Commercial Aerostructures Market Finally Ready for Take-off Henry S. Seiner TIMET 09.22 2014 1 TIMET
Disclaimer Certain of the information presented herein relates to matters that are not historical facts but are forward-looking projections/statements that involve risks and uncertainties associated with TIMET s business that are described more fully in TIMET s filings with the United States Securities & Exchange Commission. Actual future results could differ materially from these projections. You rely on these projections and other information in this presentation at your own risk, and TIMET assumes no duty to update any of this information should expectations change. 2 2 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 3 3 TIMET
Record Backlogs 4 Source: Boeing, Airbus 4 TIMET
Record Backlogs Aircraft Aircraft Airbus Backlog by Aircraft Approximate Airframe Ti Demand (MTs) Boeing Backlog by Aircraft Approximate Airframe Ti Demand (MTs) Approximate Years of Backlog A320 170,000 9 A330 25,000 2 A350 90,000 7 A380 50,000 6 Total 335,000 Approximate Years of Backlog 737 125,000 7 747 10,000 2 767 5,000 3 777 90,000 3 787 85,000 7 Total 315,000 650K MTs of titanium demand over life of the backlog. Source: Backlogs per Boeing and Airbus, Buy weight estimates per Goldman Sachs 5 5 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 6 6 TIMET
World Traffic SHARE OF WORLD TRAFFIC Region 1990 2013 2035 US 41% 27% 13% Europe 27% 27% 19% Asia Pacific 19% 30% 43% 7 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor 7 TIMET
World Traffic 2.5% 6.2% 3.6% 7.4% 6.2% 6.8% 8 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor 8 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 9 9 TIMET
Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 10 Source: www.titudorancea.com 10 TIMET
Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 11 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and www.titudorancea.com 11 TIMET
Oil & Aircraft Deliveries 12 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and www.titudorancea.com 12 TIMET
Retirements 767 retired for 787 747-4 retired for 777-300 ER 13 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and Aviation Week 13 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 14 14 TIMET
Increasing Ti per Plane 15 Source: Goldman Sachs 15 TIMET
Other Trends Ultra Clean, Highly Spherical Metal Powders Supply chain is responding to demands with new technologies 16 16 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 17 17 TIMET
Sifco acquires MW General Supply Chain Alignment PCC acquires Exacta Aerospace PCC acquires Designed Metal Connections PCC acquires SOS Metals Héroux Devtek acquires BBA Aviation PLC PCC acquires ADI ATI acquires Hanard Machine Inc Alcoa acquires Firth Rixson Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Leggett & Platt acquires David Hart Aerospace Pipes Ltd RTI acquires Osborn Steel Extrusions PCC acquires Summit Machining Inc. RTI acquires Directed Manufacturing ATI acquires Dynamic Flowform Corp Triumph Group acquires GE Aviation Hydraulics RTI acquires Dynamet Technology 18 TIMET
Aerospace & Defense M&A 19 Source: www.imaa-institute.org 19 TIMET
Backlog Traffic Drivers Trends Integration Forecast 20 20 TIMET
Making Sense of Airline Monitor Forecasts?? 21 Source: Airline Monitor 21 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast: 2014-2020 Deliveries January 2006 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = 1315 2017 Deliveries = 1495 22 Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = 1695 22 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast: 2014-2020 Deliveries January 2008 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = 1120 2017 Deliveries = 1615 23 Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = 1720 23 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast: 2014-2020 Deliveries January 2010 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = 1180 2017 Deliveries = 1200 24 Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = 1825 24 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast: 2014-2020 Deliveries January 2012 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = 1590 2017 Deliveries = 1540 25 Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = 1710 25 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast: 2014-2020 Deliveries June 2014 Forecast 2014 Deliveries = 1580 2017 Deliveries = 1990 26 Source: Airline Monitor 2020 Deliveries = 2180 26 TIMET
Airline Monitor Forecast Recap Build Rate Year January 2006 AM Forecast January 2008 AM Forecast January 2010 AM Forecast January 2012 AM Forecast June 2014 AM Forecast 2014 1315 1120 1180 1590 1580 2017 1495 1615 1200 1540 1990 2020 1695 1720 1825 1710 2180 27 Source: Airline Monitor 27 TIMET
Forecast 28 Source: June 2014 Airline Monitor and internal TIMET estimates 28 TIMET
Commercial Aerostructures Market Finally Ready for Take-off Henry S. Seiner TIMET 09.22 2014 29 TIMET