- Measurements & Modelling - Emission inventory -Integration
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1 EMEP: monitoring and evaluation of transboundary air pollution - Measurements & Modelling - Emission inventory -Integration - SOx, NOx, NHx, VOC, PM -HM -POP - CO, CH4
2 Organization of the Convention Executive Body Implementation Committee W orking Group on Effects Steering Body of EMEP W orking Group on Strategies and Review IC P Forests Task Force Programme Coordinating Centre Task Force on Emission Inventories and Projections Task Force on POPs IC P Waters Task Force Program me Centre Task Force on Measurements and Modelling Network of Experts on Benefits and Economic Instrum ents IC P Materials Task Force Main Research Centre Chemical Coordinating Centre Expert Group on Techno-economic Issues IC P Vegetation Task Force Programme Coordinating Centre Meteorological Synthesizing Centre - West Task Force on Heavy Metals IC P Integrated Monitoring Task Force Programme Centre Meteorological Synthesizing Centre - East Expert Group on Particulate Matter IC P Modelling and Mapping Task Force Coordination C entre for Effects Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling Task Force on Reactive Nitrogen Task Force on Health WHO Bonn Centre for Integrated A ssessment Modelling Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution
3 EMEP Unified Chemical transport model MSC-w Air concentrations of NO, NO2, NH3, NH4+, NO3-,HNO3 Reduced and oxidized nitrogen deposition Chemistry Dry/Wet removal Emissions 50*50km Meteorology 50*50km
4 Validation against measurements - CCC coordinates measurements at EMEP sites - Work guided by TF Measurements and Modelling
5 AL AM AT BY BE BA BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR GE DE GR HU IS IE IT KZ LV LT LU AL AM AT 1 0Blame 55 0matrix BY BE 0 0(EMEP) BA BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE GR HU IS IE IT LV LT LU MT NL NO PL PT MD RO RU SK SI ES SE CH MK TR UA GB YU
6 Transboundary air pollution in 2005 Information available: EMEP Country Reports Country reports for 46 Parties to the Convention, MSC-W Data Notes 1/07 Transboundary data by main pollutants (S, N, O3) and PM. by H. Klein, A. Benedictow and H. Fagerli For the 8 EECCA countries, these reports are available in Russian
7 Information available Maps of countribution to different regions Maps of transboundary contributions in each country Pies with source-allocation Origin of PM2.5 in Ukraine
8 New developments:
9 New developments: Extension of the EMEP grid, Stage The extension will take place through two stages: Step 1: Extended EMEP km2 grid ( gridcells)
10 New developments: EMEP model bridges the scales Stage 1: 10x10 km2 Stage 2: Global 50x50 km2 (2012)
11 New developments: Global scale Unified EMEP model Coordinated development at MSC-W and MSC-E Report 2008 with provide results for 2006 in latitude-longitude, with 0.5º x 0.5º resolution Same model as regional Unified EMEP model, but different grid projection and input data.
12 TF Hemispheric Air Pollution 2009 Assessment Report State of knowledge concerning intercontinental transport of air pollutants in the Northern Hemisphere Covering all pollutants of interest under the LRTAP Convention Addressing identified policy-relevant science questions 2007 Interim Report Significance of intercontinental transport of air pollutants within the Northern Hemisphere for attaining the objectives of the 1999 Gothenburg Protocol
13 TFHAP: model intercomparison: Annual mean surface O 3 change in EU from 20% reductions of domestic NO x emissions Large geographical variability masked by regional mean statistics Dentener HTAP overview Madrid
14 Task Force Emission Inventories and Projections - emission guidelines - emission data collection - verification - review of informative reports -projections (several experts groups including agricultural emissions)
15 Emission densities 2005 EMEP/MSC-W NO x NOx NH3 NH3
16 Uncertainties in emissions are largest in EECCA countries Differences between official and non-official emission estimates by 5% for SOx, 20% for NOx, 20% for NMVOC, 30% for NH3, 50% for PPM2.5 and 60% for PPMcoarse. msc-w emep
17 Centre for Integrated Task Force Integrated Assessment Assessment Modelling (IIASA) Modelling RAINS: a multi pollutant multi effect framework Economic activities Measures options Targets Agriculture NH 3 policy NH 3 emission NH 4 deposition Energy SO 2 policy SO 2 emission S deposition Exceedance CL acidification NO x policy NO x emission NO y deposition Exceedance CL Nitrogen Transport industry NO x /VOC VOC policy VOC emission O 3 production Secondary aerosols Exceedance CL ozone O 3 exposure humans Other PM policy Primary PM emission Primary PM concentration PM exposure humans Costs Impacts Work guided by the Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling
18 From RAINS to GAINS PM - via aerosols -via OH SO 2 NO x VOC NH 3 CO 2 CH 4 N 2 O CFCs HFCs SF 6 Health impacts: PM O 3 Vegetation damage: O3 Acidification Eutrophication Radiative forcing: -direct
19 Eutrophication Percent of ecosystems area with excess nitrogen deposition 2000 CLE 2020
HU CZ FI PL SI PT IT ES NO NL FR DK SE IE GB AT DE CH LU 0 10 20 30 40 Foreigners' share Source: Eurostat More trust 3 4 5 6 7 PL HU CZ SI PT GR ES DK FI SE
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