Discuss 7 deficiencies/impediments in our understanding. 1



Similar documents
Solar Wind Control of Density and Temperature in the Near-Earth Plasma Sheet: WIND-GEOTAIL Collaboration. Abstract

The Solar Wind Interaction with the Earth s Magnetosphere: A Tutorial. C. T. Russell

Kinetic effects in the turbulent solar wind: capturing ion physics with a Vlasov code

Statistical Study of Magnetic Reconnection in the Solar Wind

Keywords: Geomagnetic storms Dst index Space Weather Recovery phase.

Dawn-side magnetopause observed by the Equator-s magnetic field experiment: Identification and survey of crossings

Space Weather: An Introduction C. L. Waters. Centre for Space Physics University of Newcastle, Australia

Coronal Heating Problem

A SIMPLIFIED DISCUSSION OF RECONNECTION AND ITS MYTHS By Forrest Mozer

Unusual declining phase of solar cycle 23: Weak semi-annual variations of auroral hemispheric power and geomagnetic activity

Temperature anisotropy in the solar wind

Magnetohydrodynamics. Basic MHD

A Beginner s Guide to Space Weather and GPS Professor Paul M. Kintner, Jr. with acknowledgements to

EMİNE CEREN KALAFATOĞLU EYİGÜLER

Data Mining Approach to Space Weather Forecast

Space Weather Research and Forecasting in CRL, Japan

Kolmogorov versus Iroshnikov-Kraichnan spectra: Consequences for ion heating in

Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics School of Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Graduate Program (S.M., Ph.D., Sc.D.

University of Texas at Arlington

Basic Equations, Boundary Conditions and Dimensionless Parameters

Wave-particle and wave-wave interactions in the Solar Wind: simulations and observations

Medium Range Thermosphere- Ionosphere Storm Forecasts

The Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) Correlation to. EarthComm, Second Edition. Project-Based Space and Earth System Science

Cluster-II: Scientific Objectives and Data Dissemination

SPACE WEATHER INTERPRETING THE WIND. Petra Vanlommel & Luciano Rodriguez

Diagnostics. Electric probes. Instituto de Plasmas e Fusão Nuclear Instituto Superior Técnico Lisbon, Portugal

Towards an Enhanced Telluric Compensation Methodology

Going up: Out of the atmosphere and into space

SIO 229 Gravity and Geomagnetism: Class Description and Goals

SpaceCast/PowerCast TM

On the properties of O + and O 2 + ions in a hybrid model and in Mars Express IMA/ASPERA-3 data: A case study

INTRODUCTION TO SOLAR WEATHER & HF PROPAGATION. Lewis Thompson W5IFQ September 27, 2011

4-1-3 Space Weather Forecast Using Real-time Data

The solar wind (in 90 minutes) Mathew Owens

Interaction of Energy and Matter Gravity Measurement: Using Doppler Shifts to Measure Mass Concentration TEACHER GUIDE

Solar Storms and Northern lights - how to predict Space Weather and the Aurora

Intended Procurements in the Space Weather (SWE) Segment. SSA Industry Day 11 June 2013, ESOC

NUMERICAL ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF WIND ON BUILDING STRUCTURES

Graduate Certificate Program in Energy Conversion & Transport Offered by the Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering

The ratio of inertial to viscous forces is commonly used to scale fluid flow, and is called the Reynolds number, given as:

Solar Activity and Earth's Climate

Solar Wind: Theory. Parker s solar wind theory

Dimensional Analysis

ME6130 An introduction to CFD 1-1

Solar Wind Heating by MHD Turbulence

Measurement and Metrics Fundamentals. SE 350 Software Process & Product Quality

What is the purpose of this document? What is in the document? How do I send Feedback?

Coordinate generators

Fluid-Induced Material Transport: A Volume Averaged Approach to Modelling in SPH

Grade 12 Consumer Mathematics Standards Test. Written Test Student Booklet

CROSS-CORRELATION BETWEEN STOCK PRICES IN FINANCIAL MARKETS. 1. Introduction

Kinetic processes and wave-particle interactions in the solar wind

Natural Convection. Buoyancy force

Lecture 14. Introduction to the Sun

Diffusion and Fluid Flow

The Theory of Magnetic Reconnection: Past, Present, and Future

Correlation of GEO Communications Satellite Anomalies and Space Weather Phenomena: Improved Satellite Performance and Risk Mitigation

Coupling Forced Convection in Air Gaps with Heat and Moisture Transfer inside Constructions

EASA Safety Information Bulletin

SPACE WEATHER SUPPORT FOR COMMUNICATIONS. Overview

Dynamic Process Modeling. Process Dynamics and Control

Space Weather Prediction Research and Services for China Manned Space Mission

CSSAR Space Science Cooperation

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Testbed and TESTMEX - NASA


Open channel flow Basic principle

Solar wind forcing at Mercury: WSA-ENLIL model results

ME 305 Fluid Mechanics I. Part 8 Viscous Flow in Pipes and Ducts

Climate Models: Uncertainties due to Clouds. Joel Norris Assistant Professor of Climate and Atmospheric Sciences Scripps Institution of Oceanography

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Effect of Space Weather Phenomena on Precise GNSS Applications

Asymmetric Magnetic Reconnection in the Solar Atmosphere

Space Weather: Forecasting & Impacts on Critical Infrastructure

DTIC N N ELEICTE. S CT u. S Wright-Patterson AFB OH Thesis/Dissertation

Supporting document to NORSOK Standard C-004, Edition 2, May 2013, Section 5.4 Hot air flow

Hyperbolic decay of the Dst Index during the recovery phase of intense geomagnetic storms

Analysis of Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models

Theory of moist convection in statistical equilibrium

Space Weather Forecasting - Need and Importance

Loop Bandwidth and Clock Data Recovery (CDR) in Oscilloscope Measurements. Application Note

Diagnostics. Electric probes. Instituto de Plasmas e Fusão Nuclear Instituto Superior Técnico Lisbon, Portugal

Problem Statement In order to satisfy production and storage requirements, small and medium-scale industrial

Met Office Space Weather Operations and R&D

Predicting the Performance of a First Year Graduate Student

Bulk properties of the slow and fast solar wind and interplanetary coronal mass ejections measured by Ulysses: Three polar orbits of observations

Brillig Systems Making Projects Successful

Solar cycle. Auringonpilkkusykli Heinrich Schwabe: 11 year solar cycle. ~11 years

CFD SIMULATION OF SDHW STORAGE TANK WITH AND WITHOUT HEATER

Space Weather Measurements. Mary Kicza Assistant Administrator NOAA Satellite & Info. Service (NESDIS) Space Weather Enterprise Forum

Analysis of Multi-Spacecraft Magnetic Field Data

Rating Systems for Fixed Odds Football Match Prediction

Meeting the Grand Challenge of Protecting an Astronaut s Health: Electrostatic Active Space Radiation Shielding for Deep Space Missions

How To Understand Space Weather

Fluid Dynamics and the Navier-Stokes Equation

AURORAL OVAL IN THE NIGHTSIDE IONOSPHERE

Experimental investigation of golf driver club head drag reduction through the use of aerodynamic features on the driver crown

Experiment #1, Analyze Data using Excel, Calculator and Graphs.

Extreme space weather: impacts on engineered systems and infrastructure

Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry

Analyzing Structural Equation Models With Missing Data

Transcription:

Do We Really Understand Solar-Wind/Magnetosphere Coupling? Joe Borovsky Space Science Institute --- University of Michigan!We have major unsolved issues about A. what controls dayside reconnection B. the magnitude of and physics of the viscous interaction.!we have lack of understanding of post-reconnection coupling physics.!we have a problem using data correlations to confirm physical principles. Discuss 7 deficiencies/impediments in our understanding. 1

1 What Controls the Dayside Reconnection Rate: E sw or 0.1v A B? (1) Since the reconnection rate v in B has the dimension of an electric field, it has been argued that E recon = E sw = v sw B z. The solar-wind electric field evolved to v swx B y sin z (θ clock /2). (2) The Petschek 0.1v A B yields derivations R(n sw,v sw,m A,θ clock ) R quick = n sw 1/2 v sw 2 M A -1.35 /[1 + 680M A -3.30 ] 1/4 sin 2 (θ/2) Both (1) and (2) do well in correlations with geomagnetic activity. Is one correct? Is one wrong? 2

2a Correlation Game: How well can solar-wind variables describe the variance of geomagnetic indices? Correlations: Physics Versus Math Physics improvement of correlation coefficient: Choose solar-wind variables that more accurately describe the coupling mechanism of the solar wind to the magnetosphere. Mathematical improvement of correlation coefficient: Choose solar-wind variables that better describe the variance of the solar wind, with a better chance of describing magnetospheric variance. When the variables are noisy, how can you tell better physics from better math? 3

2b Correlations: Cause and Effect In the solar wind, all variables are correlated or anti-correlated. And all variables are noisy (imperfect). (1) A solar-wind variable can be acting as a proxy for another solarwind variable. (2) A solar-wind variable may be acting to suppress the noise on another solar-wind variable. (3) A solar-wind variable may be acting to supply information about the type of solar-wind plasma. Sorting out cause and effect in correlations is... difficult. 4

3 What Is the Nature of the Viscous Interaction? (1) What is the magnitude of the viscous interaction? (viscous interaction versus reconnection behind the cusps) (2) What physical mechanisms are acting? Kelvin-Helmholtz rollups? Plasma-wave diffusion? Other? (3) What variables in the solar-wind control the viscous interaction? 5

4 What Is the Physics of the Turbulence Effect? AE, AU, -AL, Kp, -Dst, and PCI are positively correlated with δb/b of the upstream solar wind. These correlations hold when the reconnection driver functions are binned. These correlations hold when the fluctuations are purely northward. Is there a physical mechanism that couples solarwind turbulence to the magnetosphere? What type of solar-wind fluctuations are important? 6

5 The Feedback of Magnetospheric Mass Density on the Dayside Reconnection Rate Magnetospheric plasma can mass-load dayside reconnection: predicted, simulated, and confirmed by spacecraft measurements. Criterion from the Cassak-Shay equation: ρ mag ρ sh B mag /B s. Storm levels of driving bring a magnetospheric response via: 1 plasmaspheric drainage plume 2 oxygen-rich ion plasma sheet 3 warm plasma cloak. 1) We don t have surveys of the mass density ρ of the ion plasma sheet in the dayside magnetosphere. 2) We don t know the properties of the warm plasma cloak or its global evolution pattern. We can t quantify the amount of mass loading of dayside reconnection by the magnetosphere. 7

6 What is the Physics of Mass Coupling between the Solar Wind and the Magnetosphere? 1) We don t know the physical mechanisms that transport plasma from the magnetosheath into the magnetosphere. 2) We don t know how the plasma is processed upon entry. 3) Are there multiple pathways for plasma entry: LLBL versus mantle? 4) Can we quantitatively predict the mass transport. 8

7 The Physics of Post-Reconnection Coupling of the Solar Wind to the Magnetosphere-Ionosphere System After dayside reconnection, magnetospheric magnetic field lines connect directly into the moving magnetosheath plasma. 1) How important is the solar-wind driving of antisunward convection in the polar-cap ionosphere? 2) When do Region-I type currents close in the magnetosheath and bow shock? 3) How does polar-cap-potential saturation work? Several mechanisms, no consensus. 9

Summary Our physics understanding of solar-wind/ magnetosphere coupling is in very poor shape. (1) Control of dayside reconnection (2) Interpretation of correlations (3) The viscous interaction (4) The turbulence effect (5) Mass loading of dayside reconnection (6) Plasma entry (7) Post-reconnection coupling physics 10

Acknowledgements Over the years: Joachim Birn Mick Denton Richard Denton Herb Funsten Michael Hesse Masha Kuznetsova Benoit Lavraud Michelle Thomsen John Steinberg 11