Marquette Law School Poll September November 12-15, 2015 Results for Registered Voters

Transcription

1 ! Marquette Law School Poll September November 12-15, 2015 Results for Registered Voters (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 here may round up or down if they are slightly above.5 or slightly below. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) S2. Gender Frequency Valid Valid Male Female S3a. Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes S4. Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Total Missing System Total

2 S5. Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren't you? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote No Answer/Don't Know/Refused S6. Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Frequency Valid Valid Plan to Register Missing System Total Follow what's going on in politics? Frequency Valid Valid Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all

3 3. Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Frequency Valid Valid Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused

4 6. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Ron Johnson: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Russ Feingold: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

5 9. Scott Walker: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Paul Ryan: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

6 11. Ben Carson: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Jeb Bush: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

7 13. Donald Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Ted Cruz: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

8 15. Marco Rubio: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Hilary Clinton: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know

9 17. Bernie Sanders: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused The Tea Party: Favorable/Unfavorable/Haven't heard enough? Frequency Valid Valid Favorable Unfavorable Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

10 19. If the election for U.S. Senator were being held today and the candidates were Ron Johnson the Republican and Russ Feingold the Democrat, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Feingold Johnson Neither Don't Know Refused Would you say the state's budget is in better shape now than it was a few years ago, about the same or in worse shape now? Frequency Valid Valid Better shape now About the same Worse shape now Don't know Refused

11 21. Do you think Wisconsin is creating jobs at a faster rate than most other states, at about the same rate, or is Wisconsin lagging behind other states in job creation? Frequency Valid Valid Faster than other states About the same rate Lagging behind Don't know Refused Have you read/heard about the recent announcements that General Electric will close in Waukesha/Oscar-Mayer will close in Madison? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, heard No, have not heard Don't know Refused

12 23. Have you read/heard about recent announcements that Amazon is hiring workers near Kenosha/Quad-graphics is adding jobs in Wisconsin? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, heard No, have not heard Don't know Agree/Disagree: The government is pretty much run by a few big interests looking out for themselves. Frequency Valid Valid Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

13 25. Agree/Disagree: Government is taking away my personal freedoms and liberty. Frequency Valid Valid Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Refused Agree/Disagree: Differences in income in America are too large. Frequency Valid Valid Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Refused

14 27. Agree/Disagree: It is the responsibility of the government to reduce the differences in income between people with high incomes and those with low incomes. Frequency Valid Valid Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Agree/Disagree: The government ignores the interests of hard working Americans. Frequency Valid Valid Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Refused

15 29. Paul Ryan: Do you think being Speaker will help represent the district or require him to pay more attention to issues outside his district? Frequency Valid Valid Help represent people in his district Pay more attention to issues outside his district Don't know Refused Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in the state legislature are handling their job? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused

16 31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in the state legislature are handling their job? Frequency Valid Valid Approve Disapprove Don't know Refused Which is more important: someone with experience in how the political system works or someone from outside the existing political establishment? Frequency Valid Valid Someone with experience Someone from outside Don't know Refused

17 33. Which is more important: someone who is uncompromising in their principles or someone willing to compromise in order to achieve some of their goals? Frequency Valid Valid Someone who is uncompromising Someone willing to compromise Don't know Refused Support/Oppose: Splitting the current Government Accountability Board into ethics/elections boards and changing makeup to governor appointed with equal Republicans/Democrats. Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

18 35. Support/Oppose: Doubling the current limit on campaign contributions to candidates and allowing unlimited contributions by individuals to state political parties. Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Support/Oppose: Banning the use of fetal tissue from abortions in medical research. Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

19 37. Support/Oppose: Replacing the current civil service exam hiring system with one based on a resume or work history submitted by applicants for state government jobs Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Support/Oppose: Creating a new state agency to provide refinancing of student loans at lower interest rates. Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused

20 39. Support/Oppose: Borrowing an additional $350 million for highway construction projects. Frequency Valid Valid Support Oppose Haven't heard enough Don't know Refused Did you watch or listen to the Republican presidential debate from Milwaukee on November 10? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused

21 F1. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference Don't know Refused F2. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

22 41. Which of the following would you like to see as the Republican Presidential Candidate? Frequency Valid Valid Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Someone else Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

23 42. Which of the following would you like to see as the Democratic Presidential Candidate? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Ben Carson Neither Don't know Refused

24 44. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Neither Don't know Refused If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Hillary Clinton Marco Rubio Neither Don't know Refused

25 46. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Ben Carson Neither Don't know Refused If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Donald Trump Neither Don't know Refused

26 48. If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Frequency Valid Valid Bernie Sanders Marco Rubio Neither Don't know Refused

27 F3. What is the highest level of education you completed? (READ LIST) (RECORD ONE ANSWER) Frequency Valid Valid Elementary school only Some high school but didn't finish Completed high school Some college but didn't finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D Don't know Refused

28 F4. Age. Frequency Valid Valid

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31 F4a. Age ranges. Frequency Valid Valid years old years old years old years old or more Refused Total Missing System Total F5. Are you currently married, living with a partner but not married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Frequency Valid Valid Married Living with a partner but not married Widowed Divorced Separated Never married Don't know Refused

32 F6. How many children under 18 are currently living with you now, if any? Frequency Valid Valid None One Two Three Four Five or more Refused F7. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Don't know Refused

33 F8. Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race? Frequency Valid Valid White African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Refused F9. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services? Frequency Valid Valid More than once a week Once a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Seldom Never Refused

34 F10. What is your religious preference? Frequency Valid Valid Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Muslim/Islam Other Christian Religion Other Non- Christian Religion No Religion/ Atheist/Agnostic Don't know Refused F11. Would you describe yourself as a 'born again' or evangelical Christian, or not? Frequency Valid Valid Yes, would No, would not Don't know Refused Total Missing System Total

35 F12. Last year, that is in 2014, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Frequency Valid Valid Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, to under $200, Over $200, Don't know Refused

36 F13. Would you describe the place where you live as urban, suburban or rural? Frequency Valid Valid Urban Suburban Rural Don't know Refused F14. Conservative/Liberal: How would you describe your political views? Frequency Valid Valid Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don't know Refused

37 F15. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? Frequency Valid Valid R In Union Other in Union Non-Union Don't Know Refused F16. Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No Refused

38 F18. Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? Frequency Valid Valid All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Don't know Refused F19. And did I reach you by dialing: Frequency Valid Valid Yes No F21. Is this phone a cell phone? Frequency Valid Valid Yes No

39 wave Frequency Valid Valid polldatestr Frequency Valid Valid Sex Frequency Valid Valid Male Female Age 4 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref

40 Age 6 categories Frequency Valid Valid DK/NA/Ref race categories Frequency Valid Valid White Black Other DK/NA/Ref hispanic Frequency Valid Valid Yes No DK/NA/Ref

41 5 education categories Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 5 with Post-BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll/AA BA Post BA DK/NA/Ref

42 Education 5 with BA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA or more DK/NA/Ref Education 6 AA, BA and MA Frequency Valid Valid Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA Post-BA DK/NA/Ref

43 3 category Party ID including leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref category Party ID no leaners Frequency Valid Valid Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA/Ref Race/Ethnicity Frequency Valid Valid White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/Ref

44 Income Recode Frequency Valid Valid Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/Ref Region2/MKE,Wow,Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state

45 region7/mke,wow,media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Lax/EC MSP/DS/Wau dma8/eight category Media Market Frequency Valid Valid MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE Dane Rock Rest of MSN Lax/EC GB/A Wau/MSP/DS

46 qf15 and qf16 - job and union status Frequency Valid Valid Public union Public non-union Private union Private non-union DK/NA/Ref Marital Status, 3 category Frequency Valid Valid Married Widow/Div/Sep/ CoHab Never Married NA/Ref