Investment banking in global financial network
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1 Investment banking in global financial network A study of M&A and IPO activities Kurtulus Gemici (kgemici@nus.edu.sg) Karen P.Y. Lai (karenlai@nus.edu.sg) Annual Meeting of the American Association of Geographers 2016, San Francisco, 29 March 2 April
2 Introduction! Investigate geographies and organisational networks of investment banks globally and in Asia! Finance as important driver of global production structures and strategies! Financial narratives, logics and instruments that shape the depth and extent of firms global activities! Greater demand for advisory, brokerage and trading services from investment banks and FABS! Increasing importance of investment banking activities in Asia?! Developmental outcomes for industrial development, IFC growth, and world city networks? 2
3 Source: Coe, Lai & Wojcik (2014) 3
4 Production networks of investment banks 4
5 Data! Dealogic database! M&A! Equity Capital Markets (ECM)! List of firms:! M&A Top 30 Global (80.09%)! ECM Top 30 Global (74.20%)! + Top 20 Asia to capture key actors in Asian markets! Statistical analyses of networks between investment banks (advisors/bookrunners), other underwriters/advisors, attorneys, auditors, other ABS firms! Basis for qualitative field work: identifying lead firms and their activities and networks in Asian financial centres. 5
6 M&A- Global Deal Value ( ) 3,000, ,500, ,000, ,500, ,000, , Aerospace Agribusiness Auto/Truck Chemicals Computers & Electronics Construction/Building Consumer Products Defense Dining & Lodging Finance Food & Beverage Forestry & Paper Government Healthcare Holding Companies Insurance Leisure & Recreation Machinery Metal & Steel Mining Oil & Gas Professional Services Publishing Real Estate/Property Retail Telecommunications Textile Transportation Utility & Energy
7 M&A- Asian Deal Value ( ) Aerospace Agribusiness Auto/Truck Chemicals Computers & Electronics Construction/Building Consumer Products Defense Dining & Lodging Finance Food & Beverage Forestry & Paper Government Healthcare Holding Companies Insurance Leisure & Recreation Machinery Metal & Steel Mining Oil & Gas Professional Services Publishing Real Estate/Property Retail Telecommunications Textile Transportation Utility & Energy
8 M&A Deal Value By Nationality ( ) Bhutan Brunei Darussalam Cambodia China Hong Kong Indonesia Japan Laos Macao Malaysia Mongolia Myanmar North Korea Philippines Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Timor-Leste Vietnam
9 Network analysis! Analyse inter-firm networks of investment banks in M&A and IPO sectors! Underwriter networks (Pharmaceutical, YTD2016):! Centrality measures: advantages enjoyed by underwriter because of its central position in the network:! E.g. Degree, betweenness, closeness! Other measures: cohesion, reciprocity, diversity measures! Graphs drawn in a ring-lattice format for visualising networks! Sectoral and geographical analyses 9
10 Degree 10
11 Betweenness 11
12 Cliques and cores 12
13 Interview sites Singapore Hong Kong Beijing Tokyo Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs CITIC Securities Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Morgan Stanley China International Capital Corp Ltd Barclays Citi Bank of America Merrill Lynch China Securities Co Ltd UBS Barclays Barclays Rothschild Nomura Credit Suisse UBS Moelis & Co SG Corporate & Investment Banking Deutsche Bank HSBC Wells Fargo Securities BNP Paribas RBC Capital Markets Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group SG Corporate & Investment Banking Jefferies LLC Mizuho Macquarie Group Wells Fargo Securities Daiwa Securities Mizuho Rothschild Rothschild Lazard Evercore Partners Inc Greenhill & Co Rothschild Moelis & Co Guggenheim Partners LLC Evercore Partners Inc SG Corporate & Investment Banking Greenhill & Co KPMG Corporate Finance Guggenheim Partners LLC Credit Agricole CIB BMO Capital Markets PJT Partners Inc Greenhill & Co Guggenheim Partners LLC Ernst & Young Somerley Ltd Scotiabank Anglo Chinese Securities Ltd 13 TD Securities Inc BMO Capital Markets
14 Interview sites Loca4on Number of Banks (M&A) Number of Banks (ECM) Total Singapore Hong Kong Beijing Tokyo
15 Moving forward! Interface of investment banks & ABS in global financial networks! Spatial and social concentration of FABS in the development of Asian IFCs! Decisions: analytical or advisory services done in-house or outsource?! Best practice?! Regulatory requirements?! Client request?! Based on existing client-relationships elsewhere?! The making of investment banking markets in Asia: an examination of government and market actors! How investment banking markets have grown and become established or legitimised in selected Asian economies! The ways in which government policies and strategic developmental goals affected/encouraged investment banking activities! Intersection of government and market-based actors (i.e. investment banks, ABS firms) in market making. 15
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