OIL STORAGE OUTLOOK. Platts European Oil Storage Conference January 2013

Transcription

1 OIL STORAGE OUTLOOK Platts European Oil Storage Conference January 2013

2 Agenda Overview of the Market Indsutry Review Delta Rubis Investment Plan Why Invest Now? Summary

3 D E L T A RUBIS S T O R A G E Global Oil Demand Growth World economic growth was estimated at about 3.0% in 2012, 3.2% in 2013 Source : IEA Report, December 2012

4 Global Oil Demand and Supply Balance Both supply and demand growing Supply growth outpacing demand Inventories remain stable Consumption growth driven by NON OECED countries Source : EIA Statistics

5 D E L T A RUBIS S T O R A G E Effect of High Oil Prices Rising political turmoil High paper market volume Pressure on demand growth Pressure on working capital Credit risk increase Increased counterproductive volatility and distress

6 Futures Price Expectation is Weak High Oil Prices Backwardated Futures Prices Disruptions in supply Weak demand High ongoing political tensions

7 The Value Chain Effect REFINERY : Decreasing refinery margins More focus on cracking Unstable demand & supply balance Closing down in West, openings in East Backwardated market conditions Focus on more complex refinning STORAGE: Moderate demand More term focused business More througput and value service focus Less greenfield projects Low freight affecting floating storage TRADING: Weak demand Limited arbitrage Limitiation on financing Low phyiscal vs. higher paper margin More sustainable trading seek Volatility counteproductive END CONSUMER: Demand fall Financing difficulties More customized requests Less stocking More hedging

8 D E L T A RUBIS S T O R A G E Nature of Storage Players Type Examples Strategy Independents Vopak, Oil Tanking, Delta Rubis Specialized and focused on strategic play and LT growth Oil Majors & Refiners BP, Shell, Valero (Nustar) Divesture, Break-off, outright sale for profitability approach Trading Companies Vitol (VTTI), Glencore, Mercuria (Vesta) Control of flows and higher premium pay competitive trade Funds Macquarie, Carlyle Group, Riverstone, Challenger Secure investment CF with 5 years investment horizon

9 Storage Demand Factors Impact Factors: Future oil price Level of oil price Changes in product specifications Arbitrage opportunities Changes in Production/Consumption/Distribution patterns and regional imbalances Stock policies (Private & Public) General Demand Shipping rates and floating storage effects Political and regulatory environment Effect on Storage Weak High Stable Low Low / moderate Strong Weak High High

10 DELTA RUBIS OIL PRODUCTS TERMINALS Delta-Rubis : Located in Strong Hub and Leading Position Significant import needs of key Mediterranean countries Key investment highlights U.S.A. Central & South America West Africa North Africa Greece Mediterranean Sea Libya Romania Bulgaria Turkey Egypt Ukraine Black Sea Samsun-Ceyhan oil pipeline Novorossiysk Ceyhan Middle East & Asia Samsun Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil pipeline Syria Poti Russia Baku-Novorossiysk oil pipeline Georgia Armenia Iraq Kirkuk Baku-Supsa oil pipeline Baku Azerbaijan Trade flows Kazakhstan Pipeline Pipeline under construction Shipping Actau Uzbekista n Iran Turkmenbashi Turkmenistan Neka Okarem Structural imbalances in trade flows Opportunity to link into local crude pipelines (BTC, Kirkuk, Samsun) Refinery capacity additions in Turkey, the Middle East and South Asia Product diversification and demand for valueadded services Under-supply, limited competition, strong barriers to entry and limits on storage capacity Top independent storage operator in the Med and Black Sea Current capacity ( 000 cbm) Now increasing it s capacity up to 1,000,000 cbm Delta Oiltanking Eregelisi Enemalta MOD MOD¹ 7 Source: Channoil Consulting Limited, IEA Note: Current capacity of Delta is the combination of Ceyhan and Poti storage terminals 1 Ministry of Defence, Gibraltar

11 Strong Partnership : DELTA + RUBIS DELTA PETROL RUBIS TERMINAL Capacity 650k cbm 3,000k cbm Presence Turkey, Georgia France, Netherlands, Belgium Expertise Oil & Gas & Biofuels Oil & Gas & Chemicals & Fertilisers & Biofuels DELTA RUBIS Targeted Growth Engage in large investment in Ceyhan Terminal Increase product offering scope in bulk liquid storage Expand between Mediteranea to Arabian Gulf regions

12 D E L T A RUBIS S T O R A G E DELTA RUBIS Invesment Plan Our strategy is to go for scale investment and enhance our leadership position in our captive market Building of 2.3km jetty infrastructure (6 berths with over 165k dwt vessels accomodation) Building of 1 bunker terminal Building of 1 import terminal Building of additional transit terminal

13 DELTA RUBIS OIL PRODUCTS TERMINALS Commissioned Jetty Works Shore-Sea: 2,300 m Vessel Size : k dwt Draft: 19,00 m Shore-Sea: 1,400 m Vessel Size : 10-80k dwt Draft: 12,25 m SHORE Shore-Sea: 700 m Vessel Size :1-10k dwt o SHORE TO BERTH : 2300 M Draft: 9,00 m o DRAFT : 19,00 M o PLATFORM SYSTEM o MULTIPLE PIPELINE 24 INCH (FO) and 16 INCH (WHITE) (SHORE TO SEA STATION) o PUMPING CAPACITY : 4,000/4500 CBM / HR o FLEXIBLE OPERATIONS AND EXPANSION POSSIBILITY

14 DELTA RUBIS OIL PRODUCTS TERMINALS Jetty Business Prospects Build + Break Bulk activity STS operations Quick vessel throughputs Large vessels intake with 6 berthing stations Vessel related port services offering 3rd party oil & gas service offering Increase capabilities with blending and co-mingling 30

15 D E L T A RUBIS S T O R A G E Why Invest Now? Less sector based competitive environment Cheaper cost of construction More attractive M&A opportunities for investors GOOD TIMES FOR MARKET SHARE PLAY! Preemption strategy for market share

16 Investment Planning Actions Invest in downturn and reap the benefits in upturn market Results Construction cost 25 % cheaper Strong preference for Turkish suppliers Be flexible Engaging in full design process but reserve for later implementation Phase the investment plan Strong project team Organize the funding Phasing construction and time it with market conditions and focus time to market Organization of strong commercial & technical & operations team to engage best practices and capture latest development Looking for optimum financing schemes Match with your cash flow projections Opt to secure term contracting

17 Summary Oil & Gas market is in a volatile and pressured period Storage sector is in a moderate development stage Delta Rubis has strenghtened its structure to grow Invest in downturn and reap the benefits in upturn market

18 SAMI HABBAB CEO Delta Rubis Sami.habbab@deltarubis.com Tel: Website: