India October Crop Review and 2014 Winter Crop Prospects

Transcription

1 October 25, 2013 Informa Economics Survey-Based Crop Reporting Service India October Crop Review and 2014 Winter Crop Prospects Informa and Agriwatch, (Informa s affiliate in India) conducted its crop area survey from October 14 through October 21. The survey covered yield prospects for corn, rice, soybeans, groundnuts, cotton, sugar and pulses as well as prospective wheat and rapeseed plantings. The Informa and Agriwatch survey encompassed 12 states that account for 80 to 98 percent of India s production for these crops. Based on the findings of the Informa/Agriwatch survey, corn production has been increased to 23.5 million tonnes, rice production was reduced to million tonnes, soybean production was also reduced to 11.5 million tonnes, groundnut production was increased to 6.0 million tonnes, cotton was increased to 31.0 million bales, pulse production was reduced slightly to 17.9 million tonnes and sugar production was lowered to 340 million tonnes. For 2014 harvest, the Informa and Agriwatch survey pointed to a 4 percent increase in wheat plantings from last year; rapeseed plantings are projected to increase 5 percent. General Situation This 2013 monsoon began early, followed by a normal to above-normal summer performance and is retreating about two weeks slower than normal. The region where the 2013 monsoon was below normal was in the east. States where the monsoon was 20 to 40 percent below average were Bihar, Jharkland, and the group of states that are north and east of Bangladesh. The monsoon s poor eastern performance has lowered rice production prospects, while the abovenormal rains in the central and western areas hampered soybean development. The good performance of the 2013 monsoon has raised water stored in reservoirs. India s reservoir levels are 18 percent above average which is used in irrigating India s winter (or Rabi) crops. This season s reservoir levels are 16 percent above last season. The last year India s reservoir storage was in a similarly good situation was in the fall of India s Central Water Commission reported that 78 reservoirs had stored more than 80 percent of water capacity, five reservoirs had stored between 50 percent and 80 percent of normal storage, with only two reservoirs between 30 percent and 50 percent of normal storage with none of the country s reservoirs having 30 percent or less of normal storage. The following chart displays India s reservoir level cycle with comparisons with last year and normal. 775 Ridge Lake Boulevard, Suite 400 ~ Memphis, Tennessee ~ Telephone ~ Fax

2 October 25, 2013 Page 2 Corn Situation and Forecast Corn production is forecast to total 23.5 million tonnes, which is up 600 thousand from last month mainly due to an increase in yield forecast for Maharashtra. If realized, the 23.5-milliontonne forecast would be 1.3 million above last year. India s all-corn area is projected to total 9.5 million hectares, 790 thousand above last year. Corn plantings, reported by the Ministry of Agriculture, totaled 8.22 million hectares as of October 3, which was nearly 800 thousand above that planted by the same date last year. India s corn yield is forecast to average 2.47 tonnes per hectare, which if realized, would be 3.1 percent below last year. Kharif corn plantings were completed last month with the earliest planted crop starting to be harvested. Kharif corn is mostly in the filling stage with about 20 percent still in the vegetative stage. Kharif corn harvest is normally completed in January.

3 October 25, 2013 Page 3 India Corn Production 000 Tonnes 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 19,000 18,000 17,000 16,000 15,000 14, Rice Situation and Forecast India s rice production is forecast at million tonnes, milled basis, which is 4.3 million below last month, but, if realized, would be 1.6 million above last year. Kharif rice production is forecast at 89.4 million tonnes, which would be 550 thousand above last season. India s Kharif rice plantings are expected to total 39.5 million hectares, down one million from last month but 1.3 million above last year. The reduction is due to lower plantings than earlier expected as the monsoon in the east was below average. Rice plantings totaled 38 million hectares by October 10, which was about 750 thousand above the amount planted by that date last year. 110, ,000 India Rice Production 000 Tonnes (Milled) 100,000 95,000 90,000 85,000 80,

4 October 25, 2013 Page 4 Oilseed Situation and Forecast India s soybean harvest is forecast at 11.5 million tonnes, which is down 1.1 million from Informa s previous forecast and, if realized, would be equal to the previous season. This season, there reportedly is a wide range of soybean production forecasts available to the market. Earlier this month the Central Organization for Oil Industry and Trade (COOIT) reduced its soybean forecast to 10.2 million tonnes. However, the Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA) reportedly expects the crop to total 12.0 million tonnes. USDA has not provided an update since its early September forecast of 12.3 million tonnes and the latest attaché forecast production, as of September 6, was 13.5 million tonnes. 12,000 India Soybean Production 11,000 10, Tonnes 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5, Groundnut (peanut) production is forecast at 6.0 million tonnes, which is 500 thousand larger than last month but, if realized, would be one million above last year. The larger production is due to a nearly universal increase in yield expectations from survey respondents in Gugurat, which is India s largest producing state that normally accounts for nearly 40 percent of total production. Groundnut yields are forecast to average 1.09 tonnes per hectare, which would be 9 percent above last year. India s Kharif groundnut harvest began about October 1 and normally continues into late December. India s Rabi groundnut plantings normally start in early November and are completed by the end of the year.

5 October 25, 2013 Page 5 Cotton Situation and Forecast Cotton production is forecast to total 31.0 million bales, which is one million above last month and, if realized, would be 4.5 million above last season. The cotton yield is forecast to average a record 572 kilos of lint per hectare, which is 17 percent above last year. The increase is due to this month s survey that indicated greater yield potential in Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Andhra Pradesh. However, these increases were tempered by a sizable decline in Haryana s production forecast. India s Ministry of Agriculture reported that 11.5 million hectares had been planted to cotton by October 10, which represented 97 percent of intentions. This season s above-normal monsoon rains reportedly caused some early set bolls to shed; however, the overall moisture situation is expected to be positive, promoting additional bolls to be set later in the season than normal. India s farmers reportedly have controlled infestations of white fly and other insects this season. 000 Hectares 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 8,500 India Cotton Area ,000 India Cotton Production 30, Pound Bales 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,

6 October 25, 2013 Page 6 Pulses India s total 2013 pulse production is forecast to total 17.9 million tonnes, 100 thousand smaller than last month. The 17.9-million-tonne forecast consists of 5.9 million tonnes of Kharif (monsoon) production and million tonnes of Rabi (winter) production. Pulse plantings totaled 10.7 million hectares as of October 11, which was ahead of last season when 10.2 million had been planted by that date. Kharif pulse area is projected to total 12.2 million hectares, which would be up one percent from last season. The Informa and Agriwatch survey indicated a kharif production of 5.9 million tonnes, which is about 100 thousand lower than a recent forecast from the Indian government. Tur, urad and moong are the major pulses grown during the Kharif season. India Pulse Area, Yield and Production Pulse Area, 000 Hectares Kharif Area 10,582 12,320 11,190 12,040 12,175 Rabi Area 12,700 14,082 13,272 13,500 13,750 Total Area 23,282 26,402 24,462 25,540 25,925 Pulse Yield, Tonnes per Hectare Kharif Yield Rabi Yield Total Yield Pulse Production, 000 Tonnes Kharif Production 4,204 7,120 6,058 5,910 5,900 Rabi Production 10,458 11,121 11,031 12,540 12,000 Total 14,662 18,241 17,089 18,450 17,900 Bold Figures Informa Projections Tur Kharif Pulse Comments The tur crop is likely to be harvested in December and January and early yield estimates will be available by December. According to the first advance estimates released by the government, tur production is forecast at 3.04 million metric tonnes compared to 3.07 million metric tonnes. Urad Harvesting of the kharif urad crop is almost 60 percent complete in the major growing regions. Yields are likely to decline amid rainfall in the growing states of Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka during the month of October. According to government forecasts, urad production is expected to total 1.33 million metric tonnes in 2013 compared to 1.45 million metric tonnes during the previous season. Taking into account the government s acreage estimates and production forecasts, yield is likely to be 576 kilos per hectare in 2013

7 October 25, 2013 Page 7 compared to 580 kilos per hectare during the previous year. According to trade estimates, the crop is likely to be 37 percent damaged and production will be around 910 thousand tonnes in the current season. Moong India moong yield is projected at 404 kilos per hectare in the current season (according to government forecasts) equal to the yield during the previous year. Moong yields are likely to be affected due to the lack of favorable weather at harvest in key the growing regions. According to the government s first advance estimates, moong production is expected to total 900 thousand metric tonnes in 2013 compared to 760 thousand metric tonnes during the previous season. Arrivals are lower in various mandis amid rainfall in the growing regions. According to trade estimates, the crop is likely to be 5 percent damaged and production will be around 720 thousand tonnes in the current season. Sugar India sugar production is forecast to total 340 million tonnes, which is down 10 million from last month but would be 4.7 million above last season. Area planted to sugar is projected to decrease 2 percent from last season to 5.0 million hectares, unchanged from last month s projection. India Sugarcane Area (000 hectares) 4,200 4,890 5,090 5,100 5,000 Yield (tonnes/hectare) Production (000 tonnes) 277, , , , , Wheat and Rapeseed Plantings Wheat area for 2014 harvest is projected to total 30.5 million hectares, which, if realized would be 1.1 million hectares or 4 percent above last year. States where area was reported by survey respondents to likely increase 10 percent or more from last year include Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra. Other states where 3 to 6 percent increases are expected include Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. Wheat production is forecast at 95 million tonnes, which would be 2.5 million above last season. India s wheat planting began on a limited basis in October and increases during November, and normally reaches 50 percent complete by the start of December. Wheat planting advances to 90 to 95 percent by the end of December and is normally completed by the later part of January.

8 October 25, 2013 Page 8 31,000 India Wheat Area 000 Hectares 30,000 29,000 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24, ,000 India Wheat Production 95,000 90, Tonnes 85,000 80,000 75,000 70,000 65, Rapeseed area for 2014 is projected to total 7.15 million hectares, which would be 5.1 percent (or 350 thousand hectares) above last season. If realized, the 2014 rapeseed area is expected to be the largest since 2010 when 7.25 million hectares were sown. Based on normal winter and spring conditions, India is forecast to produce 7.3 million tonnes of rapeseed, 300 thousand above last season. Rapeseed plantings are underway with the bulk of the crop planted in November. India normally has 85 percent of its rapeseed planted by first of December and normally is done planting by early to middle January.

9 October 25, 2013 Page India Rapeseed Area Hectares India Rapeseed Production Tonnes WTM/blg This copyrighted material is intended for the use of clients of Informa Economics, Inc., only and may not be reproduced or electronically transmitted to other companies or individuals, whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Informa Economics, Inc. The information contained herein is believed to be reliable and the views expressed within this document reflect judgments at this time and are subject to change without notice. Informa Economics, Inc. does not guarantee that the information contained herein is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such.

10 October 25, 2013 Page 10 India: Area (thousand hectares) Corn 7,500 7,600 7,800 8,260 8,170 8,330 8,600 8,800 8,710 9,500 Sorghum 9,100 9,000 8,510 7,930 7,530 7,500 7,060 6,330 6,300 6,300 Barley All Wheat 26,620 26,500 26,400 28,000 28,150 27,750 28,460 29,070 29,860 29,400 Rice 42,300 43,400 44,000 43,770 45,400 41,850 42,860 44,100 42,410 44,000 Soybean 7,990 7,800 8,120 8,800 9,600 9,600 9,300 10,270 10,800 12,220 Groundnuts 6,800 6,860 5,910 6,500 6,400 5,300 6,000 5,300 5,000 5,500 Rapeseed 7,150 7,380 6,640 5,700 6,600 6,450 7,250 6,600 6,750 6,800 Sunseed 2,300 2,410 2,145 1,630 1,530 1, Cotton 8,786 8,873 9,166 9,439 9,406 10,310 11,140 12,200 11,800 11,800 India: Yields (tons/hectare), except cotton kilos lint/hectare Corn Sorghum Barley All Wheat Rice Soybean Groundnuts Rapeseed Sunseed Cotton India: Production (thousand metric tons), except cotton in 480 pound bales Corn 14,180 14,710 15,100 18,960 19,730 16,720 21,730 21,760 22,230 23,500 Sorghum 7,240 7,630 7,150 7,930 7,250 6,700 7,000 6,030 5,300 5,800 Barley 1,300 1,200 1,220 1,330 1,200 1,690 1,350 1,660 1,620 1,740 Wheat 72,150 68,640 69,350 75,810 78,570 80,680 80,800 86,870 94,880 92,460 Rice (Milled) 83,130 91,790 93,350 96,690 99,180 89,090 95, , , ,000 Soybean 5,850 7,000 7,690 9,470 9,100 9,700 9,800 11,000 11,500 11,500 Groundnuts 7,000 6,300 5,385 6,800 6,250 4,900 5,850 5,500 5,000 6,000 Rapeseed 6,500 7,000 5,800 5,450 6,700 6,400 7,100 6,200 6,800 7,000 Sunseed 1,224 1,550 1,280 1,120 1, Cotton 19,000 19,050 21,800 24,000 22,600 23,800 26,400 27,500 26,500 31,000 Informa Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

11 October 25, 2013 Page 11 India Corn Area, 000 hectares Kharif Corn Andhra Pradesh Bihar Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Karnataka 1, ,108 1,141 1,206 1,185 1,290 Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Punjab Rajasthan 1,051 1,052 1,096 1,143 1,039 1,020 1,195 Tamil Nadu Uttar Pradesh Others Total Kharif 7,219 6,891 7,103 7,282 7,400 7,310 8,070 Rabi Corn Andhra Pradesh Bihar Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu West Bengal Others Total Rabi 1,042 1,279 1,226 1,318 1,400 1,410 1,430 All Corn 8,260 8,170 8,330 8,600 8,800 8,710 9,500 Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

12 October 25, 2013 Page 12 India Corn Yields, tonnes/hectare Kharif Corn Andhra Pradesh Bihar Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Punjab Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Uttar Pradesh Others Total Kharif Rabi Corn Andhra Pradesh Bihar Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu West Bengal Others Total Rabi All Corn Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

13 October 25, 2013 Page 13 India Corn Production, 000 tonnes Kharif Corn Andhra Pradesh 2,141 1, ,641 1,493 1,525 2,280 Bihar Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Karnataka 2,936 2,632 2,676 4,011 3,644 3,723 3,870 Madhya Pradesh 1,133 1,144 1,045 1,052 1,287 1,315 1,480 Maharashtra 1,545 1,323 1,531 2,209 2,127 2,173 2,370 Punjab Rajasthan 1,954 1,827 1,145 2,053 1,645 1,680 1,602 Tamil Nadu ,002 1,023 1,074 Uttar Pradesh 1,167 1,151 1,025 1,098 1,232 1,259 1,220 Others 1, ,224 1,173 1,199 1,268 Total Kharif 15,112 14,120 12,294 16,641 16,487 16,843 18,050 Rabi Corn Andhra Pradesh 1,480 2,585 1,765 2,315 2,165 2,212 2,235 Bihar 1,203 1,342 1,076 1, ,010 1,020 Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu West Bengal Others Total Rabi 3,849 5,611 4,426 5,088 5,273 5,387 5,450 All Corn 18,960 19,730 16,720 21,730 21,760 22,230 23,500 Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

14 October 25, 2013 Page 14 India Rice Area, 000 hectares Kharif Rice Andhra Pradesh 2,578 2,803 2,063 2,922 2,874 2,810 2,900 Assam 2,001 2,124 2,136 2,172 2,152 2,070 2,050 Bihar 3,462 3,391 3,118 2,744 3,255 3,055 3,000 Chattisgarh 3,752 3,734 3,671 3,703 3,774 3,650 3,800 Gujarat Haryana 1,075 1,210 1,205 1,245 1,235 1,185 1,300 Jharkhand 1,644 1, ,469 1,230 1,350 Karnataka 1,051 1,130 1,102 1,130 1,118 1,085 1,100 Madhya Pradesh 1,559 1,682 1,446 1,603 1,662 1,530 1,700 Maharashtra 1,535 1,500 1,450 1,486 1,516 1,430 1,500 Orissa 4,118 4,124 4,100 3,933 3,769 3,700 3,750 Punjab 2,610 2,735 2,802 2,831 2,818 2,760 3,000 Tamil Nadu 1,637 1,767 1,688 1,743 1,741 1,675 1,700 Uttar Pradesh 5,690 6,012 5,173 5,657 5,923 5,530 5,750 West Bengal 4,208 4,379 4,200 3,574 4,213 3,945 4,000 Others 1,710 1,720 1,773 1,862 1,951 1,875 1,800 Total Kharif 39,356 40,703 37,566 38,052 40,222 38,170 39,450 Rabi Rice Andhra Pradesh 1,406 1,584 1,378 1,829 1,222 1,430 1,550 Assam Karnataka Orissa Tamil Nadu West Bengal 1,512 1,557 1,430 1,370 1,221 1,305 1,450 Others Total Rabi 4,414 4,697 4,284 4,808 3,878 4,240 4,550 All Rice 43,770 45,400 41,850 42,860 44,100 42,410 44,000 Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

15 October 25, 2013 Page 15 India Rice Yields, tonnes/hectare Kharif Rice Andhra Pradesh Assam Bihar Chattisgarh Gujarat Haryana Jharkhand Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Punjab Tamil Nadu Uttar Pradesh West Bengal Others Total Kharif Rabi Rice Andhra Pradesh Assam Karnataka Orissa Tamil Nadu West Bengal Others Total Rabi All Rice Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

16 October 25, 2013 Page 16 India Rice Production, 000 tonnes, milled basis Kharif RiceProduction Andhra Pradesh 8,191 8,380 5,656 7,510 8,565 8,530 9,000 Assam 2,587 3,240 3,549 3,906 3,632 3,515 3,500 Bihar 4,246 5,412 3,433 2,917 7,030 6,125 5,750 Chattisgarh 5,427 4,392 4,110 6,159 6,028 5,620 5,750 Gujarat 1,376 1,226 1,228 1,424 1,522 1,205 1,500 Haryana 3,613 3,298 3,625 3,472 3,759 3,615 3,850 Jharkhand 3,326 3,400 1,518 1,110 3,131 2,510 2,750 Karnataka 2,675 2,725 2,584 3,057 3,038 2,710 3,000 Madhya Pradesh 1,462 1,560 1,261 1,772 2,227 1,905 2,200 Maharashtra 2,913 2,234 2,138 2,625 2,785 2,610 2,700 Orissa 6,724 6,002 6,199 5,961 5,051 5,925 5,850 Punjab 10,489 11,000 11,236 10,837 10,542 11,050 11,700 Tamil Nadu 4,497 4,624 5,054 5,168 6,654 5,825 5,050 Uttar Pradesh 11,732 13,051 10,776 11,992 13,963 13,150 12,450 West Bengal 9,793 10,679 10,065 8,883 10,731 10,540 10,500 Others 3,649 3,726 3,523 3,901 4,088 4,015 3,850 Total Kharif 82,700 84,948 75,955 80,694 92,747 88,850 89,400 Rabi Rice Andhra Pradesh 5,133 5,861 4,882 6,908 4,330 5,810 6,300 Assam ,005 1,050 Karnataka ,022 1, ,055 1,150 Orissa ,055 1,050 Tamil Nadu West Bengal 4,926 4,358 4,276 4,163 3,875 4,520 5,100 Others ,091 1,250 1,100 Total Rabi 13,990 14,231 13,135 15,286 12,563 15,550 16,600 All Rice 96,690 99,180 89,090 95, , , ,000 Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

17 October 25, 2013 Page 17 India Soybeans, Area Yield and Production Area 000 hectares Maharashtra 3,092 2,977 2,643 3,058 3,216 3,600 Gujarat Madhya Pradesh 5,172 5,275 5,385 5,759 6,056 6,820 Rajasthan ,100 Andhra Pradesh Others India 9,600 9,600 9,300 10,270 10,800 12,220 Yield, tonnes/hectare Maharashtra Gujarat Madhya Pradesh Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh Others India Production, 000 tonnes Maharashtra 2,533 2,139 3,321 3,574 3,850 4,240 Gujarat Madhya Pradesh 5,374 6,237 5,132 5,656 5,910 5,820 Rajasthan ,247 1, Andhra Pradesh Others India 9,100 9,700 9,800 11,000 11,500 11,500 Informa Estimates and Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

18 October 25, 2013 Page 18 India Cotton, Area Yield and Production Area, 000 hectares Maharashtra 3,142 3,503 3,932 4,125 4,130 3,950 Gujarat 2,354 2,625 2,633 2,962 2,363 2,500 Madhya Pradesh Punjab Haryana Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh 1,399 1,475 1,784 1,879 2,140 2,225 Karnataka Tamil Nadu Orissa Others India 9,406 10,310 11,140 12,200 11,800 11,800 Yield kilos, (lint)/hectare Maharashtra Gujarat Madhya Pradesh Punjab Haryana Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh Karnataka Tamil Nadu , Orissa Others India Production, pound bales Maharashtra 4,841 5,134 6,851 5,778 6,300 8,000 Gujarat 7,027 7,652 8,292 9,370 6,700 7,750 Madhya Pradesh 1,405 1,191 1,382 1,405 1,350 1,700 Punjab 1,366 1,015 1,444 1,444 1,400 1,280 Haryana 1,093 1,191 1,327 1,952 1,850 1,350 Rajasthan ,327 1,260 1,130 Andhra Pradesh 4,138 4,255 4,646 4,372 5,700 7,500 Karnataka , ,150 Tamil Nadu Orissa Others 894 1, India 22,600 23,800 26,400 27,500 26,500 31,000 Informa Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

19 October 25, 2013 Page 19 India Wheat, Area Yield and Production Area, 000 hectares Bihar 2,163 2,158 2,193 2,104 2,142 2,200 2,150 Gujarat 1,274 1, ,274 1,351 1,350 1,400 Haryana 2,462 2,462 2,492 2,515 2,522 2,500 2,300 Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Madhya Pradesh 3,742 3,785 4,276 4,341 4,889 4,550 5,200 Maharashtra 1,253 1,022 1,081 1, ,050 1,150 Punjab 3,488 3,526 3,522 3,510 3,528 3,550 3,600 Rajasthan 2,592 2,295 2,394 2,479 2,935 2,600 2,750 Uttar Pradesh 9,115 9,513 9,668 9,637 9,731 9,700 10,000 Uttarakhand West Bengal Others India 28,000 27,750 28,460 29,070 29,860 29,400 30,500 Yield kilos/hectare Bihar 2,058 2,043 2,084 1,948 2,206 2,227 2,186 Gujarat 3,013 2,377 2,679 3,155 3,014 3,037 3,071 Haryana 4,158 4,390 4,213 4,624 5,030 4,840 5,000 Himachal Pradesh 1,376 1, ,530 1,671 1,600 1,571 Jammu & Kashmir 1,782 1,735 1,003 1,535 1,689 1,695 1,667 Madhya Pradesh 1,612 1,723 1,967 1,757 2,360 2,077 2,154 Maharashtra 1,659 1,483 1,610 1,761 1,558 1,714 1,696 Punjab 4,507 4,462 4,307 4,693 4,898 4,930 4,917 Rajasthan 2,749 3,175 3,133 2,910 3,175 3,077 3,091 Uttar Pradesh 2,817 3,002 2,846 3,113 3,113 3,196 3,150 Uttarakhand 2,050 2,003 2,139 2,316 2,379 2,368 2,368 West Bengal 2,602 2,490 2,680 2,760 2,765 2,862 2,813 Others 1,313 1,199 1,211 1,362 1,388 1,333 1,333 India 2,806 2,907 2,839 2,988 3,177 3,145 3,115 Production, 000 Tonnes Bihar 4,450 4,410 4,571 4,098 4,725 4,900 4,700 Gujarat 3,838 2,593 2,352 4,019 4,072 4,100 4,300 Haryana 10,236 10,808 10,500 11,630 12,686 12,100 11,500 Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Madhya Pradesh 6,033 6,522 8,410 7,627 11,539 9,450 11,200 Maharashtra 2,079 1,516 1,740 2,301 1,313 1,800 1,950 Punjab 15,720 15,733 15,169 16,472 17,280 17,500 17,700 Rajasthan 7,125 7,287 7,501 7,214 9,320 8,000 8,500 Uttar Pradesh 25,679 28,554 27,518 30,001 30,293 31,000 31,500 Uttarakhand West Bengal Others India 78,570 80,680 80,800 86,870 94,880 92,460 95,000 Informa Forecasts in Bold Oct 25, 2013

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