AMOS, Kick-off seminar, May 29 th 2013 Expectations from the biomarine sector. Dr. Karl A. Almås CEO SINTEF Fisheries and Aquaculture Technology for a better society 1
Values created from productive oceans in 2050
National plans for development of the biomarine industry Verdiskaping basert på produktive hav i 2050 Meld. St. 22 (2012 2013) Melding til Stortinget Verdens fremste sjømatnasjon Rapport fra en arbeidsgruppe oppnevnt av Det Kongelige Norske Videnskabers Selskab (DKNVS) og Norges Tekniske Vitenskapsakademi (NTVA) NTVA-DKNVS, 2012 3
National plans for development of the biomarine industry Verdiskaping basert på produktive hav i 2050 Meld. St. 22 (2012 2013) Melding til Stortinget Verdens fremste sjømatnasjon Rapport fra en arbeidsgruppe oppnevnt av Det Kongelige Norske Videnskabers Selskab (DKNVS) og Norges Tekniske Vitenskapsakademi (NTVA) NTVA-DKNVS, 2012 4
Global trends Climate change Technological development Urbanization Environmental sustainability National trends Seafood cluster Knowledge Research and innovation Sustainability and environment Capital Coastal resources Governmental regime Food Energy Health
Why increase food production in the sea? Land Water Sea Energy Total bio production 50/50 Human consumption 98/2 Temperature Technology for a better society 6
Values created in 2050 Established businesses Fisheries Salmon industry Ingredients New industries New species in aquaculture Feed Supplier industry Knowledge Marine algae Highly productive seas an oceans Values created in 2050: 550 billion NOK Technology for a better society 7
Fisheries 50 Turnover (Bill. NOK) 20 27 2,7 2,7 3 4 32 Volume (mill.tonn) 1999 2010 2030 2050 Volume 2050: Harvesting on all trophical levels New species Ecosystem based harvesting Values 2050: Food supply Food and health Increased processing Total utilization
Aquaculture, salmon and trout Volume, mill. tons 5 Average yearly growth:4 % FAO wishes 5,6 % 3 0,5 1 1999 2010 2030 2050 Volume 2050: Environmental problems solved New regulation regime Predictable industrial regulations Salmon demand from the markets New innovations in feed, health and technology Strong political will.
Feed production Volume, mill. tons 6 3,6 1,2 2010 2030 2050 Still a leading position in salmon production in 2050 (ca. 5 million tons) Need of 6 million tons of feed
Global feed sources for the future Known sources: Harvested resources from fisheries not for human consumption (20-30 mill. tons) Bycatch, rest raw material from processing Bycatch: 7 million tons (8%) Rest raw material from processing, loss approx 26 million tons (20 %) Raw material from agriculture including rest raw materials Future (new) sources: Zooplancton (large herbivore species like krill and calanus, raudåte) Macroalgae, seaweed Single cell biomass Microalgea (Possible source for DHA) Bacteria/yeast/genetically modified organisms Thraustochyrider (single cell organism, possible DHA source) Rest raw material form agriculture (plants and animals) Genetically modified plants
Feed demand in 2050 Scenario: Norway is still in a leading position in salmon production (approximately 5 million tons) The corresponding feed demand is approximately 6 million tons (extra 4,8 million tons) Million metric tons If new marine feed sources are not available the global production of organisms that not feed (mollusks and seaweed) will increase
Marine ingredients and marine bioprospecting Estimated global market: 22-23 billion NOK, 4-10 % annual growth Norwegian development: Increasing from 1billion NOK in 2001 to 4,8 billion NOK in 2010 Rest raw materials from the fisheries and aquaculture industry Seaweed growth and harvest (Established and growing industry) Marine bioprospecting (new industry) Marine ingredient industry
300 250 Billion NOK Supplier industry Turnover, Billion NOK 124 200 Future potentials: Increased national production in fisheries and aquaculture 150 Increased demand for Norwegian technology for global expansion of aquaculture Consolidation of the industry, 100 complete production plants Increased national activities Synergies within the marine "supercluster" 50 23 69 Olje og gass Fiskeri og havbruk But : Norway is not alone! 0 2010 2030 2050 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Values created in 2050 Established businesses Fisheries Salmon industry Ingredients New industries New species in aquaculture Feed Supplier industry Knowledge Marine algae Highly productive seas an oceans Values created in 2050: 550 billion NOK
"New" marine species Cod and halibut Integrated multitrophic aqaculture Cultivation of shellfish and new species Cleaning fish
Algae Micro algae (grown in cultures) Productive single cell organisms 200 000-800 000 species. Producing omega 3 and 6 fatty acids Valuable component can be extracted Biodiesel CO 2 and heat Makroalgae (Seaweed) Approx. 200 000 tons harvested in Norway Approx15,8 mill. ton grown globally Norway have natural and technological possibilities for increased production Many applications
Area needed to cover the annual fuel-consumption in Norway 5 %,650 km 2 100 %, 13 000 km 2
Highly productive seas and oceans The term highly productive waters is understood to refer to waters in which biological production by means of natural processes or a variety of human interventions can be managed to result in high harvestable yields of commercially attractive plant and animal species. 50 % of the harvestable marine production is to be found in upwelling areas.
Highly productive waters Artificial upwelling of water in combination with energy production Artificial reef Juvenile technology; for example lobster Methods for starting with new species, including control of predators Increased knowledge of biomarine production
Zhangzidao Fishery Group Zhangzidao Fishery Group, established in 1958, in possession of over 2000 square kilometers. A level seawater area, is the largest company of bottom-cultured precious seafood in China, with its businesses covering hatching, farming, processing, and trading. The company got listed in Shenzhen Stock Exchange and Zhangzidao was certified as the first China for years. Certified as Nation-class Enterprise Technology Centre, the company has set up many high-standard biological laboratories with world-class sophisticated testing equipments and excellent capacity that can meet the FDA and EU test requirements. www.zhangzidao.com
Business possibilities in the biomarine Billion Euro 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 sector for Norway towards 2050 1999 2010 2030 2050 High productive oceans Macroalgae New species Supplier industry (including feed) Marine ingrediens Salmon industry Wild catch Technology for a better society 22
Biomarine activities Wild catch Bioprospecting Technology for a better society 23
Thank you for your attention! Technology for a better society 24