Californians and Their Government March 2016 Full Crosstabs Likely Voters Only

Transcription

1 PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY MARCH 2016 ns and Their Government March 2016 Full Crosstabs Likely Voters Only Methodology Note: Findings are based on a survey of 1,710 adult residents, with 50 percent interviewed on landline telephones (852 interviews) and 50 percent interviewed on cell phones (858 interviews). Interviews took an average of 20 minutes to complete. Interviewing took place on weekend days and weekday nights March 6 15, These crosstabs are based on a subgroup of 1,039 adult likely voters. The sampling error, taking design effects from weighting into consideration, is ±4.4 percent at the 95 percent confidence level for the unweighted sample of 1,039 likely voters. The sampling error for unweighted likely voter subgroups is larger. For the 529 ic Primary likely voters, it is ±6.2 percent; for the 321 Primary likely voters, it is ±7.3 percent. Sampling error is one type of error to which surveys are subject. Results may also be affected by factors such as question wording, question order, and survey timing. If you have any questions or require additional information regarding this survey, please contact [email protected]

2 March 2016, ns and their Government March 2016, CROSSTABS - LIKELY VOTERS ONLY PPIC Statewide Survey ns and Their Government - March 2016 jobs, economy water, drought immigration, illegal immigration Q1. First, thinking about the state as a whole, what do you think is the most important issue facing people in today? crime, gangs, drugs, schools, teachers environment, pollution, global warming government in general housing costs, housing availability 1 [VOL] other (specify) don't know Home ership jobs, economy water, drought immigration, illegal immigration Q1. First, thinking about the state as a whole, what do you think is the most important issue facing people in today? crime, gangs, drugs, schools, teachers environment, pollution, global warming government in general housing costs, housing availability [VOL] other (specify) don't know Page 2

3 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q2. Overall, do you approve approve or disapprove of the way that Jerry disapprove Brown is handling his job as governor of ? Q2. Overall, do you approve approve or disapprove of the way that Jerry disapprove Brown is handling his job as governor of ? Home ership Q2. Overall, do you approve approve or disapprove of the way that Jerry disapprove Brown is handling his job as governor of ? Page 3

4 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q3. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the Legislature is handling its job? approve disapprove Q3. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the Legislature is handling its job? approve disapprove Home ership Q3. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the Legislature is handling its job? approve disapprove Page 4

5 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q4. Do you think things in are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Q4. Do you think things in are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Home ership Q4. Do you think things in are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Page 5

6 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q5. Turning to economic good times conditions in, do you think that during bad times the next 12 months we will have good times financially or bad times? Q5. Turning to economic good times conditions in, do you think that during bad times the next 12 months we will have good times financially or bad times? Home ership Q5. Turning to economic good times conditions in, do you think that during bad times the next 12 months we will have good times financially or bad times? Page 6

7 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY very liberal somewhat liberal middle-ofthe-road Latinos Whites Q8a. [ic Hillary Clinton primary likely voters ] If the 2016 Bernie Sanders ic primary for president were being someone else (specify) 1 1 held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Not a college graduate graduate Under $80,000 $80,000 or more Home ership Q8a. [ic Hillary Clinton primary likely voters ] If the 2016 Bernie Sanders ic primary for president were being someone else (specify) 1 held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Page 7

8 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY somewhat conservative very conservative Q8d. [ primary likely voters Ted Cruz Recalculated to show Rubio supporters John Kasich second choices] If the Donald Trump primary for president someone else (specify) were being held today, and these were the 1 1 candidates, who would you vote for? Not a college graduate graduate Under $80,000 $80,000 or more Q8d. [ primary likely voters Ted Cruz Recalculated to show Rubio supporters John Kasich second choices] If the Donald Trump primary for president someone else (specify) 1 1 were being held today, and these were the 1 1 candidates, who would you vote for? Page 8

9 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q9. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. President in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Q9. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. President in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Home ership Q9. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. President in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Page 9

10 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q10. How closely are you following news about candidates for the 2016 presidential election - very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely? very closely fairly closely not too closely not at all closely Q10. How closely are you following news about candidates for the 2016 presidential election - very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely? very closely fairly closely not too closely not at all closely Home ership Q10. How closely are you following news about candidates for the 2016 presidential election - very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely? very closely fairly closely not too closely not at all closely Page 10

11 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q11.As you may know, now has a top-two primary system for statewide races in which voters can cast ballots for any candidate, regardless of party. If the June primary for US Senator were being held today, who would you vote for? Tom Del Beccaro, a Kamala Harris, a Loretta Sanchez, a Duf Sundheim, a someone else (specify) Q11.As you may know, now has a top-two primary system for statewide races in which voters can cast ballots for any candidate, regardless of party. If the June primary for US Senator were being held today, who would you vote for? Tom Del Beccaro, a Kamala Harris, a Loretta Sanchez, a Duf Sundheim, a someone else (specify) Page 11

12 Home ership Q11.As you may know, now has a top-two primary system for statewide races in which voters can cast ballots for any candidate, regardless of party. If the June primary for US Senator were being held today, who would you vote for? Tom Del Beccaro, a Kamala Harris, a Loretta Sanchez, a Duf Sundheim, a someone else (specify) Page 12

13 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q12. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. Senate in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Q12. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. Senate in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Home ership Q12. In general, would you say you are satisfied or not satisfied with your choices of candidates in the election for U.S. Senate in 2016? satisfied not satisfied [VOL] both Page 13

14 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q13. Next, do you think the state budget big problem situation in - that is, the balance between government spending and revenues - is a big problem, somewhat of a problem not a problem somewhat of a problem, or not a problem for the people of today? Q13. Next, do you think the state budget big problem situation in - that is, the balance between government spending and revenues - is a big problem, somewhat of a problem not a problem somewhat of a problem, or not a problem for the people of today? Home ership Q13. Next, do you think the state budget big problem situation in - that is, the balance somewhat of a problem between government spending and revenues - not a problem is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem for the people of today? Page 14

15 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q14. As you may know, voters passed Proposition 30 in November Do you favor or oppose extending for 12 years the tax increase on earnings over $250,000 dollars to fund and healthcare? favor oppose [VOL] don't know Q14. As you may know, voters passed Proposition 30 in November Do you favor or oppose extending for 12 years the tax increase on earnings over $250,000 dollars to fund and healthcare? favor oppose Home ership Q14. As you may know, voters passed Proposition 30 in November Do you favor or oppose extending for 12 years the tax increase on earnings over $250,000 dollars to fund and healthcare? favor oppose Page 15

16 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q15. Regardless of how you feel personally about the issue, do you favor or oppose having voters decide whether to extend the Proposition 30 tax increases with a state proposition in the November 2016 election? favor oppose Q15. Regardless of how you feel personally about the issue, do you favor or oppose having voters decide whether to extend the Proposition 30 tax increases with a state proposition in the November 2016 election? favor oppose Home ership Q15. Regardless of how you feel personally about the issue, do you favor or oppose having voters decide whether to extend the Proposition 30 tax increases with a state proposition in the November 2016 election? favor oppose Page 16

17 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q16. Would you say traffic congestion on freeways and major roads is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem in your region of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Q16. Would you say traffic congestion on freeways and major roads is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem in your region of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Home ership Q16. Would you say traffic congestion on freeways and major roads is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a problem in your region of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Page 17

18 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q17. Thinking ahead, very important how important is spending more money somewhat important on the maintenance of 's roads, not too important highways, and bridges for the future quality of not at all important life and economic vitality of. Is it...? Q17. Thinking ahead, very important how important is spending more money somewhat important on the maintenance of 's roads, not too important highways, and bridges for the future quality of not at all important life and economic vitality of. Is it...? Home ership Q17. Thinking ahead, very important how important is spending more money somewhat important on the maintenance of 's roads, not too important highways, and bridges for the future quality of not at all important life and economic vitality of. Is it...? Page 18

19 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q18. Which of the following types of surface transportation projects do you think should have the top priority for additional state funding? freeways and highways public bus and transit systems carpool lanes local streets and roads [VOL] other (SPECIFY) freeways and highways Q18. Which of the following types of surface transportation projects do you think should have the top priority for additional state funding? public bus and transit systems carpool lanes local streets and roads [VOL] other (SPECIFY) Home ership Q18. Which of the following types of surface transportation projects do you think should have the top priority for additional state funding? freeways and highways public bus and transit systems carpool lanes local streets and roads [VOL] other (SPECIFY) Page 19

20 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q19. Overall, how fair do you think our present state and local tax system is - would you say it is very fair, moderately fair, not too fair, or not at all fair? very fair moderately fair not too fair not at all fair Q19. Overall, how fair do you think our present state and local tax system is - would you say it is very fair, moderately fair, not too fair, or not at all fair? very fair moderately fair not too fair not at all fair Home ership Q19. Overall, how fair do you think our present state and local tax system is - would you say it is very fair, moderately fair, not too fair, or not at all fair? very fair moderately fair not too fair not at all fair Page 20

21 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q20. When you combine much more all of the taxes you pay to state and local somewhat more governments, do you feel that you pay much about the right amount more than you should, somewhat more than less than you should you should, about the right amount, or less than you should? Q20. When you combine much more all of the taxes you pay to state and local somewhat more governments, do you feel that you pay much about the right amount more than you should, somewhat more than less than you should you should, about the right amount, or less than you should? Home ership Q20. When you combine much more all of the taxes you pay to state and local somewhat more governments, do you feel that you pay much about the right amount more than you should, somewhat more than less than you should you should, about the right amount, or less than you should? Page 21

22 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q21. Where do you think currently ranks in state and local tax burden per capita? Compared to other states, is 's tax burden per capita near the top, above average, average, below average, or near the bottom? near the top above average average below average near the bottom Q21. Where do you think currently ranks in state and local tax burden per capita? Compared to other states, is 's tax burden per capita near the top, above average, average, below average, or near the bottom? near the top above average average below average near the bottom Home ership Q21. Where do you think currently ranks in state and local tax burden per capita? Compared to other states, is 's tax burden per capita near the top, above average, average, below average, or near the bottom? near the top above average average below average near the bottom Page 22

23 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q22. On another topic, would you say that the supply of water is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not much of a problem in your part of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Q22. On another topic, would you say that the supply of water is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not much of a problem in your part of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Home ership Q22. On another topic, would you say that the supply of water is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not much of a problem in your part of? big problem somewhat of a problem not much of a problem Page 23

24 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q23. The governor has proposed to improve the very important reliability of water supplies by building somewhat important tunnels in the Sacramento-San not too important Joaquin Delta. How important is this not at all important proposal for the future quality of life and economic vitality of? Q23. The governor has proposed to improve the very important reliability of water supplies by building somewhat important tunnels in the Sacramento-San not too important Joaquin Delta. How important is this not at all important proposal for the future quality of life and 1 1 economic vitality of? Home ership Q23. The governor has proposed to improve the very important reliability of water supplies by building somewhat important tunnels in the Sacramento-San not too important Joaquin Delta. How important is this not at all important proposal for the future quality of life and 1 1 economic vitality of? Page 24

25 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q23a. Overall, do you too much think that the people in your part of the right amount are doing too much, the right amount, or not not enough enough to respond to the current drought in? Q23a. Overall, do you too much 1 think that the people in your part of the right amount are doing too much, the right amount, or not not enough enough to respond to the current drought in? Home ership Q23a. Overall, do you too much think that the people in your part of the right amount are doing too much, the right amount, or not not enough enough to respond to the current drought in? Page 25

26 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q24. voters favor passed a $10 billion state bond in 2008 for oppose, but would favor planning and if it cost less construction of a highspeed rail system from oppose, even if it cost to less the and the San Francisco Bay Area. Do you favor or oppose building it? Q24. voters favor passed a $10 billion state bond in 2008 for oppose, but would favor planning and if it cost less construction of a highspeed rail system from oppose, even if it cost to less the and the San Francisco Bay Area. Do you favor or oppose building it? Home ership Q24. voters favor passed a $10 billion state bond in 2008 for oppose, but would favor planning and if it cost less construction of a highspeed rail system from oppose, even if it cost to less the and the San Francisco Bay Area. Do you favor or oppose building it? Page 26

27 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q25. Thinking ahead, very important how important is the high-speed rail system somewhat important for the future quality of life and economic not too important vitality of - is it very important, not at all important somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Q25. Thinking ahead, very important how important is the high-speed rail system somewhat important for the future quality of life and economic not too important vitality of - is it very important, not at all important somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Home ership Q25. Thinking ahead, very important how important is the high-speed rail system somewhat important for the future quality of life and economic not too important vitality of - is it very important, not at all important somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Page 27

28 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q26. In general, how important is 's very important public higher system to the quality of somewhat important life and economic vitality of the state over not too important the next 20 years - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important not at all important Q26. In general, how important is 's very important public higher system to the quality of somewhat important life and economic not too important vitality of the state over the next 20 years - very not at all important important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important Home ership Q26. In general, how important is 's very important public higher system to the quality of somewhat important life and economic vitality of the state over not too important the next 20 years - very not at all important important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important Page 28

29 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY college is Q27. Do you think that a necessary to be college is successful necessary for a person to be successful in succeed without a today's work world, or college do you think that there are many ways to succeed in today's work world without a college? college is Q27. Do you think that a necessary to be college is successful necessary for a person to be successful in succeed without a today's work world, or college do you think that there are many ways to succeed in today's work world without a college? Home ership college is Q27. Do you think that a necessary to be college is successful necessary for a person to be successful in succeed without a today's work world, or college do you think that there are many ways to succeed in today's work world without a college? Page 29

30 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q28. On another topic, overall, do you approve approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is disapprove handling his job as president of the United States? Q28. On another topic, approve overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way disapprove that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States? Home ership Q28. On another topic, approve overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way disapprove that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States? Page 30

31 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q29. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job? approve disapprove Q29. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job? approve disapprove Home ership Q29. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job? approve disapprove Page 31

32 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q30. Do you think things in the United States are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Q30. Do you think things in the United States are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Home ership Q30. Do you think things in the United States are GENERALLY going in the right direction or the wrong direction? right direction wrong direction Page 32

33 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q31. Turning to economic conditions, do good times you think that during the next 12 months the bad times United States will have good times financially or bad times? Q31. Turning to good times economic conditions, do you think that during the bad times next 12 months the United States will have good times financially or bad times? Home ership Q31. Turning to good times economic conditions, do you think that during the bad times next 12 months the United States will have good times financially or bad times? Page 33

34 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q32. Do you think the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. is getting larger, getting smaller, or has it stayed the same? getting larger getting smaller stayed the same Q32. Do you think the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. is getting larger, getting smaller, or has it stayed the same? getting larger getting smaller stayed the same Home ership Q32. Do you think the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. is getting larger, getting smaller, or has it stayed the same? getting larger getting smaller stayed the same Page 34

35 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q33. Should the government do more to should do more reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in should not be doing this country, or is this something the government should not be doing? Q33. Should the government do more to should do more reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in should not be doing this country, or is this something the government should not be doing? Home ership Q33. Should the government do more to should do more reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in should not be doing this country, or is this something the government should not be doing? Page 35

36 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q33a.Which comes closer to your view? [ROTATE] [1] In today's economy, everyone has a fair chance to get ahead in the long run. [OR] [2] In today's economy, it's mainly just a few people at the top who have a chance to get ahead. everyone has a fair chance just a few people at the top have a chance Q33a.Which comes closer to your view? [ROTATE] [1] In today's economy, everyone has a fair chance to get ahead in the long run. [OR] [2] In today's economy, it's mainly just a few people at the top who have a chance to get ahead. everyone has a fair chance just a few people at the top have a chance Home ership Q33a.Which comes closer to your view? [ROTATE] [1] In today's economy, everyone has a fair chance to get ahead in the long run. [OR] [2] In today's economy, it's mainly just a few people at the top who have a chance to get ahead. everyone has a fair chance just a few people at the top have a chance Page 36

37 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q34. If you had to choose, would you rather have, a smaller government providing fewer services, or a bigger government providing more services? smaller government, fewer services bigger government, more services Q34. If you had to choose, would you rather have, a smaller government providing fewer services, or a bigger government providing more services? smaller government, fewer services bigger government, more services Home ership Q34. If you had to choose, would you rather have, a smaller government providing fewer services, or a bigger government providing more services? smaller government, fewer services bigger government, more services Page 37

38 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q35. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? most Americans demand more from the government than they are willing to pay taxes for most Americans are willing to pay the taxes needed to fund services they expect government to provide Q35. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? most Americans demand more from the government than they are willing to pay taxes for most Americans are willing to pay the taxes needed to fund services they expect government to provide Page 38

39 Home ership Q35. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? most Americans demand more from the government than they are willing to pay taxes for most Americans are willing to pay the taxes needed to fund services they expect government to provide Page 39

40 PPIC Statewide Survey - ns and Their Government - March LIKELY VOTERS ONLY Q35a. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? government regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest government regulation of business does more harm than good Q35a. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? government regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest government regulation of business does more harm than good Home ership Q35a. Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view...? government regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest government regulation of business does more harm than good Page 40

41 Page 41