INTEGRATION OF DISTRIBUTED GENERATION AT THE REGIONAL ENERGY MARKET ETELLIGENCE



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Transcription:

INTEGRATION OF DISTRIBUTED GENERATION AT THE REGIONAL ENERGY MARKET ETELLIGENCE Die Integration verteilter Erzeuger am regionalen Energiemarktplatz etelligence Dr. Christof Wittwer Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE Smart Grids Week 2012 Bregenz, 24.05.2012 www.ise.fraunhofer.de

AGENDA The Integrative Market of the etelligence Project Distributed Generation in etelligence Day-ahead Trading at the etelligence Market Economic analysis of the Field Test Conclusion 2

etelligence One of Six EENERGY Projects The research project»etelligence«is a winner of the technology competition»e-energy«of the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology (BMWi). In the model region Cuxhaven Working group of more than 20 partners under the guidance of utility provider EWE AG Oldenburg supported by 3

Model Region 4

etelligence Focal Points Intelligent management (generators, grid, consumers) Connecting actors through a market place Connecting components through an ICT nervous-system based on standards renewable energies intelligent electricity usage Market place modern communication technology 5

etelligence Integrative Energy Market 6 Pay as bid market Trading period: 10:00 11:00 Guaranteed liquidity via market maker interconnecting to EEX Resolution: hour contracts Individual price and forecast risk Five days a week Products: real / active power

Distributed Generation Three Participating CHP Units CHP Installation Loaction Electrical Power Thermal Power Fuel Peak Boiler Storage Communal Swimming Pool 460 kw 716 kw Natural Gas 1,200 kw - Sewage Treatment Center 1,052 kw 1,116 kw Sewage & Natural Gas 1,750 kw Gas & Thermal Micro CHP in an Office Building 5.5 kw 14.5 kw Natural Gas 60 kw Thermal 7

Distributed Generation Flow of Smart Grid Data - Communication Trading Center Local Intelligence Conventional Control Infrastructure CIM/XML 8

Distributed Generation etelligence Gateway Fully automated processing Prediction of th. load based on External weather forecast Local historical measured data Day-ahead scheduling based on Market prices Predicted thermal load Marketing of hour contracts Physical operation based on the sold schedule 9 www.openmuc.org

Day-ahead Trading Trading Design Day-ahead Trading Trading Period: 10:00 11:00 Five days a Week 24 h (Mon.-Thu.) / 72 h (Fri.) Products: Real / Active Power Resolution: Hour Contracts Pay as Bid Market Price and Forecast Risk Guaranteed Liquidity by a Market Maker 10

Day-ahead Trading Trading Sequence from the CHP perspective Sale Selling Bieten of of Schedule Selling Bieten of Schedule for für Tag day Day d d for für Tag Day d+1 d+1 Day d-1 Day d-1 Day Day d d Day d+1 Tag d 1 Tag d 1 (24 h) (24 h) Tag Tag d d (24 (24 h) h) Tag d+1 (24 h) For Day d Prognose Optimierung Fahrplanerstellung für Tag d 1. Prediction 2. Scheduling For Day d+1 Prognose Optimierung Fahrplanerstellung für Tag d+1 1. Prediction 2. Scheduling Power / Load in kw Th. Load Prod. Power Sold/Scheduled Power Prediction of th. load 11

Balancing Energy Ausgleichsenergie Einbruch der thermischen Last Abweichung vom Fahrplan Due to the individual marketing the predition risk is faced on an individual Basis. 12

Economic analysis Price analysis Mean MM Price 48,83 EEX Price 51,33-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Price in /MW MM Price is 5.1 % below EEX-Price and less volatile. 13

Economic analysis Accumulated Cash Flow acc. Cash Flow in T 55 45 35 25 15 5-5 Field Field Test Test MM MM Price Price incl. incl. BE BE Field Ideal Test EEX Price EEX Price incl. BE Balancing Energy (BE) (BE) Thermal Operated Common Price Feldtest Field Thermal EEX Operated Prognose Common inkl. AE MM Test Spread EEX Price incl. BE ideal Feldtest MM Priceoptimiert Spread EEX Preis EEX inkl. PreisAE Volatility Volatility Ideal Prediction Profit 27,400 27400 34,000 +24 % 36,200 39,500 +31.6 +44.1 % Positive result even without a thermal storage! 14

Price Analysis Deviation + 5.1 % + 4.7 % Price in /MW 120 100 80 60 40 20 - (20) (40) Mean 51.33 51.12 48.83 EEX Price EEX Price Prediction Market Maker Price MM Price is 5.1 % below EEX-Price and less volatile 15

Conclusion Despite increased risk (esp. scheduling / prediction) the market integration potentially increases feasibility of small CHP units. Despite the lack of a thermal storage, the field test plant at the swimming pool realized an increased marginal income as compared to the risk free operation under a (fixed) feed-in tariff. But low transaction costs (margin of the market maker) is crucial. Need for scheduling increases the complexity substantially. Step by Step Market Integration: Implementation of a voluntary dynamic tariff next to nowadays fixed feed-in tariff for small CHP. Comparable systemic value as market integration but 16 decreased transaction cost decreased prediction risk on an individual basis.

Thank you for your Attention! Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE Christof Wittwer christof.wittwer@ise.fraunhofer.de Raphael Hollinger, raphael.hollinger@ise.fraunhofer.de http://www.ise.fraunhofer.de 17