NATURAL GAS IN TRANSPORTATION FUELING THE FUTURE
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1 NATURAL GAS IN TRANSPORTATION FUELING THE FUTURE
2 TODAY S DISCUSSION: GLOBAL CONSIDERATIONS NATURAL GAS VEHICLES 101 THE SHALE GALE AND PRICING FUNDAMENTALS PAYBACK ECONOMICS ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS NEXT STEPS
3 CHESAPEAKE ENERGY OVERVIEW Second-largest producer of U.S. natural gas and a Top 15 producer of U.S. liquids Most active explorer for natural gas and liquids with 130 active U.S. drilling rigs as of July 12, 2012 Employ over 13,500 people in 17 states Applying unconventional thinking and state-ofthe art technologies, Chesapeake has grown from a $50,000 startup in 1989 to a $30 billion enterprise CHK has the #1 or #2 position in the top 10 oil and gas basins in America 3
4 CHK S OPERATING AREAS Once asset monetization is complete, focus will be on 10 leading plans where CHK holds a #1 or #2 position 4
5 NATURAL GAS DELIVERY SYSTEM Upstream Midstream
6 AMERICA ON THE BOTTLE U.S. consumes 23% of the world s petroleum By 2020, the IEA predicts world oil consumption will increase 60% This does not take production decreases into account This means we will need 4 more Saudi Arabias Where will they be? To keep pace with demand and depletion, the world must add 64 million barrels of production per day until 2020: This growth will require $350 billion per year on new projects OPEC only spent $390 billion in total on new projects from
7 GLOBAL COMPETITION INCREASING 2009 to 2015E CHINA 2.2 up to 10.1 Bbl/Person INDIA 0.9 up to 5.4 Bbl/Person Chinese vehicle ownership per capita is equal to where the U.S. was in Source: US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 2009
8 WHERE IN THE WORLD?
9 NATURAL GAS VEHICLES WORLDWIDE Source: NGV Global, 2010
10 NATURAL GAS IN TRANSPORTATION Natural Gas is CLEAN Mostly methane, only one carbon atom Reduces GHG by 21-27% Reduces particulate matter by up to 95% Natural Gas is SAFE Higher ignition temperature than diesel or gasoline ( degrees F) Narrow range of oxygen/fuel combustion ratio (5-15%) Highly engineered tanks and components Natural Gas is POWERFUL Octane rating of ~130 HD natural gas engines have equivalent torque and horsepower to diesel counterparts Natural Gas is QUIET HD engine DB level 80-90% lower than diesel Source: US Dept. of Energy Argonne National Laboratory Report: A Full-Cycle Analysis of Energy and Emissions Impacts of Transportation Fuels Produced from Natural Gas, Dec. 1999
11 CNG AND LNG BASICS
12 WATER INTENSITY OF TRANSPORTATION FUELS Ethanol from Irrigated Corn Grain Ethanol from Irrigated Corn Stover 1,900 2,800 Biodiesel from Irrigated Soybeans 800 Hydrogen via Electrolysis 42 Syn Diesel from Coal 38.5 Electric Vehicle (Electric from Nuclear)* 35 Oil Sands Gasoline 33 Syn Diesel from Natural Gas 27.5 Oil Shale Gasoline Electric Vehicle (Electric from Coal)* Gasoline Electric Vehicle (Electric from Shale NG)* Diesel Gasoline with 10% irrigated ethanol blend: ~ 200 gallons water consumed per 100 miles driven CNG using Electricity for Compression 6.5 Hydrogen from Natural Gas 6 CNG using NG Generator for Compression ,000 10,000 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Average Consumption: Gallons of Water Per 100 Miles Driven Source: Adapted from King and Webber 2008a; *Adapted from King and Webber 2008b, combined with data from USDOE 2006 Non-irrigated biofuels not shown on plot above
13 CNG SYSTEM COMPONENTS Fuel Gauge 4 Fuel Lines Source: Westport Light Duty Inc.
14 THE SHALE GAS REVOLUTION
15 PRICE STABILITY EXAMPLE Natural $2.80 per MCF INPUT COST Natural Gas (divide by 8) $0.35 Transport Costs & Fees $0.20 Electricity Costs per GGE $0.10 Maintenance per GGE $0.20 Federal and State Taxes $0.25 Fuel Card Fees per GGE $0.05 Retailer Profit Margin $0.70 CNG at the Pump $1.85 Natural $5.60 per MCF INPUT COST Natural Gas (divide by 8) $0.70 Transport Costs & Fees $0.20 Electricity Costs per GGE $0.10 Maintenance per GGE $0.20 Federal and State Taxes $0.25 Fuel Card Fees per GGE $0.05 Retailer Profit Margin $0.70 CNG at the Pump $2.20 Price inputs based upon historical operating information 17
16 PRICING PRINCIPLES CNG (July 2012) Retail Price: $1.85/gge Taxes 13% Marketing & Profit 40% Distribution & Compression 27% Natural Gas 20% Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
17 NGVS ARE A FLEET OWNER S DREAM Local/State Governments Airports Terminal Buses, Shuttles, Taxis, Tarmac Vehicles Refuse Collection, Recycling Transit City Buses, Maintenance, Shuttles School Districts Buses, Vans, Maintenance Short Haul Delivery Food & Beverage Distributors, Postal, Newspapers, Linens, Uniforms, Regional Freight Utilities & Telecom Gas/Electric/Water, Communications Small Businesses Plumbers, Electricians, Florists, Service Companies Energy Companies
18 NATIONAL FLEETS WITH NGVS
19 PICKUP BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS Ford F mpg 24,000 miles per year 1,500 GGE/year Cost Premium: $9,000 Increased Resale: $4,500 Bi-Fuel CNG/Gasoline At Fuel Differential of $1.50 Simple payback in 4 years Net Life Cycle Savings: $4, ,000 mile turnover target Increased resale assumption based upon recent auction prices achieved by Chesapeake Energy
20 DETROIT ROLLS OUT CNG IN 2012
21 DON T WORRY THERE S AN APP FOR THAT! Create your own profile at Free iphone and Android Application Locate and Plan your next trip Get the latest News Update Prices Post to Facebook or Twitter Post Pictures of the Station
22 HOW DOES A CNG STATION WORK? TIME FILL STATION FAST FILL STATION
23 RETAIL PARTNERSHIP TARGETS Cody Bakken Gammon Baxter/Mancos Mancos Lewis Mowry Barnett/Woodford Niobrara Mulky Granite Wash Cleveland/Tonkawa New Albany Fayetteville Woodford Barnett Haynesville Eagle Ford/Pearsall Antrim Utica Floyd-Neal Marcellus 85% Supply from U.S. 97% Supply is from N. America Source: EIA Natural gas producing states (32) Non-producing state (18) 28
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26 MOVING FORWARD Our goal is to help companies identify opportunities where natural gas is a fit for their operational needs today, resulting in an initial pilot program. What are the remaining barriers to adoption? Infrastructure? Engine Availability? Price of Conversion? Lack of Faith in Commodity? How can Chesapeake continue to serve as a resource? Next Steps and Action Items
27 William Freeman Manager, Market Development Office: (717) Mobile: (717)
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