Graph 1: Country of origin for poultry imports (1H 2016)

Transcription

1 SOUTH AFRICAN POULTRY MEAT IMPORTS: COUNTRY REPORT OCTOBER 216 PLEASE NOTE: This report is based on SARS verified stats. The verified stats will be corrected up to two years in arrears. The vouchers of correction that were issued up the end of 214 were incorporated into the imports reports. Where the term poultry is used, this may refer to imports of chicken, turkey, duck, goose or guinea fowl. If, as a regular user of this report, you would like other data included or data presented in a different format (e.g. tables), please contact us on cynthia@silverpath.co.za with your suggestions. 1. ANNUAL IMPORTS FOR 1H 216 Poultry imports for the 1H 216 totalled t. The percentage contributions from the major importing countries are shown in Graph 1: Graph 1: Country of origin for poultry imports (1H 216) Netherlands 16.7% United Kingdom 9.1% Spain 6.9% United States 5.3% Belgium 4.6% Argentina 3.5% Ireland 2.6% Brazil 43.2% Hungary 2.5% Denmark 2.% Other 1.9% Canada 1.6% Brazil was the main country of origin in 1H 216, accounting for 43.2 %, or t, of total poultry imports into South Africa. The Netherlands were the second largest importer into the country, with 16.7 % or t. The UK has also recovered from the effects of avian influenzarelated trade bans in 215, to account for 9.1 % of imports in 1H 216 ( t). Spain holds on to 4 th position on the imports table with t (6.9 %). The US re-entered the South African poultry market in January 216 and has exported a total of t of poultry products to our shores in the first half of 216 (5.3 %). In 215, Belgian poultry imports into South Africa 1

2 increased by 198 % over 214 levels to account for 7.4 % of total imports, but account for only 4.6 % in 1H 216 ( t). Argentina finished 1H 216 in seventh position with 3.5 % of total poultry imports (1 114 t). All other importing countries contributed less than 3 % each to imports of poultry into South Africa in 1H 216. If the EU countries are considered as a single entity, 45.5 % of poultry imports entered SA through the EU in the 1H 216, compared to 41.7 % in 215 and 48.5 % in the 214. The dip in 215 reflects the impact of the bans on EU countries affected by avian influenza. In Graph 2, the EU countries are grouped together as a single entity. Graph 2: Country of origin 1H 216: EU countries grouped Brazil 43.2% United States 5.3% Argentina 3.5% Canada 1.6% Other.8% EU 45.5% 2. MONTHLY IMPORTS FOR OCTOBER 216 Poultry imports into South Africa totalled tonnes in October 216. Brazil remained the main country of origin for South African poultry imports, with 41 % or t of total imports (Graph 3). The Netherlands were responsible for 22.8 % of the total imports; Spain 9.3 %; the UK 6.9 %; Belgium 5.3 %; Hungary 2.9 %; Ireland 2.6 %; Argentina 2.2 %; the US 2. %; Poland 2. % and Denmark 1.4 % (see graph above). Other countries contributed 1.6 % collectively. The Netherlands have reported outbreaks of HPAI in both wild birds and commercial fattening ducks in November 216 and a trade ban looks imminent. Under the terms of the AGOA agreement, US imports of frozen bone in portions resumed in January 216. Trade volumes from the US have been erratic since the beginning of the year, peaking at 6 96 t in March but dropping as low as 65 t in August. In October, 1 28 t of poultry products were imported from the US. Under the terms of the agreement, South Africa could expect to receive over 5 4 t of bone-in portions per month from the US. 2

3 Graph 3: Poultry imports for October 216 Netherlands 22.8% Spain 9.3% United Kingdom 6.9% Belgium 5.3% Hungary 2.9% Ireland 2.6% Argentina 2.2% United States 2.% Poland 2.% Brazil 41.% Other 1.6% Denmark 1.4% Only 117 kilogrammes of poultry product arrived from France in October, because of AI-related restrictions on trade. Germany returned to the South African poultry market earlier in the year but imports have not yet returned to levels received before the AI-related trade ban (1 841 t in June, t in July, 826 t in August, 27 t in September and 152 t in October). The Germans have recorded HPAI in wild birds, fattening turkeys and breeder hens in November 216. Canada, a regular exporter to South Africa until January 215, resumed exports in January 216. In May, the Canadians exported 1 95 t of poultry products to South Africa but volumes dropped to 431 t in August. Canada exported 549 t to South Africa in October 216. Poland entered the South African market in August 216, with 82 t of chicken drumsticks and chicken offal. Polish volumes increased to 469 tonnes in September and to 1 1 t in October. Graph 4: Poultry imports for October 216 (EU countries grouped) Brazil 41.% EU 53.5% Argentina 2.2% United States 2.% Other.2% Canada 1.1% 3

4 Dec-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Graph 4 (above) shows the origin of poultry imports in October 216, with the EU countries grouped together as a single entity. Imports from the EU contributed 53.5 % (26 96 t) of total poultry imports into South Africa in October. EU tonnages were up 1.7 % on a monthly basis and are up 54.3 % on a year-on-year basis. COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN 3.1 Poultry imports from Brazil Poultry imports from Brazil totalled t in October 216, representing 41 % of total poultry imports in volume terms, with an FOB import value of R125.9 million. On a monthly basis, imports from Brazil decreased by 1.8 % (- 373 t). Imports increased by 17.5 % ( t) compared to October 215. Brazilian imports in October 216 included 75.7 % mechanically deboned meat; 8.7 % chicken offals; 2.6 % frozen chicken bone-in portions; 3.8 % frozen boneless chicken portions and 9.2 % turkey meat. Graph 5 shows the monthly imports (t) from Brazil, since October 212: Graph 5: Poultry imports from Brazil 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Poultry imports from Brazil for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, Frozen Mechanically Deboned Meat 15,638,63 R 59,888,976 R Chicken: Boneless cuts: Breasts 748,475 R 12,38,714 R Chicken: Boneless cuts: Other 27,51 R 528,897 R Chicken: Offal: Livers 37,79 R 2,542,47 R Chicken: Offal: Feet 745,44 R 7,916,224 R Chicken: Offal: Other 677,925 R 3,37,48 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 288,25 R 3,241,675 R Chicken: Other: Wings 27, R 338,192 R Chicken: Other: Other 229,53 R 2,19,645 R Turkey: Not cut in pieces, fresh or chilled; Whole fresh turkey 28,163 R 1,138,13 R Turkey: Not cut in pieces, frozen; Whole frozen turkey 29,94 R 8,91,76 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 1,661,896 R 23,576,62 R Total for: Brazil in October 216 2,653,486 R 125,932,559 R 6.1

5 Accumulated imports from Brazil in 214 were less than in each of the preceding three years. However, accumulated imports for 215 were considerably higher than in previous years (for example, 43 % higher than in 214). Accumulated imports in October 216 ( t) are higher than in October 213, 214 and 215 (Graph 6). 3, Graph 6: Accumulation of poultry imports from Brazil 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec ,826 28,381 45,522 63,75 82,455 98, ,72 127, , ,34 171, , ,933 25,758 38,159 54,747 68,649 83,552 97,47 11,88 127, , , , ,728 33,254 55,456 77,282 98, ,639 14,27 161,54 182, ,69 221, , ,11 36,225 59,584 78,13 11, , , , ,621 24,275 Quarterly poultry imports from Brazil: Graph 7: Poultry imports from Brazil for Q Chicken: Carcasses.4% Chicken: Whole, frozen.4% Chicken: Frozen MDM 73.7% * Chicken: Boneless portions, frozen 4.7% * Chicken: Offal, frozen 8.1% Chicken: Flavoured, frozen.1% * Chicken: Bone-in portions, frozen 6.9% Turkey: Whole, fresh.4% Turkey: Whole, frozen.4% Turkey: Frozen MDM 5.1% Mechanically deboned meat (27.121) made up 73.8 % ( t) of all imports originating from Brazil during the 3Q 216 (total: t). During the third quarter of 216, the remainder of Brazilian imports included 8.1 % frozen offal (27.142*); 6.9 % bone-in chicken portions 5

6 Belgium Denmark Germany Hungary Ireland Netherlands Poland Spain United Kingdom Oct-12 (27.149*); 5.1 % frozen turkey portions and MDM (27.27) and 4.7 % frozen boneless chicken portions (27.141*). The composition of Brazilian imports is shown in Graph Poultry imports from the EU Graph 8 depicts the total monthly poultry imports from the European Union from October 212 to October , Graph 8: Monthly imports from the EU 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, During October 216, t of poultry imports entered the country from the EU. This represents 53.5 % of total poultry imports. Imports from individual EU countries, with notable tonnages, are shown in Graph 9. Graph 9: Poultry imports from EU countries October , 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, 6

7 Dec-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-12 Dec-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 The contribution of the EU to total poultry imports increased from 3 % in July 214 to 6 % in November 214 (see Graph 1). From January to May 215 imports decreased to an average of 34 % of total imports because of AI-related trade bans, and then increased again to 48 % in June 215; remaining above 4 % and approaching 5 % through to December 215. EU tonnages rose dramatically between March and May 216, before dropping in June and July. EU imports have increased again in August (+ 4.4 %), September ( %), and October (+ 1.7 %) monthon-month. Imports are up 54.3 % ( t) on October 215 EU imports. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Graph 1: Poultry imports from EU vs total poultry imports 1% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % Poultry imports from EU, % Poultry imports from EU, t Total poultry imports, t The contribution of frozen bone-in portions imports originating from the EU is increasing, relative to imports from other countries (Graph 11). Graph 11: Imports of frozen bone-in portions from the EU and other countries 3, 22,5 15, 7,5 Total imports from the EU countries Total imports from countries excluding EU countries 7

8 Quarterly poultry imports from EU: Frozen bone-in chicken portions (27.149*) made up 62.6 % ( t) of all imports originating from the EU during the 3Q 216 (total: t; Graph 12). During the third quarter of 216, the remainder of EU imports comprised 1.9 % frozen offal (27.142*); 15.7 % chicken MDM (27.121); 4.8 % chicken carcasses (27.122); 3.4 % whole frozen chickens (27.129); 2.5 % frozen turkey cuts/mdm (27.27); and.1 % of products imported on other tariff lines. Graph 12: Poultry imports from EU for Q Turkey: Frozen MDM 2.5% Other tariff codes.1% * Chicken: Bone-in portions, frozen 62.6% Chicken: Frozen MDM 15.7% Chicken: Carcasses 4.8% Chicken: Whole, frozen 3.4% * Chicken: Offal, frozen 1.9% Poultry imports from Netherlands for October 216: After an outbreak of the highly infectious H5N8 strain of avian influenza on a poultry farm in the central town of Hekendorp in the middle of November 214, imports from the Netherlands into South Africa resumed in June 215. Since September 215, Dutch imports climbed back up to the high seen in June 214 ( t), eventually exceeding this level in September 216; see Graph 13. However, on November 8 216, the Netherlands reported 29 cases of H5N8 HPAI in wild birds, in Noord- and Zuid-Holland, Flevoland, Overussel and Noord-Brabant. On November 28, a second report confirmed 5 cases of H5N8 HPAI in fattening ducks in Flevoland. In response to this outbreak, 95 ducks were destroyed. A trade ban on Dutch imports into South Africa looks unavoidable. Imports from the Netherlands in October 216 totalled t at an FOB value of R 14.1 m. Imports decreased by 4.8 % on a monthly basis (- 579 t), after 22 % and 1.7 % increases in August and September, respectively. October 216 imports are 36.2 % higher ( t) than imports a year ago. Dutch imports accounted for 22.8 % of total imports into South Africa in October 216. Dutch imports included: 56.8 % chicken leg quarters, 11.5 % mechanically deboned chicken, 14.8 % other frozen chicken bone-in portions; 9.9 % chicken carcasses and 6.2 % chicken offals. Only.7 % of Dutch imports were whole chickens. 8

9 Poultry imports from the Netherlands totalled t in 215, a decrease of t (16.3 %) in comparison with 214 (74 43 t). In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from the Netherlands. Poultry imports from the Netherlands for October 216: Quantity in kg Chicken: Not cut in pieces, Frozen Mechanically Deboned Meat 1,319,971 R 5,749,276 R Carcasses (excluding necks and offal) with all cuts (e.g. thighs, wings, 1,137,384 R 5,895,143 R 5.18 legs and breasts) removed Chicken: Not cut in pieces, frozen, whole and half chickens 79,92 R 1,138,769 R Chicken: Offal: Other 75,2 R 3,628,23 R Chicken: Other: Whole bird cut in half 28, R 45,84 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 6,59,556 R 97,317,469 R Chicken: Other: Wings 416,822 R 7,13,775 R Chicken: Other: Breasts 27,2 R 387,845 R Chicken: Other: Thighs 119,44 R 1,679,529 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 88,35 R 13,247,285 R Chicken: Other: Other 224, R 3,223,56 R Ducks, geese or guinea fowl: Other, Not including pastes 3, R 285,76 R Total for: Netherlands in October ,45,843 R 14,62,481 R Graph 13: Poultry imports from the Netherlands 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, Poultry imports from the UK for October 216: The World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) pronounced the 214 H5N8 outbreak in the UK to be resolved in March 215 and trade restrictions were lifted. However, there was a further reported outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (strain H7N7) on a 17 bird layer farm near Preston, Lancashire on 6 July 215. No further cases were recorded and the 1 km surveillance zone was lifted on August 16 th last year. South Africa reinstated the country-wide ban previously imposed on UK imports, so that only minimal levels of UK poultry were imported from August through to November 215. Poultry imports from the UK resumed in December 215. Import volumes are now restored to pre-outbreak levels. 9

10 In October 216, t were imported at an FOB value of 44.1 m (Graph 14). October imports were up 37.3 % (+ 938 t) on September 216 levels. Imports have increased by t over October 215 imports, as there were no imports from the UK a year ago because of the July 215 AI outbreak. Graph 14: Poultry imports from the UK 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Poultry imports from the UK for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, Frozen Mechanically Deboned Meat 1,815 R 1,261,278 R Carcasses (excluding necks and offal) with all cuts(e.g. thighs, wings, 97, R 523,75 R 5.4 legs and breasts) removed Chicken: Offal: Feet 25,2 R 92,473 R Chicken: Offal: Other 97, R 926,689 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 276,63 R 3,83,717 R Chicken: Other: Wings 1,312,545 R 16,724,927 R Chicken: Other: Thighs 98,6 R 1,385,831 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 1,63,835 R 13,854,351 R Chicken: Other: Other 139,675 R 1,97,97 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 243,235 R 3,537,69 R Total for: United Kingdom in October 216 3,454,535 R 44,81,613 R Imports from the UK included 83.7 % frozen chicken portions (leg quarters, wings, drumsticks, thighs and other), 2.9 % mechanically deboned meat, 2.8 % chicken carcasses; 7. % frozen turkey cuts/offal and 3.5 % chicken offals. Imports from the UK accounted for 6.9 % of total imports into South Africa in October 216. Poultry imports from the UK totalled t in 215, a decrease of 62.8 % over 214 levels (43 9 t). In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from the UK (exceeding total 215 levels since April). 1

11 3.2.3 Poultry imports from Germany for October 216: Low and erratic levels of imports have been recorded from Germany in the last 2 months as a result of temporary bans on imports because of avian influenza in the 4Q 214 and 3Q 215. Detection of the H5N8 strain of the virus on a turkey farm at Heinrichswalde in Mecklenburg- Vorpommern in early November 214 was the first reported case in Europe in the global outbreak of 214/15. On 24 July 215, a further outbreak (HPAI H7N7 strain) was reported from a 1 - bird laying hen flock in Herzlake, Emsland, Lower Saxony (Niedersachsen). Sequencing of the avian influenza virus genome in this case indicated a close homology to the low pathogenic H7N7 virus. The outbreak was attributed to a spontaneous mutation from the LP H7N7 virus (OIE). Since 9 November 216, Germany has notified the OIE of 3 76 cases of H5N8 HPAI in wild birds and commercial poultry. Of these cases, 3 were in breeding chickens and a further 32 in small poultry operations and backyard flocks of laying hens, fattening turkeys, ducks, geese, and pigeons. On the breeder unit, 33 hens were destroyed. In October 216, 152 t of poultry products were imported from Germany, at an FOB value of R1.29 million (Graph 15). Imports decreased by 55 t ( %) from September s level of 27 t, but increased by 152 t over October 215 levels (zero German imports in 3Q 215). October s imports consisted of 49.4 % frozen turkey cuts/offal, 35.5 % chicken offal and 15.1 % chicken carcasses. The graph below shows monthly imports from Germany. German imports accounted for.3 % of total imports into South Africa in October 216. Graph 15: Poultry imports from Germany 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Poultry imports from Germany totalled t in 214. Imports in 215 were restricted to 554 t; an annual decrease of 97.5 %. In 216 YTD, 5 69 t of poultry products have been imported from Germany. 11

12 Poultry imports from Germany for October 216: Carcasses (excluding necks and offal) with all cuts (e.g. thighs, wings, 22,886 R 114,773 R 5.1 legs and breasts) removed Chicken: Offal: Other 53,932 R 199,188 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 75,18 R 974,37 R Total for: Germany in October ,836 R 1,287,998 R Poultry imports from Ireland for September 216: In October 216, t of poultry meat were imported from Ireland at an FOB value of R 15.5 m (Graph 16). Irish imports accounted for 2.6 % of total imports into South Africa in September; a decrease of 4.5 % (- 63 t) on a monthly basis and a decrease of 3.8 % (- 52 t) on October 215 imports. Of the Irish imports, 49.6 % were chicken leg quarters; 33.1 % chicken offal (livers, feet and other); and 17.3 % other bone-in portions (wings, thighs and drumsticks). Graph 16: Poultry imports from Ireland 1,8 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, Poultry imports from Ireland for October 216: Chicken: Offal: Livers 63,2 R 49,878 R Chicken: Offal: Feet 232,68 R 1,376,944 R Chicken: Offal: Other 142,44 R 797,54 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 655, R 9,768,496 R Chicken: Other: Wings 5,4 R 637,457 R Chicken: Other: Thighs 131,694 R 1,799,161 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 46,62 R 662,4 R Total for: Ireland in October 216 1,321,782 R 15,451,876 R

13 In 215, Ireland exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to t during 214; an increase of 61 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Ireland Poultry imports from France for October 216: In October 216, only 117 kilogrammes of poultry meat were imported from France. In late November 215, France experienced an outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Between November and April 19 th, 78 separate outbreaks of the Eurasian H5N1, H5N2 and H5N9 strains were reported in the south west of the country. No new cases were reported in May and June but, in late July, two new reports of highly pathogenic avian influenza were received from the regions of Aveyron (ducks) and the Dordogne (free range broilers). The crash in French imports through 216 YTD relates directly to these events (Graph 17). The French are due to regain HPAI-free status on 3 December 216. On 17 November 216, a fourth HPAI event was reported to the OIE, in which 25 cases of H5N8 HPAI were recorded in wild call-ducks in the town on Marck in the region of Pas de Calais. French veterinary authorities maintain that call-ducks are not classified as poultry as per Chapter 1.4 of the OIE Terrestrial Code and assert that the event should not trigger trade restrictions. Graph 17: Poultry imports from France 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Poultry imports from France for October 216: Pate de foie gras, goose liver paste 117 R 3,982 R Total for: France in October R 3,982 R

14 In 215, France exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to during 214; an increase of 241 %. In 216 YTD, only 78 t of poultry products have been imported from France Poultry imports from Denmark for October 216: In November, Danish veterinary authorities have reported outbreaks of H5N8 HPAI in wild tufted ducks, gulls and swans and in a small backyard poultry flock (58 birds destroyed). In October 216, 681 t of poultry meat were imported from Denmark at an FOB value of R 1.2 m (Graph 18). Imports increased by 51.9 % (+ 233 t) on a monthly basis; and increased by 1.1 % compared to October 215. During October 216, 1.4 % of total poultry imports came from Denmark. Of the Danish imports, 7.9 % were chicken offal (feet and livers); 8.4 % frozen chicken bone-in portions (leg quarters, wings, drumsticks); and 11.8 % frozen whole chickens. Poultry imports from Denmark for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, frozen, whole and half chickens 8,252 R 1,89,136 R Chicken: Offal: Livers 27, R 229,128 R Chicken: Offal: Feet 26,58 R 316,79 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 39,93 R 6,555,361 R Chicken: Other: Wings 142,4 R 1,82,639 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 14,6 R 22,69 R Total for: Denmark in October ,42 R 1,213,33 R Graph 18: Poultry imports from Denmark 2, 1,8 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, In 215, Denmark exported 9 58 t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to 6133 during 214; an increase of 55 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Denmark. 14

15 3.2.7 Poultry imports from Hungary for October 216: A total of t of poultry meat were imported from Hungary in October 216 at an FOB value of R 9.99 m (Graph 19). Imports have increased by 13.3 % (+ 173 t) in October from last month s levels. The year-on-year increase in tonnages is 91 t (+ 158 %). During October 216, 2.9 % of total poultry imports came from Hungary. Of the Hungarian imports, 35.8 % were offal (feet and other); 16. % frozen chicken carcasses; 41.6 % chicken bone-in portions (leg quarters and wings); 4.9 % turkey cuts and offal and 1.7 % whole frozen ducks. Poultry imports from Hungary for October 216: Carcasses (excluding necks and offal) with all cuts (e.g. thighs, wings, 235,878 R 97,418 R 3.85 legs and breasts) removed Chicken: Offal: Feet 42,77 R 2,265,957 R Chicken: Offal: Other 123,696 R 376,35 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 219,38 R 2,781,672 R Chicken: Other: Wings 393,792 R 2,277,191 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 72, R 655,558 R Ducks, Not cut in pieces, frozen 25,8 R 728,19 R Total for: Hungary in October 216 1,472,524 R 9,991,94 R 6.79 Graph 19: Poultry imports from Hungary 1,8 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, Hungary experienced a single avian influenza event in late March 215, which was declared resolved in an OIE report issued on the 8 April 215. On 4 November 216, Hungary reported 14 outbreaks ( cases) of H5N8 HPAI in poultry operations housing fattening turkeys, geese and ducks. 15

16 In 215, Hungary exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to t during 214; an increase of 36 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Hungary Poultry imports from Spain for October 216: In October 216, t of poultry meat were imported from Spain at an FOB value of R 56.1 m (Graph 2). Imports increased by 33.4% on a monthly basis ( t). The year-on-year increase in exports from Spain is 146 % ( t). During October 216, 9.3 % of total poultry imports came from Spain. The Spanish imports included 4 % frozen chicken leg quarters; 4.2 % frozen chicken wings; 9.8 % frozen chicken drumsticks; 27.4 % whole frozen chickens; 11.2 % frozen chicken offals (feet/other); and 6.3 % frozen turkey cuts/mdm. The remainder was whole frozen turkeys. In 215, Spain exported 27 9 t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to t during 214; an increase of 162 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Spain. 5, 4,5 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Graph 2: Poultry imports from Spain Poultry imports from Spain for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, frozen, whole and half chickens 1,28,778 R 13,19,288 R Chicken: Offal: Feet 448,8 R 4,875,622 R Chicken: Offal: Other 77,243 R 94,984 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 1,868,714 R 24,165,993 R Chicken: Other: Wings 197,92 R 2,233,187 R Chicken: Other: Thighs 3,77 R 368,444 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 46,13 R 6,69,285 R Turkey: Not cut in pieces, frozen; Whole frozen turkey 14,652 R 746,899 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 296,44 R 3,17,793 R Total for: Spain in October 216 4,674,727 R 56,112,495 R 12.

17 3.2.9 Poultry imports from Belgium for October 216: In October 216, t of poultry meat were imported from Belgium at an FOB value of R4.9 m (Graph 21). Imports increased by 9.6 % (+ 237 t) on a monthly basis and increased by 8.8 % (+ 217 t) compared to October 215 imports. During October 216, 5.3 % of total poultry imports came from Belgium. Of the Belgian imports, 22.1 % were whole frozen chickens; 51.1 % frozen chicken leg quarters; 12.1 % wings; 5.6 % thighs and 9.1 % drumsticks. In 215, Belgium exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to t during 214; an increase of 198 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Belgium. Poultry imports from Belgium for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, frozen, whole and half chickens 594,91 R 8,975,162 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 1,373,12 R 21,224,823 R Chicken: Other: Wings 325,21 R 4,763,871 R Chicken: Other: Thighs 15,8 R 2,178,567 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 244,81 R 3,74,948 R Chicken: Other: Other 3 R 285 R 95. Total for: Belgium in October 216 2,688,88 R 4,883,656 R Graph 21: Poultry imports from Belgium 4,5 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, Poultry imports from Poland for October 216: Poland entered the South African market in August 216. In October 216, 11 t of poultry meat were imported from Poland at an FOB value of R15.2 m. Imports increased by 115 % (+ 541 t) over September 216 levels. During October 216, 2. % of total poultry imports came from 17

18 Poland. Of the Polish imports, 13.6 % were whole frozen chickens; 53.6 % frozen chicken leg quarters; 14.9 % wings; 9.6 % drumsticks and 5.5 % other bone-in portions. Poultry imports from Poland for October 216: Quantity in kg in R per kg Chicken: Not cut in pieces, frozen, whole and half chickens 137, R 2,143,225 R Chicken: Offal: Other 28, R 156,854 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 54,99 R 8,683,215 R Chicken: Other: Wings 15,48 R 2,64,222 R Chicken: Other: Drumsticks 97,38 R 1,414,9 R Chicken: Other: Other 56, R 192,537 R 3.44 Total for: Poland in October 216 1,9,85 R 15,23,953 R 15.8 In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Poland. On 7 November 216, Polish veterinary authorities notified the OIE of H5N8 HPAI in wild birds (24 cases). 3.3 Poultry imports from Argentina for October 216: In October 216, 1 99 t of poultry meat were imported from Argentina at an FOB value of R5.25 m (Graph 22). Imports decreased by 34.7 % (-583 t) on a monthly basis and decreased by 55.7 % ( t) on a yearly basis. During this month, 2.2 % of total poultry imports came from Argentina; 59.3 % of Argentinian imports were chicken carcasses; 27.5 % frozen chicken offals (livers and other); 7.2 % frozen chicken bone-in portions; 2.3 % turkey cuts/offal and 3.7 % mechanically deboned chicken meat. 4,5 Graph 22: Poultry imports from Argentina 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 18

19 In 215, Argentina exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to t during 214; an increase of 28.4 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Argentina. Poultry imports from Argentina for October 216: Quantity in kg in R per kg Chicken: Not cut in pieces, Frozen Mechanically Deboned Meat 4,5 R 145,747 R Carcasses (excluding necks and offal) with all cuts (e.g. thighs, 651,76 R 2,341,241 R 3.59 wings, legs and breasts) removed Chicken: Offal: Livers 153,9 R 1,21,738 R Chicken: Offal: Other 148,5 R 636,162 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 52, R 528,978 R Chicken: Other: Breasts 27, R 195,635 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 25, R 379,69 R Total for: Argentina in October 216 1,98,66 R 5,249,191 R Poultry imports from the USA in October 216: Imports of frozen bone-in portions, until recently subject to anti-dumping duties, resumed from the USA in January 216. Imports from the US totalled 1 28 t in October; down 42 t (- 29 %) on September 216 imports and still much lower than the 7 31 t imported in March (Graph 23). October imports included 44.1 % frozen bone-in portions; 2.7 % boneless chicken cuts; 5. % chicken offal and 3.2 % turkey products. American imports accounted for 2. % of total imports in October 216; down from 12.2 % in March. Imports from the US were valued at R1.3 million (FOB). Graph 23: Poultry imports from the United States 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 19

20 In 215, the last reported case of highly pathogenic avian influenza in the US was reported from Iowa on 17 June. The total number of outbreaks since January 215 was 223, with the number of dead or culled birds reaching over 48.1 million. Fears that outbreaks might occur again in the US autumn/winter seemed justified after a January 216 outbreak of HPAI, strain H7N8, in a turkey flock in Indiana, but no further cases of HPAI were reported in the area. In April, LPAI (strain H5N1) was reported in a turkey flock in Missouri. The flock of 39 birds was euthanised. Poultry imports from the US for October 216: Chicken: Boneless cuts: Breasts 211,673 R 3,243,795 R Chicken: Boneless cuts: Other 762 R 9,399 R Chicken: Offal: Other 51,699 R 42,413 R Chicken: Other: Leg quarters 264,24 R 2,59,627 R Chicken: Other: Wings 188,364 R 1,259,736 R Chicken: Other: Breasts 762 R 7,277 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 31,94 R 2,785,927 R 8.96 Total for: United States in October 216 1,28,44 R 1,299,174 R 1.1 A total of 331 t of poultry meat was imported during 215 from the USA. In 213 and 214, an estimated and 5 22 t entered SA, so imports have dropped substantially over the past two years. However, in 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from the US. 3.5 Poultry imports originating from other countries: In October 216, 2 t of poultry meat was imported from Thailand (Graph 24), up from 65 kilogrammes in September. Imports are still down sharply from the t imported from Thailand in August ,8 Graph 24: Poultry imports from Thailand 1,6 1,4 1,2 1,

21 In 215, Thailand exported t of poultry products to South Africa, compared to 347 t during 214; an increase of 2 98 %. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Thailand. Poultry imports from Thailand for October 216: Ducks, Other, frozen 19,996 R 594,61 R Total for: Thailand in October ,996 R 594,61 R In October 216, 549 t of poultry meat were imported from Canada at an FOB value of R5.5 m (Graph 25). Canadian imports resumed in January 216 after a year s hiatus. Canadian imports made up 1.1 % of total poultry imports into South Africa in October. Of the Canadian imports in October, 75.9 % were frozen turkey cuts and offal. In 216 YTD, t of poultry products have been imported from Canada. 1,8 Graph 25: Poultry imports from Canada 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, Poultry imports from Canada for October 216: Chicken: Not cut in pieces, Frozen Mechanically Deboned Meat 78,51 R 414,635 R Chicken: Boneless cuts: Breasts 26,991 R 312,648 R Chicken: Offal: Other 27, R 78,4 R Turkey: Cuts and offal, frozen; Frozen Turkey portions and MRM 416,716 R 4,662,134 R Total for: Canada in October ,217 R 5,467,457 R

22 DISCLAIMER: The views expressed in SAPA STATS reports reflect those of SAPA in collaboration with its independent consultants and do not constitute any specific advice as to decisions or actions that should be taken. While every care has been taken in preparing documents no representation nor warranty or any expressed or implied undertaking is given and no responsibility or liability is accepted by SAPA as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein whether as electronic data or as a finished report. SAPA or its independent consultants do not accept responsibility or liability for any damages of whatsoever nature which any person may suffer as a result of any decision or action taken on the basis of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates contained in the reports may be changed after publication without notice. All forecasts of future production, prices, trade or feed and feed ingredient trends are based on the opinion of independent consultants contracted to SAPA. These forecasts are for guideline purposes only and SAPA does not, in any way, warrant that these predictions will be realised. SAPA therefore cautions any user of this information to treat it in an appropriate manner. These statistical reports and/or electronic data are placed in the public domain and may be used by other parties conditional to the source of the data/ report being attributed to SAPA. 22