Simple Linear Regression Chapter 11

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Simple Linear Regression Chapter 11"

Transcription

1 Simple Linear Regression Chapter 11 Rationale Frequently decision-making situations require modeling of relationships among business variables. For instance, the amount of sale of a product may be related to its advertising expenditures for marketing, the health of the economy as measured by the stock market performance, and the number of sales people etc? The regression analysis provides tools for modeling a "response" variable with the help of a number of "predictor" variables for predicting and managing risks. The simple linear regression accounts for only one predictor in modeling a response variable. Though of limited practical use, it provides an understanding of the basic tools of the methodology, which can be easily extended to realistic models involving more than one predictor. Objectives Understand: Scatter plot and the simple linear regression model Estimation and significance testing of the slope and intercept parameters Coefficient of determination and coefficient of correlation Confidence and prediction intervals for the mean and individual responses Error analysis for testing normality and homogeneity assumptions Key Terms Scatter plot Correlation Coefficient, coefficient of determination Confidence interval, prediction interval Sum of squares, Anova

2 Regression Analysis A methodology for Model building Introduction The regression methodology models the distribution of a variable, called response, with the help of one or more predictor variables. If only one predictor is studied for its relationship with the response variable, then it is a simple regression analysis. In multiple regression more than one predictor is studied for their relationship with the response. All crucial concepts of the regression methodology follow easily from an understanding of the simple regression analysis. A component of the simple linear regression model is a hypothesized relationship between Y and X or some transform of X. For statistical modeling, the pair (X, Y) is observed for n units to yield a sample of n pairs (x 1, y 1 ), (x 2, y 2 ),...,(x n, y n ). A scatter plot of n points in two dimensions represents the sample graphically. The scatter plot provides a clue to a possible relationship between variables Y and X. In many situations a linear function of X, or a suitably transformed X, will be a good first approximation of the true relationship. The deviation of a hypothesized relationship from the true plus an inherent sampling error is symbolized by ε; usually it is called the random error. If Y is a linear function of X, then Y = α + βx, which is graphically a straight line. When X = 0, Y =α, the Y-intercept. The coefficient β of X represents the amount of change in Y corresponding to one unit change in X. It is called the slope of the line. The linear relationship is hypothesized for investigation should the scatter plot indicate a linear trend. If, for example, the scatter plot indicates a quadratic relationship between Y and X, then a linear relationship may be hypothesized between Y and Z =X 2. A theoretical model represents investigator's beliefs through an algebraic expression in X plus a random error

3 component ε. Once a suitable model that fits the sample is found, it can then be used in decision making process. Examples in Section 11.1 Simple linear regression To understand the basic concepts of regression analysis, consider the following simple linear regression model for investigating a relationship of a response variable Y with a predictor X. Y = α + βx + ε The random error ε is assumed to be normally distributed with mean 0 and variance σ 2. 2 This assumption implies that Y is also normally distributed with µ y = α + βx, and σ y = σ 2. Of this model, α, β and σ 2 are unknown constants, which are to be estimated. If it turns out that β = 0, then X is not a significant predictor of Y. If σ 2 = 0 (merely a wish), then there is a perfect line relationship between Y and X and the parameters β and α can be estimated by just two observations on the pair (Y, X). Estimation and significance testing A simple linear regression analysis proceeds to estimate µ y = α + βx and then to judge its significance. Estimate of µ y, for predictor X at x., is ^ y = a + b x, where the constants a and b are estimates of α and β respectively. Algebraic expressions for computing a and b are found in any text. The standard deviation of points in the scatter plot around the estimated regression line a+bx is S = ( ^ y - y) 2 / (n-2) The standard errors of a, b denoted by S a and S b respectively, are standard feature of any software for the regression analysis. The same is true of the standard error of ^ y, denoted

4 by S ( ^ y ), which depends upon x for which prediction ^ y is desired. It is also computed by software for any specified X value for which the mean of Y or prediction of Y is desired. To test a null hypothesis H 0 : β = β 0 against an alternative H a : β β 0 an b β is computed along with its p value for decision making. To test if X 0 t statistic = S b is a significant predictor of, one would test if the coefficient β were 0. To accomplish this β 0 in the t-statistics is replaced by 0. Likewise, one may proceed to test hypotheses about the intercept paramter α. Coefficient of Determination The coefficient of determination R 2 quantities the significance of a model ^ y = a + bx for estimating the mean and predicting individual Y scores for specified X values. Unless R 2 is high, say 85 % or more; the estimated model may be perceived inadequate. Low R 2 values will suggest the need for investigating additional predictors. The correlation coefficient is a square root of R 2. Its sign is positive if the relationship is increasing and negative if it is decreasing. The correlation coefficient and the slope estimate b must have the same sign. The correlation, expressed as a proportion, is a number between -1 and 1. Its absolute amount quantifies the strength of the linear relationship. If it is close to 1 or -1, the linear relationship is considered highly significant and insignificant if it is close to zero. Confidence and prediction intervals If a model is judged adequate by R 2, then it may be used for estimating the mean µ y and predicting individual response values. For example, if the analysis of a simple linear model

5 finds R 2 sufficiently large, then one may proceed to estimate µ y = α + βx by a confidence interval, and also predict Y response corresponding to a specified predictor value at x. For these tasks, first compute ^ y = a + bx. Then confidence and prediction intervals are given by: ^ y ± S ( ^ y ), where the expression for computing of S ( ^ y ), will vary some what depending upon whether it is for finding a confidence or a prediction interval. Analysis of residuals To verify the normality and homogeneity of variance assumptions of random errors ε, one may compute n residuals e i = y i - y^ i, i = 1, 2,..., n. These residuals are estimates of the random component ε. Draw a histogram or the box plot of the residuals to judge if it suggests a normal distribution for the residuals. Further, the residual e i can be plotted against observed predictor values x i to verify if the assumption of the homogeneity of variance is valid. A resulting plot having random appearance without any bias for different values of predictor X would suggest that the homogeneity assumption is valid. A nonrandom trend would be indicative that the homogeneity assumption does not hold. Examples in section 11.2

CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION. Opening Example. Simple Regression. Linear Regression

CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION. Opening Example. Simple Regression. Linear Regression Opening Example CHAPTER 13 SIMPLE LINEAR REGREION SIMPLE LINEAR REGREION! Simple Regression! Linear Regression Simple Regression Definition A regression model is a mathematical equation that descries the

More information

Regression, least squares

Regression, least squares Regression, least squares Joe Felsenstein Department of Genome Sciences and Department of Biology Regression, least squares p.1/24 Fitting a straight line X Two distinct cases: The X values are chosen

More information

e = random error, assumed to be normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation σ

e = random error, assumed to be normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation σ 1 Linear Regression 1.1 Simple Linear Regression Model The linear regression model is applied if we want to model a numeric response variable and its dependency on at least one numeric factor variable.

More information

Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression

Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression Unit 31 A Hypothesis Test about Correlation and Slope in a Simple Linear Regression Objectives: To perform a hypothesis test concerning the slope of a least squares line To recognize that testing for a

More information

Chapter 9. Section Correlation

Chapter 9. Section Correlation Chapter 9 Section 9.1 - Correlation Objectives: Introduce linear correlation, independent and dependent variables, and the types of correlation Find a correlation coefficient Test a population correlation

More information

Simple linear regression

Simple linear regression Simple linear regression Introduction Simple linear regression is a statistical method for obtaining a formula to predict values of one variable from another where there is a causal relationship between

More information

Outline. Correlation & Regression, III. Review. Relationship between r and regression

Outline. Correlation & Regression, III. Review. Relationship between r and regression Outline Correlation & Regression, III 9.07 4/6/004 Relationship between correlation and regression, along with notes on the correlation coefficient Effect size, and the meaning of r Other kinds of correlation

More information

Elementary Statistics. Scatter Plot, Regression Line, Linear Correlation Coefficient, and Coefficient of Determination

Elementary Statistics. Scatter Plot, Regression Line, Linear Correlation Coefficient, and Coefficient of Determination Scatter Plot, Regression Line, Linear Correlation Coefficient, and Coefficient of Determination What is a Scatter Plot? A Scatter Plot is a plot of ordered pairs (x, y) where the horizontal axis is used

More information

Simple Linear Regression Inference

Simple Linear Regression Inference Simple Linear Regression Inference 1 Inference requirements The Normality assumption of the stochastic term e is needed for inference even if it is not a OLS requirement. Therefore we have: Interpretation

More information

Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis

Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis Statlab Workshop Introduction to Regression and Data Analysis with Dan Campbell and Sherlock Campbell October 28, 2008 I. The basics A. Types of variables Your variables may take several forms, and it

More information

AP Statistics 2001 Solutions and Scoring Guidelines

AP Statistics 2001 Solutions and Scoring Guidelines AP Statistics 2001 Solutions and Scoring Guidelines The materials included in these files are intended for non-commercial use by AP teachers for course and exam preparation; permission for any other use

More information

Chapter 13 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis

Chapter 13 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis Chapter 3 Student Lecture Notes 3- Chapter 3 Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analsis Fall 2006 Fundamentals of Business Statistics Chapter Goals To understand the methods for displaing

More information

Example: Boats and Manatees

Example: Boats and Manatees Figure 9-6 Example: Boats and Manatees Slide 1 Given the sample data in Table 9-1, find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r, then refer to Table A-6 to determine whether there is a significant

More information

UCLA STAT 13 Statistical Methods - Final Exam Review Solutions Chapter 7 Sampling Distributions of Estimates

UCLA STAT 13 Statistical Methods - Final Exam Review Solutions Chapter 7 Sampling Distributions of Estimates UCLA STAT 13 Statistical Methods - Final Exam Review Solutions Chapter 7 Sampling Distributions of Estimates 1. (a) (i) µ µ (ii) σ σ n is exactly Normally distributed. (c) (i) is approximately Normally

More information

Hypothesis Testing Level I Quantitative Methods. IFT Notes for the CFA exam

Hypothesis Testing Level I Quantitative Methods. IFT Notes for the CFA exam Hypothesis Testing 2014 Level I Quantitative Methods IFT Notes for the CFA exam Contents 1. Introduction... 3 2. Hypothesis Testing... 3 3. Hypothesis Tests Concerning the Mean... 10 4. Hypothesis Tests

More information

Simple Regression Theory II 2010 Samuel L. Baker

Simple Regression Theory II 2010 Samuel L. Baker SIMPLE REGRESSION THEORY II 1 Simple Regression Theory II 2010 Samuel L. Baker Assessing how good the regression equation is likely to be Assignment 1A gets into drawing inferences about how close the

More information

Chapter 14: Analyzing Relationships Between Variables

Chapter 14: Analyzing Relationships Between Variables Chapter Outlines for: Frey, L., Botan, C., & Kreps, G. (1999). Investigating communication: An introduction to research methods. (2nd ed.) Boston: Allyn & Bacon. Chapter 14: Analyzing Relationships Between

More information

Part 2: Analysis of Relationship Between Two Variables

Part 2: Analysis of Relationship Between Two Variables Part 2: Analysis of Relationship Between Two Variables Linear Regression Linear correlation Significance Tests Multiple regression Linear Regression Y = a X + b Dependent Variable Independent Variable

More information

Technology Step-by-Step Using StatCrunch

Technology Step-by-Step Using StatCrunch Technology Step-by-Step Using StatCrunch Section 1.3 Simple Random Sampling 1. Select Data, highlight Simulate Data, then highlight Discrete Uniform. 2. Fill in the following window with the appropriate

More information

Regression Analysis: A Complete Example

Regression Analysis: A Complete Example Regression Analysis: A Complete Example This section works out an example that includes all the topics we have discussed so far in this chapter. A complete example of regression analysis. PhotoDisc, Inc./Getty

More information

Univariate Regression

Univariate Regression Univariate Regression Correlation and Regression The regression line summarizes the linear relationship between 2 variables Correlation coefficient, r, measures strength of relationship: the closer r is

More information

1) Write the following as an algebraic expression using x as the variable: Triple a number subtracted from the number

1) Write the following as an algebraic expression using x as the variable: Triple a number subtracted from the number 1) Write the following as an algebraic expression using x as the variable: Triple a number subtracted from the number A. 3(x - x) B. x 3 x C. 3x - x D. x - 3x 2) Write the following as an algebraic expression

More information

Chapter 10. Key Ideas Correlation, Correlation Coefficient (r),

Chapter 10. Key Ideas Correlation, Correlation Coefficient (r), Chapter 0 Key Ideas Correlation, Correlation Coefficient (r), Section 0-: Overview We have already explored the basics of describing single variable data sets. However, when two quantitative variables

More information

Factors affecting online sales

Factors affecting online sales Factors affecting online sales Table of contents Summary... 1 Research questions... 1 The dataset... 2 Descriptive statistics: The exploratory stage... 3 Confidence intervals... 4 Hypothesis tests... 4

More information

Correlation key concepts:

Correlation key concepts: CORRELATION Correlation key concepts: Types of correlation Methods of studying correlation a) Scatter diagram b) Karl pearson s coefficient of correlation c) Spearman s Rank correlation coefficient d)

More information

Section 14 Simple Linear Regression: Introduction to Least Squares Regression

Section 14 Simple Linear Regression: Introduction to Least Squares Regression Slide 1 Section 14 Simple Linear Regression: Introduction to Least Squares Regression There are several different measures of statistical association used for understanding the quantitative relationship

More information

t-tests and F-tests in regression

t-tests and F-tests in regression t-tests and F-tests in regression Johan A. Elkink University College Dublin 5 April 2012 Johan A. Elkink (UCD) t and F-tests 5 April 2012 1 / 25 Outline 1 Simple linear regression Model Variance and R

More information

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT3 Probability and Mathematical Statistics

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT3 Probability and Mathematical Statistics Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT3 Probability and Mathematical Statistics For 2015 Examinations Aim The aim of the Probability and Mathematical Statistics subject is to provide a grounding in

More information

Statistical Inference and t-tests

Statistical Inference and t-tests 1 Statistical Inference and t-tests Objectives Evaluate the difference between a sample mean and a target value using a one-sample t-test. Evaluate the difference between a sample mean and a target value

More information

Chapter 7: Simple linear regression Learning Objectives

Chapter 7: Simple linear regression Learning Objectives Chapter 7: Simple linear regression Learning Objectives Reading: Section 7.1 of OpenIntro Statistics Video: Correlation vs. causation, YouTube (2:19) Video: Intro to Linear Regression, YouTube (5:18) -

More information

Multiple Hypothesis Testing: The F-test

Multiple Hypothesis Testing: The F-test Multiple Hypothesis Testing: The F-test Matt Blackwell December 3, 2008 1 A bit of review When moving into the matrix version of linear regression, it is easy to lose sight of the big picture and get lost

More information

Inferential Statistics

Inferential Statistics Inferential Statistics Sampling and the normal distribution Z-scores Confidence levels and intervals Hypothesis testing Commonly used statistical methods Inferential Statistics Descriptive statistics are

More information

Using JMP with a Specific

Using JMP with a Specific 1 Using JMP with a Specific Example of Regression Ying Liu 10/21/ 2009 Objectives 2 Exploratory data analysis Simple liner regression Polynomial regression How to fit a multiple regression model How to

More information

Regression. Name: Class: Date: Multiple Choice Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Regression. Name: Class: Date: Multiple Choice Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question. Class: Date: Regression Multiple Choice Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question. 1. Given the least squares regression line y8 = 5 2x: a. the relationship between

More information

The importance of graphing the data: Anscombe s regression examples

The importance of graphing the data: Anscombe s regression examples The importance of graphing the data: Anscombe s regression examples Bruce Weaver Northern Health Research Conference Nipissing University, North Bay May 30-31, 2008 B. Weaver, NHRC 2008 1 The Objective

More information

CORRELATED TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COLLEGE AND CAREER-READY FOUNDATIONS IN ALGEBRA

CORRELATED TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COLLEGE AND CAREER-READY FOUNDATIONS IN ALGEBRA We Can Early Learning Curriculum PreK Grades 8 12 INSIDE ALGEBRA, GRADES 8 12 CORRELATED TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COLLEGE AND CAREER-READY FOUNDATIONS IN ALGEBRA April 2016 www.voyagersopris.com Mathematical

More information

2. Simple Linear Regression

2. Simple Linear Regression Research methods - II 3 2. Simple Linear Regression Simple linear regression is a technique in parametric statistics that is commonly used for analyzing mean response of a variable Y which changes according

More information

, has mean A) 0.3. B) the smaller of 0.8 and 0.5. C) 0.15. D) which cannot be determined without knowing the sample results.

, has mean A) 0.3. B) the smaller of 0.8 and 0.5. C) 0.15. D) which cannot be determined without knowing the sample results. BA 275 Review Problems - Week 9 (11/20/06-11/24/06) CD Lessons: 69, 70, 16-20 Textbook: pp. 520-528, 111-124, 133-141 An SRS of size 100 is taken from a population having proportion 0.8 of successes. An

More information

Homework 11. Part 1. Name: Score: / null

Homework 11. Part 1. Name: Score: / null Name: Score: / Homework 11 Part 1 null 1 For which of the following correlations would the data points be clustered most closely around a straight line? A. r = 0.50 B. r = -0.80 C. r = 0.10 D. There is

More information

17. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION II

17. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION II 17. SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION II The Model In linear regression analysis, we assume that the relationship between X and Y is linear. This does not mean, however, that Y can be perfectly predicted from X.

More information

Lesson Lesson Outline Outline

Lesson Lesson Outline Outline Lesson 15 Linear Regression Lesson 15 Outline Review correlation analysis Dependent and Independent variables Least Squares Regression line Calculating l the slope Calculating the Intercept Residuals and

More information

SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS

SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS Introduction. Regression analysis is used when two or more variables are thought to be systematically connected by a linear relationship. In simple regression, we have only two

More information

NCSS Statistical Software Principal Components Regression. In ordinary least squares, the regression coefficients are estimated using the formula ( )

NCSS Statistical Software Principal Components Regression. In ordinary least squares, the regression coefficients are estimated using the formula ( ) Chapter 340 Principal Components Regression Introduction is a technique for analyzing multiple regression data that suffer from multicollinearity. When multicollinearity occurs, least squares estimates

More information

2013 MBA Jump Start Program. Statistics Module Part 3

2013 MBA Jump Start Program. Statistics Module Part 3 2013 MBA Jump Start Program Module 1: Statistics Thomas Gilbert Part 3 Statistics Module Part 3 Hypothesis Testing (Inference) Regressions 2 1 Making an Investment Decision A researcher in your firm just

More information

A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance

A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance A Primer on Forecasting Business Performance There are two common approaches to forecasting: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative forecasting methods are important when historical data is not available.

More information

The correlation coefficient

The correlation coefficient The correlation coefficient Clinical Biostatistics The correlation coefficient Martin Bland Correlation coefficients are used to measure the of the relationship or association between two quantitative

More information

The aspect of the data that we want to describe/measure is the degree of linear relationship between and The statistic r describes/measures the degree

The aspect of the data that we want to describe/measure is the degree of linear relationship between and The statistic r describes/measures the degree PS 511: Advanced Statistics for Psychological and Behavioral Research 1 Both examine linear (straight line) relationships Correlation works with a pair of scores One score on each of two variables ( and

More information

17.0 Linear Regression

17.0 Linear Regression 17.0 Linear Regression 1 Answer Questions Lines Correlation Regression 17.1 Lines The algebraic equation for a line is Y = β 0 + β 1 X 2 The use of coordinate axes to show functional relationships was

More information

Simple Linear Regression in SPSS STAT 314

Simple Linear Regression in SPSS STAT 314 Simple Linear Regression in SPSS STAT 314 1. Ten Corvettes between 1 and 6 years old were randomly selected from last year s sales records in Virginia Beach, Virginia. The following data were obtained,

More information

business statistics using Excel OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Glyn Davis & Branko Pecar

business statistics using Excel OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Glyn Davis & Branko Pecar business statistics using Excel Glyn Davis & Branko Pecar OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Detailed contents Introduction to Microsoft Excel 2003 Overview Learning Objectives 1.1 Introduction to Microsoft Excel

More information

Prediction and Confidence Intervals in Regression

Prediction and Confidence Intervals in Regression Fall Semester, 2001 Statistics 621 Lecture 3 Robert Stine 1 Prediction and Confidence Intervals in Regression Preliminaries Teaching assistants See them in Room 3009 SH-DH. Hours are detailed in the syllabus.

More information

Statistics 112 Regression Cheatsheet Section 1B - Ryan Rosario

Statistics 112 Regression Cheatsheet Section 1B - Ryan Rosario Statistics 112 Regression Cheatsheet Section 1B - Ryan Rosario I have found that the best way to practice regression is by brute force That is, given nothing but a dataset and your mind, compute everything

More information

" Y. Notation and Equations for Regression Lecture 11/4. Notation:

 Y. Notation and Equations for Regression Lecture 11/4. Notation: Notation: Notation and Equations for Regression Lecture 11/4 m: The number of predictor variables in a regression Xi: One of multiple predictor variables. The subscript i represents any number from 1 through

More information

WEB APPENDIX. Calculating Beta Coefficients. b Beta Rise Run Y 7.1 1 8.92 X 10.0 0.0 16.0 10.0 1.6

WEB APPENDIX. Calculating Beta Coefficients. b Beta Rise Run Y 7.1 1 8.92 X 10.0 0.0 16.0 10.0 1.6 WEB APPENDIX 8A Calculating Beta Coefficients The CAPM is an ex ante model, which means that all of the variables represent before-thefact, expected values. In particular, the beta coefficient used in

More information

Numerical Summarization of Data OPRE 6301

Numerical Summarization of Data OPRE 6301 Numerical Summarization of Data OPRE 6301 Motivation... In the previous session, we used graphical techniques to describe data. For example: While this histogram provides useful insight, other interesting

More information

Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010

Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010 Curriculum Map Statistics and Probability Honors (348) Saugus High School Saugus Public Schools 2009-2010 Week 1 Week 2 14.0 Students organize and describe distributions of data by using a number of different

More information

Statistical Models in R

Statistical Models in R Statistical Models in R Some Examples Steven Buechler Department of Mathematics 276B Hurley Hall; 1-6233 Fall, 2007 Outline Statistical Models Linear Models in R Regression Regression analysis is the appropriate

More information

Business Statistics. Successful completion of Introductory and/or Intermediate Algebra courses is recommended before taking Business Statistics.

Business Statistics. Successful completion of Introductory and/or Intermediate Algebra courses is recommended before taking Business Statistics. Business Course Text Bowerman, Bruce L., Richard T. O'Connell, J. B. Orris, and Dawn C. Porter. Essentials of Business, 2nd edition, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2008, ISBN: 978-0-07-331988-9. Required Computing

More information

X X X a) perfect linear correlation b) no correlation c) positive correlation (r = 1) (r = 0) (0 < r < 1)

X X X a) perfect linear correlation b) no correlation c) positive correlation (r = 1) (r = 0) (0 < r < 1) CORRELATION AND REGRESSION / 47 CHAPTER EIGHT CORRELATION AND REGRESSION Correlation and regression are statistical methods that are commonly used in the medical literature to compare two or more variables.

More information

Sydney Roberts Predicting Age Group Swimmers 50 Freestyle Time 1. 1. Introduction p. 2. 2. Statistical Methods Used p. 5. 3. 10 and under Males p.

Sydney Roberts Predicting Age Group Swimmers 50 Freestyle Time 1. 1. Introduction p. 2. 2. Statistical Methods Used p. 5. 3. 10 and under Males p. Sydney Roberts Predicting Age Group Swimmers 50 Freestyle Time 1 Table of Contents 1. Introduction p. 2 2. Statistical Methods Used p. 5 3. 10 and under Males p. 8 4. 11 and up Males p. 10 5. 10 and under

More information

REGRESSION LINES IN STATA

REGRESSION LINES IN STATA REGRESSION LINES IN STATA THOMAS ELLIOTT 1. Introduction to Regression Regression analysis is about eploring linear relationships between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. Regression

More information

This unit will lay the groundwork for later units where the students will extend this knowledge to quadratic and exponential functions.

This unit will lay the groundwork for later units where the students will extend this knowledge to quadratic and exponential functions. Algebra I Overview View unit yearlong overview here Many of the concepts presented in Algebra I are progressions of concepts that were introduced in grades 6 through 8. The content presented in this course

More information

DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS. The purpose of statistics is to condense raw data to make it easier to answer specific questions; test hypotheses.

DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS. The purpose of statistics is to condense raw data to make it easier to answer specific questions; test hypotheses. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS The purpose of statistics is to condense raw data to make it easier to answer specific questions; test hypotheses. DESCRIPTIVE VS. INFERENTIAL STATISTICS Descriptive To organize,

More information

Elements of statistics (MATH0487-1)

Elements of statistics (MATH0487-1) Elements of statistics (MATH0487-1) Prof. Dr. Dr. K. Van Steen University of Liège, Belgium December 10, 2012 Introduction to Statistics Basic Probability Revisited Sampling Exploratory Data Analysis -

More information

Chapter 10. Verification and Validation of Simulation Models Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 10 Verification and Validation of Simulation Models

Chapter 10. Verification and Validation of Simulation Models Prof. Dr. Mesut Güneş Ch. 10 Verification and Validation of Simulation Models Chapter 10 Verification and Validation of Simulation Models 10.1 Contents Model-Building, Verification, and Validation Verification of Simulation Models Calibration and Validation 10.2 Purpose & Overview

More information

STAT 350 Practice Final Exam Solution (Spring 2015)

STAT 350 Practice Final Exam Solution (Spring 2015) PART 1: Multiple Choice Questions: 1) A study was conducted to compare five different training programs for improving endurance. Forty subjects were randomly divided into five groups of eight subjects

More information

Using R for Linear Regression

Using R for Linear Regression Using R for Linear Regression In the following handout words and symbols in bold are R functions and words and symbols in italics are entries supplied by the user; underlined words and symbols are optional

More information

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION. r can range from -1 to 1, and is independent of units of measurement. Correlation can be done on two dependent variables.

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION. r can range from -1 to 1, and is independent of units of measurement. Correlation can be done on two dependent variables. SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION Simple linear correlation is a measure of the degree to which two variables vary together, or a measure of the intensity of the association between two variables. Correlation

More information

Lecture 4 Linear random coefficients models

Lecture 4 Linear random coefficients models Lecture 4 Linear random coefficients models Rats example 30 young rats, weights measured weekly for five weeks Dependent variable (Y ij ) is weight for rat i at week j Data: Multilevel: weights (observations)

More information

Linear Models in STATA and ANOVA

Linear Models in STATA and ANOVA Session 4 Linear Models in STATA and ANOVA Page Strengths of Linear Relationships 4-2 A Note on Non-Linear Relationships 4-4 Multiple Linear Regression 4-5 Removal of Variables 4-8 Independent Samples

More information

Simple Regression and Correlation

Simple Regression and Correlation Simple Regression and Correlation Today, we are going to discuss a powerful statistical technique for examining whether or not two variables are related. Specifically, we are going to talk about the ideas

More information

ALGEBRA I / ALGEBRA I SUPPORT

ALGEBRA I / ALGEBRA I SUPPORT Suggested Sequence: CONCEPT MAP ALGEBRA I / ALGEBRA I SUPPORT August 2011 1. Foundations for Algebra 2. Solving Equations 3. Solving Inequalities 4. An Introduction to Functions 5. Linear Functions 6.

More information

Additional sources Compilation of sources: http://lrs.ed.uiuc.edu/tseportal/datacollectionmethodologies/jin-tselink/tselink.htm

Additional sources Compilation of sources: http://lrs.ed.uiuc.edu/tseportal/datacollectionmethodologies/jin-tselink/tselink.htm Mgt 540 Research Methods Data Analysis 1 Additional sources Compilation of sources: http://lrs.ed.uiuc.edu/tseportal/datacollectionmethodologies/jin-tselink/tselink.htm http://web.utk.edu/~dap/random/order/start.htm

More information

MULTIPLE REGRESSION AND ISSUES IN REGRESSION ANALYSIS

MULTIPLE REGRESSION AND ISSUES IN REGRESSION ANALYSIS MULTIPLE REGRESSION AND ISSUES IN REGRESSION ANALYSIS MSR = Mean Regression Sum of Squares MSE = Mean Squared Error RSS = Regression Sum of Squares SSE = Sum of Squared Errors/Residuals α = Level of Significance

More information

Statistiek I. t-tests. John Nerbonne. CLCG, Rijksuniversiteit Groningen. John Nerbonne 1/35

Statistiek I. t-tests. John Nerbonne. CLCG, Rijksuniversiteit Groningen.  John Nerbonne 1/35 Statistiek I t-tests John Nerbonne CLCG, Rijksuniversiteit Groningen http://wwwletrugnl/nerbonne/teach/statistiek-i/ John Nerbonne 1/35 t-tests To test an average or pair of averages when σ is known, we

More information

1. What is the critical value for this 95% confidence interval? CV = z.025 = invnorm(0.025) = 1.96

1. What is the critical value for this 95% confidence interval? CV = z.025 = invnorm(0.025) = 1.96 1 Final Review 2 Review 2.1 CI 1-propZint Scenario 1 A TV manufacturer claims in its warranty brochure that in the past not more than 10 percent of its TV sets needed any repair during the first two years

More information

Course Text. Required Computing Software. Course Description. Course Objectives. StraighterLine. Business Statistics

Course Text. Required Computing Software. Course Description. Course Objectives. StraighterLine. Business Statistics Course Text Business Statistics Lind, Douglas A., Marchal, William A. and Samuel A. Wathen. Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, 7th edition, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2010, ISBN: 9780077384470 [This

More information

Infinite Algebra 1 supports the teaching of the Common Core State Standards listed below.

Infinite Algebra 1 supports the teaching of the Common Core State Standards listed below. Infinite Algebra 1 Kuta Software LLC Common Core Alignment Software version 2.05 Last revised July 2015 Infinite Algebra 1 supports the teaching of the Common Core State Standards listed below. High School

More information

Actually, if you have a graphing calculator this technique can be used to find solutions to any equation, not just quadratics. All you need to do is

Actually, if you have a graphing calculator this technique can be used to find solutions to any equation, not just quadratics. All you need to do is QUADRATIC EQUATIONS Definition ax 2 + bx + c = 0 a, b, c are constants (generally integers) Roots Synonyms: Solutions or Zeros Can have 0, 1, or 2 real roots Consider the graph of quadratic equations.

More information

MATH BOOK OF PROBLEMS SERIES. New from Pearson Custom Publishing!

MATH BOOK OF PROBLEMS SERIES. New from Pearson Custom Publishing! MATH BOOK OF PROBLEMS SERIES New from Pearson Custom Publishing! The Math Book of Problems Series is a database of math problems for the following courses: Pre-algebra Algebra Pre-calculus Calculus Statistics

More information

Data Analysis. Lecture Empirical Model Building and Methods (Empirische Modellbildung und Methoden) SS Analysis of Experiments - Introduction

Data Analysis. Lecture Empirical Model Building and Methods (Empirische Modellbildung und Methoden) SS Analysis of Experiments - Introduction Data Analysis Lecture Empirical Model Building and Methods (Empirische Modellbildung und Methoden) Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Dieter Rombach Dr. Andreas Jedlitschka SS 2014 Analysis of Experiments - Introduction

More information

Linear Regression. Chapter 5. Prediction via Regression Line Number of new birds and Percent returning. Least Squares

Linear Regression. Chapter 5. Prediction via Regression Line Number of new birds and Percent returning. Least Squares Linear Regression Chapter 5 Regression Objective: To quantify the linear relationship between an explanatory variable (x) and response variable (y). We can then predict the average response for all subjects

More information

Wooldridge, Introductory Econometrics, 4th ed. Chapter 15: Instrumental variables and two stage least squares

Wooldridge, Introductory Econometrics, 4th ed. Chapter 15: Instrumental variables and two stage least squares Wooldridge, Introductory Econometrics, 4th ed. Chapter 15: Instrumental variables and two stage least squares Many economic models involve endogeneity: that is, a theoretical relationship does not fit

More information

Regression III: Advanced Methods

Regression III: Advanced Methods Lecture 16: Generalized Additive Models Regression III: Advanced Methods Bill Jacoby Michigan State University http://polisci.msu.edu/jacoby/icpsr/regress3 Goals of the Lecture Introduce Additive Models

More information

Multiple Linear Regression

Multiple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression A regression with two or more explanatory variables is called a multiple regression. Rather than modeling the mean response as a straight line, as in simple regression, it is

More information

Statistics and research

Statistics and research Statistics and research Usaneya Perngparn Chitlada Areesantichai Drug Dependence Research Center (WHOCC for Research and Training in Drug Dependence) College of Public Health Sciences Chulolongkorn University,

More information

CURVE FITTING LEAST SQUARES APPROXIMATION

CURVE FITTING LEAST SQUARES APPROXIMATION CURVE FITTING LEAST SQUARES APPROXIMATION Data analysis and curve fitting: Imagine that we are studying a physical system involving two quantities: x and y Also suppose that we expect a linear relationship

More information

Age to Age Factor Selection under Changing Development Chris G. Gross, ACAS, MAAA

Age to Age Factor Selection under Changing Development Chris G. Gross, ACAS, MAAA Age to Age Factor Selection under Changing Development Chris G. Gross, ACAS, MAAA Introduction A common question faced by many actuaries when selecting loss development factors is whether to base the selected

More information

Statistical Significance and Bivariate Tests

Statistical Significance and Bivariate Tests Statistical Significance and Bivariate Tests BUS 735: Business Decision Making and Research 1 1.1 Goals Goals Specific goals: Re-familiarize ourselves with basic statistics ideas: sampling distributions,

More information

AP Statistics 2002 Scoring Guidelines

AP Statistics 2002 Scoring Guidelines AP Statistics 2002 Scoring Guidelines The materials included in these files are intended for use by AP teachers for course and exam preparation in the classroom; permission for any other use must be sought

More information

COMPARISONS OF CUSTOMER LOYALTY: PUBLIC & PRIVATE INSURANCE COMPANIES.

COMPARISONS OF CUSTOMER LOYALTY: PUBLIC & PRIVATE INSURANCE COMPANIES. 277 CHAPTER VI COMPARISONS OF CUSTOMER LOYALTY: PUBLIC & PRIVATE INSURANCE COMPANIES. This chapter contains a full discussion of customer loyalty comparisons between private and public insurance companies

More information

Pooling and Meta-analysis. Tony O Hagan

Pooling and Meta-analysis. Tony O Hagan Pooling and Meta-analysis Tony O Hagan Pooling Synthesising prior information from several experts 2 Multiple experts The case of multiple experts is important When elicitation is used to provide expert

More information

Pearson s correlation

Pearson s correlation Pearson s correlation Introduction Often several quantitative variables are measured on each member of a sample. If we consider a pair of such variables, it is frequently of interest to establish if there

More information

Statistics courses often teach the two-sample t-test, linear regression, and analysis of variance

Statistics courses often teach the two-sample t-test, linear regression, and analysis of variance 2 Making Connections: The Two-Sample t-test, Regression, and ANOVA In theory, there s no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is. Yogi Berra 1 Statistics courses often teach the two-sample

More information

hp calculators HP 50g Trend Lines The STAT menu Trend Lines Practice predicting the future using trend lines

hp calculators HP 50g Trend Lines The STAT menu Trend Lines Practice predicting the future using trend lines The STAT menu Trend Lines Practice predicting the future using trend lines The STAT menu The Statistics menu is accessed from the ORANGE shifted function of the 5 key by pressing Ù. When pressed, a CHOOSE

More information

Partial r 2, contribution and fraction [a]

Partial r 2, contribution and fraction [a] Multiple and partial regression and correlation Partial r 2, contribution and fraction [a] Daniel Borcard Université de Montréal Département de sciences biologiques January 2002 The definitions of the

More information

IAPRI Quantitative Analysis Capacity Building Series. Multiple regression analysis & interpreting results

IAPRI Quantitative Analysis Capacity Building Series. Multiple regression analysis & interpreting results IAPRI Quantitative Analysis Capacity Building Series Multiple regression analysis & interpreting results How important is R-squared? R-squared Published in Agricultural Economics 0.45 Best article of the

More information

Correlational Research. Correlational Research. Stephen E. Brock, Ph.D., NCSP EDS 250. Descriptive Research 1. Correlational Research: Scatter Plots

Correlational Research. Correlational Research. Stephen E. Brock, Ph.D., NCSP EDS 250. Descriptive Research 1. Correlational Research: Scatter Plots Correlational Research Stephen E. Brock, Ph.D., NCSP California State University, Sacramento 1 Correlational Research A quantitative methodology used to determine whether, and to what degree, a relationship

More information

EPS 625 ANALYSIS OF COVARIANCE (ANCOVA) EXAMPLE USING THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL PROGRAM

EPS 625 ANALYSIS OF COVARIANCE (ANCOVA) EXAMPLE USING THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL PROGRAM EPS 6 ANALYSIS OF COVARIANCE (ANCOVA) EXAMPLE USING THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL PROGRAM ANCOVA One Continuous Dependent Variable (DVD Rating) Interest Rating in DVD One Categorical/Discrete Independent Variable

More information

Testing for Lack of Fit

Testing for Lack of Fit Chapter 6 Testing for Lack of Fit How can we tell if a model fits the data? If the model is correct then ˆσ 2 should be an unbiased estimate of σ 2. If we have a model which is not complex enough to fit

More information