Renewable Energy market in Egypt



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Transcription:

Renewable Energy market in Egypt By : Hesham Enan June 10 th 2015 1

Agenda Energy Mix in Egypt Electricity Authority and Electricity Tariffs RE Strategy & Policies Hydro Power Solar Energy & Wind Energy Solar Thermal Water Energy Conclusion Remarks 2

3 Energy Mix in Egypt Peak Load: 27000 MW Total Produced Energy: 164628 GWh Annual Growth 2012-2013: 5% Number of subscribers: 29.7 Millions with 5.8 % annual growth Five year plan 2012-2017: (12400 MW thermal) power projects Government Sector 3000 MW C.Cycle in N.Giza & Banha 3900 MW steam in Suez & South Helwan Private Sector 5500 MW (CC & Steam) Expanding Transmission and distribution networks Source: Egyptian Electricity Holding Company Annual Report 2012/2013

Current law for Electricity Tariffs Residential Tariffs Commercial Tariffs Subscribers 2014-2015 Price c 2015-2016 Price c 2016-2017 Price c 2017-2018 Price c 2018-2019 Price c 0-100Kwh 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 100-250kwh 4.4 5 5.8 6.2 6.8 251-600Kwh 5.9 6.1 5.8 6.2 6.8 601-1000Kwh 7.8 8.1 8.6 9.1 9.8 Over 1000Kwh 8.3 8.6 8.6 9.1 9.8 Source: Law # 1257 year 2014 4

RE Strategy & Policies Government Strategy 20% of the Energy Mix by 2020 will be generated by RE Renewable Energy Policies IPP allowed to investors in June 2012 FiT law issued in September 2014 (Law# 1947, year 2014) Targets 4300 MW by 2017 180 Consortiums applied for the licenses 100 Shortlisted for the Solar projects with 2880 MW capacity 36 shortlisted for Wind projects with 1670 MW capacity Type of plant Feed in Tariff Method of calculation Resedential 0.84 EGP/KWh paid in EGP less than 200KW 0.91 EGP/KWh paid in EGP 200KW to 500KW 0.97 EGP/KWh paid in EGP 500KW to 20MW 0.136 USD/KWh FiT in EGP= 15%(0.136)*7.15+85%(0.136)*Current Exchange rate on the day of payment 20MW to 50MW 0.143 USD/KWh FiT in EGP= 15%(0.143)*7.15+85%(0.143)*Current Exchange rate on the day of payment 5

Hydro Power Installed Capacity High Dam (2300MW) Aswan 1 & 2 (540MW) Esna (84MW) Naga Hammady (70MW) It represents 8.2% of the total generation in 2011/2012 Future Plans New Asyut Barrage Hydro power plant with a capacity of 32MW (2017) Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 6

Wind Energy Installed Capacity 1993 :Hurghada wind farm (5MW). 1 st generation wind turbines capacity of 100-300 KW. 2001: Zaafarana Wind Farm (545MW) 700 turbines of different sizes (600KW,660KW, 850KW) with cooperation protocols with German, Danish, Spanish and Japanese governments. Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 7

Wind Energy Future Plans Government agreements (1340 MW) 200 MW wind farm projects in Gabal El zayt. (100 wind turbines x 2MW) Cooperation project between Egyptian & German Governments, and EU commissionaire Installation is finalized and testing started in Feb 2015 1140 MW in the pipeline 340MW in Gabal El Zayt (COD 2017) (Spanish & Japanese EPC awarded) 600MW in Gulf of Suez (COD 2018) (Tender under preparation) 200MW in West of Nile (COD 2018) (Tender under preparation) Private Sector (750MW) 250MW on BOO basis in Gulf of Suez tender awarded 2 x 250MW on BOO basis in Gulf of Suez tender under preparation IPP projects (720MW) 120MW wind farm with Italgen in Gulf of Suez 6x100MW under auction system in 6 lands areas of 15KM square each. Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 8

Solar Energy Average normal solar radiation ranges between 2000 3200 KWh/m2/year The sunshine duration ranges between 9 11 hr/day Installed Capacity Koraymat 140 MW integrated Solar Combined cycle power plant including solar share of 20MW in operation since 2011. First CSP project in the region Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 9

Solar Energy FiT plans in solar to reach 2300 MW 2000 MW for above 500KW 300 MW below 500KW 100MW Solar Thermal power plant Kom Ombo (600 Million Euro project) 10 x 20MW BOO system (PPA 20 years) 35 offers were received and 15 companies were shortlisted. Project planned to be operation in 2017/2018 2 x 20MW NREA (National Renewable Energy Agency) with JICA & AFD Projects are expected to be operation in 2017& 2018 Electrifying Off Grid Rural Areas 195 remote villages and cities through funds from UAE Tender awarded for remote villages in south of Egypt Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 10

Solar Thermal Water Heater Installed Capacity The total installed area is 750,000 m2. Annual Sales volume (10,000-12,000 systems) Area between 25,000 and 40,000m2 20 Egyptian companies are currently active in the field of manufacturing, importing, and installation of solar water heaters. Source: New & Renewable Energy Authority Annual Report 2015 Potential Market (TARES Report- Project Finance by EU) A mean installed surface of 9.8m2 per 1000 capita yearly. Conservative assumptions compared to Greece, Turkey, Cyprus is 18-20 m2 per 1000 capita yearly. Tunisia & Italy are 7-8 m2 per 1000 capita yearly. Industrial Process Heating was not considered in this study 11

Conclusion Remarks High Potential Market Ambitious & Realistic targets for RE in Egypt Government Commitment Strong and sound financial system backed up by CBE Partnership between German & Egyptian Companies is inevitable 12

Thank You Kemet Engineering Industries Solar Mounting Systems By : Hesham Enan Sales Director Hesham.enan@kemet-towers.com Phone # +20 100 1900 280 13