6% Direction of imports also moving towards the Developing countries, particularly Asia, Africa and LAC Share of Asia, Africa and LAC regions increased sharply from 41% in to 74% in ; Of this, share of Asia region rose from 36% to 59% during this period Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India 6

7 INDIA S MAJOR TRADING PARTNERS Top Export Destinations (FY 2015, US$ bn) Top Import Sources (FY 2015, US$ bn) USA 42.4 China 60.4 UAE 33.0 Saudi Arabia 28.2 Hong Kong 13.5 UAE 26.2 China 12.0 Switzerland 22.1 Saudi Arabia 11.2 USA 21.6 Singapore 10.0 Indonesia 14.9 UK 9.3 Qatar 14.6 Germany 7.5 Iraq 14.2 Sri Lanka 6.7 Total Exports: US$ bn Nigeria 13.7 Total Imports: US$ bn Netherlands 6.3 South Korea 13.5 Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India 7

8 INDIA S TRADE BASKET Top Export Items (FY 2015, US$ bn) Top Import Items (FY 2015, US$ bn) Petroleum Products 56.7 Petroleum: crude Pearls, prec. & semi-prec. stones 24.6 Gold 34.4 Gold, other prec. metal jewellery 13.2 Pearl, prec., semi-prec. stones 22.5 Drug formulations, biologicals 11.2 Petroleum products 21.9 RMG cotton incl accessories 9.3 Coal, coke and briquittes 17.7 Iron and steel 8.7 Telecom instruments 14.7 Products of iron and steel 7.6 Iron and steel 12.3 Motor vehicle/cars Aircraft, spacecraft and parts Total Exports: US$ bn Organic chemicals Vegetable oils Total Imports: US$ bn Cotton fabrics, madeups 5.5 Plastic raw materials 9.2 Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India 8

9 (US$ bn) (US$ bn) INDIA S TRADE IN SERVICES Total Trade in Services Software Exports Exports Imports Trade Balance Total Trade * NASSCOM Estimates Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) 9

10 (US$ bn) INDIA S DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS Foreign Direct Investment Inflows & Outflows FDI Inflows FDI Outflow FDI inflow into India increased to US$ 45 bn in , as compared to US$ 36 bn in FDI outflow from India stood at US$ 30.9 bn in , against US$ 36.9 bn in Note: FDI Outflows include Equity, Loan and Guarantee Issued Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) 10

11 INDIA S FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS India s FDI Inflows FY 2015 stood at US$ 30.9 bn # Top FDI Investing Countries Sector-wise FDI Inflows Germany UAE 1% France Cyprus 3% USA 4% Netherlands 5% Japan 6% 18% UK 11% Mauritius 27% Singapore 21% Chemicals (other than fertilizers) Construction development** 3% Hotel & tourism 3% #- data is for FDI equity inflow; * - Services sector includes Financial, Banking, Insurance, Non-Financial / Business, Outsourcing, R&D, Courier, Tech. Testing and Analysis; **- Construction Development includes Townships, Housing, Built-up Infrastructure Source: DIPP Power 35% Services sector* 11% Misc. mechanical Petroleum & & engineering natural gas ind. 3% 4% Telecom 9% Trading 9% Automobile ind. 8% Computer software & hardware 7% Pharmaceuticals 4% 11

12 INDIA S FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS India s FDI Outflows FY 2015 (US$ 30.9 bn) Cayman Island Switzerland 3% UAE 5% Azerbaijan UK 4% Mozambique 7% USA 6% British Virgin Island 10% Regional FDI Outflows 9% Mauritius 1 Netherlands 26% Singapore 14% Note: FDI Outflows include Equity, Loan and Guarantee Issued (Approved ODI) Source: Reserve Bank of India Financial, ins. & business services 8% Wholesale, r etail trade, restau rants & hotels 10% Construction 5% Sector-wise FDI Outflows 4% Agriculture & mining 21% Transp., stora ge & communicatio n services 28% Manufg. 24% 12

13 Thank You

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