Economic Dashboard - Monthly. Economic Development February 23, 2015
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- Donald Kristopher Washington
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1 Economic Dashboard - Monthly Economic Development February 23, 2015
2 Indicator Highlights Geography Same Month Last Year Previous Month Most Recent Month Status Unemployment Rate Toronto 9.8% 8.7% 8.1% January 2015 (3 Month Average SA) Canada 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% Participation Rate Toronto 65.9% 63.8% 63.7% LFS January 2015 (3 Month Average SA) Canada 66.3% 65.8% 65.7% Total Employed Residents (thousands) Toronto 1, , ,545.0 January 2015 (3 Month Average SA) Canada 19, , ,139.4 Total Value of Building Permits Toronto $619 million $578 million $612 million December 2014 (3 Month Average) Canada $6.6 billion $7.5 billion $6.9 billion High Rise Buildings Under Construction Toronto January 2015 (skyscraperpage.com) Office Vacancy Rate Toronto 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% Q Average House Price Toronto $541,771 $616,130 $574,539 December 2014 Canada $390,034 $417,641 $405,233 Business Bankruptcies Toronto CMA Q Canada 986 1, Employment Insurance Recipients Toronto 26,400 22,240 23,640 December 2014 Canada 537, , ,710 Inflation Rate Toronto CMA 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% December 2014 (Year-to-Year) Canada 1.2% 2.0% 1.5% Retail Sales Toronto CMA $5.77 billion $6.23billion $6.21 billion December 2014 (3 Month Average SA) Canada $40.97 billion $42.73 billion $42.91 billion Note: Top symbol compares how Toronto s position has changed; bottom symbol compares Toronto s performance to Canada Negative Caution Positive 2
3 Real GDP Growth Toronto CMA 3.0% Conf Board Moody's 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% 13q1 13q2 13q3 13q4 14q1 14q2 14q3 14q4 15q1 15q2 15q3 15q4 16q1 16q2 16q3 16q4 Source: Conference Board of Canada (December 24, 2014), Moody s Analytics (February 10, 2015) 3
4 Percent Change in GDP Toronto CMA Quarterly Annual Conference Board Moody's 13q1 0.63% 1.04% 13q2 1.18% 2.13% 13q3 0.54% 0.44% Conference Board Moody's Oxford Economics Average 13q4 0.50% 0.32% 1.86% 3.97% 4.68% 3.50% 14q1 0.14% 1.09% 14q2 1.04% 0.49% 14q3 0.86% -0.93% 14q4 0.33% 2.56% 2.40% 2.63% 2.23% 2.42% 15q1 0.75% 0.66% 15q2 0.71% 0.83% 15q3 0.71% 0.65% 15q4 0.73% 0.63% 2.78% 3.37% 2.40% 2.85% 16q1 0.77% 0.58% 16q2 0.71% 0.57% 16q3 0.70% 0.61% 16q4 0.69% 0.65% 2.94% 2.50% 2.23% 2.56% Source: Conference Board of Canada (Dec. 24, 2014), Moody s Analytics (Feb. 10, 2015) Oxford Economics (Jan. 30, 2015) 4
5 (000's) Economic Development Jobs in the City of Toronto Establishment Survey 1,400 FTA, Jan ,350 1,300 DOT Com Bust, 2001 Global Credit Crisis, 2008 E.U. Debt Crisis, 2011 GST, Jan ,250 SARS, ,200 1,150 NAFTA, Jan , Source: City Planning Division, Research and Information 5
6 Jobs in the City of Toronto Establishment Survey Total Employment Y-Y Change (000's) (000's) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Source: City Planning Division, Research and Information 6
7 Business Climate Toronto Ranks Well Internationally General Rankings KPMG s Comparative Alternatives Study Business Location Costs Toronto ranks 2 nd of 34 Canadian and US cities with population of 2 million or more for lowest business costs KPMG s Comparative Alternatives Study Focus on Tax Toronto ranks 1 st of 51 major international cities for the world s most tax-competitive major city, ahead of Vancouver (2 nd ) & Montreal (3 rd ) PricewaterhouseCoopers - Cities of Opportunity Toronto ranks 4 th of 30 cities globally in current social and economic performance Forbes Magazine The World s Most Influential Cities 2014 Toronto ranks 10 th of 58 global cities for global influence Boston Consulting Group Most Popular Destinations for Job-Seekers 2014 Toronto ranks 8 th out of 25 global cities Intelligent Community Forum The World s Top Intelligent Community 2014 Toronto ranks 1 st of the top 7 communities (out of 21 global communities in 8 countries) for its diverse economy, with key clusters in finance, media, information and communication technologies and film production, as well as its success as a magnet for immigrants. Toronto Region Board of Trade Scorecard on Prosperity Toronto ranks 3 rd of 24 global metropolitan regions fdi Magazine American Cities of the Future Toronto ranks 2 nd of 10 North American cities for attractiveness for inward investment Reputation Institute Reputable Cities 2013 Toronto ranks 2 nd of 100 global cities for reputation Aon Hewitt People Risk Index 2013 Toronto ranks 3 rd of 138 global metropolitan areas for lowest risk in the world for recruiting, employing & relocating employees Economist Intelligence Unit and CitiGroup City Competitiveness Index Toronto ranks 10 th of 120 cities for global competitiveness 7
8 Education Quality of Life Banking Economic Development Business Climate Toronto Ranks Well Internationally Sectoral Rankings Grosvenor International Index of World s Most Resilient Cities Toronto ranks 1 st out of 50 global cities for long-term real estate investment Z/Yen Group Global Financial Centres Index 2014 Toronto ranks 14 th of 83 global financial centres Bloomberg Study World s Strongest Banks 2013 CIBC (3 rd ), Royal Bank (4 th ), Scotiabank (7 th ) and TD Bank (8 th ), all headquartered in Toronto, rank among the top 10 strongest banks out of 78 global banks The Economist The Safe Cities Index 2015 Toronto ranks 8 th out of 50 global cities for safety (e.g digital security, health security, infrastructure safety and personal safety) Mercer Consulting Quality of Living Ranking Survey Toronto ranks 3 rd in North America and 15 th globally for liveability Transit Score - A Measure of How Well a Location is Served by Public Transit Toronto ranks 3 rd of 70 in Canadian and US cities and 1 st in Canada The Economist Intelligence Unit Liveability Ranking Toronto ranks 4 th of 140 cities for liveability Simon Anholt Anholt-GfK Roper City Brands Index 2013 Toronto ranks 8 th of 50 global cities for overall brand image Times Higher Education Top University by Reputation University of Toronto ranks 20 th of top 100 global universities Shanghai Jiao Tong University Academic Ranking of World Universities University of Toronto ranks 24 th of 1000 global universities Centre for World University Rankings Global University Ranking University of Toronto ranks 31 th of 1000 global universities QS World University Ranking University Ranking University of Toronto ranks 17 th of 833 global universities 8
9 Unemployment Rate City "905" Ontario Canada 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 9
10 Unemployment Rate City "905" Ontario Canada Jan % 6.2% 7.4% 7.0% Feb % 6.1% 7.5% 7.1% Mar % 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% Apr % 5.8% 7.3% 7.0% May % 6.5% 7.2% 7.0% Jun % 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% Jul % 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% Aug % 6.5% 7.3% 7.0% Sep % 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% Oct % 6.6% 6.7% 6.6% Nov % 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% Dec % 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% Jan % 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 10
11 Participation Rate City "905" Ontario Canada 74.0% 73.0% 72.0% 71.0% 70.0% 69.0% 68.0% 67.0% 66.0% 65.0% 64.0% 63.0% 62.0% Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 11
12 Participation Rate City "905" Ontario Canada Jan % 70.0% 65.9% 66.2% Feb % 70.9% 66.1% 66.2% Mar % 70.0% 66.0% 66.2% Apr % 69.2% 66.0% 66.0% May % 69.2% 65.9% 66.0% Jun % 68.3% 65.7% 66.0% Jul % 68.6% 65.9% 66.0% Aug % 68.5% 65.7% 65.8% Sep % 68.3% 65.7% 65.9% Oct % 68.6% 65.7% 65.9% Nov % 69.0% 65.6% 65.8% Dec % 68.0% 65.4% 65.7% Jan % 67.3% 65.3% 65.7% Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 12
13 Employment Rate Employment / Population age 15+ City "905" Ontario Canada 69.0% 68.0% 67.0% 66.0% 65.0% 64.0% 63.0% 62.0% 61.0% 60.0% 59.0% 58.0% 57.0% 56.0% Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 13
14 Employment Rate Employment / Population age 15+ City "905" Ontario Canada Jan % 65.7% 61.0% 61.6% Feb % 66.5% 61.1% 61.5% Mar % 65.7% 61.1% 61.6% Apr % 65.2% 61.2% 61.4% May % 64.7% 61.1% 61.4% Jun % 64.1% 60.8% 61.3% Jul % 64.4% 61.0% 61.3% Aug % 64.1% 60.9% 61.2% Sep % 63.8% 60.9% 61.3% Oct % 64.1% 61.3% 61.5% Nov % 64.0% 61.0% 61.4% Dec % 62.8% 60.8% 61.3% Jan % 62.3% 60.8% 61.4% Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 14
15 Total Employed Residents (Jan08=100) City "905" Ontario Canada Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 15
16 Total Employed Residents (Thousands) City "905" Ontario Canada Jan-14 1, , , ,759.3 Feb-14 1, , , ,756.0 Mar-14 1, , , ,776.5 Apr-14 1, , , ,755.8 May-14 1, , , ,761.5 Jun-14 1, , , ,771.3 Jul-14 1, , , ,792.6 Aug-14 1, , , ,772.7 Sep-14 1, , , ,816.9 Oct-14 1, , , ,879.1 Nov-14 1, , , ,862.8 Dec-14 1, , , ,851.5 Jan-15 1, , , ,886.9 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Data *City of Toronto Series is Seasonally Adjusted by City of Toronto 16
17 Unemployment Rate Major Canadian Urban Regions Toronto Montreal Ottawa Calgary Edmonton Vancouver 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted 3 Month Moving Averages. CANSIM Table
18 Unemployment Rate Major Canadian Urban Regions Toronto Montreal Ottawa Calgary Edmonton Vancouver Jan % 8.0% 6.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% Feb % 8.2% 6.6% 4.8% 4.9% 6.2% Mar % 7.9% 6.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.9% Apr % 8.1% 7.0% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% May % 8.1% 6.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% Jun % 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% Jul % 8.7% 6.6% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% Aug % 8.7% 6.9% 5.3% 5.3% 5.8% Sep % 8.5% 6.9% 5.0% 5.4% 6.0% Oct % 8.3% 6.6% 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% Nov % 8.3% 6.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% Dec % 8.1% 6.2% 4.8% 4.8% 6.0% Jan % 7.8% 6.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey Seasonally Adjusted 3 Month Moving Averages 18
19 Population Change by Component City of Toronto Natural Increase Intra-provincial Inter-provincial International Net Change 120, ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, ,000-40,000-60,000-80, , Source: Statistics Canada Population Estimates, CANSIM Tables and
20 -1 year Economic Development Intra-Provincial Migration by Age City of Toronto 2003/ / Source: Statistics Canada Population Estimates, CANSIM Table
21 High Rise Buildings Under Construction North American Cities January January Source : Updated January 12,
22 Tallest Buildings Under Construction City of Toronto Building Address Metres Feet Floors Year 1 Number One Bloor 1 Bloor St E Harbour Plaza Residences East 90 Harbour St Harbour Plaza Residences West 1 York St Scott 88 Scott St Massey Tower 197 Yonge St E Condos South 8 Eglinton E Bay-Adelaide East 333 Bay St EY Tower 100 Adelaid St W Casa 2 42 Charles St E U Condominiums II St Mary St INDX Condominiums 66 Temperance St One York Street 1 York St Lagos at the Waterfront 2151 Lake Shore Blvd W Karma 9 Grenville Street Chaz on Charles 45 Charles St E Pace Condominiums 200 Jarvis RBC WaterPark Place 3 85 Harbour Square Bisha Hotel and Residence 56 Blue Jay Ways Picasso on Richmond 318 Richmond St W E Condos North 8 Eglinton E Tableau Condominiums 117 Peter St Thousand Bay Street 100 Bay Street Exhibit Residences 162 Cumberland St The Bond 290 Adelaide St W N/A N/A Avani 1 at Metrogate 2055 Kennedy Rd Dream Tower Sheppard Ave E & Don Mills Rd N/A N/A QRC West 134 Peter St N/A N/A Source : This list was composed on January 13, 2015 from the CTBUH Tall Buildings Database 22
23 High Rise Buildings Under Construction North American Cities (Skyscraperpage) Source : Updated January 12,
24 High Rise Buildings Under Construction City of Toronto by number of floors Floors Number of Buildings Total Floors Percent of Total % % % % % % % Total 139 3, % Source : Updated January 12,
25 Billions Economic Development Total Value of Building Permits City and 905 area $1.8 City 905 Municipalities $1.6 $1.4 $1.2 $1.0 $0.8 $0.6 $0.4 $0.2 $0.0 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Source : Statistics Canada, 3 month moving averages (Dec/14) 25
26 Total Value of Building Permits City and 905 area 3MMA 12MMA Billions $ Billions $ City 905 Municipalities City 905 Municipalities Dec-13 $0.69 $0.69 $0.62 $0.62 Jan-14 $0.64 $0.66 $0.66 $0.62 Feb-14 $0.50 $0.52 $0.67 $0.60 Mar-14 $0.57 $0.46 $0.69 $0.61 Apr-14 $0.47 $0.49 $0.68 $0.61 May-14 $0.54 $0.66 $0.67 $0.64 Jun-14 $0.49 $0.82 $0.63 $0.67 Jul-14 $0.69 $0.85 $0.66 $0.69 Aug-14 $0.59 $0.75 $0.62 $0.64 Sep-14 $0.69 $0.79 $0.61 $0.69 Oct-14 $0.50 $0.84 $0.60 $0.71 Nov-14 $0.58 $0.92 $0.58 $0.72 Dec-14 $0.61 $0.76 $0.57 $0.71 Source : Statistics Canada 26
27 Millions Economic Development Value of ICI Building Permits City and 905 area $800 City 905 Municipalities $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Source : Statistics Canada, 3 month moving averages (Dec/14) 27
28 Value of ICI Building Permits City and 905 area 3MMA 12MMA Millions $ Millions $ City 905 Municipalities City 905 Municipalities Dec-13 $372.5 $242.0 $269.7 $225.7 Jan-14 $331.8 $222.7 $284.6 $212.7 Feb-14 $187.7 $178.9 $290.0 $211.5 Mar-14 $217.0 $145.2 $294.9 $214.7 Apr-14 $162.7 $179.8 $269.7 $217.7 May-14 $168.7 $261.3 $268.0 $236.4 Jun-14 $179.0 $269.9 $268.4 $240.2 Jul-14 $226.2 $266.4 $270.5 $242.7 Aug-14 $196.4 $223.5 $248.1 $213.2 Sep-14 $265.7 $360.4 $261.2 $246.8 Oct-14 $236.8 $417.3 $251.4 $264.5 Nov-14 $242.4 $428.9 $233.0 $271.4 Dec-14 $240.3 $272.5 $214.2 $264.6 Source : Statistics Canada Note: ICI stands for industrial, commercial and institutional building permits 28
29 Millions Economic Development Value of Building Permits City of Toronto Residential Commercial Industrial Institutional $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Source : Statistics Canada, 3 month moving averages (Dec/14) 29
30 Value of Building Permits City of Toronto 3MMA 12 MMA Millions $ Millions $ Residential Commercial Industrial Institutional Residential Commercial Industrial Institutional Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source : Statistics Canada 30
31 Vacancy Rate (lines) Economic Development Office Vacancy Rate & Occupied Space Toronto Region 12.0% City of Toronto "905" Municipalities 2,000, % 1,500, % 1,000, % 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 500, ,000 Change in Occupied Space (bar s) 5.0% -1,000, % 09q1 10q1 11q1 12q1 13q1 14q1-1,500,000 Source : Cushman & Wakefield - (Q4/2014) 31
32 Office Vacancy Rate & Occupied Space Toronto Region Vacancy Rates Occupied Change (sqft) City of Toronto "905" Municipalities City of Toronto "905" Municipalities 09q1 4.9% 6.5% -540, ,773 09q2 6.3% 7.6% -496, ,490 09q3 6.8% 8.1% 1,616, ,429 09q4 7.3% 8.7% 182,200-70,085 10q1 7.2% 9.7% 84, ,338 10q2 7.3% 9.9% 179, ,972 10q3 6.8% 9.9% 721, ,920 10q4 7.0% 9.7% -365, ,637 11q1 6.4% 9.6% 544,547 64,008 11q2 6.2% 9.6% 295,276-36,926 11q3 5.6% 9.2% 710, ,508 11q4 5.4% 9.7% 859, ,090 12q1 5.5% 9.4% -185, ,145 12q2 5.4% 9.9% 95,035 13,171 12q3 5.4% 9.9% 268, ,405 12q4 5.6% 10.2% -364,233 51,801 13q1 5.5% 9.7% 93, ,178 13q2 5.3% 10.3% 90, ,920 13q3 5.7% 10.8% -787, ,576 13q4 6.1% 10.6% 1,615, ,976 14q1 6.7% 11.3% -882, ,133 14q2 6.5% 11.0% 163, ,349 14q3 6.1% 11.1% 496, ,356 14q4 6.1% 11.2% 1,436, ,841 Source : Cushman & Wakefield 32
33 Office Vacancy Rates City of Toronto Downtown Yonge Core Toronto East Toronto West 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 09q1 09q3 10q1 10q3 11q1 11q3 12q1 12q3 13q1 13q3 14q1 14q3 Source : Cushman & Wakefield (Q4/2014) 33
34 Office Vacancy Rates City of Toronto Downtown Yonge Core Toronto East Toronto West 09q1 4.4% 6.6% 10.8% 4.0% 09q2 4.9% 7.0% 11.2% 4.2% 09q3 6.0% 7.1% 10.5% 4.6% 09q4 6.6% 7.1% 11.2% 4.9% 10q1 6.8% 6.7% 10.8% 4.4% 10q2 6.6% 7.2% 11.4% 4.9% 10q3 5.7% 7.1% 11.2% 5.4% 10q4 6.0% 7.2% 11.3% 5.8% 11q1 5.3% 6.7% 10.6% 6.0% 11q2 5.1% 5.9% 10.2% 7.4% 11q3 5.0% 5.1% 8.3% 6.4% 11q4 4.7% 4.9% 8.4% 5.9% 12q1 4.9% 4.8% 8.9% 6.0% 12q2 4.5% 5.2% 9.4% 5.8% 12q3 4.3% 5.3% 9.5% 6.2% 12q4 4.4% 5.8% 9.3% 7.1% 13q1 4.4% 5.6% 9.4% 6.4% 13q2 4.1% 5.2% 9.9% 6.1% 13q3 4.6% 5.4% 10.8% 6.0% 13q4 5.0% 6.4% 10.3% 5.7% 14q1 5.8% 6.7% 10.5% 6.0% 14q2 5.5% 6.6% 11.0% 6.1% 14q3 4.9% 6.1% 10.9% 6.3% 14q4 4.8% 6.2% 10.7% 7.3% Source : Cushman & Wakefield 34
35 Quarterly Change in Occupied Office Space Toronto Region Downtown Rest of City "905" 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , ,000-1,000,000-1,500,000 10q1 10q2 10q3 10q4 11q1 11q2 11q3 11q4 12q1 12q2 12q3 12q4 13q1 13q2 13q3 13q4 14q1 14q2 14q3 14q4 Source : Cushman & Wakefield 35
36 Quarterly Change in Occupied Office Space Toronto Region Occupied Office Space Change (sq ft) Rest of City Downtown Midtown North Yonge DVP Core Toronto East Toronto North Toronto West "905 Q ,903 69,909 17,577 42,446 23,318-1,665 36, ,338 Q , ,521 15,651-90, , , , ,972 Q ,997-34,051 56,240 41,060-35, ,984-59, ,920 Q ,660 11,060-22,891 4,759-17, ,673-37, ,637 Q ,268 25,450 94,190-57,156 48,186-16, ,008 Q , ,177 77, ,749-14,889-94,918-36,926 Q , , , ,661 23,770-2,191 77, ,508 Q ,016-15,084 52,532-18,826-2,438-13,152 22, ,090 Q ,053 39,684-17,802-35,001-45,243-1,743-2, ,145 Q ,265-25,198-70,300-17,575-64,748-18,954 30,545 13,171 Q ,852-23,174-10,202-74,619 59,955 1,625-32, ,405 Q ,613-64,377-51,144 55,177-19,634 5,296-68,938 51,801 Q , , ,310-13,685-4, , ,178 Q ,308-6,764-6,665-80,226-27,167-11,183 9, ,920 Q ,353-62,096 14, ,636-29,005 10,756-4, ,576 Q ,755, , ,613-8,575 87,697-6,113 33, ,976 Q ,444-58,433-35, ,251 14,920-39,400-22, ,133 Q ,206-18,278 41,754-52,696-19,715-1,427-11, ,349 Q ,018 41,459 49,609 18,063-11, , ,356 Q ,490,333 60,163-76,990-16,310 53, , ,841 Source : Cushman & Wakefield 36
37 Housing Starts Toronto CMA City -single/semi/row City - apartments single/semi/row apartments 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, q1 10q2 10q3 10q4 11q1 11q2 11q3 11q4 12q1 12q2 12q3 12q4 13q1 13q2 13q3 13q4 14q1 14q2 14q3 14q4 Source : CMHC Housing Now 37
38 Housing Starts Toronto CMA City - single/semi/row City - apartments single/semi/row apartments 09q ,696 1,776 1,086 09q ,214 2, q ,769 2, q ,810 4, q ,242 3, q ,582 3, q ,686 3, q ,085 3, q ,276 2,875 2,069 11q ,744 4, q ,409 3,813 1,456 11q ,814 4, q ,536 3,420 2,241 12q ,833 4,206 1,245 12q ,358 4,825 1,497 12q ,797 4,145 1,110 13q ,960 2, q ,048 3, q ,887 3,294 1,376 13q ,699 3,560 1,333 14q ,266 2,589 2,589 14q ,331 4,104 1,686 14q ,626 3,237 1,227 14q ,823 3,236 1,179 Source : CMHC Housing Now 38
39 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Units Sold Economic Development MLS Sales and Prices City of Toronto 5,000 Units Sold Average Price $700,000 4,500 4,000 $600,000 3,500 $500,000 3,000 2,500 2,000 $400,000 $300,000 Average Price ($) 1,500 $200,000 1, $100,000 0 $0 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board 39
40 MLS Sales and Prices City of Toronto Units Sold Average Price Jan-13 1,559 $507,859 Feb-13 2,189 $552,014 Mar-13 2,891 $564,793 Apr-13 3,591 $576,315 May-13 3,840 $600,791 Jun-13 3,265 $578,575 Jul-13 3,062 $536,181 Aug-13 2,665 $518,145 Sep-13 2,789 $571,410 Oct-13 3,190 $593,807 Nov-13 2,528 $590,366 Dec-13 1,574 $541,771 Jan-14 1,551 $552,395 Feb-14 2,136 $599,414 Mar-14 2,978 $597,401 Apr-14 3,544 $641,666 May-14 4,069 $652,681 Jun-14 3,795 $617,854 Jul-14 3,315 $576,552 Aug-14 2,760 $564,359 Sep-14 3,063 $624,851 Oct-14 3,420 $633,078 Nov-14 2,661 $616,130 Dec-14 1,762 $574,539 Jan-15 1,561 $581,477 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board 40
41 Billions ($) Economic Development Monthly Retail Sales Toronto CMA 7.0 Not Seasonally Adjusted Seasonally Adjusted Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Source: Statistics Canada, Seasonal Adjustments by City of Toronto (Dec/14) 41
42 Monthly Retail Sales Toronto CMA ($ Billions) Unadjusted Seasonally Adjusted 3 Month 3 Month Monthly Average Monthly Average Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Statistics Canada, Seasonal Adjustment 3MMA, Seasonal Adjustments by City of Toronto 42
43 Exports ($ Billions) Economic Development Ontario Merchandise Exports & US$ Exchange Rate $22 United States (U.S.) OTHERS 1 CDN$ in US$ $20 $1.00 $18 1 CDN $ in US $ $16 $0.90 $14 $12 $0.80 $10 $8 $0.70 $6 $4 $0.60 $2 $0 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 $0.50 Source: Bank of Canada and Industry Canada 43
44 Ontario Merchandise Exports & US$ Exchange Rate ($Billions) US All Others 1 CDN$ in US$ Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Bank of Canada and Industry Canada 44
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