THE DOCTOR IS IN AS CARSON TIES TRUMP IN GOP RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; CARSON TOPS CLINTON BY 10 POINTS IN GENERAL ELECTION
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- Ruth Dorsey
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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: NOVEMBER 4, 2015 THE DOCTOR IS IN AS CARSON TIES TRUMP IN GOP RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; CARSON TOPS CLINTON BY 10 POINTS IN GENERAL ELECTION One year before Election Day 2016, Dr. Ben Carson is virtually tied with Donald Trump as strong front-runners for the Republican nomination, and Carson tops former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton percent in the final face-off, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Trump gets 24 percent of Republican votes, with Carson at 23 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 14 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 13 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 9 percent undecided, and 63 percent who might change their mind. Among Republicans, 25 percent of voters say they would definitely not support Trump, with 23 percent who would not back Bush. Clinton gets 53 percent of Democrats, with 35 percent for Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, with 9 percent undecided and 44 percent who might change their mind. Only 8 percent of Democrats say they would definitely not support Clinton. Is there a doctor in the house? There certainly is and at the moment Dr. Ben Carson is delivering a troubling diagnosis to Secretary Hillary Clinton, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. With the election one year away, Ben Carson has surgically cut away all but one GOP opponent and taken a scalpel to Hillary Clinton's lead. But a year is an eternity in presidential campaigns and this race already has left some former front-runners on life support. Clinton gets crushed on character issues, pounded by Carson and closely challenged by Sen. Ted Cruz, Donald Trump and Sen. Marco Rubio. -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/November 4, 2015 page 2 Clinton s traditional lead among women evaporates as American voters pick Carson over the Democrat percent. Women go 45 percent for Carson and 44 percent for Clinton, while men back the Republican percent. In other matchups with GOP contenders: Clinton gets 46 percent to Trump s 43 percent; Rubio tops Clinton percent; Cruz gets 46 percent to Clinton s 43 percent; New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie tops Clinton percent. Sanders doesn t do much better against Republicans: Losing to Carson percent; Getting 46 percent to Trump s 44 percent; Trailing Rubio percent; Getting 44 percent to Cruz s 45 percent; Getting 42 percent to Christie s 45 percent. Bush has the worst net favorability rating of any candidate, a negative percent, while Trump gets a negative percent and Clinton gets a negative percent. Other favorability ratings are: percent for Carson; percent for Sanders; percent for Rubio; percent for Cruz. Clinton has the lowest rating for honesty as American voters say percent she is not honest and trustworthy. Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say percent. Carson gets the best honesty grades among top candidates, a positive percent. Carson also gets the highest grades as American voters say percent that he cares about their needs and problems. But voters say percent that Carson does not have the right kind of experience to be president. Voters say percent that Trump does not have the right experience, the two lowest grades among top candidates. From October 29 November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,144 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 502 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points and 480 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit call (203) , or follow us on 2
3 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 8% 3% 5% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA MOST IMPORTANT FOR REP PRES NOMINEE Q79 Economy Shares Strong Honest/ MostImpt Values Leader Trustworthy IssueQ81 Bush 1% 6% 3% 7% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
4 1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Carson Trump Made up 35% 34% 52% Might change DK/NA (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 23% 35% 26% 33% 20% 15% 29% 17% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump No/No one DK/NA
5 3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Larry Lessig, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Clinton 53% 37% 61% 54% 50% 54% Lessig O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA MOST IMPORTANT FOR DEM PRES NOMINEE Q80 Economy Shares Strong MostImpt Values Leader Cares IssueQ82 Clinton 42% 67% 43% 55% Lessig O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3 Tot Clinton Sanders Made up 54% 61% 45% Might change DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Clinton, Lessig, O'Malley, or Sanders? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Clinton 8% 5% 3% 11% 7% 9% Lessig O'Malley Sanders No/No one DK/NA
6 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 40% 5% 85% 31% 35% 44% 48% 36% Carson SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 49% 42% 33% 44% 30% 38% 34% 73% Carson SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 46% 8% 91% 38% 36% 55% 54% 42% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 58% 49% 40% 44% 30% 46% 38% 91% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 41% 5% 85% 35% 35% 47% 49% 38% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 46% 45% 36% 45% 30% 40% 35% 83% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
7 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 43% 5% 86% 38% 37% 48% 53% 38% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 48% 47% 37% 47% 31% 41% 37% 81% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 41% 5% 87% 33% 36% 47% 50% 37% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 52% 42% 35% 45% 29% 40% 35% 77% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 39% 5% 80% 29% 35% 42% 46% 35% Carson SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 54% 41% 30% 38% 31% 33% 32% 75% Carson SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
8 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 46% 10% 85% 41% 40% 51% 56% 41% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 62% 48% 40% 42% 35% 41% 38% 85% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 41% 6% 82% 36% 39% 44% 47% 39% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 51% 44% 37% 40% 34% 38% 36% 71% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 44% 8% 84% 38% 43% 45% 51% 40% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 56% 45% 38% 43% 37% 40% 38% 73% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
9 14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 42% 8% 81% 36% 40% 44% 48% 40% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 58% 43% 36% 40% 33% 37% 35% 74% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2016 presidential election next year; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? More 35% 52% 25% 31% 34% 37% 30% 38% Less About the same DK/NA More 44% 30% 37% 31% 36% 38% 37% 20% Less About the same DK/NA
10 Q Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable). REGISTERED VOTERS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Carson Rubio Fiorina Sanders Kasich Cruz Huckabee Christie Jindal Clinton Paul O'Malley Santorum Gilmore Pataki Trump Graham Bush REPUBLICANS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Carson Rubio Cruz Fiorina Huckabee Christie Trump Jindal Santorum Paul Kasich Bush Graham Gilmore Pataki DEMOCRATS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Clinton Sanders O'Malley
11 16. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable 42% 7% 83% 35% 35% 48% 47% 39% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 50% 45% 34% 44% 27% 39% 33% 85% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 49% 82% 17% 53% 52% 47% 45% 52% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 32% 47% 58% 53% 56% 52% 54% 27% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 37% 63% 10% 42% 44% 31% 29% 41% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 22% 39% 43% 38% 46% 35% 41% 11% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
12 19. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 39% 13% 67% 38% 40% 39% 48% 35% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 52% 39% 36% 37% 36% 35% 36% 57% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 39% 71% 11% 39% 43% 35% 42% 37% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 21% 36% 45% 47% 47% 39% 43% 16% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 35% 68% 5% 36% 40% 31% 28% 39% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 22% 36% 41% 36% 44% 34% 39% 11% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
13 22. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 33% 57% 11% 33% 35% 31% 39% 30% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 16% 31% 37% 46% 40% 36% 38% 17% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 25% 44% 13% 21% 30% 22% 29% 24% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable 37% 69% 9% 36% 39% 35% 39% 36% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 2% 4% 2% - 2% 2% 1% 2% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
14 26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 12% 22% 3% 13% 16% 8% 15% 11% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 33% 63% 6% 27% 36% 30% 34% 33% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 20% 40% 5% 16% 21% 19% 16% 22% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 23% 31% 15% 27% 24% 22% 33% 17% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 10% 12% 7% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
15 31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 29% 45% 7% 33% 38% 20% 29% 29% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 23% 45% 6% 18% 27% 19% 19% 25% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Larry Lessig favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 4% 5% 5% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 10% 3% 23% 6% 9% 12% 17% 8% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
16 Q Summary Table - Would you say that [Candidate] is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Clinton Trump Sanders Carson Rubio Cruz Christie Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 36% 4% 68% 35% 30% 41% 37% 35% No DK/NA Yes 48% 36% 28% 39% 23% 32% 28% 71% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 38% 62% 14% 41% 44% 33% 32% 42% No DK/NA Yes 24% 37% 44% 43% 47% 39% 43% 13% No DK/NA Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 55% 37% 73% 56% 57% 53% 62% 52% No DK/NA Yes 68% 49% 56% 50% 54% 53% 53% 56% No DK/NA
17 47. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 62% 91% 32% 68% 66% 58% 62% 61% No DK/NA Yes 50% 54% 70% 68% 70% 65% 67% 38% No DK/NA Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 50% 74% 24% 54% 53% 46% 53% 48% No DK/NA Yes 41% 44% 54% 56% 57% 53% 55% 17% No DK/NA Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 43% 75% 11% 46% 50% 37% 39% 45% No DK/NA Yes 34% 41% 49% 45% 53% 41% 47% 23% No DK/NA Would you say that - Chris Christie is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 39% 63% 22% 37% 40% 39% 41% 38% No DK/NA Yes 30% 36% 41% 51% 43% 42% 43% 27% No DK/NA
18 Q Summary Table - Would you say that [Candidate] has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Clinton Trump Sanders Carson Rubio Cruz Christie Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 56% 25% 90% 57% 48% 64% 65% 52% No DK/NA Yes 69% 62% 49% 53% 42% 59% 51% 86% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 60% 82% 34% 68% 66% 54% 59% 60% No DK/NA Yes 56% 62% 62% 56% 70% 62% 66% 31% No DK/NA Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 48% 28% 68% 51% 45% 50% 49% 47% No DK/NA Yes 63% 46% 46% 40% 42% 46% 44% 63% No DK/NA
19 54. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 47% 76% 25% 44% 49% 46% 42% 50% No DK/NA Yes 42% 45% 52% 47% 52% 50% 51% 31% No DK/NA Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 48% 72% 26% 52% 49% 46% 53% 45% No DK/NA Yes 40% 45% 52% 54% 54% 55% 54% 17% No DK/NA Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 45% 76% 17% 44% 51% 39% 40% 47% No DK/NA Yes 43% 43% 48% 43% 55% 44% 49% 24% No DK/NA Would you say that - Chris Christie has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 56% 76% 39% 58% 55% 56% 66% 50% No DK/NA Yes 47% 57% 57% 60% 60% 61% 61% 47% No DK/NA
20 Q Summary Table - Would you say that [Candidate] cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Clinton Trump Sanders Carson Rubio Cruz Christie Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 44% 11% 82% 40% 38% 50% 51% 41% No DK/NA Yes 57% 45% 37% 47% 31% 43% 37% 81% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 36% 61% 11% 39% 41% 31% 32% 38% No DK/NA Yes 25% 33% 42% 38% 44% 37% 41% 11% No DK/NA Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 52% 31% 77% 51% 50% 54% 60% 48% No DK/NA Yes 71% 46% 53% 48% 47% 52% 49% 62% No DK/NA
21 61. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 56% 86% 23% 63% 58% 53% 55% 56% No DK/NA Yes 41% 50% 65% 60% 63% 59% 61% 33% No DK/NA Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 46% 76% 16% 50% 51% 41% 48% 45% No DK/NA Yes 38% 39% 52% 52% 54% 48% 51% 15% No DK/NA Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 41% 75% 9% 43% 47% 36% 37% 44% No DK/NA Yes 34% 37% 47% 42% 52% 41% 46% 19% No DK/NA Would you say that - Chris Christie cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 46% 71% 27% 46% 48% 45% 53% 43% No DK/NA Yes 39% 45% 47% 54% 53% 50% 51% 30% No DK/NA
22 Q Summary Table - Would you say that [Candidate] has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes No DK/NA Clinton Trump Sanders Carson Rubio Cruz Christie Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 62% 36% 91% 61% 59% 66% 72% 58% No DK/NA Yes 80% 69% 53% 57% 56% 60% 58% 86% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 39% 62% 13% 42% 45% 33% 31% 43% No DK/NA Yes 31% 41% 44% 35% 49% 38% 43% 17% No DK/NA Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 46% 25% 68% 48% 47% 46% 51% 44% No DK/NA Yes 68% 46% 41% 40% 45% 42% 43% 58% No DK/NA
23 68. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 38% 64% 18% 31% 38% 37% 30% 42% No DK/NA Yes 32% 35% 45% 37% 40% 41% 41% 21% No DK/NA Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 43% 68% 19% 46% 47% 40% 43% 43% No DK/NA Yes 37% 42% 47% 45% 53% 46% 49% 17% No DK/NA Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 43% 73% 15% 41% 49% 38% 39% 46% No DK/NA Yes 38% 45% 46% 40% 54% 45% 49% 16% No DK/NA Would you say that - Chris Christie has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 53% 73% 34% 56% 56% 49% 61% 48% No DK/NA Yes 42% 60% 53% 54% 61% 54% 58% 36% No DK/NA
24 Q Summary Table - Would you say that [Candidate] shares your values or not? Yes No DK/NA Clinton Trump Sanders Carson Rubio Cruz Christie Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not? Yes 42% 6% 84% 37% 35% 48% 49% 39% No DK/NA Yes 54% 45% 35% 43% 30% 41% 35% 78% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not? Yes 33% 55% 10% 36% 39% 27% 30% 34% No DK/NA Yes 16% 33% 38% 36% 40% 31% 35% 14% No DK/NA Would you say that - Bernie Sanders shares your values or not? Yes 42% 15% 69% 42% 42% 41% 50% 38% No DK/NA Yes 60% 37% 40% 38% 39% 39% 39% 50% No DK/NA
25 75. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not? Yes 51% 85% 18% 58% 55% 48% 48% 53% No DK/NA Yes 36% 48% 58% 57% 60% 54% 57% 29% No DK/NA Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not? Yes 40% 72% 10% 42% 46% 35% 41% 40% No DK/NA Yes 31% 36% 46% 45% 50% 40% 45% 11% No DK/NA Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not? Yes 37% 69% 7% 37% 43% 32% 33% 40% No DK/NA Yes 24% 36% 44% 39% 46% 36% 41% 14% No DK/NA Would you say that - Chris Christie shares your values or not? Yes 42% 65% 23% 42% 45% 39% 43% 41% No DK/NA Yes 35% 39% 45% 50% 49% 41% 45% 34% No DK/NA
26 79. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Shares values 22% 27% 24% 30% 18% 19% 20% 24% Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Shares values 19% 29% 20% 15% 23% 17% Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, taxes or gun policy? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Economy and jobs 35% 32% 29% 35% 31% 41% 35% 35% Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Taxes Gun policy DK/NA
27 82. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, taxes or gun policy? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Economy and jobs 45% 27% 59% 47% 41% 48% Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Taxes Gun policy DK/NA Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has served as a Governor of a state, someone who has served in the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives, or someone who has never held an elected office? Governor 33% 38% 29% 32% 35% 31% 38% 30% U.S. Senate/House Never held office DK/NA Governor 37% 28% 36% 32% 35% 31% 33% 29% U.S. Senate/House Never held office DK/NA
28 84. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a Muslim president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 23% 6% 38% 23% 26% 20% 31% 19% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 42% 25% 17% 16% 23% 19% 21% 27% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a Jewish president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 65% 65% 67% 63% 68% 62% 79% 58% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 72% 65% 67% 59% 71% 68% 70% 45% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA
29 86. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a president of the United States who is not an active church member, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 44% 29% 58% 48% 51% 38% 57% 38% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 55% 46% 43% 37% 50% 43% 47% 34% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a woman president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 73% 64% 88% 70% 73% 74% 84% 68% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 79% 74% 75% 68% 72% 76% 74% 72% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA
30 88. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - an African American president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 80% 80% 85% 77% 79% 81% 86% 77% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 86% 82% 83% 71% 81% 83% 82% 82% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a Seventh Day Adventist president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 37% 41% 30% 43% 38% 35% 45% 33% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 30% 40% 36% 41% 42% 39% 40% 23% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA
31 90. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about - a democratic socialist president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with? Entrly comfortable 22% 5% 41% 19% 22% 21% 28% 19% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA Entrly comfortable 37% 23% 16% 17% 23% 20% 22% 20% Smwht comfortable Smwht uncomfortable Entrly uncomfortable DK/NA As you may know, CNBC held a debate among the Republican presidential candidates on Wednesday, October 28th. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debate; I did not watch or listen to the debate, but I paid close attention to news stories about it afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debate or pay close attention to news stories about it? Watched/listened 44% 46% - 38% 47% 41% 51% 41% Paid attn to news Did not watch/listen or pay close attn DK/NA Watched/listened 34% 44% 39% 57% 44% 43% 44% 41% Paid attn to news Did not watch/listen or pay close attn DK/NA
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