Global Outlook for Shrimp Markets and Demand. Felix Dent Fishery Industry Officer Fish Products, Trade & Marketing Branch (FIPM)
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1 Global Outlook for Shrimp Markets and Demand Felix Dent Fishery Industry Officer Fish Products, Trade & Marketing Branch (FIPM)
2 FAO? What is... Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Established to lead international efforts to defeat world hunger Acts as a neutral forum to direct global policy Gathers and disseminates information about food production and markets Provides technical assistance in developing countries
3 FAO? What is... Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Established to lead international efforts to defeat world hunger Acts as a neutral forum to direct global policy Gathers and disseminates information about food production and markets Provides technical assistance in developing countries FIPM? Fish Products, Trade and Marketing service a branch of the FAO Fisheries Department Deals with fish after they have been caught Runs technical assistance projects in developing countries, helps formulate best practice guidelines Gathers and disseminates market information through reports, website ( regular publications etc
4 FAO? What is... Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Established to lead international efforts to defeat world hunger Acts as a neutral forum to direct global policy Gathers and disseminates information about food production and markets Provides technical assistance in developing countries FIPM? Fish Products, Trade and Marketing service a branch of the FAO Fisheries Department Deals with fish after they have been caught Runs technical assistance projects in developing countries, helps formulate best practice guidelines Gathers and disseminates market information through reports, website ( regular publications etc
5 Global Outlook for Shrimp Markets and Demand The Global Shrimp Market Production Trade Consumption Prices Projections
6 THE GLOBAL SHRIMP MARKET Largest single seafood commodity in value terms ~15% of the total value of internationally traded fishery products in 2012 Mainly produced in developing countries, mainly South & East Asia and Latin America Since the mid-2000s, aquaculture s share of production is greater than capture Large proportion of production enters international trade Traditional major markets USA, Japan and the EU However, income growth in producing countries is now seeing increasing volumes directed to domestic markets
7 PRODUCTION
8 Global fish production 2012
9 Global shrimp production 2012
10 Millions of tonnes Global shrimp production Others Aquaculture PENAEIDAE Capture production PANDALIDAE Capture production SOLENOCERIDAE Capture production PENAEIDAE Aquaculture CRANGONIDAE Capture production SERGESTIDAE Capture production Others Capture production
11 Early Mortality Syndrome (EMS) Serious emerging disease of cultured shrimp Three species affected (Penaeus monodon, P. vannamei and P. chinensis) Reported in China, Malaysia, Mexico, Thailand and Viet Nam Impacts Production losses Loss of income and profit for small-scale producers and commercial enterprises Higher shrimp prices owing to supply shortages Trade impacts 2013 FAO workshop on EMS Diagnosis Reporting Outbreak investigation and response Knowledge and capacity development
12
13 Million tonnes Main commodity production projections Baseline Increased Aquaculture Expansion of feed supply Disease Outbreak Increased demand in China Shrimp Salmon Tilapia Improved Capture Fisheries Climate Change with Mitigation Climate Change w/o Drastic Mitigation
14 TRADE
15 SHRIMP EXPORTS USD SHRIMP IMPORTS USD 1000
16 SHRIMP EXPORTS USD SHRIMP IMPORTS USD 1000
17 SHRIMP EXPORTS USD SHRIMP IMPORTS USD 1000
18 SHRIMP EXPORTS USD SHRIMP IMPORTS USD 1000
19 USD billion Top exporters ,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,
20 USD billion Top importers
21 Major market import origins EU USD 4.5 billion USA USD 5.3 billion Ecuador India Argentina Bangladesh Thailand Vietnam Canada Greenland China Morocco Indonesia Madagascar Nicaragua Others India Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Ecuador Mexico China Peru Malaysia Honduras Bangladesh Others Japan USD 3 billion Vietnam Thailand Indonesia India China Argentina Russia Canada Myanmar Malaysia Greenland Philippines Others
22 CONSUMPTION
23 Global KG per Capita per Year World per capita supply of fish by species group 8 7 Cephalopods Crustaceans Demersal Fish Freshwater Fish 6 5 Marine Fish, Other Molluscs, Other Pelagic Fish
24 KG per Capita per Year World per capita supply of crustaceans by world region
25 Shrimp by-products Primarily chitin and its deacetylated form, chitosanin Industry estimates forecast a global market of tonnes by 2018 Applications in Technology Pharmaceuticals Cosmetics Industrial processes
26 PRICES
27 Terrestrial meat price index vs. Fish price index Jan Jun Fish Meat (Terrestrial)
28 Fish Price Index (baseline = 100 = ) Shrimp vs other species Shrimp Other fish White fish Salmon Pelagic e/tuna Tuna
29 Protein price projections, OECD-FAO 2013 Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013
30
31 CONCLUSIONS
32 Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries Sets out principles and international standards for responsible practices with respect to the goals of conservation, management and development FAO actively promoting its implementation and monitoring progress Internationally agreed but non-binding
33 CONCLUSIONS SUPPLY INCREASING THANKS TO AQUACULTURE DIVERSIFYING GLOBAL SUPPLY EMS STILL A MAJOR CONCERN USA, EU & JAPAN STILL BY FAR THE LARGEST MARKETS BUT JAPAN STAGNATING DOMESTIC MARKETS IN PRODUCING COUNTRIES ARE GROWING FISH PRICES PROJECTED TO INCREASE STRONGLY POTENTIAL FOR SHRIMP BY-PRODUCTS
34 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
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