Mobilität der Zukunft- Schlüsselfaktoren und Chancen

Transcription

1 Mobilität der Zukunft- Schlüsselfaktoren und Chancen Future Mobility- Keyfactors and Chances e-mobil BW Technologietag 2. Oktober 2013, Stuttgart Dr. Ulrich Eichhorn Geschäftsführer - Managing Director

2 Why Mobility? Mobility is a basic requirement and basic right of humans Mobility is clearly and strongly correlated to wealth and economic performance GDP [B ] GDP Germany s [Bkm] Seite 2

3 Mobility as a System Inputs Energy Area Resources. Mobility Side-Effects Emissions Accidents.. Effects Economic Social Personal.. Seite 3

4 Passenger and Goods Traffic in Germany Seite 4

5 1.400 Traffic in Germany until % Luftverkehr Air traffic [B. Pkm] (Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL) Eisenbahn Railroad Öffentlicher Public transport Straßenpersonen verkehr Pkw-Verkehr Passenger car Seite 5

6 Goods traffic in Germany until 2025 [B. tkm] % Binnenschiff Barge (Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL) Bahnen Trains Lkw Commercial vehicle Seite 6

7 The story so far Then Now Particulate matter: old and newer passenger vehicle Seite 7

8 "Smog"- Catastrophe in London 1952 Nelson-column in London 1952 Nelson-column in London 2012 Seite 8

9 "Smog" in Los Angeles 1956 Smog in Los Angeles 1956 Los Angeles Skyline 2009 Seite 9

10 "Smog" in Peking 2005 Beijing Seite 10

11 Achievments over the years 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Basis 2012 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Seite 11

12 Challenges & Chances Vision Zero PM & NO2 Safety Emissions CO2 Mobility Efficiency Partners Networking Energy Petrol/Diesel Car2X Car2Car Electricity CNG Seite 12

13 Which is the right way? Seite 13

14 The fan-strategy of the German automotive industry Source: VDA Seite 14

15 Potentials for CO 2 -Savings: Seite 15

16 Electric Mobility What is that? Scope of Electric Mobility according to NPE i.e. re-chargeable from grid Plug-in Hybrid / PHEV Range Extender / REEV Battery EV / BEV Full Hybrid / HEV Mild Hybrid / HEV Start/Stop Seite 16

17 Future Drive Trains Tailored solutions on the market: Long distance Interurban City Internal Combustion Engine Hybridisation Plug-in/ range Extender Battery electric Fuel Cell Quelle: Daimler AG Seite 17

18 Die Anfänge.. Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Total Cost of Ownership Risiko oder Chance für die Elektromobilität? Seite 18

19 Audi A3 e-tron Porsche Panamera Sport Tourismo Opel Ampera BMWi3 Smart fortwo electric drive Ford C- MAX VW e-up VW e-golf Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Elektromobilität heute - Zwischenbilanz auf dem Weg zur Marktdurchdringung Seite 19

20 Networking & Communication Smartphone on Wheels? Seite 20

21 Car2X-Communication Car2X- Communication between traffic lights, Roadside-Units and vehicles Source: Vogel Business Media Danger Warning Message warn all vehicles for upcoming obstacles on the road Source: simtd Page Seite 21

22 sim TD Sichere Intelligente Mobilität Testfeld Deutschland Obstacle Warning Traffic Light Phase Assistant Traffic Light Circuit Car-to-Car- Communication Road Weather Warning Location based Services Building Lot Informationen Emergency Vehicle Warning Traffic Sign Assistant Electronic Brake lights Seite 22

23 Mobility Concepts: Car-Sharing & Intermodality VDA PowerPoint Page Seite 23

24 Chances & Remaining Challenges Inputs Energy: Fuels & Drive for the Future Mobility Side-Effects Particulates & NO 2 Accidents Remaining Accidents CO 2 Congestion Value Mobility Concepts Networking Seite 24

25 Mobility as a System: Goal-Scenario Inputs Energy Area Resources. Mobility Side-Effects Nutzen Economic Social Personal.. Seite 25

26 Summary Many former problems are solved with the latest generations of cars Areas for further progress are Last remaining pollutants CO 2 -Reduction Sustainable Energy-Sources for Transport Networking and Car2X Communication Mobility Concepts Seite 26

27 Visions! and my own! Seite 27

28 Not a Conflict! and my own! Seite 28