AECO Gas $Cdn/GJ. Select 2011 Year-to-Date Summary Statistics

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "AECO Gas $Cdn/GJ. Select 2011 Year-to-Date Summary Statistics"

Transcription

1 ENERGY CHARTS energy charts Snapshots of Energy Fundamentals Date WTI Crude $US/B Edmonton Light $Cdn/B Henry Hub Gas AECO Gas $Cdn/GJ AECO Basis Currency $US/$Cdn Chart Watch Commentary 1 DJIA ended with a slight recovery for the week Energy Charts commentary will return next week. 4 ARC Oil Sands Index gained 5.7% 12 Canadian heavy spreads continued to narrow 28 Long-dated gas futures ended at $4.37/MMbtu 36 US dry gas production down in December Select Year-to-Date Summary Statistics Indicator 31-Dec-1 3-Dec-11 YTD High YTD Low YTD Average Gain % (Loss) Dow Jones Industrial Average 11,578 12,218 12,811 1,655 11, % Nasdaq 2,653 2,65 2,874 2,336 2, % S&P/TSX Composite 13,443 11,995 14,271 11,178 12, % Canadian Dollar % S&P/TSX E&P Index 3,457 2,756 3,82 2,326 3, % S&P/TSX O/G Equip and Services 2,73 1,859 2,34 1,542 2,36-1.3% ARC Cdn O&G Grow h Equity Index 68,26 56,998 75,76 46,345 65, % ARC Oil Sands Equity Index 24,354 21,35 28,544 17,815 23, % Philadelphia O/G Service Index % WTI Spot ($US/B) % WTI 24-Month ($US/B) % Brent Spot ($US/B) % Edmonton Light Spot ($C/B) % Western Cdn Select ($C/B) % Natural Gas HH Spot () % Natural Gas HH Month Avg % Natural Gas AECO Spot ($C/GJ) % AECO Differential () % Natural Gas NBP () % Peter Tertzakian, Chief Energy Economist Tel (43) ptertzakian@arcfinancial.com Kara Jakeman, Manager, Energy Research Tel (43) kjakeman@arcfinancial.com Wendy Liu, Senior Energy Analyst Tel (43) wliu@arcfinancial.com Sources Bloomberg, CAODC, Baker Hughes, EIA, NOAA, CPC, IEA, Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Gas Association, ARC Financial Research Disclaimer The information and data contained herein has been obtained or prepared from sources which ARC believes to be reliable but has not been independently verified. ARC makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of such information and data nor the conclusions derived therefrom. This document has been published on the basis that ARC shall not be responsible for, and ARC hereby expressly disclaims any responsibility for, any financial or other losses or damages of any nature whatsoever arising from or otherwise relating to any use of this document.

2 Broad Equity Markets Daily Index Values; Rolling 24-Month History 1 2 Dow Jones 14, 13, 12, 11, 1, 9, 8, Dow Jones NASDAQ The DJIA ended with a slight recovery for the week at 12,218. Nasdaq 3, Broad market indices are one of many vital signs measuring the health of the economy. Energy demand is a function of economic health. 2,5 2, 1,5 The threat of 7, Greece 6, defaulting is center stage. 1, Jan-1 Jul-1 Jan-11 Jul-11 TSX Composite 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 1, 9, 8, 7, Performance of Oil and Gas Equities Daily Index Values; Rolling 24-Month History S&P/TSX 3 Composite Index S&P/TSX E& P Index The S&P Comp. also recovered the last week of. Meanwhile, Canadian E&P stocks were essentially flat. 6, Jan-1 Jul-1 Jan-11 Jul-11 Market Indicators July 3, TSX 26 E&P Performance of Canadian oil & gas equities are compared against the broader market. 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 ARC Canadian Oil & Gas Growth Equity Index Daily Index Values; Rolling 24-Month History 3 4 ARC Oil Sands Producers Equity Index Daily Index Values; Rolling 24-Month History 8, 3, 7, 25, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, Jan-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 The ARC CDN Oil & Gas Growth Index measures the performance of over oil and gas producers that are not included in larger exchange indices. 2, 15, ARC Oil Sands Index gained 5.7% the last week of Dec. ATH received regulatory ATH also sold its approval for its MacKay project. 4% MacKay interest to PetroChina. The ARC Oil Sands Index measures the performance of six oil sand producers. PetroChina now has full ownership of the oil sands project. 1, Jan-1 May-1 Sep-1 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 Philadelphia Oil & Gas Service Equity Index Daily Index Values; Rolling 24-Month History 5 6 Canadian Currency Exchange Daily Close Values; Rolling 24-Month History S&P/TSX 2,65 2,25 1,85 1,45 1,5 65 S&P/TSX Oil & Gas Equipment & Service S&P/TSX Oil & Gas Drilling Philadelphia Oil & Gas Service Oil field services stocks fell the last week of December. Fracturing companies, especially, have had a rough time This is due to the recent press on environmental issues. Phil $US/Cdn $1.8 $1.4 $1. $.96 $.92 $.88 $.84 $.8 25 Jan-1 May-1 Sep-1 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 The performance of Canadian oil and gas service equities (left scale) are plotted in tandem with the corresponding US company index (right scale). $.76 Jan-1 May-1 Sep-1 Dec-1 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Much of Canada s oil and gas production is exported. As such, the value of the Canadian dollar has significant impact on corporate revenues. Energy Charts 1

3 Crude Oil 7 $US/B Daily Spot Crude Oil Prices WTI NYMEX & Dated Brent Crude; Rolling 12-Month History WTI and Brent were flat the last week of December. 212 consensus for WTI is that it will remain around $. WTI Crude (Spot) Dated Brent Crude 8 $US/Gal $4.5 $4. $3.5 $3. US Average Retail Gasoline (All Grades) Prices Weekly Data; Rolling 3-Year History July 3, The Brent-WTI premium has narrowed to about $8.75/B. Pipeline reversal and transport out of PADD 2 has helped. $2.5 $2. $1.5 6 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Spot crude oil prices (WTI) are principally driven by US stock levels, international supply/demand dynamics and related geopolitical influences. $1. Jan-9 Jul-9 Jan-1 Jul-1 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Gasoline is one of the main products refined from crude oil. Gasoline prices are influenced by crude oil prices, seasonality and retail competition. Daily Futures Crude Oil Prices: 24-Mth Contract WTI NYMEX; Rolling 12-Month History 9 1 US Crude Oil Futures West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 212 to 214 $US/B Oil market concerns centre around tensions with Iran. And its threat to shut down the Strait of Hormuz. It is a critical shipping lane. Approx. 17 passed through the Strait in. The long-end of the curve was up modestly,.7% the last week. 7 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 The daily close of the long end of the futures curve is important to watch for structural changes in the crude oil market. WTI $US/B Here forward contract prices for WTI are plotted against months in the calendar year. Years are distinguished by color and/or symbol coding. Daily World Heavy Oil Marker Crude Prices Maya and Lloyd Blend at Chicago; Rolling 24-Month History Canadian Oil Prices & Heavy Oil Differentials Western Canadian Select (WCS) Differential; Rolling 12-Month History $US/B 12 8 Maya Oil Price at Chicago Lloyd Blend Oil Price at Chicago Edm. Lt ($C/B) WCS Diff. Edmonton Light Canadian heavy spreads continued to narrow in December. WCS Diff ($C/B) Jan-1 Apr-1 Jul-1 Oct-1 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Maya, Mexico s main export crude, is a heavy sour crude with 22 API and % sulfur content Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Canadian heavy differentials vary depending on barrel-to-barrel competition at a limited number of US refineries with specialized refining capacity Energy Charts 2

4 MMB US Crude Oil Stocks The PADD 2 stock situation is noteworthy. While still at a 5 year high, stocks there are down ~1% from April. Takeaway capacity additions have eased the oversupply. Total US crude oil inventories are down about 3.5% YOY US Crude Oil Imports Crude Oil July 3, Weekly stock levels provide a snapshot of supply and demand. The grey lines span a historical range; the blue line plots current year levels. The US must import crude oil to augment its domestic supply. The grey lines span a historical range; the blue line plots current year values Total US refinery utilization has been stable at ~83%. US Weekly Refinery Runs But crude oil input to refiners in PADD 2 has been strong. PADD 2 inputs were at 3.5, a 5-year high. This adds to the strong demand for Canadian heavy barrels Total Weekly US Petroleum Supplied 11 In the US, refinery runs mirror overall seasonal demand for petroleum products. Total operable capacity is approximately Petroleum supplied represents the total consumption of petroleum products in the U.S. Oil consumption for the current year is in blue MMB US Motor Gasoline Stocks US Motor Gasoline Consumption Despite falling gasoline prices, demand has not picked up. Demand is still materially lagging last year s levels Gasoline stock levels can affect crude oil prices. Stock levels for the current year are represented by the blue line. 8. Gasoline consumption accounts for almost half of all oil use in the U.S. Gasoline consumption for the current year is in blue. Energy Charts 3

5 Crude Oil 19 MMB US Distillate Fuels Stocks 2 MMB 8 7 US Distillate Fuels Stocks - PADD I July 3, Distillate stocks are mildly seasonal, but especially important to watch in the winter months when heating oil demand comes to the fore. 2 PADD I represents the heavily populated Northeast US market. That area is important because it represents a large fraction of heating oil demand OPEC set a new 3 target. OPEC Notional Spare Capacity Monthly; Rolling 6-Month History It was necessary that OPEC show solidarity at this meeting.. Feb-7 Feb-8 Feb-9 Feb-1 Feb-11 World oil spare capacity resides only in OPEC member countries. It is assumed that non-opec countries produce at full capacity. Notice that the cartel is already producing above the new quota. Watch Libya s production number in OPEC Production Data Table Recent Production Targets and Spare Capacity: MMB/Day Current Target Nov-11 Prod'n Prod'n vs Target Sustainable Capacity Spare Capacity Algeria Angola Ecuador Iran Kuwait Libya (.92).55. Nigeria Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Venezuela OP EC Iraq T OT A L OP EC OPEC s production levels relative to its sustainable and spare capacity ties directly into near and long-term crude oil prices Global Oil Demand Monthly; Rolling 6-Month History IEA curbed its oil demand estimates due to weaker economy. In 11, oil demand is expected to increase by.7. In 12, oil demand is expected to increase by Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Jan-1 Jan-11 Global oil demand growth is largely driven by economic growth. The majority of new demand is coming from non-oecd countries Canadian Oil Sands Production Monthly; Rolling 6-Month History Synthetic Bitumen. Nov-6 Nov-7 Nov-8 Nov-9 Nov-1 Cdn oil sands is an important source of new supply to meet global oil demand growth. Production is projected to reach 2.1 MMBd by 215. Energy Charts 4

6 25 Closing Closing Spot Spot Prices Prices at at North North American American Natural Natural Gas Gas Hubs Hubs Superimposed on Relative Pipeline Flows Superimposed on Relative Pipeline Flows Natural Gas July 3, 26 AECO US$2.58 Malin US$2.98 Sumas US$3.1 Kingsgate US$2.88 Stanfield US$2.98 US$2.89 Opal San Juan Prices across most hubs closed out a weak. Prices reflect excess supplies and storage levels. Ventura US$2.98 Sluggish start to winter weather has also stalled heating demand. \ Chicago US$3.3 More disclosure on a CHK shale gas deal announced Nov. Niagara US$3.52 Total will take a 25% int. in a JV that covers the Ohio Utica shale The Boston spot price was an exception, with unusual cold. Boston US$9.49 Total will invest $2.3 billion as part of the JV. Socal US$3.29 US$2.86 Permian US$2.83 Henry Hub US$2.98 Henry Hub closed below $3.. That s the first time since September 29. All prices in Henry Hub-AECO Spot Price Differential Daily; Rolling 12-Month History Spot North American Natural Gas Prices Daily Prices; Rolling 12-Month History $1. $6. $.75 $.5 $5. $4. Henry Hub Spot prices closed near their year-lows. $.25 $. $3. AECO $C/GJ -$.25 Jan 4 Apr 4 Jul 3 Oct 1 Dec 3 Historically the AECO price has traded at approximately 85% of the Henry Hub price (in ). $2. Jan 5 Apr 5 Jul 4 Oct 2 Dec 31 Spot prices at AECO mostly piggyback off Henry Hub prices, the exchange rate and the cost of transportation. Local factors can also affect price. Energy Charts 5

7 Natural Gas Daily Natural Gas Prices Futures Average Average of 25-to-36 month out contracts; Rolling 12-Month History $6. $5.75 $5.5 $5.25 $5. $4.75 $4.5 Long-dated futures ended at $4.37. There was some negative news late last week. US EPA stayed the Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR). Forced closure of many coalfired plants 212 now delayed. Additional bullish hope for gasfired generation a bit uncertain. There is a CSAPR hearing scheduled for April US Natural Gas Futures Nymex (Henry Hub) 212 to July 3, 26 $4.25 $4. Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov The daily close of the long end of the futures curve is important to watch for structural changes in the natural gas market. Here forward contract prices are plotted against months in the calendar year. Years are distinguished by color and/or symbol coding. Bcf per Day US LNG Import Volumes (Net) Daily; Cheniere to start construction in 212; first exports LNG Imports are an important component in meeting US natural gas demand. Source: Bentek SAC Capital Advisors reportedly bought a 5.7% int. in Cheniere. SAC is a $14 billion hedge fund run by Steven Cohen. $11 $1 $9 $8 $7 $6 $5 $4 $3 Natural Gas Spot Prices: NBP vs Henry Hub Within-Day Close; Rolling 12-Month History Prices in the Pacific Basin are even stronger at ~$17.. The case for LNG exports to those regions is very compelling. Henry Hub $2 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 NBP A notional point in the UK National Transmission System (NTS) used as a delivery point for gas. Prices are converted from sterling to dollars. Canadian Natural Gas Futures AECO Hub Oil and liquids will still remain target for producers in 212. Dry gas economics are particularly weak as indicated below. $C/GJ $C/Mcf AECO Spot Price Month Fwd AECO Nov 1 Yr Out Rest of Gas Year Fwd Winter Strip Natural Gas Futures Prices: NBP vs Henry Hub Quarterly Futures Averages NBP Henry Hub Current Q Current Q+1 Current Q+2 Current Q+3 AECO futures mimic Henry Hub forward prices plus a differential. Due to less liquidity, forward AECO quotes do not extend out beyond one year. The above graph shows the pricing difference between the US and the UK natural gas futures markets on a quarterly basis. Energy Charts 6

8 34 35 # of Rigs Weekly US Oil and Gas Drilling Activity Baker Hughes Average Rig Counts; Rolling 24-Month History US oil rig count ended at 1,193, up 56% for the year. The US gas rig count ended at 89 rigs. Gas Rigs It had started to roll over the last few months. Jan-1 May-1 Sep-1 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Oil Rigs # of Rigs Natural Gas Weekly US Horizontal Drilling Activity Source: Baker Hughes The horizontal rig count has flattened out in recent weeks. July 3, 26 US rig activity is a leading indicator of continental supply. Gas-directed rigs (blue line) are plotted on the left-hand axis, oil-directed on the right. US Horizontal rig activity is a leading indicator of unconventional oil and gas supply. Horizontal wells are more productive than vertical wells. Total US Dry Natural Gas Production 1 Day Moving Average; Bcf per Day December average dry gas production came in at 63.6 Bcf/d. This is the first monthly drop in 1 months. But there were some operational issues, that have since been fixed. Current volumes are ~65 Bcf/d, up 4 Bcf/d over a year ago. 44 Tracking US natural gas supply helps monitor the growth in domestic production that started ramping up in late 27. Bcf per Day US Net Natural Gas Imports From Canada Daily; December imports were nearly 2% below the prior year. ' The largest drop was in the US NE region. Regional production (eg. Marcellus) has been strong. Meanwhile, US NE gas demand was down ~25% in December The US is a large consumer of Canadian gas. However, the dynamic is changing as US domestic production continues to grow. US Total Natural Gas Demand Daily; US Total Natural Gas Power Demand Daily; Bcf per Day Gas demand in December has been lower than expected. This has been due to more moderate winter temperatures. 4 Total US demand fluctuates between 5 Bcf/d in summer and Bcf/d in the winter. Weather is still the most influential factor driving consumption. Bcf per Day Power burn has ' been particularly strong. Coal-to-gas switching has accelerated. The electric power industry has become an important driver of total US natural gas demand. It is the largest component by far in the summer. Energy Charts 7

9 Bcf 15 5 (5) () (15) (2) (25) Weekly US Natural Gas Storage Net Change Weekly Injection or (Withdrawals); 26 to Current 4 41 Withdrawals are off to a slow start this winter. (3) Weekly gas storage reports provide a snapshot of supply and demand. Previous years are in light grey; the blue line plots current year levels. Tcf Natural Gas Total Working Natural Gas in US Storage Historical Tracks, Current Year Levels and ARC Forecast Stocks are currently Bcf, a seasonally high level. 212 Forecast With normal weather we could have 2 Tcf at the end of March First quarter 212 weather will be key to watch. It will determine inventories and relative price support for 212 July 3, 26. The EIA reports changes in US natural gas inventories held in underground storage facilities on weekly basis. CDDs US Weekly Cooling Degree Days Source: NOAA HDDs US Weekly Heating Degree Days Source: NOAA The near-term forecast is not that gas price supportive. The forecast calls for HDDs that are 17% below normal. HDDs at year-end were 24% lower than the prior year Week Week Weekly natural gas demand is directly tied to the weather. Current year is in dark blue; historical years are in grey. Weekly natural gas demand is directly tied to the weather. Current year is in dark blue; historical years are in grey. Cdn Oil and Gas Rig Capacity and Utilization CAODC Average Weekly Rig Count; Rolling 2-Year History Weekly Canadian Oil and Gas Drilling Activity CAODC Average Weekly Rig Count # of Rigs Utilization 84 Utilization rig activity % 83 Rig Fleet Capacity was the strongest in the 9% 82 past 5 years. 8% 81 7% 8 6% 5% 79 4% 78 3% 77 2% Nov-9 Feb-1 Jun-1 Oct-1 Mar-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Rig utilization in Canada is a function of broad fundamentals and seasonality. Utilization always drops off during spring breakup. 1% % # of Rigs Drilling There is a positive outlook for drilling in 212. PSAC is calling for a 1% increase in wells drilled. Unlike US drilling activity Canadian rigs are dispatched seasonally. The active rig count for the current year is in blue. Energy Charts 8

10 Daily Western Canadian Pipeline Receipts TransCanada (NOVA), Alliance, WestCoast & TransGas Pipelines Bcf per Day Alberta Natural Gas Demand TransCanada Intra-AB Deliveries; Current Year and Historic Tracks Bcf/d Alberta s mild December tempered gas demand levels. Natural Gas July 3, All combined, TCPL, Alliance, WestCoast and TransGas pipelines move over 13 Bcf/d of natural gas out of Western Canada. 2. As Alberta s economy grows, and as more oil sands projects come on line, it will be increasingly important to monitor the Province s gas demand. # of Licenses (s) Canadian Cumulative Well Licensing Activity Current Year vs Years Prior Record land sales will lead drilling activity next year. Canadian well licenses are a leading indicator of WCSB drilling activity. Cumulative well licenses for the current year are in blue. Bcf Alberta Natural Gas Storage Levels Daily; Current Year and Historic Tracks There has been a very slow start to the current heating season. Shut-ins remain a possibility due to storage facility limits. This would not bode well for Canadian spot prices. Alberta s natural gas storage levels provide a good metric if the producing region is well stocked. Abnormally high or low storage can affect the basis. 5 Canadian Cumulative Oil Well Completions Current Year vs Years Prior 51 Canadian Cumulative Gas Well Completions Current Year vs Years Prior Well Completions (s) should be another record year for oil activity Week Relative year-over-year drilling activity is highlighted in this chart. Cumulative oil well completions for the current year are shown in blue. Well Completions (s) Week Relative year-over-year drilling activity is highlighted in this chart. Cumulative gas well completions for the current year are shown in blue. Energy Charts 9

11 $ per Ha (Log Scale) energy charts Alberta Crown Land Sales Excluding Oil Sands Year-over-Year; Cumulative $ Billions The big drivers in were plays like the Duvernay. And, Swan Hills tight carbonates, Montney, and others. The last land sale of brought in $146 milion. The year s tally was $3.54 billion. 1, 1, 1 Other Indicators Alberta Crown Land Sales - Oil Sands Only Average Price per Hectare; Bi-Weekly The oil sands land sales totaled $15 million. July 3, Land prices are an important component of F&D costs. In Alberta, sales of petroleum and natural gas rights are held every two weeks Rising commodity prices and an opportunity constrained basin have made land more valuable especially in choice regions such as the oil sands. Weekly US Nuclear Electricity Generation Current Year vs Years Prior Uranium Spot Prices (U 3 O 8 ) Month-End Price; Rolling Two-Year History Megawatts $US/lb The capacity of electricity generated from US nuclear power plants is 99,91 megawatts. Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission. 3 Jan-1 Apr-1 Jul-1 Oct-1 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Source: The Ux Consulting Company, LLC NYMEX CAPP Coal Prices Near Month Daily; Rolling One-Year History $US/Ton $9 $8 Coal prices have fallen since the summer. But, natural gas prices have been weak too. Coal and natural gas are competing fuels in power generation. Gigawatthours (s) 9 Weekly US Electrical Power Output All Sources of Power Generation $7 $6 $5 8 7 $4 Dec-1 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Nymex offers a liquid market to hedge physical coal contracts. In power markets, coal competes for market share against oil and gas. 6 Weekly US electrical power output can be compared against output at the same time for years prior. Current year is plotted in blue. Energy Charts 1

12 Canadian Industry Metrics Estimated Capital Flow in the Canadian Oil and Gas Economy for Industry Revenue, Cash Flow, Reinvestment, Drilling Activity and Production $C55.12 per BOE $C 115. Billion G&A Royalties & Taxes Foreign Investment and Capital Outflow Dividends and Distributions July 3, 26 Oil & Gas Prices E&P Revenue Cash Flow $C 55.6 Billion Debt, Equity Revised and 212 estimates will be available in January. 5.7 Million BOE/day Production Volume Capital Flow in the Canadian Oil and Gas Economy Operating Expenditures CAPEX Exploration & Development $C5.5 Billion Reserve Additions 12,8 Wells Drilling Activity Service Sector Revenue Land, Acquisitions 58 Canadian Industry Statistics: Historical Data and Forecast P rice P ro ductio n Vo lume Canadian Industry Metrics C apital Inflo w R einvestment D rilling Well Split Average Price Conv. Liquids Bitumen + Synthetic Natural Gas Total Volume Total Revenue After-tax Cash Flow Conv. Oil and Gas Oilsands Reinvest Ratio Wells Compl. Avg Rig Avg Rig Fleet Utiliz. Oil Wells Gas Wells Dry Wells $/BOE Average M BOE/d Average M BOE/d M BOE/d M BOE/d (@ 6:1) (@ 6:1) $C millions $C millions $C millions $C millions x:1 #/ Year # of Rigs % % % % , ,598 5,121 31,28 14,933 17,128 1, , % 52% 29% 17% , ,663 5,298 26,263 11,2 15,72 1, , % 32% 47% 19% , ,745 5,33 35,996 16,846 13,743 2, , % 26% 59% 13% , ,84 5,54 59,94 26,543 18,795 4, , % 33% 54% 12% , ,889 5,572 63,481 29,64 21,998 5, , % 26% 62% 1% , ,886 5,729 57,939 29,433 18,17 6, , % 27% 63% 9% , ,8 5,738 75,298 37,644 23,855 5, , % 23% 7% 6% , ,827 5,865 85,179 43,959 26,828 6, , % 21% 72% 6% ,7 99 2,84 5,837 17,455 56,442 34,815 1, , % 22% 7% 6% ,964 1,126 2,85 5,941 13,294 54,171 38,345 14, , % 22% 71% 7% ,55 1,199 2,81 6,7 19,274 54,985 31,184 18, , % 28% 66% 6% ,977 1,213 2,7 6, ,751 81,212 36,223 18, , % 3% 6% 8% ,837 1,331 2,514 5,683 87,664 38,981 22,335 11, , % 41% 47% 12% e ,788 1,482 2,425 5,695,86 45,142 35,666 17, , % 48% 43% 9% e ,769 1,612 2,336 5, ,33 55,613 35,464 15,.91 12,8 8 45% 55% 4% 5% Energy Charts 11

Oil & Gas Market Outlook. 6 th Norwegian Finance Day Marianne Kah, Chief Economist March 2, 2016

Oil & Gas Market Outlook. 6 th Norwegian Finance Day Marianne Kah, Chief Economist March 2, 2016 Oil & Gas Market Outlook 6 th Norwegian Finance Day Marianne Kah, Chief Economist March 2, 2016 Challenging Market Environment Concerns that global economic growth will slow and reduce global oil and natural

More information

Oil and Gas Price Forecast Update: Where are Oil and Gas Prices Heading?

Oil and Gas Price Forecast Update: Where are Oil and Gas Prices Heading? RESERVOIR ENGINEERING SOFTWARE & SERVICES Oil and Gas Price Forecast Update: Where are Oil and Gas Prices Heading? Dale Struksnes, Manager - Reserve Evaluations April 13, 2010 Media Commentary on Oil and

More information

Oil Markets Update- October 2015

Oil Markets Update- October 2015 SICO Research November 23, - October Crude prices remain low in October led by oversupply and weak economic indicators October has been a volatile month for crude prices; Brent reached USD 53.05/bbl in

More information

Natural Gas: Winter 2012-13 Abundance! and Some Confusion

Natural Gas: Winter 2012-13 Abundance! and Some Confusion Natural Gas: Winter 2012-13 Abundance! and Some Confusion NASEO Winter Fuels Outlook Washington, D.C. October 10, 2012 Bruce B. Henning Vice President, Energy Regulatory and Market Analysis BHenning@icfi.com

More information

Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report

Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report February 2016 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $34.46/b on February 4 $2.76 per barrel (b) below

More information

Suzanne Minter. Manager, Oil and Gas Consulting BENTEK Energy. Natural Gas Outlook

Suzanne Minter. Manager, Oil and Gas Consulting BENTEK Energy. Natural Gas Outlook Suzanne Minter Manager, Oil and Gas Consulting BENTEK Energy Natural Gas Outlook North American Natural Gas The Fertilizer Institute November, 2014 2013 Platts, McGraw Hill Financial. All rights reserved.

More information

The shale revolution - impact on the global oil and gas market

The shale revolution - impact on the global oil and gas market The shale revolution - impact on the global oil and gas market Thina Margrethe Saltvedt, Senior Analyst, Macro/Oil March 2013 @ThinaSaltvedt Brief intro to the oil market Drivers of the oil price Short-term

More information

Oil Markets into 2006. Peter Davies Chief Economist, BP plc British Institute of Energy Economics London. 24 January, 2006

Oil Markets into 2006. Peter Davies Chief Economist, BP plc British Institute of Energy Economics London. 24 January, 2006 Oil Markets into 26 Peter Davies Chief Economist, BP plc British Institute of Energy Economics London. 24 January, 26 Outline Oil and energy today How did we get to here? Prospects for 26 Into the medium

More information

CERI Commodity Report Natural Gas

CERI Commodity Report Natural Gas January 1 CERI Commodity Report Natural Gas Turm-oil in Natural Gas Markets Paul Kralovic On December 3, 15 the daily spot price at Henry Hub dropped to US$1.3 per MMBtu, its lowest point since December

More information

AOBA Utility Committee

AOBA Utility Committee AOBA Utility Committee Energy Markets in Tailspin Major Economic Recession Continues to Pull Energy Prices Downward Where Will It End? Presented By Bruce R. Oliver President, Revilo Hill Associates, Inc.

More information

Led by growth in Texas, the Southeast, and Northeast, power burn is headed for a January record

Led by growth in Texas, the Southeast, and Northeast, power burn is headed for a January record EIA - Natural Gas Weekly Update for week ending January 28, 2015 Release Date: January 29, 2015 Next Release: February 5, 2015 In the News: Led by growth in Texas, the Southeast, and Northeast, power burn

More information

Box 6 International Oil Prices: 2002-03

Box 6 International Oil Prices: 2002-03 Annual Report 2002-03 International Oil Prices: 2002-03 Box 6 International Oil Prices: 2002-03 Notwithstanding the state of the world economy, characterised by sluggish growth in 2002, the world crude

More information

Oil and Gas U.S. Industry Outlook

Oil and Gas U.S. Industry Outlook Oil and Gas U.S. Industry Outlook VERSION 01 YEAR 13 OUTLOOK: Positive fundamentals & outlook www.eulerhermes.us Key points WTI Crude is expected to continue to converge to Brent crude prices, narrowing

More information

Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report

Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report July 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After an upward move in mid-june, crude oil prices retreated close to previous levels. The North Sea Brent front

More information

Direct Energy Business Monthly Webinar. Expressly for Channel Partners February 25, 2016

Direct Energy Business Monthly Webinar. Expressly for Channel Partners February 25, 2016 Direct Energy Business Monthly Webinar Expressly for Channel Partners February 25, 2016 Webinar Agenda Tim Bigler, Sr. Market Strategist Commodity Market Update Beau Gjerdingen, Meteorologist Spring weather

More information

PETROLEUM WATCH September 16, 2011 Fossil Fuels Office Fuels and Transportation Division California Energy Commission

PETROLEUM WATCH September 16, 2011 Fossil Fuels Office Fuels and Transportation Division California Energy Commission PETROLEUM WATCH September 16, 2011 Fossil Fuels Office Fuels and Transportation Division California Energy Commission Summary As of September 14, retail regular-grade gasoline prices in California increased

More information

CONNECTICUT ENERGY PRICE REPORT

CONNECTICUT ENERGY PRICE REPORT CONNECTICUT ENERGY PRICE REPORT 1/15/2015 DENOTES FALLING PRICES COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER DENOTES FLAT PRICES COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER DENOTES RISING PRICES COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER CONNECTICUT RETAIL

More information

Global Oil Markets and Hedging Are Trends Your Friend?

Global Oil Markets and Hedging Are Trends Your Friend? Global Oil Markets and Hedging Are Trends Your Friend? Non-OPEC to painfully balance the oil market by moving from record growth in 2014 to production declines in 2016 EnerCom March 2016 Fredrik Sagen

More information

IAMU Natural Gas Pricing Impact to the Iowa Electric Power Generator 10/2/13 Jim Borowicz Key Energy Services, LLC

IAMU Natural Gas Pricing Impact to the Iowa Electric Power Generator 10/2/13 Jim Borowicz Key Energy Services, LLC IAMU Natural Gas Pricing Impact to the Iowa Electric Power Generator 10/2/13 Jim Borowicz Key Energy Services, LLC Natural Gas Pricing Supply Transportation Capacity How Natural Gas is Priced Futures Contract

More information

Outlook for the North American and Ontario Gas Markets

Outlook for the North American and Ontario Gas Markets Outlook for the North American and Ontario Gas Markets Union Gas Customer Meeting London, Ontario June 5, 2014 Presented by: Frank Brock Senior Energy Market Specialist ICF International Frank.Brock@ICFI.COM

More information

State Heating Oil & Propane Program Final Report Winter 2004/2005

State Heating Oil & Propane Program Final Report Winter 2004/2005 Commonwealth of Massachusetts Division of Energy Resources State Heating Oil & Propane Program Final Report Winter 2004/2005 May 2005 Mitt Romney Governor Kerry Healey Lt. Governor Beth Lindstrom Director,

More information

EIA s U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool: Selected Sample Applications

EIA s U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool: Selected Sample Applications EIA s U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool: Selected Sample Applications November 2014 Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov U.S. Department of Energy Washington, DC 20585 This report was prepared

More information

Keeping Our Options Open: Markets for Canadian Crude and the Pipeline Dilemma

Keeping Our Options Open: Markets for Canadian Crude and the Pipeline Dilemma Keeping Our Options Open: Markets for Canadian Crude and the Pipeline Dilemma Trisha Curtis, Research Analyst Energy Policy Research Foundation, Inc. (EPRINC) CERI Oil Conference 2012 April 23 rd, 2012

More information

2015 Oil Outlook. january 21, 2015

2015 Oil Outlook. january 21, 2015 MainStay Investments is pleased to provide the following investment insights from Epoch Investment Partners, Inc., a premier institutional manager and subadvisor to a number of MainStay Investments products.

More information

Causes and Consequences of the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014

Causes and Consequences of the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Causes and Consequences of the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 Christiane Baumeister Lutz Kilian University of Notre Dame University of Michigan CEPR Brent Price of Crude Oil in 2013 and 2014

More information

Oil and Natural Gas Outlook: Implications for Alaska The Alliance Meet Alaska. Remarks by Marianne Kah Chief Economist

Oil and Natural Gas Outlook: Implications for Alaska The Alliance Meet Alaska. Remarks by Marianne Kah Chief Economist Oil and Natural Gas Outlook: Implications for Alaska The Alliance Meet Alaska Remarks by Marianne Kah Chief Economist Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking statements.

More information

The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump

The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump In 2007, what goes up, does not necessarily come down... May 3, 2007 The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump Prepared by: Tim Hamilton Petroleum Industry Consultant

More information

Natural Gas Year-In-Review 2006

Natural Gas Year-In-Review 2006 Natural Gas Year-In-Review 2 This report provides an overview of the natural gas industry and markets in 2 with special focus on the first complete set of supply and disposition data for 2 from the Energy

More information

Natural Gas Markets in 2006

Natural Gas Markets in 2006 Order Code RL33714 Natural Gas Markets in 2006 Updated December 12, 2006 Robert Pirog Specialist in Energy Economics and Policy Resources, Science, and Industry Division Natural Gas Markets in 2006 Summary

More information

Outlook for Oil and Natural Gas Markets

Outlook for Oil and Natural Gas Markets Outlook for Oil and Natural Gas Markets Helen Currie, PhD Senior Economist Legislative Finance Committee State of New Mexico 09-July-2014 Farmington, New Mexico Cautionary Statement The following presentation

More information

TRADING AND ANALYTICS GUIDE

TRADING AND ANALYTICS GUIDE Objective information. Sytematic approach TRADING AND ANALYTICS GUIDE February 9, 2016 Part I TRADING AND ANALYTICS GUIDE Overview Page 1 GeckoiCapital Analytics (GiCA) is a research and analysis division

More information

The Fuel and Vehicle Trends Report January 31, 2014

The Fuel and Vehicle Trends Report January 31, 2014 ISSN 1948-2388 The Fuel and Vehicle Trends Report This report is a summary of the latest fuel prices and other oil industry key statistics. In addition, this report provides the latest trends in vehicle

More information

STEO Supplement: Why are oil prices so high?

STEO Supplement: Why are oil prices so high? STEO Supplement: Why are oil prices so high? During most of the 1990s, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price averaged close to $20 per barrel, before plunging to almost $10 per barrel in late

More information

Financial strategy supports business plan

Financial strategy supports business plan Financial strategy supports business plan Ivor Ruste Executive Vice-President & Chief Financial Officer Investor Day Calgary December 7, 2011 Financial strategy supports business plan Support long-term

More information

Oil Market Outlook. March 2016. Compiled by Dr Jeremy Wakeford

Oil Market Outlook. March 2016. Compiled by Dr Jeremy Wakeford Oil Market Outlook March 2016 Compiled by Dr Jeremy Wakeford Highlights Oil prices have remained very weak in recent months, with the Brent benchmark averaging $31/bbl in January and $32/bbl in February

More information

You may be interested.

You may be interested. You may be interested. PIRINC has prepared the enclosed report, Energy Supply Risks: Perspectives in Light of Venezuelan Developments Until very recently, all discussion of energy supply risks has been

More information

Natural Gas Diversification Strategy for PREPA GOVERNMENT DEVELOPMENT BANK FOR PUERTO RICO

Natural Gas Diversification Strategy for PREPA GOVERNMENT DEVELOPMENT BANK FOR PUERTO RICO Natural Gas Diversification Strategy for PREPA GOVERNMENT DEVELOPMENT BANK FOR PUERTO RICO Agenda 1 Importance of Diversifying to Natural Gas 2 Natural Gas Diversification Strategy 2 Currently, Puerto

More information

NOVEMBER 2015 UPDATE

NOVEMBER 2015 UPDATE NOVEMBER 2015 UPDATE 1 Started Sept 2010, fourth Storm since Nov 1998 history of per share growth in prod n & asset value 119.3 MM shares + 6.0 MM options, TSX-V symbol SRX management, Board ownership

More information

Room XXVI Palais des Nations Geneva, Switzerland. Oil Market Outlook. Eissa B. Alzerma Oil Price Analyst Petroleum Studies Department, OPEC

Room XXVI Palais des Nations Geneva, Switzerland. Oil Market Outlook. Eissa B. Alzerma Oil Price Analyst Petroleum Studies Department, OPEC UNCTAD Multi-Year Expert Meeting on Commodities and Development 2013 Recent developments and new challenges in commodity markets, and policy options for commodity-based inclusive growth and sustainable

More information

INTRODUCTION. Production / Extraction of Oil. Distribution & Sale to refined products to end users

INTRODUCTION. Production / Extraction of Oil. Distribution & Sale to refined products to end users CRUDE OIL INTRODUCTION Crude oil holds prominence as input to the global growth engine since it is the most important source of energy accounting for more than two fifth of the global energy consumption.

More information

FOURTH QUARTER 2015 Report to Shareholders for the period ended December 31, 2015

FOURTH QUARTER 2015 Report to Shareholders for the period ended December 31, 2015 FOURTH QUARTER 2015 Report to Shareholders for the period ended, 2015 MEG Energy Corp. reported fourth quarter and full-year 2015 operating and financial results on February 4, 2016. Highlights include:

More information

Trends in the oil and gas markets

Trends in the oil and gas markets Trends in the oil and gas markets Danske Markets oil and gas seminar Oslo, 12.06.12 Ottar Skagen, Statoil CFO Macroeconomics and Market Analysis Oil prices on a rollercoaster since the mid 2000s Source:

More information

2009 Avista Natural Gas IRP

2009 Avista Natural Gas IRP 2009 Avista Natural Gas IRP Technical Advisory Committee Meeting May 19, 2009 Portland, Oregon Agenda Introductions & Logistics Avista s IRP Process Demand Forecast Follow Up Supply and Infrastructure

More information

Commodity Price Outlook & Risks

Commodity Price Outlook & Risks Commodity Outlook & Risks Research Department, Commodities Team January, 2 www.imf.org/commodities commodities@imf.org This monthly report presents a price outlook and risk assessment for selected commodities

More information

Recent crude oil price dynamics, PETRONAS and Malaysia

Recent crude oil price dynamics, PETRONAS and Malaysia Recent crude oil price dynamics, PETRONAS and Malaysia Lim Kim- Hwa limkimhwa@penanginstitute.org Tim Niklas Schoepp tim.schoepp@penanginstitute.org 23 January 2015 Executive Summary Since PETRONAS contributed

More information

Economic Update as of June 30, 2016

Economic Update as of June 30, 2016 MACRO Report: Review of Wyoming s Economy Economic Update as of June 30, The MACRO Report is a quarterly publication comprised of charts focusing on energy, employment, state revenues, and other indicators

More information

The Impact of Dollar Devaluation on World Oil Industry: Do Exchange Rates Matter?

The Impact of Dollar Devaluation on World Oil Industry: Do Exchange Rates Matter? The Impact of Dollar Devaluation on World Oil Industry: Do Exchange Rates Matter? A. F. Alhajji, Ph.D. Associate Professor College of Business Administration Ohio Northern university Ada, Oh, 4581 A. F.

More information

Fixed Income 2015 Update. Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research

Fixed Income 2015 Update. Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research Fixed Income 2015 Update Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research 1 Fed: Slow and Low 2015 Fixed Income Outlook 2 Yield Curve Flattening 3

More information

Producer Hedging the Production of Heavy Crude Oil

Producer Hedging the Production of Heavy Crude Oil Producer Hedging the Production of Heavy Crude Oil An oil producer sells its future production of heavy crude oil to a customer at an agreed-upon price today. The producer seeks to lock-in this price to

More information

Medium-Term Global Oil Outlook

Medium-Term Global Oil Outlook Medium-Term Global Oil Outlook Fifth IEA OPEC Symposium on Energy Outlooks Session Two: Industry Views Remarks by Marianne Kah Chief Economist Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking

More information

McDep Energy Income Producers A Weekly Analysis of Royalty Trusts and Master Limited Partnerships February 10, 2004.

McDep Energy Income Producers A Weekly Analysis of Royalty Trusts and Master Limited Partnerships February 10, 2004. Trusts as Futures Summary and Recommendation Recommended royalty trusts offer an alternative to futures contracts for investors looking for long-term growth in oil and gas commodity value or for protection

More information

And Then There Was Abundance: Examining Natural Gas in 2012. Bruce McDowell Director, Policy Analysis American Gas Association bmcdowell@aga.

And Then There Was Abundance: Examining Natural Gas in 2012. Bruce McDowell Director, Policy Analysis American Gas Association bmcdowell@aga. And Then There Was Abundance: Examining Natural Gas in 2012 Bruce McDowell Director, Policy Analysis American Gas Association bmcdowell@aga.org NOTICE: In issuing and making this presentation and publication

More information

Oil and Gas Prices. Oil and Gas Investor Summit London 17th-18th June 2014

Oil and Gas Prices. Oil and Gas Investor Summit London 17th-18th June 2014 Oil and Gas Prices Oil and Gas Investor Summit London 17th-18th June 2014 Oil Price Drowning in oil Economist, March 1999 $10 oil might actually be too optimistic. We may be heading for $5. Crude touches

More information

CONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2015 (UNAUDITED)

CONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2015 (UNAUDITED) CONDENSED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2015 (UNAUDITED) STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION (Unaudited; in thousands of Canadian dollars) ($000s) Note September

More information

Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. artberman.com 1

Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. artberman.com 1 Returning To Market Balance: How High Must Prices Be To Save The Oil Industry? Art Berman Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. Ray Leonard Hyperdynamics Lafayette Geological Society Lafayette, Louisiana

More information

Integrated Oil Companies

Integrated Oil Companies Integrated Oil Companies Loretta Bu Zhou Fang Suvayan Roy Patrick He Artur Shikhaleev Yang Zeng 1 Key Questions 2 Upstream, Midstream, Downstream, Equipment and Services Companies THE OIL SUPPLY CHAIN

More information

(713) 627-5353 (713) 627-4747 (24-hour media line) (713) 627-4600. Date: May 3, 2013

(713) 627-5353 (713) 627-4747 (24-hour media line) (713) 627-4600. Date: May 3, 2013 Media: Analysts: Caitlin Currie (713) 627-5353 (713) 627-4747 (24-hour media line) John Arensdorf (713) 627-4600 Date: May 3, 2013 Spectra Energy Reports First Quarter 2013 Results Reported net income

More information

Market Monitor Number 3 November 2012

Market Monitor Number 3 November 2012 Market Monitor Number 3 November 2012 AMIS Crops: World Supply-Demand Balances in 2012/13 World supply and demand situation continues to tighten for wheat and maize but rice and soybeans have eased. In

More information

Analysis of Whether the Prices of Renewable Fuel Standard RINs Have Affected Retail Gasoline Prices

Analysis of Whether the Prices of Renewable Fuel Standard RINs Have Affected Retail Gasoline Prices Analysis of Whether the Prices of Renewable Fuel Standard RINs Have Affected Retail Gasoline Prices A Whitepaper Prepared for the Renewable Fuels Association Key Findings Changes in prices of renewable

More information

City and County of Denver Investment Portfolio Performance Report

City and County of Denver Investment Portfolio Performance Report Cash & Sr. Report I. Discussion of Volatility returned to capital markets during the third quarter of 2015. Concerns over the impact of an economic slowdown in China, along with mediocre domestic economic

More information

KEY ISSUES IN OIL INVENTORIES

KEY ISSUES IN OIL INVENTORIES KEY ISSUES IN OIL INVENTORIES Third IEA IEF OPEC Symposium on Energy Outlooks Riyadh, 22 January, 2013 Joel R. Couse VP Market Analysis for Trading & Shipping TOTAL SA 1 WORLD SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE 94

More information

Lifting the Crude Oil Export Ban

Lifting the Crude Oil Export Ban September 2015 Lifting the Crude Oil Export Ban Explainer I: Crude Oil Export Ban Overview The Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) prepared this overview as part of a series to promote greater understanding

More information

Canadian Oil Sands' Second Quarter Results Reflect Continued Progress on Syncrude's Cost Reduction Efforts

Canadian Oil Sands' Second Quarter Results Reflect Continued Progress on Syncrude's Cost Reduction Efforts July 30, 2015 TSX: COS Canadian Oil Sands' Second Quarter Results Reflect Continued Progress on Syncrude's Cost Reduction Efforts All financial figures are unaudited, have been prepared in accordance with

More information

PREPARED FOR THE OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY

PREPARED FOR THE OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY NATURAL GAS AND ENERGY PRICE VOLATILITY PREPARED FOR THE OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY BY THE 400 NORTH CAPITOL STREET, NW WASHINGTON, DC 20001 PRINCIPAL AUTHORS: BRUCE HENNING, MICHAEL SLOAN, MARIA DE

More information

IEA-IEF-OPEC Outlook Comparison

IEA-IEF-OPEC Outlook Comparison IEA-IEF-OPEC Outlook Comparison Richard Newell, Director, Duke University Energy Initiative Gendell Professor of Energy and Environmental Economics, Nicholas School of the Environment Sixth IEA-IEF-OPEC

More information

many in the producing and investment community off guard and caused dramatic changes in producer behavior and balance sheets.

many in the producing and investment community off guard and caused dramatic changes in producer behavior and balance sheets. Testimony of Suzanne Minter Manager, Oil and Gas Consulting Platts Analytics before the U.S. Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee Hearing to examine challenges and opportunities for oil and gas

More information

Presentation to the State of Alaska Legislature. Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) NPV Analysis and Results

Presentation to the State of Alaska Legislature. Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) NPV Analysis and Results Presentation to the State of Alaska Legislature Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) NPV Analysis and Results June 9, 2008 Key Conclusions LNG Projects Have Higher Capital Costs and Therefore Greater Risk than a Pipeline

More information

JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RICE UNIVERSITY

JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RICE UNIVERSITY JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RICE UNIVERSITY Testimony of Kenneth B. Medlock III, PhD James A. Baker, III, and Susan G. Baker Fellow in Energy and Resource Economics, and Senior Director,

More information

The Origins of the Global Oil Price Collapse and Potential Investment Opportunities

The Origins of the Global Oil Price Collapse and Potential Investment Opportunities The Origins of the Global Oil Price Collapse and Potential Investment Opportunities Arthur E. Berman, Petroleum Geologist Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. Houston, Texas February 25, 2016 Slide 1 The

More information

Energy Value Chains. What is a Value Chain?

Energy Value Chains. What is a Value Chain? Energy s Overview of Fundamentals Center for Energy Economics, UT-Austin. No reproduction, distribution or attribution without permission. 1 What is a? The process of linking specific functions from input

More information

Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2011 Results

Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2011 Results Media: Analysts: Wendy Olson (713) 627-4072 (713) 627-4747 (24-hour media line) John Arensdorf (713) 627-4600 Date: February 2, 2012 Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2011 Results Company

More information

Danske Bank May 4th 2016 Economic Update,

Danske Bank May 4th 2016 Economic Update, Monthly update: 4 May 2016 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local job and investment announcements during April 2016: Over the month of April 2016 there were no new job announcements

More information

Canadian Oil Sands. Enhancing America s Energy Security

Canadian Oil Sands. Enhancing America s Energy Security Canadian Oil Sands Enhancing America s Energy Security May 2011 The importance of Canada s oil sands stems from the value of oil to our economy and energy security. Global demand for energy continues to

More information

3/11/2015. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Outline

3/11/2015. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Crude Oil Price Risk Management. Outline 1 Phoenix Energy Marketing Consultants Inc. 2 Outline What is crude oil price risk management? Why manage crude oil price risk? How do companies manage crude oil price risk? What types of deals do companies

More information

Energy Efficiency s Role in Getting America Out of Its Energy Straightjacket

Energy Efficiency s Role in Getting America Out of Its Energy Straightjacket Energy Efficiency s Role in Getting America Out of Its Energy Straightjacket R. Neal Elliott, Ph.D., P.E. Industrial Program Director ACEEE Jan-06 Industrial Energy Prices 17.00 15.00 13.00 11.00 9.00

More information

Outlook for Natural Gas Supply and Demand for 2015-2016 Winter

Outlook for Natural Gas Supply and Demand for 2015-2016 Winter Outlook for Natural Gas Supply and Demand for 2015-2016 Winter Energy Ventures Analysis, Inc. (EVA) Executive Summary Natural gas supplies will be adequate to meet expected demand this winter. This is

More information

Oil and Natural Gas Analysis at Norges Bank. Pål Winje ( International Department), workshop on modeling and forecasting oil prices, 22 March 2012

Oil and Natural Gas Analysis at Norges Bank. Pål Winje ( International Department), workshop on modeling and forecasting oil prices, 22 March 2012 Oil and Natural Gas Analysis at Norges Bank Pål Winje ( International Department), workshop on modeling and forecasting oil prices, 22 March 212 The Norwegian Petroleum Sector as a Share of Macroeconomic

More information

Yara International ASA Second quarter results 2014

Yara International ASA Second quarter results 2014 Yara International ASA Second quarter results 214 18 July 214 1 Summary second quarter Strong result Lower nitrate deliveries amid early end to season in Europe Continued strong NPK deliveries and value-added

More information

Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2007 Results

Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2007 Results Media: Molly Boyd (713) 627-5923 (713) 627-4747 (24-hour media line) Analysts: John Arensdorf (713) 627-4600 Date: February 6, 2008 Spectra Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2007 Results Fourth

More information

Unconventional Oil and Gas Production Drives Trends in Water Management and Treatment

Unconventional Oil and Gas Production Drives Trends in Water Management and Treatment Unconventional Oil and Gas Production Drives Trends in Water Management and Treatment Jelena Stanic, Global Water Intelligence A research report, Water for the Onshore Oil and Gas, by Global Water Intelligence

More information

What drives crude oil prices?

What drives crude oil prices? What drives crude oil prices? An analysis of 7 factors that influence oil markets, with chart data updated monthly and quarterly Washington, DC U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics

More information

Staying the Course Investor Presentation June 2016

Staying the Course Investor Presentation June 2016 Staying the Course Investor Presentation June 2016 Disclaimer This presentation is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed to be a prospectus, offering memorandum, advertisement or public offering

More information

Gulf Natural Gas Region

Gulf Natural Gas Region Gulf Gas Market: Overview and Focal Points Page 1 of 15 Gulf Natural Gas Region Colonial Gas Mainline TX NGPL TXOK Carthage LA Waha Tennessee Zone 0 Katy Freeport Cameron Sabine Pass Henry Texas Eastern

More information

Crude Oil: What every investor needs to know By Andy Hecht

Crude Oil: What every investor needs to know By Andy Hecht Crude Oil: What every investor needs to know By Andy Hecht Crude oil is considered by many to be the most important commodity market in the world. The value of crude oil affects almost every individual

More information

TD is currently among an exclusive group of 77 stocks awarded our highest average score of 10. SAMPLE. Peers BMO 9 RY 9 BNS 9 CM 8

TD is currently among an exclusive group of 77 stocks awarded our highest average score of 10. SAMPLE. Peers BMO 9 RY 9 BNS 9 CM 8 Updated April 16, 2012 TORONTO-DOMINION BANK (THE) (-T) Banking & Investment Svcs. / Banking Services / Banks Description The Average Score combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment

More information

Energy Prices. Presented by: John Heffernan

Energy Prices. Presented by: John Heffernan Global Wholesale Energy Prices Presented by: John Heffernan Energy in 2012 In 2012, the growth in Energy consumption slowed in 2012 90% of this growth came from China & India Consumption & production of

More information

Coffee year 2014/15 ends with prices at 20-month low

Coffee year 2014/15 ends with prices at 20-month low Coffee year 2014/15 ends with prices at 20-month low The coffee market slumped further in September, following a slight rally in August, with the weakness of the real and peso again proving the most influential

More information

Standard Note: SN/SG/2106 Last updated: 28 January 2014 Author: Paul Bolton Section Social & General Statistics

Standard Note: SN/SG/2106 Last updated: 28 January 2014 Author: Paul Bolton Section Social & General Statistics Oil prices Standard Note: SN/SG/216 Last updated: 28 January 214 Author: Paul Bolton Section Social & General Statistics Oil prices peaked at almost $15 Dollars a barrel in July 28 and fell sharply in

More information

An Assessment of Prices of Natural Gas Futures Contracts As A Predictor of Realized Spot Prices at the Henry Hub

An Assessment of Prices of Natural Gas Futures Contracts As A Predictor of Realized Spot Prices at the Henry Hub An Assessment of Prices of Natural Gas Futures Contracts As A Predictor of Realized Spot Prices at the Henry Hub This article compares realized Henry Hub spot market prices for natural gas during the three

More information

Annual General Meeting May 5, 2016

Annual General Meeting May 5, 2016 Annual General Meeting May 5, 2016 Advisory FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively referred to as "forward-looking

More information

Energi och gas ivår omvarld. Thina Margrethe Saltvedt, Chief Analyst Macro/Oil (Ph. D.) April 2014 @ThinaSaltvedt

Energi och gas ivår omvarld. Thina Margrethe Saltvedt, Chief Analyst Macro/Oil (Ph. D.) April 2014 @ThinaSaltvedt Energi och gas ivår omvarld Thina Margrethe Saltvedt, Chief Analyst Macro/Oil (Ph. D.) April 2014 @ThinaSaltvedt US shale gas soon aiming for new markets higher oil and natural gas prices Shale formations

More information

North American Energy Independence A bump in the road

North American Energy Independence A bump in the road Wealth Management Research October 2015 A bump in the road Nicole Decker Equity Sector Strategist, Energy This report has been prepared by UBS Financial Services, Inc. Please see important disclaimers

More information

Oil & Gas Industry Day. February 24, 2015 Utah State Tax Commission

Oil & Gas Industry Day. February 24, 2015 Utah State Tax Commission Oil & Gas Industry Day February 24, 2015 Utah State Tax Commission Disclaimer Forecasted numbers are opinions of value and are subject to significant economic factors unknown or not reported as of January

More information

Maison Energy Monthly November 11, 2015

Maison Energy Monthly November 11, 2015 Maison Energy Monthly November 11, 2015 COMMODITY PRICE TARGETS Energy Bear Markets Historically Finish Their Plunges During A November To March Window. We Expect This Bear Market To End Within The Next

More information

North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward

North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward OECD Steel Committee May 6-7, 21 Paris, France * American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) Steel Manufacturers

More information

Will the Marcellus/Utica Overtake the Henry Hub? U.S. Natural Gas Price Volatility in 2015 & Beyond

Will the Marcellus/Utica Overtake the Henry Hub? U.S. Natural Gas Price Volatility in 2015 & Beyond Will the Marcellus/Utica Overtake the Henry Hub? U.S. Natural Gas Price Volatility in 2015 & Beyond Presented by Natural Gas Intelligence & Observ Commodities April 7, 2015 Presented by Patrick C. Rau,

More information

Working Capital and the Financing Decision C H A P T E R S I X

Working Capital and the Financing Decision C H A P T E R S I X Working Capital and the Financing Decision C H A P T E R S I X Limited 2000 Figure 6-1a The nature of asset growth A. Stage I: Limited or no Growth PPT 6-1 Dollars Temporary current assets Capital assets

More information

Operational Review and Outlook

Operational Review and Outlook TD Newcrest Oil Sands Conference Calgary July 2009 Operational Review and Outlook Paul M. Boechler Chief Financial Officer Trading Information Strategy Flint s Markets and Geographic Footprint Business

More information

Northeast Propane Infrastructure, Supply Shortages & High Cost to Consumers

Northeast Propane Infrastructure, Supply Shortages & High Cost to Consumers Northeast Propane Infrastructure, Supply Shortages & High Cost to Consumers Crestwood s Finger Lakes NGL Storage Facility "The Solution" Crestwood Midstream Facilities Overview Gathering & Processing Gas

More information

Too much of a good thing: what record storage would mean for 2015/2016

Too much of a good thing: what record storage would mean for 2015/2016 Too much of a good thing: what record storage would mean for 215/216 August 215 Too much of a good thing: what record storage would mean for 215/216 US natural gas market dynamics Overview Not much stands

More information