Belgium Smart Grid Day. 18 th October 2012, Brussels Alex Murley, IEA

Transcription

1 Belgium Smart Grid Day 18 th October 2012, Brussels Alex Murley, IEA OECD/IEA 2012

2 Agenda IEA Smart Grid Analysis IEA TechPlatform How2Guide initiative OECD/IEA 2011

3 CO 2 emissions (gigatonnes) WEO2011: The door to 2 C is closing C trajectory C trajectory Delay until 2017 Delay until 2015 Emissions from existing infrastructure OECD/IEA Without further action, by 2017 all CO 2 emissions Permitted in the 450 Scenario will be locked-in by existing power plants, factories, buildings, etc

4 OECD/IEA 2012 A smart, sustainable energy system Co-generation Renewable energy resources Centralised fuel production, power and storage Smart energy system control Distributed energy resources H vehicle 2 Surplus heat EV A sustainable energy system is a smarter, more unified and integrated energy system

5 TWh Generation share Renewables need to dominate EU electricity % 90% 80% 4% 4% 10% 13% 21% 17% Other renewables Other Other renewables renewables Wind Wind Wind % 60% 50% 28% 7% 9% 28% 10% Solar Solar Solar Hydro Hydro Hydro % 22% 13% 30% 53% 1% 20% 23% 27% 10% 7% 0% 2% 4DS 4DS 2DS 2DS Nuclear Nuclear Nuclear Fossil w CCS Fossil w CCS Fossil w CCS Fossil w/o CCS Fossil w/o CCS Fossil w/o CCS Renewables cover two-thirds of the electricity mix in 2050 in the 2DS, with wind power alone reaching a share of 30% in the mix.

6 All flexibility sources will be needed Dispatchable power plants Demand side Response (via smart grid) Energy storage facilities Interconnection with adjacent markets Industrial Biomass-fired power plant residential Pumped hydro facility Scandinavian interconnections

7 Smart grid benefits exceed costs by a factor of but direct benefits of investment in one sector may be found in other sectors.

8 What do we need to do? Barriers? Use systems based approaches utilise flexibility resources from all parts of the electricity system Learn by doing - increased pilot and demonstration projects will enable of real-world solutions for flexibility Support new technology deployment develop regulatory and market solutions that allow new technologies and new actors to support system operation Determine regulatory approaches that support conventional and new technologies and adequately share costs, benefits and risks.

9 Introducing the IEA TechPlatform Established July 2009 G8 meeting, L Aquila Operations start October 2010: High level meeting, Paris Action: Outcome: Covers all major low carbon energy technologies (inc. EE, PHEVs) IEA member and non-member countries, flexibility Partnerships with governments, industry, and private sector OECD/IEA 2011

10 OECD/IEA 2011 Context: ~20 IEA Global Technology roadmaps -published or under development Increasing demand for IEA guidance at national level Maximising IEA reach How2Guides: Technology, policy, and methodological guidance for governments Encourage and facilitate the development and implementation of national roadmaps Guidance will be technology specific + geographically neutral Output: How2Guide publication + H2G training modules How2Guide training + capacity building activities (including train the trainer) Direct/indirect IEA roadmap support for governments

11 4. Roadmap development Indirect support Direct support 1. How2Guide (H2G) Stakeholder engagement Capture knowledge Develop the tools TechPlatform Roadmap services 3. Training Bi-lateral Multi-lateral Train The Trainer (T3) 2. Capacity building Disseminate H2G content International best practice Secure commitment

12 Content summary: WHAT are the salient policy issues for development/deployment? WHY are they important, and what are their impacts? WHICH solutions represent realistic options? Priority/solution pathways? WHO are the relevant stakeholders (per identified policy issue)? HOW - Best practice methodology on roadmap development HOW - Best practice methodology on roadmap implementation OECD/IEA 2011

13 How2Guide for Smart Grids in Distribution Networks Each How2Guide will be developed on the basis of up to 4 technical workshops, each hosted in a different global regions against a diverse range of geographical and market contexts Partners: SENER, ISGAN, USDoE, SwissDoE, GE, ADB, SEAI 1st workshop = March 26 28, 2012, Mexico City (SENER) 2nd workshop = September2012, Dublin (SEAI) 3rd workshop = October 2012, Manila (ADB) 4th workshop = February 2012, possibly South Africa (TBC) Other H2G technologies: Wind Energy Bioenergy heat and power Solar PV OECD/IEA 2011

14 Frequently Asked Questions? Why focus on distribution networks? It is the sector with the greatest need and least development at this time Transmission system smartening is already quite advanced Is this only for developing countries? No but developing countries and emerging economies are a key audience for this initiative Many developed countries and regions have created roadmaps already, but many more are needed. What are some of the values of this project? A consistent methodology of smart grid planning and grid development will accelerate technology deployment Lessons learned in other regions can be shared abroad Countries and regions can better assess and communicate needs, leading to more appropriate and timely deployment of solutions OECD/IEA 2011

15 Thank you! For more information, please contact us: OECD/IEA 2011

16 Wider TechPlatform activity summary Date Activity type Location Tech focus? March 2012 H2G workshop Mexico Smart grids March 2012 Roadmap training Morocco Solar May 2012 Dialogue workshop Morocco Renewables June 2012 Dialogue workshop Russia Bioenergy June 2012 Roadmap training Russia Various June 2012 Dialogue workshop Sweden Low-C Finance Sept 2012 H2G workshop Ireland Smart grids Oct 2012 Dialogue workshop Italy Renewables Oct 2012 H2G workshop + Training Philippines Smart grids + Wind Dec 2012 Dialogue workshop Russia Cleaner coal Jan 2013? Thematic analysis? TBC? Finance? Feb 2013 H2G workshop South Africa Smart grids + Wind Feb 2013? H2G workshop? Ireland? Wind Q Publish H2G - Smart grids Q H2G workshop Russia Bioenergy OECD/IEA 2011