Large Eddy Simulation (LES) & Cloud Resolving Model (CRM) Françoise Guichard and Fleur Couvreux



Similar documents
Evalua&ng Downdra/ Parameteriza&ons with High Resolu&on CRM Data

The formation of wider and deeper clouds through cold-pool dynamics

An economical scale-aware parameterization for representing subgrid-scale clouds and turbulence in cloud-resolving models and global models

A Review on the Uses of Cloud-(System-)Resolving Models

What the Heck are Low-Cloud Feedbacks? Takanobu Yamaguchi Rachel R. McCrary Anna B. Harper

SPOOKIE: The Selected Process On/Off Klima Intercomparison Experiment

GCMs with Implicit and Explicit cloudrain processes for simulation of extreme precipitation frequency

Unified Cloud and Mixing Parameterizations of the Marine Boundary Layer: EDMF and PDF-based cloud approaches

How To Model An Ac Cloud

1D shallow convective case studies and comparisons with LES

Using Cloud-Resolving Model Simulations of Deep Convection to Inform Cloud Parameterizations in Large-Scale Models

The impact of parametrized convection on cloud feedback.

Convective Vertical Velocities in GFDL AM3, Cloud Resolving Models, and Radar Retrievals

Clouds and Convection

Sub-grid cloud parametrization issues in Met Office Unified Model

Parameterization of Cumulus Convective Cloud Systems in Mesoscale Forecast Models

Evaluation of precipitation simulated over mid-latitude land by CPTEC AGCM single-column model

CRM simula+ons with parameterized large- scale dynamics using +me- dependent forcings from observa+ons

Cloud-Resolving Simulations of Convection during DYNAMO

MOGREPS status and activities

Trimodal cloudiness and tropical stable layers in simulations of radiative convective equilibrium

Continental and Marine Low-level Cloud Processes and Properties (ARM SGP and AZORES) Xiquan Dong University of North Dakota

Comparison of the Vertical Velocity used to Calculate the Cloud Droplet Number Concentration in a Cloud-Resolving and a Global Climate Model

Dutch Atmospheric Large-Eddy Simulation Model (DALES v3.2) CGILS-S11 results

Impact of microphysics on cloud-system resolving model simulations of deep convection and SpCAM

Long-term Observations of the Convective Boundary Layer (CBL) and Shallow cumulus Clouds using Cloud Radar at the SGP ARM Climate Research Facility

Observed Cloud Cover Trends and Global Climate Change. Joel Norris Scripps Institution of Oceanography

Assessing the performance of a prognostic and a diagnostic cloud scheme using single column model simulations of TWP ICE

Developing Continuous SCM/CRM Forcing Using NWP Products Constrained by ARM Observations

Description of zero-buoyancy entraining plume model

Month-Long 2D Cloud-Resolving Model Simulation and Resultant Statistics of Cloud Systems Over the ARM SGP

Limitations of Equilibrium Or: What if τ LS τ adj?

Turbulence-microphysics interactions in boundary layer clouds

Suvarchal Kumar Cheedela

RADIATION IN THE TROPICAL ATMOSPHERE and the SAHEL SURFACE HEAT BALANCE. Peter J. Lamb. Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies

Atmospheric Processes

Evaluating the Impact of Cloud-Aerosol- Precipitation Interaction (CAPI) Schemes on Rainfall Forecast in the NGGPS

Improving Low-Cloud Simulation with an Upgraded Multiscale Modeling Framework

Cumulus Convection, Climate Sensitivity, and Heightened Imperatives for Physically Robust Cumulus Parameterizations in Climate Models

Cloud-resolving simulation of TOGA-COARE using parameterized largescale

Titelmasterformat durch Klicken. bearbeiten

Theory of moist convection in statistical equilibrium

CMIP6 Recommendations from The Cloud Feedback Model Inter-comparison Project CFMIP. Building bridges between cloud communities

Simulations of Clouds and Sensitivity Study by Wearther Research and Forecast Model for Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Case 4

Diurnal Cycle of Convection at the ARM SGP Site: Role of Large-Scale Forcing, Surface Fluxes, and Convective Inhibition

Lecture 3. Turbulent fluxes and TKE budgets (Garratt, Ch 2)

Basic Concepts for Convection Parameterization in Weather Forecast and Climate Models: COST Action ES0905 Final Report

Why aren t climate models getting better? Bjorn Stevens, UCLA

Real-time Ocean Forecasting Needs at NCEP National Weather Service

Chapter 7 Stability and Cloud Development. Atmospheric Stability

High Resolution Modeling, Clouds, Precipitation and Climate

A new positive cloud feedback?

Improving Hydrological Predictions

Convective Clouds. Convective clouds 1

Lagrangian representation of microphysics in numerical models. Formulation and application to cloud geo-engineering problem

Investigations on COSMO 2.8Km precipitation forecast

WCRP Grand Challenge on. Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity

Mixed-phase layer clouds

Usama Anber 1, Shuguang Wang 2, and Adam Sobel 1,2,3

Indian Ocean and Monsoon

Mass flux fluctuation in a cloud resolving simulation with diurnal forcing

Super-parametrization in climate and what do we learn from high-resolution

On the diurnal cycle of deep convection, high-level cloud, and upper troposphere water vapor in the Multiscale Modeling Framework

Towards an NWP-testbed

Transcription:

Large Eddy Simulation (LES) & Cloud Resolving Model (CRM) Françoise Guichard and Fleur Couvreux

Cloud-resolving modelling : perspectives Improvement of models, new ways of using them, renewed views And also trementous increase in computing power more resolution and/or larger domain size and time integration CRMs in GCMs (Randall et al. 2003) Global CRM (NICAM, Tomita et al. 2005) High-resolution regional simulations (CASCADE UK project) MJO, Monsoon... couplings between convective and larger-scale circulations LES over very large domains, grey zone (Pier & colleagues) parametrization issues DNS to study convective BL (Jonker et al.), stratocumulus entrainment (ask Bjorn) Basic cloud and climate related issues Diurnal cycle over land, deep convection and cold pools Direct numerical simulation (DNS) of the convective boundary layer (Source : Harm Jonker)

Academic frameworks to address basic climate issues Climatic feedbacks associated with low clouds CGILS Zhang et al. (2013), Bretherton et al. (2013) exploring the impact of idealized climate change perturbations (LES & SCM) LES : 10 to 20 day runs, quasi-equilibrium state. negative cloud feedback well-mixed coastal stratus/stratocumulus regime positive feedback for shallow cumulus and stratocumulus regime Subtle compensating effects Weak temperature gradient prescribing a mean temperature profile rather than mean vertical velocity Sobel and Bretherton (2000) Formulated within a CRM (Raymond et al. 2005) Ongoing activity CRM, SCM Convective radiative equilibrium Kerry Emanuel's lecture yesterday, address climate issues

Convective-Radiative Equilibrium 90's : CRMs, sensitivity of mean column to SST 10's : sensitivity of rain intensity (Muller et al. 2011), to CO2 increase (Romps 2010), aggregation (Jeevanjee and Romps 2013,...) New emphases : shallow clouds, cold pools, consideration of domain size Tompkins and Craig (1998) See summary, comparison Of CRE-type CRM studies in Tao et al. (1999) Organization (mesoscale structuration) of convection. interactions between radiation, convection & surface fluxes involving surface wind feedback. Impact of horizontally inhomogeneous radiation : longer lasting clouds, enhanced convergence into cloudy region. 100 km

Diurnal cycle of convective activity over land

PHASE OF THE DIURNAL HARMONIC IN 3 GCMs OBSERVATIONS Yang & Slingo (MWR, 2001) hour (local solar time) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 ARPEGE NWP model Piriou (2002) IFS NWP model Beljaars (2002) UNIFIED CLIMATE model Yang & Slingo (MWR, 2001) 10 years ago : GCMs wrong in the «same way»

Diurnal cycle of convective activity over land Progress: e.g. Hourdin et al. (2013) IPSL model Improved convective BL, introduction of cold pools, stochastic triggering Rio et al. (2009, 2013), Granpeix and Lafore (2010), Rochetin et al. (2013) But still an issue in most models, GCM and RCM Numerous recent studies (e.g. in CMIP5 simulations) Nikulin et al. (2012)

Deep convective activity over land : local scale considerations Guichard et al. (2004)

Guichard et al. (2004) Cf also Hohenegger et al. (2009), with impact on land-atmosphere interactions

Deep convective activity over land : local scale considerations Importance of cold pools for deep convection development Lothon et al. (2011), Guichard et al. (2012)

Deep convective activity over land : local-scale considerations Importance of cold pools for deep convection development over land Khairoutdinov et al. (2006) Boing et al (2012), Couvreux et al. (2012) over ocean Tompkins (2000), Zuidema et al. (2013) temperature anomaly close to the surface (K) vertical velocity z = 500m Illustrations from LES runs of the case study presented in Couvreux et al. (2012) Still numerous questions : e.g. dynamic versus thermodynamic mechanism over ocean, cold pool critical or not to initial deep convection triggering over land in LES/CRM (?)

Diurnal cycle of convective activity over land : interactions with larger scale-motions MSG imagery 4 km grid cold pool spreading Marsham et al. (2013) : West African monsoon in CASCADE simulations using or not a convection scheme major change in the monsoon circulation induced by changes in the diurnal cycle of deep convection ventilation by cold pools BL air : weaker horizontal mass flux from monsoon flow, but more mass flux from convectively-generated cold pools

Wind speed at the surface 9h 12 h 17 h 18 h Further use... wind erosion in the Sahel (Caviars project, Marticorena et al., convectively generated gust front are also critical to dust uplift) 9h 12h 17h 18h Daytime growth of the CBL : mean wind speed weakens (mixing of upper & lower winds) Late afternoon : convectively-generated cold pools spread at the surface with strong winds at their leading edges

t = 1 h domaine : 10 W-10 E, 10 N-20 N, 40 days monsoon 2006 Ug computed for 100 km x 100 km squares PDF of Ug (gustiness) explicit deep convection runs Ug2 = U2 Uo2 parametrized deep convection runs squares including rainy pixels fully dry squares (using CASCADE runs outputs provided by Univ. Leeds)

SUMMARY LES & CRM : specific features * Fine-scale, limited area models, allowing to simulate explicitely mesoscale dynamics associated with convective clouds. * These models use parametrizations to represent subgrid processes (turbulence, microphysics, radiative processes). * Unlike GCMs: explicit coupling between convective motions & physical processes (strength) Several decades of work to develop these models Numerous steps of evaluations and intercomparisons Actively participated to provide new knowledge, understanding on cloud related processes Start to be used more effectively to guide parametrization development These models are not black boxes nor frozen Ongoing work to improve them to make them well suited to answer specific questions e.g. Surface-atmosphere coupling land - boundary-layer convection - cloud interactions land surface scheme (Patton et al. 2005) radiative processes (Pincus and Stevens 2013) Ocean mixed layer model However, their current capabilities allow now to address major scientific questions involving Interactions among processes operating on a wide range of scale More computing power makes life easier but great science is also achieve with less

Thank you! Bonne continuation! francoise.guichard@meteo.fr complexity associated with strong and distinct interactions among processes larger-scale state and circulations radiative processes microphysics convective clouds turbulence surface and boundary layer processes