Marquette Law School Poll January 21-24, 2016 Results for Registered Voters

Transcription

1 Marquette Law School Poll January 21-24, 2016 Results for Registered Voters (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 here may round up or down if they are slightly above.5 or slightly below. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) S2. Record Gender Frequency Valid Valid Male Female S3a. Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes S4. Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Total Missing System Total

2 S5. Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren't you? Valid Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote No Answer/Don't Know/Refused Frequency Valid S6. Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Frequency Valid Valid Plan to Register Missing System Total Follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then or hardly at all? Frequency Valid Valid Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don't know

3 2. What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2016 general election for President, Congress, and other offices? Frequency Valid Valid Absolutely certain Very likely Will not vote Don't know Refused b. What are the chances that you will vote in the April 5 elections? Frequency Valid Valid Absolutely certain Very likely Will not vote Don't know ASK Q3 FIRST/Q5 FIRST Frequency Valid Valid Q3 first Q5 first

4 3. Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know Refused Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused

5 6. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Barack Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Ron Johnson: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

6 9. Russ Feingold: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Scott Walker: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Paul Ryan: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

7 12. Ben Carson: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Jeb Bush: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Donald Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

8 15. Ted Cruz: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Marco Rubio: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Chris Christie: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

9 18. John Kasich: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Hilary Clinton: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Bernie Sanders: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

10 21. The Tea Party: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused If the election for U.S. Senator were being held today and the candidates were Ron Johnson the Republican and Russ Feingold the Democrat, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Feingold Johnson Neither Don't Know Refused

11 23. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Neither Don't know Refused If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Neither Don't know Refused

12 25. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Marco Rubio Neither Don't know Refused If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Ted Cruz Neither Don't know Refused If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Donald Trump Neither Don't know Refused

13 28. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Marco Rubio Neither Don't know Refused Do you favor or oppose Wisconsin's current law allowing residents to obtain a license to carry concealed handguns? Frequency Valid Valid Favor Oppose Don't know Refused Favor/Oppose: Allowing Wisconsin residents with a concealed carry license to take concealed handguns onto school grounds? Frequency Valid Valid Favor Oppose Don't know Refused

14 31. Favor/Oppose: Making private gun sales and sales at gun shows subject to background checks? Frequency Valid Valid Favor Oppose Don't know Refused Do you think your local public schools are receiving enough funding from the state to maintain quality education/more funding than is needed/too little funding from the state? Frequency Valid Valid Enough More than needed Too little Don't know Refused If your local school board proposed a referendum to increase taxes for schools would you be more inclined to vote for or to vote against that referendum? Frequency Valid Valid Vote for Vote against It depends Don't know Refused

15 34. So far as you know, have there been reports of contamination of the drinking water in your county in the past two years? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused Have you read or heard anything about the issue with the Waukesha water supply? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused Do you think Waukesha should be allowed to divert water from Lake Michigan or should the city pursue other alternatives even if they cost more? Frequency Valid Valid Should be allowed Should find other ways Don't know Refused

16 37. Should the primary objective of Great Lakes water management be economic development or environmental protection? Valid Economic development Environmental protection Frequency Valid Don't know Refused Are water quality issues mainly a problem in isolated parts of the state, such as Waukesha, or should residents throughout the state be concerned about them? Valid Only an isolated problem Concern throughout the state Frequency Valid Don't know Refused

17 Valid 39. Undocumented immigrants: Able to stay and apply for citizenship/stay as temporary guest workers/required to leave jobs and US? Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave jobs and U.S. Frequency Valid Don't know Refused Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not? Valid Ban Muslims from entering Frequency Valid Do not ban Don't know Refused Would you personally like to see Scott Walker seek a third term as governor in 2018? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused

18 F1. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference Don't know Refused F2. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

19 42. On April 5, Wisconsin will hold its presidential primaries. Will you vote in the Republican presidential primary, the Democratic presidential primary or don't you plan to vote in a primary on April 5? Frequency Valid Valid Republican primary Democratic primary Don't plan to vote Both Don't know Refused In Wisconsin you can only vote in one party's primary in a single election. Do you think you are more likely to vote in the Republican or the Democratic presidential primary? Frequency Valid Valid Republican primary Democratic primary Don't plan to vote Both (IF RESPONDENT INSISTS THEY CAN VOTE IN BOTH ACCEPT THI Don't know Total Missing System Total

20 Which Primary Vote In on April 5, 2016 Frequency Valid Valid Republican Primary Democratic Primary Won't vote Both Don't Know Refused Which of the following will you vote for in the Republican presidential primary? Frequency Valid Valid Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Donald Trump Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

21 45. Regardless of who you personally support, who do you think is most likely to finally win the Republican nomination for president? Frequency Valid Valid Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Donald Trump Don't know Total Missing System Total Which of the following will you vote for in the Democratic presidential primary? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

22 47. Regardless of who you personally support, who do you think is most likely to finally win the Democratic nomination for president? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total Valid F3. What is the highest level of education you completed? Elementary school only Some high school but didn't finish Completed high school Some college but didn't finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Frequency Valid Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D Refused

23 F4. What is your age? Frequency Valid Valid

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25 F4a. Age ranges. Frequency Valid Valid years old years old years old or more Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

26 F5. Are you currently married, living with a partner but not married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Frequency Valid Valid Married Living with a partner but not married Widowed Divorced Separated Never married Refused F6. How many children under 18 are currently living with you now, if any? Frequency Valid Valid None One Two Three Four Five or more Refused

27 F7. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused F8. Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race? Frequency Valid Valid White African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Refused

28 F9. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services? Valid More than once a week Frequency Valid Once a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Seldom Never Refused F10. What is your religious preference? Frequency Valid Valid Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Muslim/Islam Mormon/Latter-Day Saints Other Christian Religion Other Non-Christian Religion No Religion/Atheist/Agn ostic Don't know Refused

29 F11. Would you describe yourself as a 'born again' or evangelical Christian, or not? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, would No, would not Don't know Total Missing System Total F12. Last year, that is in 2015, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Frequency Valid Valid Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, to under $200, Over $200, Don't know Refused

30 F13. Would you describe the place where you live as urban, suburban or rural? Frequency Valid Valid Urban Suburban Rural Don't know F14. Do you have any guns, rifles or pistols in your home? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused F15. In general, would you describe your political views as...? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused

31 F16. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? Frequency Valid Valid R In Union Other in Union Non-Union Don't Know Refused F17. Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government - for example, as a public school teacher, police officer, firefighter, or other government job? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused Valid F19. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Frequency Valid Don't know Refused

32 F20. And did I reach you by dialing: DATAFROM(0.1)-DATAFROM(0.1)- DATAFROM(0.1) Frequency Valid Valid Yes No F22. Is this phone a cell phone? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No wave Frequency Valid Valid polldatestr Frequency Valid Valid

33 Sex Frequency Valid Valid Male Female Age 4 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref Age 6 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref

34 3 race categories Frequency Valid Valid White Black Other DK/NA/Ref hispanic Frequency Valid Valid Yes No DK/NA/Ref education categories Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref

35 Education 5 with Post-BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll/AA BA Post BA DK/NA/Ref Education 5 with BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 6 AA, BA and MA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA Post-BA DK/NA/Ref

36 3 category Party ID including leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref category Party ID no leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref Party ID 5 categories, leaners separate Frequency Valid Valid Rep Lean Rep Ind Lean Dem Dem DK/NA/Ref

37 Race/Ethnicity Frequency Valid Valid White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/Ref Income Recode Frequency Valid Valid Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/Ref Region/Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state

38 Region2/MKE,Wow,Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state region7/mke,wow,media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Lax/EC MSP/DS/Wau

39 dma8/eight category Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE Dane Rock Rest of MSN Lax/EC GB/A Wau/MSP/DS Religion recoded (6 cat) Frequency Valid Valid Protestant/Christian Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA/Ref qf16 and qf17 - job and union status Frequency Valid Valid Public union Public non-union Private union Private non-union DK/NA/Ref

40 Marital Status, 3 category Frequency Valid Valid Married Widow/Div/Sep/CoH ab Never Married NA/Ref Sex X Married Frequency Valid Valid Male, Married Female, Married Male, Not Married Female, Not Married