Poultry Pocketbook 2015

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1 Poultry Pocketbook 2015

2 BPEX Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board Stoneleigh Park Kenilworth Warwickshire CV8 2TL Tel: Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board All rights reserved. Cover Images: Hen - Sevenke/Shutterstock.com Raw Chicken - Marek Gottschalk/Shutterstock.com While the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board, operating through its BPEX division, seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time of printing, no warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document. BPEX is a division of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB). ISBN

3 Contents Poultry Pocketbook 2015 Page Chapter 1 Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance... 3 Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance... 3 Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance... 4 Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance... 4 Chapter 2 Poultry numbers Figure 2.1 Density of poultry flock, June Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey... 6 Table 2.2 UK chick and poult placings... 6 Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings... 7 Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production... 7 Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production... 8 Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers in England and Wales... 8 Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput... 9 Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors... 9 Figure 3.3 EU broiler meat production, Figure 3.4 EU egg production for human consumption, Chapter 4 Poultry and egg prices Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers Figure 4.1 Average poultry compound feed price, GB Figure 4.2 UK wholesale chicken prices

4 Contents Page Figure 4.3 UK wholesale hens egg prices Figure 4.4 EU and UK broiler (65%) meat wholesale market price Figure 4.5 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price Chapter 5 Imports and exports Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination Chapter 6 Consumption Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of poultry meat and total meat Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets

5 Marketing chain Chapter 1 Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance (a) '000 tonnes Production 1,538 1,558 1,607 1,661 1,643 Imports (b) Exports (b) Total consumption 1,998 2,070 2,091 2,103 2,129 Self-sufficiency (%) (a) Includes offals. (b) Data now includes trade in salted poultry meat. All data in carcase weight equivalent. Source: Defra, GTIS/HMRC, AHDB Market Intelligence Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance million dozen * Production (for human consumption) of which: sold in shell processed Imports (a) Exports (b) Total consumption Self-sufficiency (%) (a) Includes shell egg equivalent of whole egg (dried, frozen and liquid), egg yolk and albumen. (b) Includes hatching eggs for export and waste. Note: Defra has made major revisions to the trade data compared with last year s edition of the pocketbook. * Provisional Source: Defra 3

6 Marketing chain Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance '000 tonnes (e) Indigenous production 12,953 13,215 13,484 13,731 14,091 Imports Exports 1,157 1,215 1,246 1,238 1,281 Total consumption 12,578 12,797 13,034 13,245 13,566 Self-sufficiency (%) Includes poultry offals. (e) estimate Note: EU-27 to 2012, EU-28 from 2013 onwards. Source: EU Commission Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance '000 tonnes (e) Gross indigenous production 7,297 7,303 7,265 7,333 7,434 Imports Exports Eggs for hatching Human consumption 6,268 6,231 6,129 6,327 6,348 Self-sufficiency (%) All data is in whole egg equivalent. (e) estimate. Note: EU-27 for all years Source: EU Commission 4

7 Poultry numbers Chapter 2 Poultry numbers Figure 2.1 Density of poultry flock, June 2013 Data covers commercial holdings only. Source: AHDB Market Intelligence, Defra, Welsh Government, DARD, Scottish Government 5

8 Poultry numbers Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey million head (a) Total poultry Total breeding and laying fowl of which: Hens and pullets laying eggs for eating Total breeding flock Table chickens (broilers) Other poultry of which: Turkeys (a) Due to production cycles, subgroups within the poultry population are often volatile as the point in time nature of the June Survey can lead to large variations in the numbers in each category. Source: Defra Table 2.2 UK chick and poult placings million head 2010 (a) Commercial broilers Commercial layers Turkeys (b) Female broiler breeders (c) (a) 53-week statistical year. (b) Includes female breeder poults. (c) Female parents only. Excludes grandparent chicks and by-product chicks. Includes imported female parent chicks. Source: Defra 6

9 Slaughterings and production Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings million head Broilers Boiling fowl Turkeys (a) (a) 53-week statistical year. Note: Boiling fowl includes spent hens and spent breeders. Source: Defra Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production (a) '000 tonnes Broilers Boiling fowl Turkey Ducks Total , , , , , , , , , , , , (b) 1, , , , , , , , , ,641 (a) Excludes other bird types, eg geese. (b) 53-week statistical year. Source: Defra 7

10 Slaughterings and production Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production '000 tonnes 1,400 1,388 1,384 1,300 1,282 1,323 1,297 1,322 1,237 1,212 1,214 1,220 1,200 1,163 1,100 1, Source: Defra Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers in England and Wales kg Source: Defra 8

11 Slaughterings and production Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput '000 cases Total Enriched Barn Free range Organic ,460 16,187 1,675 4,598 n/a ,584 15,558 1,564 7,462 n/a ,021 15,053 1,229 6,541 1, ,537 14, ,692 1, ,680 14, ,000 1, ,616 13,445 1,035 9, ,067 13,522 1,334 11, ,921 13,128 1,075 11, ,922 12, , ,901 13, , ,097 14, , case = 360 eggs n/a = Not available Source: Defra Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors tonnes Liquid egg Hard boiled Other Total ,022 n/a 16,756 91, ,066 28,649 13, , ,786 31,663 9, , ,027 28,002 2, , ,502 30, , ,442 30,282 93, ,459 33,188 97, ,908 32, , ,338 24,503 90, ,338 32,667 95, ,910 34, ,878 n/a = Not available Source: Defra 9

12 Slaughterings and production Figure 3.3 EU broiler meat production, 2014 '000 tonnes 2,500 2,000 2,060 1,855 1,500 1,000 1,384 1,255 1,112 1, PL UK DE FR ES IT NL HU BE Others Source: Eurostat Figure 3.4 EU egg production for human consumption, 2014 '000 tonnes 1,400 1,200 1,260 1, Source: EU Commission FR IT DE NL ES UK PL RO Others 10

13 Chapter 4 Poultry and egg prices Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers Poultry and egg prices pence per dozen All Enriched Barn Free range Organic c c c c c 97.7 c c c c c 1 case = 360 eggs Note: Data cover all Class A eggs passed over a grader, including seconds. Prices include bonus payments from From Q the average UK All types price includes organic eggs. c = confidential Source: Defra 11

14 Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.1 Average poultry compound feed price, GB /tonne Q Q Q Q4 Source: Defra Figure 4.2 UK wholesale chicken prices p/kg Fresh broiler kg kg Fresh skinless breast fillets Fresh skinless breast fillets (callibrated) broiler kg kg 50 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Note: DEFRA has made some changes to the price series compared with last year s edition of this pocketbook. Source: Defra/London wholesale market 12

15 Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.3 UK wholesale hens egg prices p/dozen Large g Medium g 20 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: Defra/London wholesale market Figure 4.4 EU and UK broiler (65%) meat wholesale market price p/kg dw EU UK UK is frozen bird price, EU is mixture of fresh and frozen 80 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: EU Commission 13

16 Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.5 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price p/kg UK EU Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: EU Commission 14

17 Chapter 5 Imports and exports Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume Imports and exports '000 cases (e) Imports Shell eggs (a) 1,548 1,395 2,281 1,718 1,857 Egg products (a) (b) 2,987 2,815 3,157 3,382 3,326 Total 4,535 4,210 5,438 5,099 5,183 Exports Shell eggs (a) Egg products (a) (b) Total case = 360 eggs (a) Data based on the following Standard Industrial Trade Classifications (SITCs): , and (b) From 2012, shell eggs SITC code changed from to , and All data converted to shell egg equivalent. (e) estimate. Note: 1 case = 360 eggs Source: Defra 15

18 Imports and exports Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports tonnes, product weight Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 378, , , , ,688 Salted poultry 36,111 47,508 43,439 49,610 56,098 Processed poultry 254, , , , ,889 Total 669, , , , ,675 Value, '000 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 945,617 1,078, , ,793 1,020,550 Salted poultry 72, ,571 85, , ,318 Processed poultry 684, , , , ,694 Total 1,702,321 1,978,780 1,823,629 1,908,308 2,022,562 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports tonnes, product weight Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 270, , , , ,676 Salted poultry 5,145 3,971 2,929 2,433 3,411 Processed poultry 38,341 45,511 45,850 42,586 48,517 Total 313, , , , ,604 Value, 000 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 260, , , , ,543 Salted poultry 9,356 9,623 6,646 5,466 8,592 Processed poultry 126, , , , ,489 Total 396, , , , ,624 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 16

19 Imports and exports Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source tonnes, product weight Total 378, , , , ,688 of which from: Netherlands 144, , , , ,355 Poland 39,531 43,497 46,817 51,874 55,873 Ireland 63,956 66,799 28,694 25,456 35,154 Belgium 23,703 20,644 28,008 25,887 30,786 Germany 25,304 31,272 25,979 26,331 30,133 France 20,125 20,276 14,877 13,224 13,475 Italy 9,182 9,709 14,679 12,449 10,583 Chile 9,887 9,877 8,792 8,048 8,392 Denmark 8,577 7,593 5,489 5,476 7,585 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination tonnes, product weight Total 270, , , , ,676 of which to: (EU 28) (203,784) (197,773) (203,352) (249,115) (241,237) Netherlands 59,588 52,799 66, , ,917 Ireland 44,165 46,048 48,786 46,437 45,873 South Africa 7,810 24,722 26,602 38,341 43,013 Hong Kong 26,236 40,215 25,449 20,876 25,811 Germany 34,669 26,212 15,882 19,339 22,701 France 21,824 23,986 18,657 21,073 18,534 Benin 10,912 7,721 5,150 10,036 17,278 Spain 14,123 15,555 17,029 16,020 12,454 Belgium 3,195 5,917 8,862 14,822 11,569 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 17

20 Imports and exports Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source tonnes, product weight Total 254, , , , ,889 of which from: (EU 28) (90,830) (111,180) (128,400) (134,143) (132,490) Thailand 134, , , , ,650 Brazil 20,414 19,939 21,456 29,008 40,414 Netherlands 19,279 28,164 33,467 31,370 32,311 Ireland 23,668 27,674 28,539 33,300 29,969 Poland 6,897 10,490 11,989 14,633 16,474 Germany 14,084 13,092 15,607 14,665 14,324 France 4,164 4,817 9,013 11,411 11,375 Denmark 3,667 9,266 7,983 8,518 8,855 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination tonnes, product weight Total 38,341 45,511 45,850 42,586 48,517 of which to: Ireland 24,011 27,602 25,598 22,159 22,124 Netherlands 3,987 5,912 6,543 5,642 9,299 Germany 4,088 4,981 5,972 6,724 5,705 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 18

21 Consumption Chapter 6 Consumption Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of poultry meat and total meat Poultry meat All meat kg/person/year All data in carcase weight equivalent. Source: AHDB Market Intelligence calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC, ONS Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet % Multiples Freezer centres Butchers Other Chicken Eggs Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 19

22 Consumption Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume tonnes (52 weeks ending) 615, , , , , , , , , , Feb 02 Mar 30 Mar 27 Apr 25 May 22 Jun 20 Jul 17 Aug 14 Sep 12 Oct 09 Nov 07 Dec 04 Jan Note: Figures include Ready to cook and Chilled main meal accompaniment products. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume '000s (52 weeks ending) 5,400, ,300,000 5,200,000 5,100,000 5,000,000 4,900,000 4,800, Feb 02 Mar 30 Mar 27 Apr 25 May 22 Jun 20 Jul 17 Aug 14 Sep 12 Oct 09 Nov 07 Dec 04 Jan Source: Kantar WorldPanel 20

23 Consumption Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2014 yoy % change Volume Value Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts whole Leg roll/roast Sliced cooked chicken Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2014 tonnes 250, , , , , ,000 75,411 50,000 0 Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg 2,846 Fresh roll/roast 43,334 breasts Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 3,501 6,233 3,769 whole Leg roll/roast 22,248 Sliced cooked chicken 21

24 Consumption Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2014 yoy % change Volume Value Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2014 Non-free range '000 eggs 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,708,140 2,408,726 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , ,068 61,168 Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Non-free range 22

25 Consumption Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2014 price per kg ( ) Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts roll/roast whole leg Sliced cooked chicken Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2014 price per egg (p) Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic 11 Non-free range Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 23

26 Consumption Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume w/e 05 Jan w/e 04 Jan Fresh breasts Fresh whole Source: Kantar WorldPanel Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts roll/roast whole leg Sliced cooked chicken Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume w/e 05 Jan w/e 04 Jan Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Non-free range Source: Kantar WorldPanel 24

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