FLEXIBILITY FROM HEAT FOR POWER SYSTEMS - FUTURE APPLICATIONS FOR CHP AND P2H Christine Brandstätt, M.Sc. July 15 th 2014, University of Hamburg image source: www.infoniac.com
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
Christine Brandstätt Education & Career Research Associate at Fraunhofer IFAM, Energy Systems Analysis and at Jacobs University Bremen Research Associate at Bremer Energie Institut Master in Management and Engineering of Environment and Energy at Politecnic University of Madrid, École des Mines Nantes and Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm Bachelor in Industrial Engineering / Environmental Planning at Environmental Campus of the University of Applied Sciences, Trier Current Research Multi-Grid-Storage: power system flexibility from heat and gas links Electricity Network Regulation: network charging in distribution systems with renewable generation
Fraunhofer IFAM, Energy Systems Analysis Institute for Manufacturing Technology and Advanced Materials components and materials for energy applications heat and electricity storage electric mobility Energy Systems Analysis efficient and renewable supply of heat and electricity energy efficiency in buildings and manufacturing regulatory framework for energy markets and networks climate and energy supply concepts We offer internships, student jobs and supervision of study projects or Bachelor & Master theses as well as PhD Projects.
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
links between electricity and heat supply electricity supply fuel combined heat and power (CHP) plant electric boiler heat pump ambient heat heat supply
Electric Heat Pump moves heat from a lower to a higher temperature level provides heating and cooling consumes electricity for compression of the heating/ cooling fluid conversion efficiency: 2 5 high initial investment image source: daviddarling.info
Electric Boiler heats water in a tank via electric heating elements instead of a gas burner consumes electricity directly for the heating process conversion efficiency: almost 1 low initial investment image source: ctadsonline.com
Combined Heat and Power Plant generates heat and electricity at the same time uses the waste heat from an engine or turbine conversion efficiency: almost 1 (varying relation between electricity and heat) high initial investment image source: responsiblebusiness.com
Thermal Store stores heat over time can continuosly take in and release heat heat losses decrease with surface and insulation efficiency depends on storage duration low initial investment image source: heatingsolutions.biz
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
1 352 703 1054 1405 1756 2107 2458 2809 3160 3511 3862 4213 4564 4915 5266 5617 5968 6319 6670 7021 7372 7723 8074 8425 Why flexibility is needed: future electricity supply electricity supply will be based on renewable energy sources (RES), mainly wind power and photovoltaics RES feed-in until 2030 electricity supply in 2030 Quelle: Krzikalla et al. 2013 GW Szenario 2030 120 100 80 60 40 20 - (20) (40) (60) Last Erzeugung Wind, PV & Laufwasser Residuallast Quelle: Krzikalla et al. 2013 significant differences between availability of RES and the demand for electricity expected high spikes in residual load
Why flexibility is needed: challenges with RES Electricity Supply supply electricity efficiently when wind power and photovoltaics are not available in sufficient quantity (shortage) reduce supply from other sources when wind power and photovoltaics are available in abundance (surplus) Heat Supply reduce heat demand (especially for space heating) supply remaining heat demand in a sustainable way (renewable electricity vs. fossil gas) both is addressed by extensive use of CHP best effect with electric conversion efficiency
Residual load [GW] How much flexibility is needed (tech.) 80 60 40 20 0-20 -40-60 ordered residual load in 2030 163 TWh 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 46 TWh pos. residual load (shortage) 163 TWh/a 6.384 h/a max. 71 GW neg. residual load (surplus) 46 TWh/a Quelle: Krzikalla et al. 2013-80 2.286 h/a -100 annual hours max. -84 GW surpluses to take into storage occur more and more often shortages to supply from storage dominate
How much flexibility is needed (econ.) extreme electricity wholesale prices in Germany and Denmark 2011 and 2012 prices above 75 / MWh only in several hundred (of over 8000) hours (good conditions for CHP, + feed-in support) negative prices in less than 50 hours (good conditions for P2H, + taxes and surcharges)
Heat Flexibility from CHP and P2H and other sources RES electricity surplus Heat pump Electric Boiler Heat flexible demand Heat Network Gas Boiler displaced heat (virtual energy flow) displaced gas (virtual energy flow) other storage options flexible generation CHP Plant RES electricity shortage
capacity [kw] electricity price [ct/kwh] Flexible operation of CHP and P2H 12.000 7,00 10.000 6,00 5,00 8.000 4,00 6.000 3,00 4.000 2,00 1,00 2.000 0,00 0 Versorgung EK Versorgung KWK Versorgung Speicher Einspeicherung EK Einspeicherung KWK Wärmeerzeugung GK Wärmelast Strompreis -1,00
IFAM study on flexibility from heat for the German Renewable Energy Federation & the Association for Efficiency in Heating, Cooling and CHP together with Wolfgang Schulz modelling of CHP heat supply economic analysis of heat and electricity driven CHP operation optimization of heat storage volume analysis of a combination with heat pumps and electric boilers flexibility potential from heat supply
Heat load Modelling of CHP heat supply CHP production influenced by heat demand dimensioning energy prices detached house multiple dwelling reg. heat network large heat network electr. capacity (kw el ) 1 20 1.000 88.000 (100.000) therm. capacity (kw th ) 5,7 32,7 1.122 80.000 support schemes present and future data elektr. efficiency (η el ) 15% 33% 41% 46,3% (52,6%) therm. efficiency (η th ) 81% 54% 46% 42,1% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 0 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 annual hours
Analysis of electricity and heat driven operation of CHP lesser full load hours in electricity driven than in heat driven operation high dimensioning (capacity high compared to average heat demand): 2.938 full load hours per year instead of 4.000 low dimensioning (capacity low compared to average heat demand): 4.418 full load hours per year instead of 6.000 higher electricity revenue (support scheme + exchange prices) required to recover investment assuming constant heat prices additional cost for flexibility from CHP
electricity generation cost /MWh Analysis of electricity and heat driven operation of CHP electricity cost with lesser full load hours for different CHP sizes 500 400 300 200 100 1 kw-bhkw 20 kw-bhkw 1 MW-BHKW GuD (KWK-Betrieb) 0 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 Annual utilization h/a lesser cost increase for larger plants
CHP utilization h/a Optimization of heat storage: potential Heat storage can partially recover lost full load hours 5.200 4.800 4.400 ursprünglich 4000 Vh/a ursprünglich 6000 Vh/a 4.000 3.600 3.200 2.800 0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 heat storage volume m³
spec. investment /m³ spec. Investment /m³ Optimization of heat storage: cost Specific investment decreases with volume decentral heat storage 1.500 1.250 1.000 750 500 250 0 0 5 10 15 20 heat storage volume m³ 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 large scale heat storage 0 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 heat storage volume m³
increase in CHP utilization h/a Optimization of heat storage optimal storage size depends on cost and recovered full load hours: (for the example of 1 MW CHP) between 200 and 400 m 3 700 600 387 m³ / 12 h over 24,3 /(kwel*a) 500 400 300 200 100 m³ / 3,1 h over 9,5 /(kwel*a) 200 m³ / 6,2 h over 15,3 /(kwel*a) 100 0 0 20 40 60 80 annual cost of heat store according to el. CHP capacity /(kwel*a)
Combination with P2H supplying heat from P2H in hours with significant surplus reduces CHP full load hours requires higher electricity revenues (if heat revenue remains constant) CHP full load hours per year [h/a] only CHP required revenue for CHP electricity [ct/kwh] CHP with P2H only CHP CHP with P2H moderate increase of required revenue only for larger plants
cost of heat supply (ct/kwh) Combination with heat pumps cost of heat generation through heat pumps depend on utilization 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 "1 kw-fall" "20 kw-fall" "1 MW (6000 h/a)-fall" "1 MW (4000h/a)-Fall" 0 0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 heat pump utilization (h/a) lesser effect of reduced full load hours for larger heat pumps
Residual load 2030 (GW) Flexibility potential of P2H and CHP 80 60 40 20 0-20 -40-60 -80-100 CHP 0 2.000 4.000 6.000 hours per year (h) 8.000 P2H CHP and P2H together can provide a large share of the flexibility needed in the future (2030)
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
Heat Flexibility from CHP and P2H and other sources RES electricity surplus Heat pump Electric Boiler Heat flexible demand Heat Network Gas Boiler displaced heat (virtual energy flow) displaced gas (virtual energy flow) other storage options flexible generation CHP Plant RES electricity shortage
el. boiler + CHP Wärmepumpe (Bodenkollektor) Wärmepumpe (Umgebungsluft Li-Ionen Batterie Redox-Flow Batterie Pumpspeicher Druckluftspeicher Elektrokessel SO El. ohne Methan. SO El. + biol. Methan. alkal. El. ohne Methan. SO El. + kat. Methan. (Wärmenutzung) SO El. + kat. Methan. alkal. El. + biol. Methan. alkal. El + kat. Methan. (Wärmenutzung) alkal. El. + kat. Methan. PEM El. ohne Methan. PEM El. + biol. Methan. exergy at electricity release (100% at intake) exergy balance of shifting el. from surplus to shortage 225% Anteil Strom heute Anteil Wärme heute 200% 175% 150% 125% 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Anteil Strom in Zukunft worst case Anteil Wärme in Zukunft best case heat pump + CHP
el. boiler + CHP Elektrokessel alkal. El. ohne Methan. Wärmepumpe (Umgebungsluft) Wärmepumpe (Bodenkollektor) SO El. ohne Methan. Druckluftspeicher Redox-Flow Batterie Pumpspeicher PEM El. ohne Methan. Li-Ionen Batterie alkal. El. + biol. Methan. SO El. + biol. Methan. alkal. El + kat. Methan. (Wärmenutzung) alkal. El. + kat. Methan. SO El. + kat. Methan. (Wärmenutzung) SO El. + kat. Methan. PEM El. + biol. Methan. Storage / shifting cost cost of shifting electricity from surplus to shortage ct/kwh 40 30 20 heute in Zukunft worst case best case /kwh 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 10 0-10 -20 CHP 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 heat pump + CHP
AGENDA Introduction What is CHP and P2H? What flexibility for power systems can come from heat? How does that compare to electricity storage and gas options? Summary and Conclusion
Conslusion future electricity supply is likely to require additional flexibility CHP and P2H (among other options) can provide flexibility provision of flexibility requires alternative dimensioning (peak supply, heat storage) additional revenue options (electricity prices, support schemes) larger systems can provide flexibility more efficiently and at lower cost
THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND ATTENTION. Feel free to ask questions. Christine Brandstätt M.Sc., Fraunhofer IFAM, Energy Systems Analysis christine.brandstaett@ifam.fraunhofer.de, +49 (0) 421 2246-7027 image source: www.infoniac.com