IPD Danish Annual Property Index 2013 Håvard Bjorå, Vice President, IPD 2013 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 1
Agenda IPD Denmark Annual Property Index 2013 Size, segments and contributors Results, returns and vacancy International comparison Conclusions 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 2
DKK 113 bn 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 3
IPD Denmark Annual Property Index Denmark databank 2013 Capital Value (DKK bn) 113 Number of Properties 921 Number of Portfolios 20 Number of square metres 6.6 mil Ejendomspartnerselskabet af 1/7.2003 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 4
IPD Denmark Property Databank % of year-end values 1 9 3 26 Shopping Centre Copenhagen Shopping Centre Rest of Denmark Other Retail Copenhagen Other Retail Rest of Denmark Office Copenhagen CBD Office Copenhagen Harbour Office Copenhagen Broer & Fred. Office Copenhagen Other Office Copenhagen South & West Office Copenhagen North Office Aarhus Office Odense Office Aalborg Office Trianglearea Office Rest of Denmark 61 Logistic Industrial Other Retail Office Industrial Residential Other Residential Copenhagen 1966-1991 Residential Copenhagen 1992-1999 Residential Copenhagen 2000 - Present Residential Copenhagen Pre 1966 + Unknown Residential Odense, Aarhus, Aalborg, Trianglearea Residential Rest of Denmark Other 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 5
DKK 113 bn Total Return 3.5 % Income return 4.8 % Capital return -1.2 % 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 6
Ireland United States Canada UK Sweden Denmark Netherlands International markets so far 2013 % pa 14 12 12.7 11.6 10.7 10.5 10 8 6.8 6 4 3.5 2 0 0.1 2 4 6 Capital growth Income return Total return Source: IPD 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 7
Full history of return Total return 8.1% p.a. 20 Total return 11.2% p.a. Total return 4.1% p.a. % 15 10 5 0 Total return 4.4 p.a. 3.5-5 Income Return Capital Return Total Return 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 8
Industrial struggling, residential holding-up Property types sectors 14 Capital return 2013 Income return 2013 Total return 2013 Total return 2010-2012 Vacancy rate Vacancy rate 2012 12 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.9 3.8-4 All Property Retail Office Industrial Residential 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 9
Shopping centres are challenged Retail segments Capital return 2013 Income return 2013 Total return 2013 Total return 2010-2012 Vacancy rate 2013 Vacancy rate 2012 Shopping Centre Copenhagen Shopping Centre Rest of Denmark Other Retail Copenhagen Other Retail Rest of Denmark 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 10
Office Cph CBD and other major towns are holding-up Office segments Capital return 2013 Income return 2013 Total return 2013 Total return 2010-2012 Vacancy rate 2013 Vacancy rate 2012 Cph CBD Cph Harbour Cph Broer & Fred. Cph Other Cph South & West Cph North Aarhus Odense Aalborg Triangle area Rest of Denmark 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 11
Modern Cph residential are outperforming Residential segments Capital return 2013 Income return 2013 Total return 2013 Total return 2010-2012 Vacancy rate 2013 Vacancy rate 2012 3.8 5.6 3.3 4.7 2.1-0.3 Copenhagen 1966-1991 Copenhagen 1992-1999 Copenhagen 2000 - Present Copenhagen Pre 1966 + Unknown Odense, Aarhus, Aalborg, Trianglearea Rest of Denmark 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 12
All segments last 6 years 2008-2013 Income return Capital return Total return % Resi Cph Pre 1966 +? Resi Cph 1966-1991 Resi Resi Od, Aar, Aal, Triangle Resi Cph 1992-1999 Resi Rest of Den Resi Cph 2000 - Present Logistic Industrial Industrial Other Office Cph South & West Office Cph North Office Cph Other Office Trianglearea Office Aarhus Office Office Cph CBD Office Cph Harbour Office Rest of Den Office Cph Broer & Fred. Office Aalborg Office Odense Other Retail Rest of Den Shopping C Cph Retail Shopping C Rest of Den Other Retail Cph All Property 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 13
Huge spread in income return Income return 13 and range from 2000-2013 % pa Range of income returns since 2000 2013 income return Source: IPD Industrial Other Office Aalborg Logistic Office Trianglearea Office Rest of Den Office Odense Office Cph South & West Office Cph Harbour Office Cph Other Shopping C Rest of Den Other Retail Rest of Den Resi Rest of Den Other Retail Cph All Property Office Aarhus Office Cph North Office Cph Broer & Fred. Office Cph CBD Resi Cph 2000 - Present Resi Cph 1992-1999 Shopping Centre Cph Resi Od, Aar, Aalb, Triangle Resi Cph 1966-1991 Resi Cph Pre 1966 + Unknown 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 14
Conclusions Denmark Total return below long term at 4.4 % Lower returns than expected Vacancy rates increasing, but decreasing for residential Income return stable but low Best performing: Office Cph CBD, other major cities Modern Cph residential Retail (non-shopping centres) Low performing: everything else 2013 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 15
Tak! 2013 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 16
How to contact IPD in the Nordic Region Enquiries +46.8.400.252.30 www.ipd.com/nordic Håvard Bjorå +47.47.9696.60 havard.bjora@ipd.com Christina Gustafsson +46.8.400.252.37 christina.gustafsson@ipd.com Pernilla Arnrud Melin +46.8.400.252.36 pernilla.arnrud@ipd.com Erik Nyman +46.8.400.252.31 erik.nyman@ipd.com Rikard Eliasson +46.8.400.252.43 rikard.eliasson@ipd.com 2014 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 17