Flat roof market developments

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Transcription:

Flat roof market developments Edmar Meuwissen Date: 21 September 2015

Content Construction in Europe European flat roof market Type of membranes EPS in flat roofs Trends Conclusions 2

Construction in Europe stubbornly weak recovery (or lack thereof) in the EU overall economy 2006-2014: -30% Still no clear recovery of construction 3

Flat roof system requirements Cold temperature resistance Cold contraction Heat resistance Puncture resistance Chemical resistance Weathering and UV-Resistance Root resistance Energy efficiency Run off water approvals Adherability Moisture/ waterproof Windproof Accessible (walkability/ repetitive loading) Maintenance friendly Indoor comfort (summer/ winter) Fire safe Esthetics Environment friendly Cost effective Ease of installation 4

Main brands roofing membranes PVC Sika/ Sarna Renolit Icopal IKO Protan Soprema EPDM (mainly residential) Carlisle (Hertalan/ PDT) Firestone SealEco TPO Firestone Carlisle IKO Polyfin Bitumen (most entering SP as well) IKO Icopal Soprema Bauder Danosa Technonicol (Russia) 5

Types of flat roof membranes Market volumes Europe 10% growth in m2 2014-2019 6

Trends - Single ply systems Reasons to chose for single ply: Installation cost / Manhours Long-term resistance against atmospheric conditions (incl. guarantee) Weight Quality is critical Further shift to naked EPS related to shift towards single ply systems 7

European Market for Single ply Waterproof Membranes in 2014 8

Single ply systems - Characteristics 9

European flat roof market segmentation Residential/ non-residential (very different characteristics/ market dynamics) Non-residential: Industrial Storage Commercial Public (Education & healthcare) New build (40%) mio m2 Renovation (60% or mio m2): Membrane only (rough estimate 50% of renovation volume or mio m2) Membrane & insulation Membrane, insulation & slope recovery Rough estimate of insulated flat roof market: mio m2 10

For the roofing contractors and membrane producers... in m2 11

For the EPS converters... in m3 12

For the EPS raw material producers: EPS flat roof in kg EPS/capita 13

Flat roof insulation requirements Resistant to the loads they are exposed to in roofs Heat-resistant Dimensionally stable Low volume and shape changes Low absorption of water and humidity Constant high insulation values 14

Insulation in flat roof Rough estimate of EU market share and developments: MW (main USP: fire) EPS (main USP: most cost effective) PIR (main USP: thickness) XPS (main USP: moisture/ compressive strength) Other Insulation volumes Flat roof volume Insulation values: up by EPBD (NZEB public 2019/ private 2021) Cost optimal regulation EED (audit) Climate change mitigation => Insulation volume 2014-2019: expected up 15

Trends - Green roofs Airquality Avoid city hot spots Water storage (avoid sewage system overload) Esthetics 16

Trends - Accessible roofs Terraces & parking decks Technical systems Airco Ventilation Window washing installation Energy production mandatory for French public buildings Photovoltaic panels Integrated photovoltaic elements Energy collection systems Evalon, Integrated photovoltaics theatre Prague importance of roofing design Green Coloured (light) membranes variety 17

Trends - NZEBs (Net Zero Energy Buildings) Further shift from white to grey (now 70/30 %) focus on energy efficiency with flat/ low slope commercial roofs Shift towards cool light coloured roofs. Homeowners are searching for products that will provide long-term solutions for the increasing cost of energy bills Larger community interest in: Climate change Reduction in energy consumption (Scarcity) Reduction in energy consumption (dependence) Costs of energy production and distribution (grid) Convenant of mayors 18

Trends - Renovation Aim: bring value by optimising the remaining useful life of a roof (including possibility to leave insulation in place or not) Energy audits as part of EED (Energy Efficiency directive) Additional energy efficiency requirements combined with renovation often requires slim and light weight systems and insulation Growth in Cut to falls (now roughly estimated at 25% of the EPS volume) to restore water run off End customer better informed/ more involved 19

Trends - Sustainability Building and homeowners are interested in promoting environmental and economic sustainability in the greater community Designers more interested in full disclosure and transparency of the materials used in various products, where are they manufactured and requiring independent data to verify environment performance claims Increasing demand of asset rating (DGNB, LEED,...) Recyclability & Recycled content 20

Trends -System suppliers Insulation suppliers should strive to de part of development of system solutions that differentiate their offer and create an optimal fit as part of a system System approach eases specification and reduces design failures Customers are better informed than ever before. Sharing system information on the internet allows for explaining and selling the system concept More specifications are requiring more detailed, documented system and contractor quality control This leads to diversification for roofing contractors (system bound) Solar systems and vegetative roof systems with life cycle cost savings are now being sold as a standard product 21

Courtesy DOW 22

Value chain of a roofing system Insulation & & distributor Courtesy DOW 23

System quality Courtesy DOW 24

Single ply system quality Priority of volume and short term profit over quality =>low-quality membranes and insulation: Material quality Thickness of the various layers Reinforcement (glass+polyester) External fire performance (saving on flame retardents) Density/ compressive strength Too fresh material (dimensional stability) 25

Reliability of a roofing System To ensure that the roof will meet the client s requirements and perform as required throughout its service life, you need: A well designed (new) roofing systemwith all components fit for purpose In case of renovation the factors to take account of is even more variable (slope, leakage, detailing); A registered and monitored installation contractor; Good detailing appropriate to the conditions; Technical backup during the design process; On site support, including inspections and quality checks; Guarantees of both product and workmanship; This needs continuity of a good labour force, which can be influenced by the choice of insulation materials that make the job easier and more pleasant 26

Challenges Fire: Proof fire performance by test reports System approach Combi products Promote non-smouldering Better explanation, enter the dialogue Increasing importance thickness because of higher insulation values: Grey EPS Special products and roof details Promote non-ageing of EPS Increasing competition (incl. quality issues) because of increased non-faced, naked EPS in single ply systems 27

Opportunities Improving environmental image HBCD free Communication environmental properties using the insulation spider Promoting recycling systems Raising recycled content Communicating airpop engineered air (98% air) Promoting health and safety aspects for flat roof worker Affordable cut to fall systems with CAD/CAM support System approach in collaboration with membrane producers => improve ease of specification/ reduce complexity Increased logistical and administrative collaboration within the system Combi-systems with other insulation (Nordics) or thermal barriers (becoming economic at higher thickness) Concrete/ EPS or bound EPS 28

But the main ambassadors for EPS will remain a happy workers and owners of the building who.. ENJOY EPS!! 29