The age of LNG is here



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The age of LNG is here Most cost efficient solution for ECAs Tor Svensen, President DNV

What is keeping us back from using LNG for ships? At DNV we struggle to understand: - why the shipping industry is not moving faster - why shipowners are not seeing the opportunity LNG as fuel for ships: - is commercially viable - will address important environmental concerns 2

The age of LNG is arriving Technically no obstacles Safe Economically better Environmentally a winner 3

European ECAs - a real challenge ECA (Emission Control Area) requirements: Maximum level of sulphur in fuel, all ships: - 1,0% by 1st July 2010-0,1% by 1st January 2015 New ECA? Nitrogen emission for newbuildings: - 80% reduction in NOx emission from 2016 EU fuel requirements now: 0,1% sulphur in ports and inland waterways ECA ECA New ECA? 4

More ECAs to come North American coasts designated as ECA - Starting Aug 2011 - SOx/NOx-control from 2015/2016 5

The DNV Baltic Report findings More than 2,000 ships operating at any time Annual ship emissions: - SOx: 135 000 tonnes - NOx: 400 000 tonnes - CO2: 19 million tonnes Ship emissions equals all land-based NOx and twice the SOx emissions from Denmark & Sweden combined Gothenburg, SWE Kilpilahti (FIN) Primorsk and St.Petersburg (RUS) Tallinn (EST) Klaipeda (LIT) Kaliningrad Lübeck and Rostock (GER) Gdansk and Gdynia (POL) 6

A typical Baltic Sea cargo ship Yearly emissions, tonnes/year SOx NOx CO2 Particle emissions With LNG fuel: 0 31 5 500 0 With low-sulphur HFO (LS380 with 1% sulfur): 50 180 7 250 4 547 TEU container vessel (5000 GT) Propulsion power 3960 kw 7

Technically no obstacles and it is safe LNG technology safe and well proven - 40 years of LNG tanker operation - Used as marine fuel since 2001, now in 20 ships - Ongoing research to further improve technical and economical aspects 8

Economically better over 20 years Alternatives to meet the future ECA requirements - Low sulphur fuel (0,1% sulphur), install scrubbers, switch to LNG LNG saves - 45% lower than MGO - 22% lower than HFO with scrubber Ref the DNV Baltic Report 30 Net Present Value of costs over 20 years Million USD 20 10 0 870 $/t 495 $/t 450 $/t MGO HFO + Scrubber LNG 9

Economically better over 10 years Alternatives to meet the future ECA requirements - Low sulphur fuel (0,1% sulphur), install scrubbers, switch to LNG LNG saves - 35% lower than MGO - 12% lower than HFO with scrubber Ref the DNV Baltic Report 20 Net Present Value of costs over 10 years Million USD 10 0 870$/t 495 $/t 450 $/t MGO HFO + Scrubber LNG 10

Environmentally a winner 20-25% Reduced CO 2 / GHG ~100% Reduces SOx and particulates 85-90% Reduced NOx 11

What must happen NOW: EU and governments to be frontrunners Publicly owned ships to run on LNG LNG fuel to be easily available Short sea shipping is the most obvious start The DNV Baltic Report confirms this LNG fuel to be available at a fair price Shipowners to start ordering new ships running on LNG 12

Actual prices and expected price development 13

Summing up Short sea shipping is the ideal case for LNG fuel DNV will actively influence the whole shipping industry including governments and regulators DNV will continue to invest in technology and competence to support the transformation to LNG DNV will assist shipowners in developing business cases for LNG 14

DNV is world leader on LNG as fuel DNV has proven rules for LNG since 2001 The world s ships on LNG fuel built to DNV class!* 15 * LNG tankers excluded

LNG fuelled vessels in operation, some more examples Glutra Viking Stril Pioner Energy Mastrafjord, Raunefjord, Bergensfjord, Patrol Tidekongen, vessels Moldefjord Viking Stavangerfjord Barentshav, Tidedronningen, Queen Bergen, Tideprinsen Sortland 16

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Safeguarding life, property and the environment www.dnv.com 22

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