Nevada. This sample includes 606 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents.
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- Marian Morgan
- 7 years ago
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1 Nevada Interviews with 1,006 adult Nevadans conducted by telephone by ORC International on February 10-15, The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 245 who were likely to participate in the Republican presidential caucus and 282 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus. This sample includes 606 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, February 17 at 6:00 a.m.
2 BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 245 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. RP1. If the Republican presidential caucus in Nevada were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Jim Gilmore, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump (RANDOM ORDER) Feb Oct Trump 45% 38% Rubio 19% 7% Cruz 17% 4% Carson 7% 22% Kasich 5% 1% Bush 1% 6% Gilmore** * 1% Christie NA 1% Fiorina NA 8% Graham NA * Huckabee NA 4% Jindal NA * Paul NA 2% Pataki NA 1% Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) 2% * e/ No one (vol.) * 3% No opinion 4% 3% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. RP2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Nevada Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Feb Oct Definitely decided 59% 30% Leaning toward someone 15% 23% Still trying to decide 26% 47% No opinion * * POLL -2- February 10-15, 2016
3 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) The economy Feb Oct Trump 61% 67% Cruz 14% 2% Rubio 11% 4% Kasich 5% 2% Carson 4% 6% Bush 3% 6% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 1% Fiorina NA 7% Graham NA 1% Huckabee NA 1% Jindal NA * Paul NA 3% Pataki NA * Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) 1% * e/no one (vol.) * * No opinion 1% 1% Illegal immigration Feb Oct Trump 58% 55% Cruz 17% 6% Rubio 14% 13% Bush 3% 5% Kasich 3% * Carson 2% 8% Gilmore** * * Christie NA * Fiorina NA 3% Graham NA 1% Huckabee NA 3% Jindal NA * Paul NA 2% Pataki NA * Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) * 1% e/no one (vol.) 1% 1% No opinion 2% 3% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. POLL -3- February 10-15, 2016
4 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Foreign policy Feb Oct Trump 42% 34% Cruz 20% 6% Rubio 17% 13% Bush 7% 12% Kasich 5% * Carson 3% 11% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 2% Fiorina NA 7% Graham NA 2% Huckabee NA 3% Jindal NA * Paul NA 5% Pataki NA * Santorum NA 1% Someone else (vol.) 2% 1% e/no one (vol.) * 1% No opinion 4% 2% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Feb Oct Trump 28% 25% Cruz 21% 4% Rubio 20% 7% Carson 12% 23% Kasich 6% 1% Bush 3% 8% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 1% Fiorina NA 9% Graham NA 1% Huckabee NA 5% Jindal NA 1% Paul NA 4% Pataki NA * Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) 2% 2% e/no one (vol.) 3% 2% No opinion 6% 6% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. POLL -4- February 10-15, 2016
5 RP3. ISIS Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Feb Oct Trump 55% 46% Cruz 16% 5% Rubio 13% 13% Bush 6% 10% Kasich 5% * Carson 2% 6% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 2% Fiorina NA 5% Graham NA 3% Huckabee NA 2% Jindal NA * Pataki NA * Paul NA 4% Santorum NA 1% Someone else (vol.) * * e/no one (vol.) * 2% No opinion 3% 1% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. POLL -5- February 10-15, 2016
6 RP4. Now I m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Feb Oct Trump 35% 34% Cruz 22% 10% Rubio 20% 9% Carson 9% 19% Kasich 6% 1% Bush 4% 7% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 2% Fiorina NA 7% Graham NA 1% Huckabee NA 4% Jindal NA * Pataki NA * Paul NA 4% Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) 2% * e/no one (vol.) 1% * No opinion 2% 2% Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November Feb Oct Trump 56% 47% Rubio 18% 10% Cruz 16% 5% Kasich 4% * Carson 1% 16% Bush * 7% Gilmore** * * Christie NA 1% Fiorina NA 3% Graham NA * Huckabee NA 2% Jindal NA 1% Pataki NA * Paul NA 2% Santorum NA * Someone else (vol.) * 1% e/no one (vol.) * * No opinion 5% 4% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. POLL -6- February 10-15, 2016
7 RP4. Now I m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington. Feb Trump 64% Cruz 13% Rubio 9% Carson 5% Kasich 2% Bush 1% Gilmore** * Someone else (vol.) * e/no one (vol.) 3% No opinion 2% **NOTE: Jim Gilmore not included in interviews conducted Feb. 12 or later. POLL -7- February 10-15, 2016
8 BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 282 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS. DM1. If the Democratic presidential caucus in Nevada were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER) Feb Oct Clinton 48% 50% Sanders 47% 34% Biden NA 12% Chafee NA * Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Webb NA * Someone else (vol.) 1% * e/no one (vol.) * 1% No opinion 5% 1% DM2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Nevada Democratic caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Feb Oct Definitely decided 62% 30% Leaning toward someone 13% 11% Still trying to decide 25% 58% No opinion * * POLL -8- February 10-15, 2016
9 DM3. I m going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) The economy Feb Oct Clinton 48% 46% Sanders 47% 31% Biden NA 15% Webb NA 2% Chafee NA * Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Someone else (vol.) 2% * e/no one (vol.) 1% 2% No opinion 2% 3% Health care Feb Oct Clinton 55% 49% Sanders 39% 32% Biden NA 10% Webb NA 3% Chafee NA 1% Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Someone else (vol.) 1% * e/no one (vol.) 2% 3% No opinion 3% 2% Race relations Feb Oct Clinton 58% 50% Sanders 38% 27% Biden NA 17% Chafee NA * Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Webb NA * Someone else (vol.) 1% * e/no one (vol.) * 1% No opinion 3% 5% POLL -9- February 10-15, 2016
10 DM3. I m going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Foreign policy Feb Oct Clinton 68% 51% Sanders 28% 13% Biden NA 21% O'Malley NA 2% Chafee NA 1% Webb NA 1% Lessig NA * Someone else (vol.) 2% 1% e/no one (vol.) * 2% No opinion 2% 7% Immigration Feb Clinton 56% Sanders 37% Someone else (vol.) 2% e/no one (vol.) 1% No opinion 4% POLL -10- February 10-15, 2016
11 DM4. Now I m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Feb Oct Clinton 50% 44% Sanders 49% 37% Biden NA 15% Chafee NA * Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Webb NA * Someone else (vol.) 1% * e/no one (vol.) * 3% No opinion 1% 1% Has the best chance of winning the general election in November Feb Oct Clinton 56% 59% Sanders 40% 17% Biden NA 18% Chafee NA * Lessig NA * O'Malley NA * Webb NA * Someone else (vol.) * 1% e/no one (vol.) * 1% No opinion 4% 2% Would do the most to help the middle class Feb Sanders 50% Clinton 47% Someone else (vol.) 1% e/no one (vol.) 2% No opinion 1% POLL -11- February 10-15, 2016
12 5. Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? (RANDOM ORDER) BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 1,006 ADULT NEVADANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3 PERCENTAGE PTS. Feb Oct The economy 38% 39% Health care 15% 13% Terrorism 13% 11% Illegal immigration 12% 11% Foreign policy 8% 7% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage 7% 13% Other (vol.) 4% 3% No opinion 3% 3% BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 245 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. Feb Oct The economy 39% 39% Illegal immigration 20% 14% Terrorism 20% 22% Foreign policy 8% 12% Health care 6% 3% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage 3% 8% Other (vol.) 2% 1% No opinion 1% 1% BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 282 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS. Feb Oct The economy 42% 45% Health care 19% 16% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage 11% 16% Foreign policy 10% 5% Terrorism 8% 5% Illegal immigration 7% 8% Other (vol.) 3% 2% No opinion 1% 2% POLL -12- February 10-15, 2016
13 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,006 Nevada adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. This sample includes 606 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 658 respondents were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 245 who were likely to participate in the Republican presidential caucus and 282 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus. The Nevada regions are composed of the following counties: the "Washoe County" region is composed of Washoe County; the "Clark County" region is composed of Clark County; the " of State" region is composed of Churchill, Douglas, Elko, Esmeralda, Eureka, Humboldt, Lander, Lincoln, Lyon, Mineral, Nye, Pershing, Storey, White Pine and Carson City counties. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the population of Nevada to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed. POLL -13- February 10-15, 2016
14 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Nevada were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 1% 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 7% 6% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 17% 20% N/A 15% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% 5% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 19% 17% N/A 23% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 45% 47% N/A 47% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% * N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% 3% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% Ben Carson 7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 8% Ted Cruz 17% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% Marco Rubio 19% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19% Donald Trump 45% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 46% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * No opinion 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 7% N/A 9% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 17% N/A 19% N/A 22% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 3% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 19% N/A 21% N/A 15% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 45% N/A 42% N/A 45% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% N/A 3% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 POLL -14- February 10-15, 2016
15 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Nevada were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * Ben Carson 7% N/A N/A 9% N/A N/A 9% Ted Cruz 17% N/A N/A 15% N/A N/A 26% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 19% N/A N/A 21% N/A N/A 18% Donald Trump 45% N/A N/A 47% N/A N/A 39% Someone else 2% N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * No opinion 4% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush 1% N/A 1% N/A Ben Carson 7% N/A 8% N/A Ted Cruz 17% N/A 17% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 8% N/A Marco Rubio 19% N/A 18% N/A Donald Trump 45% N/A 43% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 4% N/A 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -15- February 10-15, 2016
16 Question RP2 Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Nevada Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Definitely decided 59% 61% N/A 57% N/A N/A N/A Leaning toward someone 15% 20% N/A 17% N/A N/A N/A Still trying to decide 26% 19% N/A 26% N/A N/A N/A No opinion * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Definitely decided 59% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 63% Leaning toward someone 15% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14% Still trying to decide 26% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 24% No opinion * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Definitely decided 59% N/A 57% N/A 60% N/A N/A N/A Leaning toward someone 15% N/A 18% N/A 16% N/A N/A N/A Still trying to decide 26% N/A 26% N/A 24% N/A N/A N/A No opinion * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Definitely decided 59% N/A N/A 59% N/A N/A 64% Leaning toward someone 15% N/A N/A 16% N/A N/A 15% Still trying to decide 26% N/A N/A 25% N/A N/A 21% No opinion * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 Definitely decided 59% N/A 58% N/A Leaning toward someone 15% N/A 15% N/A Still trying to decide 26% N/A 26% N/A No opinion * N/A * N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -16- February 10-15, 2016
17 Question RP3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 3% 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 4% 4% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 14% 14% N/A 11% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% 7% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 11% 11% N/A 12% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 61% 59% N/A 63% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 1% 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% Ben Carson 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% Ted Cruz 14% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 7% Marco Rubio 11% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 7% Donald Trump 61% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 62% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% No opinion 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 4% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 14% N/A 15% N/A 18% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 6% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 11% N/A 12% N/A 9% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 61% N/A 58% N/A 60% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 1% N/A * N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 2% Ben Carson 4% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 4% Ted Cruz 14% N/A N/A 13% N/A N/A 20% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 4% Marco Rubio 11% N/A N/A 13% N/A N/A 12% Donald Trump 61% N/A N/A 62% N/A N/A 57% Someone else 1% N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * No opinion 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -17- February 10-15, 2016
18 Question RP3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 3% N/A 3% N/A Ben Carson 4% N/A 4% N/A Ted Cruz 14% N/A 14% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 4% N/A Marco Rubio 11% N/A 11% N/A Donald Trump 61% N/A 62% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 1% N/A * N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -18- February 10-15, 2016
19 Question RP3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 3% 3% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 2% 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 17% 20% N/A 14% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 3% 4% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 14% 10% N/A 15% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 58% 58% N/A 61% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Ben Carson 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Ted Cruz 17% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Marco Rubio 14% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 18% Donald Trump 58% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 57% Someone else * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * No opinion 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A 3% N/A * N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 2% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 17% N/A 17% N/A 21% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 3% N/A 2% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 14% N/A 16% N/A 13% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 58% N/A 57% N/A 57% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% N/A * N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * Ben Carson 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 3% Ted Cruz 17% N/A N/A 15% N/A N/A 22% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 3% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 4% Marco Rubio 14% N/A N/A 17% N/A N/A 16% Donald Trump 58% N/A N/A 59% N/A N/A 53% Someone else * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * No opinion 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -19- February 10-15, 2016
20 Question RP3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 3% N/A 5% N/A Ben Carson 2% N/A 2% N/A Ted Cruz 17% N/A 17% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 3% N/A 5% N/A Marco Rubio 14% N/A 13% N/A Donald Trump 58% N/A 57% N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A e/no one 1% N/A * N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -20- February 10-15, 2016
21 Question RP3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Foreign policy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 7% 8% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 3% 1% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 20% 22% N/A 19% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% 7% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 17% 16% N/A 21% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 42% 41% N/A 41% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% 4% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9% Ben Carson 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% Ted Cruz 20% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 18% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 17% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14% Donald Trump 42% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 44% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% No opinion 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 7% N/A 8% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 3% N/A 4% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 20% N/A 22% N/A 23% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 17% N/A 19% N/A 15% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 42% N/A 35% N/A 43% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% N/A 6% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 7% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 6% Ben Carson 3% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 6% Ted Cruz 20% N/A N/A 19% N/A N/A 28% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 4% Marco Rubio 17% N/A N/A 18% N/A N/A 18% Donald Trump 42% N/A N/A 43% N/A N/A 33% Someone else 2% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * No opinion 4% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 6% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -21- February 10-15, 2016
22 Question RP3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Foreign policy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 7% N/A 8% N/A Ben Carson 3% N/A 5% N/A Ted Cruz 20% N/A 18% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 7% N/A Marco Rubio 17% N/A 19% N/A Donald Trump 42% N/A 38% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one * N/A 1% N/A No opinion 4% N/A 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -22- February 10-15, 2016
23 Question RP3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 3% 3% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 12% 14% N/A 12% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 21% 18% N/A 23% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 6% 9% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 20% 18% N/A 22% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 28% 27% N/A 26% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A e/no one 3% 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 6% 8% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Ben Carson 12% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9% Ted Cruz 21% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 23% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% Marco Rubio 20% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19% Donald Trump 28% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 31% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% e/no one 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% No opinion 6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 12% N/A 16% N/A 13% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 21% N/A 20% N/A 24% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 6% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 20% N/A 20% N/A 17% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 28% N/A 25% N/A 27% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A e/no one 3% N/A 2% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 6% N/A 7% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 1% Ben Carson 12% N/A N/A 14% N/A N/A 13% Ted Cruz 21% N/A N/A 20% N/A N/A 25% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 6% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 20% N/A N/A 23% N/A N/A 21% Donald Trump 28% N/A N/A 29% N/A N/A 26% Someone else 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A * e/no one 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 2% No opinion 6% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 7% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -23- February 10-15, 2016
24 Question RP3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 3% N/A 3% N/A Ben Carson 12% N/A 13% N/A Ted Cruz 21% N/A 19% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 6% N/A 6% N/A Marco Rubio 20% N/A 21% N/A Donald Trump 28% N/A 28% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one 3% N/A 1% N/A No opinion 6% N/A 7% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -24- February 10-15, 2016
25 Question RP3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 6% 6% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 2% 1% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 16% 18% N/A 14% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% 7% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 13% 11% N/A 13% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 55% 51% N/A 55% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * 1% N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% 4% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% Ben Carson 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Ted Cruz 16% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 17% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Marco Rubio 13% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13% Donald Trump 55% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55% Someone else * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% No opinion 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 6% N/A 7% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 16% N/A 17% N/A 18% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 5% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 13% N/A 15% N/A 11% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 55% N/A 51% N/A 54% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * N/A 1% N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 6% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 5% Ben Carson 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 3% Ted Cruz 16% N/A N/A 14% N/A N/A 22% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 5% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 5% Marco Rubio 13% N/A N/A 14% N/A N/A 13% Donald Trump 55% N/A N/A 54% N/A N/A 49% Someone else * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A * N/A N/A 1% No opinion 3% N/A N/A 4% N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -25- February 10-15, 2016
26 Question RP3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 6% N/A 7% N/A Ben Carson 2% N/A 2% N/A Ted Cruz 16% N/A 17% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 5% N/A 5% N/A Marco Rubio 13% N/A 14% N/A Donald Trump 55% N/A 52% N/A Someone else * N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A 1% N/A No opinion 3% N/A 1% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -26- February 10-15, 2016
27 Question RP4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 4% 3% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 9% 7% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 22% 23% N/A 21% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 6% 8% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 20% 17% N/A 23% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 35% 38% N/A 37% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Ben Carson 9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 8% Ted Cruz 22% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 20% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9% Marco Rubio 20% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 20% Donald Trump 35% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 33% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% e/no one 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% No opinion 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 4% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 9% N/A 11% N/A 8% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 22% N/A 23% N/A 27% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 6% N/A 6% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 20% N/A 20% N/A 18% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 35% N/A 33% N/A 35% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% N/A * N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 4% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 3% Ben Carson 9% N/A N/A 9% N/A N/A 11% Ted Cruz 22% N/A N/A 20% N/A N/A 30% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 6% N/A N/A 6% N/A N/A 7% Marco Rubio 20% N/A N/A 21% N/A N/A 19% Donald Trump 35% N/A N/A 36% N/A N/A 28% Someone else 2% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * e/no one 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 2% No opinion 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 1% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -27- February 10-15, 2016
28 Question RP4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 4% N/A 5% N/A Ben Carson 9% N/A 10% N/A Ted Cruz 22% N/A 20% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 6% N/A 7% N/A Marco Rubio 20% N/A 20% N/A Donald Trump 35% N/A 34% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one 1% N/A * N/A No opinion 2% N/A 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -28- February 10-15, 2016
29 Question RP4B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of winning the general election in November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 1% * N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 16% 15% N/A 16% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 4% 4% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 18% 19% N/A 21% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 56% 56% N/A 56% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 5% 6% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * Ben Carson 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% Ted Cruz 16% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% Marco Rubio 18% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 18% Donald Trump 56% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 58% Someone else * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * No opinion 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 16% N/A 15% N/A 18% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 4% N/A 3% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 18% N/A 22% N/A 18% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 56% N/A 55% N/A 51% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 5% N/A 5% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * Ben Carson 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 1% Ted Cruz 16% N/A N/A 16% N/A N/A 20% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 4% N/A N/A 3% N/A N/A 3% Marco Rubio 18% N/A N/A 22% N/A N/A 21% Donald Trump 56% N/A N/A 57% N/A N/A 47% Someone else * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * No opinion 5% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 7% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -29- February 10-15, 2016
30 Question RP4B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of winning the general election in November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush * N/A * N/A Ben Carson 1% N/A 1% N/A Ted Cruz 16% N/A 13% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 4% N/A 5% N/A Marco Rubio 18% N/A 19% N/A Donald Trump 56% N/A 54% N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 5% N/A 6% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -30- February 10-15, 2016
31 Question RP4C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Jeb Bush 1% 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 5% 6% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 13% 15% N/A 12% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 2% 3% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 9% 8% N/A 9% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 64% 59% N/A 66% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 3% 5% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% 2% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 Jeb Bush 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * Ben Carson 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% Ted Cruz 13% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * John Kasich 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% Marco Rubio 9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9% Donald Trump 64% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 62% Someone else * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * e/no one 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% No opinion 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Ben Carson 5% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Ted Cruz 13% N/A 15% N/A 16% N/A N/A N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A John Kasich 2% N/A 1% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A Marco Rubio 9% N/A 9% N/A 9% N/A N/A N/A Donald Trump 64% N/A 63% N/A 62% N/A N/A N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 3% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Jeb Bush 1% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A * Ben Carson 5% N/A N/A 5% N/A N/A 5% Ted Cruz 13% N/A N/A 14% N/A N/A 21% Jim Gilmore * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * John Kasich 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 3% Marco Rubio 9% N/A N/A 11% N/A N/A 8% Donald Trump 64% N/A N/A 63% N/A N/A 57% Someone else * N/A N/A * N/A N/A * e/no one 3% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 4% No opinion 2% N/A N/A 1% N/A N/A 2% Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 POLL -31- February 10-15, 2016
32 Question RP4C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush 1% N/A 1% N/A Ben Carson 5% N/A 7% N/A Ted Cruz 13% N/A 10% N/A Jim Gilmore * N/A * N/A John Kasich 2% N/A 4% N/A Marco Rubio 9% N/A 6% N/A Donald Trump 64% N/A 67% N/A Someone else * N/A * N/A e/no one 3% N/A 5% N/A No opinion 2% N/A 1% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.5 +/-8.0 POLL -32- February 10-15, 2016
33 Question DM1 If the Democratic presidential caucus in Nevada were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 54% 46% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 38% 44% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% N/A 1% * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 5% N/A 7% 9% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A N/A N/A N/A 38% 69% Bernie Sanders 47% N/A N/A N/A N/A 56% 26% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A * 1% e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A * * No opinion 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A 6% 3% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 48% N/A 45% N/A 52% N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 49% N/A 49% N/A 42% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A No opinion 5% N/A 3% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 48% 53% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 47% 41% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 5% 5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 48% N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 47% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 5% N/A 4% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -33- February 10-15, 2016
34 Question DM2 Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Nevada Democratic caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Definitely decided 62% N/A 60% 67% N/A N/A N/A Leaning toward someone 13% N/A 11% 15% N/A N/A N/A Still trying to decide 25% N/A 29% 17% N/A N/A N/A No opinion * N/A * 1% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Definitely decided 62% N/A N/A N/A N/A 58% 71% Leaning toward someone 13% N/A N/A N/A N/A 14% 11% Still trying to decide 25% N/A N/A N/A N/A 28% 17% No opinion * N/A N/A N/A N/A * 2% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Definitely decided 62% N/A 60% N/A 62% N/A 57% N/A Leaning toward someone 13% N/A 16% N/A 12% N/A 17% N/A Still trying to decide 25% N/A 24% N/A 26% N/A 25% N/A No opinion * N/A * N/A * N/A 1% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Definitely decided 62% 63% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Leaning toward someone 13% 12% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Still trying to decide 25% 26% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion * * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Definitely decided 62% N/A 62% N/A Leaning toward someone 13% N/A 11% N/A Still trying to decide 25% N/A 26% N/A No opinion * N/A * N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -34- February 10-15, 2016
35 Question DM3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 53% 40% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 42% 55% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 1% * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% N/A 1% * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% N/A 3% 6% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A N/A N/A N/A 42% 60% Bernie Sanders 47% N/A N/A N/A N/A 53% 35% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% * e/no one 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% No opinion 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% 3% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 48% N/A 46% N/A 57% N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 44% N/A 50% N/A 40% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 4% N/A * N/A 1% N/A e/no one 1% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 48% 53% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 47% 43% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 48% N/A 49% N/A Bernie Sanders 47% N/A 46% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one 1% N/A 2% N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -35- February 10-15, 2016
36 Question DM3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Health care Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 55% N/A 65% 50% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 39% N/A 31% 48% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% N/A 1% * N/A N/A N/A e/no one 2% N/A * 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% N/A 3% 1% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 55% N/A N/A N/A N/A 46% 72% Bernie Sanders 39% N/A N/A N/A N/A 46% 26% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% * e/no one 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% 1% No opinion 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% * Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 55% N/A 56% N/A 53% N/A 54% N/A Bernie Sanders 39% N/A 39% N/A 41% N/A 39% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 3% N/A * N/A * N/A e/no one 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A * N/A No opinion 3% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 7% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 55% 61% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 39% 36% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 55% N/A 55% N/A Bernie Sanders 39% N/A 37% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% N/A e/no one 2% N/A 2% N/A No opinion 3% N/A 4% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -36- February 10-15, 2016
37 Question DM3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Race relations Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 58% N/A 62% 54% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 38% N/A 32% 40% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% N/A 4% 6% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 58% N/A N/A N/A N/A 50% 74% Bernie Sanders 38% N/A N/A N/A N/A 46% 22% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% 1% e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A * * No opinion 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% 3% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 58% N/A 57% N/A 56% N/A 66% N/A Bernie Sanders 38% N/A 36% N/A 40% N/A 30% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A No opinion 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 58% 62% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 38% 34% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 3% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 58% N/A 56% N/A Bernie Sanders 38% N/A 39% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 3% N/A 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -37- February 10-15, 2016
38 Question DM3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Foreign policy Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 68% N/A 75% 73% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 28% N/A 19% 21% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% 3% N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * 1% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% N/A 3% 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 68% N/A N/A N/A N/A 63% 82% Bernie Sanders 28% N/A N/A N/A N/A 33% 17% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2% * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A * * No opinion 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% 1% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 68% N/A 71% N/A 64% N/A 71% N/A Bernie Sanders 28% N/A 26% N/A 32% N/A 21% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A No opinion 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 5% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 68% 73% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 28% 24% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 68% N/A 67% N/A Bernie Sanders 28% N/A 29% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 2% N/A 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -38- February 10-15, 2016
39 Question DM3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. Immigration Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 56% N/A 66% 49% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 37% N/A 28% 39% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% N/A 3% 4% N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% N/A 2% 6% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 56% N/A N/A N/A N/A 51% 65% Bernie Sanders 37% N/A N/A N/A N/A 42% 29% Someone else 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 3% 1% e/no one 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A * 4% No opinion 4% N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% 1% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 56% N/A 52% N/A 53% N/A 55% N/A Bernie Sanders 37% N/A 40% N/A 40% N/A 33% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 4% N/A e/no one 1% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A No opinion 4% N/A 3% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 56% 59% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 37% 34% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 2% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 4% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 56% N/A 53% N/A Bernie Sanders 37% N/A 39% N/A Someone else 2% N/A 2% N/A e/no one 1% N/A 2% N/A No opinion 4% N/A 5% N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -39- February 10-15, 2016
40 Question DM4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White -White Men Women Hillary Clinton 50% N/A 59% 38% N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 49% N/A 40% 60% N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% N/A * * N/A N/A N/A e/no one * N/A * * N/A N/A N/A No opinion 1% N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 50% N/A N/A N/A N/A 42% 65% Bernie Sanders 49% N/A N/A N/A N/A 57% 32% Someone else 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% * e/no one * N/A N/A N/A N/A * 1% No opinion 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A * 2% Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton 50% N/A 46% N/A 49% N/A 57% N/A Bernie Sanders 49% N/A 51% N/A 51% N/A 43% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A No opinion 1% N/A * N/A 1% N/A * N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Hillary Clinton 50% 56% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bernie Sanders 49% 44% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Someone else 1% * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A e/no one * * N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A No opinion 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 Hillary Clinton 50% N/A 52% N/A Bernie Sanders 49% N/A 46% N/A Someone else 1% N/A 1% N/A e/no one * N/A * N/A No opinion 1% N/A * N/A Sampling Error +/-6.0 +/-6.5 POLL -40- February 10-15, 2016
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Monday, February 29 at 6:00 a.m.
Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on February 24-27, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, December 23 at 4:00 p.m.
Interviews with 1,018 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on December 17-21, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, May 4 at 6:00 a.m.
Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on April 28 May 1, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,037 Adults
How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,037 Adults This survey of 1,037 adults was conducted July 14 th through July 21 st, 2015 by The Marist Poll sponsored
NEW HAMPSHIRE: TRUMP, SANDERS HOLD LEADS
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Sunday, 7, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 4 of 8
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, co-directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 4 of 8 Survey produced
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Walker, Clinton lead New Hampshire Primaries
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 15, 2015 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF
SOUTH CAROLINA: TRUMP LEADS, CARSON 2 nd
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Tuesday, August 25, 2015 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 5 of 8
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