Forest Monitoring Systems in Brazil

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Forest Monitoring Systems in Brazil Thelma Krug, Dalton Valeriano thelmakrug@dir.inpe.br dalton@dsr.inpe.br Seminar for Climate Change and Forests International Conference Hall Waseda University, Japan February 7th 8th, 2013

Summary of Presentation Brazilian forest monitoring systems: Annual wall-to-wall assessment of the gross deforestation rate PRODES, Brazilian Legal Amazonia Use of satellite imagery of moderate resolution (30 meters) Annual wall-to-wall assessment of the forest degradation DEGRAD/DETEX, Brazilian Legal Amazonia Use of satellite imagery of moderate resolution (30 meters) Near real time detection of deforestation and forest degradation DETER, Brazilian Legal Amazonia Use of satellite imagery of coarse resolution (250 meters) Present status

Annual Wall-to-Wall Estimate of the Gross Deforestation Rate in Amazonia - PRODES

PRODES: Annual Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia - Overview Coverage: Wall-to wall Frequency: Yearly Integration period: Aug-Jul Resolution Landsat-class (Landsat, CBERS, DMC, SPOT) Brazilian Legal Amazon Region: 5 million km 2 Original forest cover: 4 million km 2 Present gross deforested area: 730.000 km 2 Proportion of secondary forest: 19% (130.000 km 2 ) Method: Visual interpretation Minimum mapping area: 6.25 ha Delivery Schedule: 1 st estimate -90% of previous year, ~100 Scenes : November Complete map: April, next year

233 Landsat Images

PRODES: Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia a Brief history 1988-2002 Annual assessments on a regular basis 1:250.000 Landsat Color composites Visual interpretation Digital area calculation

PRODES: Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia a Brief history INPE s new development in the 90 s Three bands color composite SPRING Geographic Information Processing System Features applied to PRODES: SOIL Linear Mixing Model Image Segmentation Object Oriented Classification SHADOW Raster and Vector Edition GREEN VEGETATION

OF (RGB) TM IMAGE PRODES: Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia a Brief history 1997-2005 SPRING based digital Landsat image analysis Linear Mixing Algorithm Image Segmentation Field-based classification and edition Typical deforestation

DIMENSIONALITY REDUCTION OF (RGB) TM IMAGE BY GENERATING SHADE FRACTION IMAGE, WHICH ALLOWS THE DISCRIMINATION OF SURFACE TARGETS Burned areas Primary forest Shadow image Regrowth Typical deforestation

Image segmentation and classification

Change detection with masking of previous deforestation

PRODES: INPE s Amazon Monitoring Program A brief history 2005-Present: Visual intepretation in TerraAmazon GDBM Platform TerraAmazon overview: Alllows multisource and multitemporal data Allows multiple interpreters Real-time GDB update Lock-in lock-out control TerraLib open code

PRODES: Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia a Brief history 2005-Present: Visual intepretation in TerraAmazon GDBM Platform TerraAmazon overview: Tbyte level GDB ` Interpretation time: (SPRING) DIP+Ed:20 hs (TerraAmazon) VI: 5-10 hs l

PRODES schedule: 1st Semester: April :Complement of 2011 inventory 2nd Semester First deforestation estimate Data Acquisition: Jun-Sep Product delivery: November

o 53 30 38 s 10 24 45 - Peixoto de Azevedo/MT - Landsat 225/67 Set/2010 Jul/2011

o 57 00 05 s 11 49 48 - Porto dos Gaúchos/MT 2010 - Landsat 227/68 Jun/2010 Ago/2011

Annual Gross Deforestation Rates from 1988 to 2012 (km 2 /year)

Annual Deforestation Rate per State in Amazonia 1988 2012 (km2/year)

PRODES: Rate of Gross Deforestation in Amazonia Internet Access Full access to source images,maps and statistics

30000 25000 20000 Average 1995-2004 = 19.500 km2 15000 10000 5000 0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Deforestation in Rondônia (detail) 2003

Deforestation in Rondônia (detail) 2004

Deforestation in Rondônia (detail) 2005

Report by automatic e-mail of New deforestation detected in Conservation Units and Municipalities

Multidata approach DMC CCD/CBERS LANDSAT LANDSAT CBERS SISPRODES State boundaries

Monitoring the State of the Forest: DEGRAD e DETEX

Near Real Time Monitoring of the Legal Amazonia - DETER

Deforestation hotspots DETER 2011/INPE

Near Real Time Monitoring of the Legal Amazonia - DETER

Carbon maps for Brazilian Amazonia Largest source of uncertainty regarding carbon emissions from deforestation is the spatial distribution of biomass. Differences in emission estimates can be on the order of 20% using our baseline model parameters. Estimates based on submodels B1 (Saatch et al., 2007), B3 (MCT, 2010) and B4 (Saatchi et al., 2011a,b) are relatively similar at the regional level, those based on B2 (Nogueira et al., 2008) are significantly higher. This difference could be even higher if the same percentage of BGB in relation to AGB in all the submodels. Root to shoot ration is 20% in B2, 28% in B3 and 30% in B1 B4. The emission estimate differences would increase to 30% as BGB contribution in B2 would be larger.

DETER-R : Assimilation of PALSAR data in the Deforestation and Forest Degradation Warning System

Examples of L-band deforestation detection capability from JERS-1 GRFM Mosaics

Examples of L-band deforestation detection capability from ALOS/PALSAR

Modeling the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of deforestationdriven carbon emissions: the INPE- EM framework applied to the Brazilian Amazon

Carbon maps for Brazilian Amazonia Largest source of uncertainty regarding carbon emissions from deforestation is the spatial distribution of biomass. Differences in emission estimates can be on the order of 20% using our baseline model parameters. Estimates based on submodels B1 (Saatch et al., 2007), B3 (MCT, 2010) and B4 (Saatchi et al., 2011a,b) are relatively similar at the regional level, those based on B2 (Nogueira et al., 2008) are significantly higher. This difference could be even higher if the same percentage of BGB in relation to AGB in all the submodels. Root to shoot ration is 20% in B2, 28% in B3 and 30% in B1 B4. The emission estimate differences would increase to 30% as BGB contribution in B2 would be larger.

Future challenges for REDD+ Within Brazil Expansion of the deforestation and forest degradation systems to include all biomes: national system Adapt the present monitoring system to the specificities of other biomes Data availability some biomes require satellite data of finer spatial resolution (less than 5 meters) Implement a national forest inventory Going beyond fiscalization and law enforcement Definition of reference emission level for all biomes (RL for Amazonia used only historical

Future challenges for REDD+ Within Brazil When conservation (mantainence of carbon stock) can be considered a mitigation activity and not BAU? Estimating carbon stock change beyond IPCC tier 1 method and conservativeness for all biomes. How to treat natural disturbances?

Thank you