The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2014

Transcription

1 The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 214 Free download at Mycle Schneider International Consultant on Energy and Nuclear Policy, Paris, France Convening Lead Author of the World Nuclear Industry Status Report (WNISR) Heinrich Böll Foundation,

2 4 Reactor Startups and Shutdowns in the World in Units, from 1954 to 1 July Reactor Startup Reactor Shutdown Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

3 Nuclear Power Reactors in Operation Really? Source: Screenshot IAEA-website 25 October 214

4 Japan s Nuclear Fleet Operational? Source: Screenshot IAEA-website 25 October 214

5 Source: JAIF, 212

6 The WNISR214 Establishes New Reactor Status Category: Long-Term Outage or LTO A nuclear power reactor is considered in Long-Term Outage (LTO) if it has not generated any power in the entire previous calendar year and in the first semester of the current calendar year of the WNISR. 45 reactors woldwide in LTO - 43 in Japan, shut down between 1995 and in South Korea, Wolsong-1, shut down since in India, Rajasthan-1, shut down since 24

7 GWe Nuclear Reactors & Net Operating Capacity in the World in GWe, from 1954 to 1 July GWe 42 reactors 438 reactors Number of Reactors 332,5 GWe 388 reactors Reactors in operation! Operable capacity! Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

8 GWe Nuclear Reactors & Net Operating Capacity in the EU28 in GWe, from 1956 to 1 July 214 Reactors in Operation Operable Capacity 123 GWe 177 reactors GW 131 reactors Number of Reactors Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

9 % 2% 15% Nuclear Electricity Production in the World in TWh (net) and share of electricity production (gross) 17.5% max 17.6% max 2,66 TWh 2,359 TWh TWh % 1.8% % 1 5 % Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

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11 TWh! Nuclear Electricity Production by Country in 213 (in TWh) Maximum! 213! 212! USA France Russia South Korea China Canada Germany Ukraine UK Sweden Spain Belgium Taiwan India Czech Rep, Switzerland Finland Slovakia Hungary Japan Brazil South Africa Bulgaria Mexico Romania Argentina Slovenia Pakistan Iran Netherlands Armenia Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 213

12 25 Number of Nuclear Reactors Listed as "Under Construction" by year, July Number of Reactors Cancelled or Suspended Projects! Completed and Ongoing Projects! Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

13 Reactors «Under Construction» in the World (1 October 214) Country Units MWe (net) Construction Start Grid Connection China 27 26, Russia 9 7, India 6 3, South Korea 5 6, USA 5 5, UAE 3 4, Belarus 2 2, Pakistan Slovakia Ukraine 2 1, Argentina Brazil 1 1, Finland 1 1, France 1 1, Total 67 65, Source: IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

14 French Electricity Generating and Marketing Costs : +4.5%/a Commercial Costs Operating Costs Fix Costs Capital Costs Source: Rapport de la Commission de régulation de l énergie, 4 June 213

15 French Nuclear Reactor Investments New Investment Initial Investment/ First Years of Operation Maintenance/Upgrading

16 Traditional Utilities Under Pressure UBS: Time to Join the Revolution The 2 largest European energy utilities lost over half of the 1 trillion stock market value since 28, some a lot more (EDF, E.ON over 7%). Europe s electricity providers face an existential threat. The Economist, London, October 213 Utility business models are threatened by the dramatic growth in the deployment of technologies that generate electricity onsite or at the distribution grid level. Navigant Research, Boulder, USA, August 214 A new technological paradigm in electricity and the end of the reign of the large-scale utilities. Institute for Public Policy Research, London, September 214

17 $ billion Global Investment Decisions in New Renewables and Nuclear Power (in $ billion) Solar Wind Other Renewables Nuclear Source: UNEP 214 and WNISR original research

18 Top 1 Renewable Energy Investment (in billion US$) Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Sources: BNEF 213; WNISR 213

19 GWe Wind, Solar and Nuclear Grid Connections in the World (cumulated, in GWe) Wind Nuclear Solar Source: IAEA-PRIS, EPIA, GWEC 214

20 TWh/y Variations in Global Electricity Production Compared to Reference-Year 1997 from Nuclear, Wind and Solar Photovoltaics (in TWh/y) Wind Nuclear Solar Sources: BP, IAEA-PRIS, MSC, 214

21 Renewables Share of Global Electricity Generating Capacity Additions Source: IRENA, Rethinking Energy, 214