Multi-National Force-Iraq

Transcription

1 Multi-National Force-Iraq Charts to accompany the testimony of GEN David H. Petraeus 1-11 September 27

2 TURKEY PKK Major Threats to Iraq SYRIA Foreign Fighter Flow Tal Afar AQI Anti-AQI Tribal Success AQI/Sunni Insurgents Ramadi Mosul Tikrit Fallujah Kirkuk Samarra AQI/Insurgent & Shi a Militias Baqubah Baghdad AQI/Insurgent & Shi a Militias IRAN Lethal Aid, Training, Funding Karbala Al Kut 1 mi SAUDI ARABIA An Najaf Intra-Shi a Violence An Nasiriyah Shi a Infighting Over Power/Resources Basrah 1

3 Overall Weekly Iraq Attack Trends 1 October 24 7 September 27 Attacks Against Iraqi Infrastructure & Government Facilities Bombs (IEDs), both Found and Exploded Baghdad Security Plan 15 Feb 7 Surge of offensives 16 Jun 7 Sniper, Ambush, Grenade, and Other Small Arms Attacks Mortar and Rocket Attacks Iraqi elections 3 Jan 5 Iraqi referendum 15 Oct 5 Parliamentary elections, 15 Dec 5 Samarra mosque bombing 22 Feb 6 1-Oct-4 22-Oct-4 12-Nov-4 3-Dec-4 24-Dec-4 14-Jan-5 4-Feb-5 25-Feb-5 18-Mar-5 8-Apr-5 29-Apr-5 2-May-5 1-Jun-5 1-Jul-5 22-Jul-5 12-Aug-5 2-Sep-5 23-Sep-5 14-Oct-5 4-Nov-5 25-Nov-5 16-Dec-5 6-Jan-6 27-Jan-6 17-Feb-6 1-Mar-6 31-Mar-6 21-Apr-6 12-May-6 2-Jun-6 23-Jun-6 14-Jul-6 4-Aug-6 25-Aug-6 15-Sep-6 6-Oct-6 27-Oct-6 17-Nov-6 8-Dec-6 29-Dec-6 19-Jan-7 9-Feb-7 2-Mar-7 23-Mar-7 13-Apr-7 4-May-7 25-May-7 15-Jun-7 6-Jul-7 27-Jul-7 17-Aug-7 7-Sep-7 2

4 35 3 Iraq Baghdad Iraq Civilian Deaths Iraq Civilian Deaths Jan-6 Feb-6 Mar-6 Apr-6 May-6 Jun-6 Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 Source: Coalition and Host National Reporting As of 31 Aug 7 3

5 Ethno-Sectarian Violence Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed DEC 6 FEB 7 Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed MAY 7 Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed 25 Ethno-Sectarian Deaths Iraq AUG 7 Majority Shia Majority Sunni Mixed 2 1 Baghdad Security Districts Density Least Most May-6 Jun-6 Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 Density plots are of incidents where deaths occurred from any means that were clearly ethno-sectarian in motivation, to include car bombs As of 31 Aug 7 4

6 Caches Found & Cleared Year 1 JAN 7-7 SEP 7 26 Anbar Iraq 2111 MND - B 449 Cache & 5

7 35 Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs( IEDs) Total IED Iraq Total IED Baghdad Total IED Anbar Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 Total IEDs = IED explosions + IEDs found + IED hoaxes 6

8 Anbar Attacks OCT 6 JAN 7 MAR Anbar Attacks Tre nd AUG Jun-6 Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 Density Least Most Density plots are of locations where attacks occurred As of 31 Aug 7 7

9 Aug-6 25-Aug-6 15-Sep-6 6-Oct-6 27-Oct-6 17-Nov-6 8-Dec-6 29-Dec-6 19-Jan-7 9-Feb-7 2-Mar-7 23-Mar-7 13-Apr-7 4-May-7 25-May-7 15-Jun-7 6-Jul-7 27-Jul-7 17-Aug-7 7-Sep-7 4-Aug-6 25-Aug-6 15-Sep-6 6-Oct-6 27-Oct-6 17-Nov-6 8-Dec-6 29-Dec-6 19-Jan-7 9-Feb-7 2-Mar-7 23-Mar-7 13-Apr-7 4-May-7 25-May-7 15-Jun-7 6-Jul-7 27-Jul-7 17-Aug Aug-6 25-Aug-6 15-Sep-6 6-Oct-6 27-Oct-6 17-Nov-6 8-Dec-6 29-Dec-6 19-Jan-7 9-Feb-7 2-Mar-7 23-Mar-7 13-Apr-7 4-May-7 25-May-7 15-Jun-7 6-Jul-7 27-Jul-7 17-Aug-7 7-Sep-7 4-Aug-6 25-Aug-6 15-Sep-6 6-Oct-6 27-Oct-6 17-Nov-6 8-Dec-6 29-Dec-6 19-Jan-7 9-Feb-7 2-Mar-7 23-Mar-7 13-Apr-7 4-May-7 25-May-7 15-Jun-7 6-Jul-7 27-Jul-7 17-Aug Iraq Violence Trends Salah ad Din Province Anbar Province Baghdad Ninewah Province Level of Violence = Attacks + Murders Events As of 7 Sep 7 8

10 Total High Profile Attacks Car Bomb Suicide Car Bomb Suicide Vest High Profile Attacks ` May-6 Jun-6 Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 As of 31 AUG 7; High Profile = Car bombs + suicide car bombs + suicide vests 9

11 JAN 7 State of Al Qaeda Iraq Senior Iraqi AQI Leader AQI East Side Military Emir in Mosul Sniper Cell Leader AQI Mosul AQI Emir for Mosul AQI Cell Leader AQI External Facilitator Military Emir AQI Emir fo r Salah ad Din Financier City Emir AQI Samarra AQI Weapons Facilitator Facilitator Emir of Sinjar Second in Command AQI in Karmah Emir of Hay al Jama ah Special Group Media Network AQI Facilitator Security Emir for Executions Financial Emir in Jazirah Media Network AUG 7 Kidnapping Cell Leader MOSUL North Karkh Strategic Detention/EKIA 15 June to 5 September 7 Emirs of: Yusafiyah N. Iraq Samarra Mosul Diyala North Karkh Arab Jabour Hay alandullah Sinjar Media Cells: Ramadi Ghazaliyah Baghdad Baqubah Samarra Tarmiyah AQI Emir of Amiriyah Logistics Emir July to September 27 Killed Captured Facilitator VBIED Cell Emir of Arab Jabour Admin Emir Military Advisor AL QA IM HIT TIKRIT RAMADI SAMARRA KIRKUK MUQDADIYAH BA QUBAH BAGHDAD AS SULAYMANIYAH 1

12 Tribal Engagement Tal Afar Mosul Tikrit Local Security Forces 29.8K 28.4K Vetted In hiring process for Iraqi Security Forces Samarra Ramadi Falluja Baqubah Baghdad Karbala Al Kut An Najaf Security Volunteers Sunni Mixed Shi a An Nasiriyah Basra 11

13 Iraqi Security Forces Capabilities Level IV - Unit Forming Level III - Fighting Side by Side Level II - Iraqi Lead with Coalition Support Level I - Fully Independent Nov-5 Dec-5 Jan-6 Feb-6 Mar-6 Apr-6 May-6 Jun-6 Jul-6 Aug-6 Sep-6 Oct-6 Nov-6 Dec-6 Jan-7 Feb-7 Mar-7 Apr-7 May-7 Jun-7 Jul-7 Aug-7 Sep-7 Iraqi Army Battalions, National Police Battalions, and Special Operating Force Battalions 12

14 Recommended Force Reductions/Mission Shift Dec 7 Sep Jul 8 Decision Point NLT Mar 8 Date Determined NLT Mar ? Primary Brigade Mission Strategic Overwatch Operational Overwatch Tactical Overwatch Partnering Leading ? 1 7-5? 7 5 Time Leading to Partnering to Overwatch (Tactical to Operational to Strategic) 13