Last-Time-Out-Winner ( lay system )

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1 Thank You for downloading the Last-Time-Out-Winner ( lay system ) The Last-Time-Out-Winner (lay system) was created by Jonathan Burgess Copyright protected 2010/11 All rights are protected. You can use this document out for your own reference, but you must not copy, alter, sell or distribute the information contained within the book in any way. Copyright law will uphold any infringement of these rights. Disclaimer notice: The author of this work takes no responsibility for any possible consequences or any action taken from following the information in this book. Always check the local laws in your country before gambling as it is actually illegal in some countries. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Always use a betting bank, and be responsible for your own actions. Acknowledgements: I would like to thank Racing Post and Betfair for permission to use copyright material. If you would like to receive our newsletter and access FREE videos, information and tutorials about how to make your betting please visit We sincerely promise you...absolutely no SCAM or HYPE systems promoted EVER!

2 Vulnerable Last Time Out Winners (L.T.O.W) lay system The following deadly effective laying method is given away with the-winning-approach Betting Portfolio and is just one of the many profitable betting angles developed to help YOU make your betting pay. You can use it to identify vulnerable horses with a view to laying them on Betfair. Bookies know the punting masses tend to over bet last time out winners (L.T.O.W) irrespective of there overall level of form consistency. The key to opposing these animals is to identify factors that are likely to make them vulnerable in their current race. To do that objectively you need to follow these steps: 1. Look at one code of racing on any given day - either (Jumps, Flat or All-Weather racing) 2. Identify races with last time out winners. To do this quickly and effectively, simply scan through the race cards on Betfair. Remember to stick with one code of racing for any given day. During the flat season there will be up to 6 cards a day so being selective will cut down race assessment considerably. To make sure you you don`t expose yourself to too much liability - Stick with the 1 st and 2 nd favourites in the betting forecast (Handicaps are best) but not exclusively. You may consider non handicaps also, as long as the races look competitive. Read our quick stakes management tutorial here > 3. Briefly assess what these horses beat last time out and ask the following questions

3 Where the race conditions L.T.O the same as today s race Distance, Class, Going? Is the horse stepping up in class? Has it won in this class before? Are its rivals proven or unproven in this class? What kind of horses did they beat L.T.O (previous winners or a field of mediocre horses with limited ability) If the selection only beat a field of mediocre horses with limited ability and is facing better class rivals proven under the race conditions in its current race, then it will be vulnerable. If it beat a field containing one or two half decent previous winners and is now facing mediocre rivals un-proven under the race conditions, don t lay it Does the horses form history clearly show it has a class barrier? Briefly scan the horse s race history in the Racing Post to build up a mental picture of its overall ability/consistency. Has it ever won a race in this class? Does the level of competition in today s race look much stronger than in the last race? Look for horses which have won or placed a close second, in the same or better class races. IMPORTANT: Identify at least two credible threats to your selections. Make sure they are not declared non runners before the start of the race (This is absolutely essential because if credible opposition is removed your selections chances of winning have increased significantly)

4 Vulnerable L.T.O.W. Example 1: MAYOLYNN is a classic example of horse which appeared to have an identifiable class barrier, i.e. since 2009 this horse had contested no less than five class 4 hurdle races (highlighted with a red dot below). Yet still failed to win, and the only race this animal has had actually won was a class 5 handicap hurdle.

5 The result Conclusion MAYOLYNN won a mediocre class 5 race last time out. In that race the animal only beat one previous winner and the rest of the field were only proven to have ability up to class 5 level. MAYOLYNN`S most recent race was a Class 4 handicap hurdle facing several rivals that had shown a better level of from in their respective races, i.e. LATERLY mainly raced in Cl2, EASTERN CLUMP mainly raced in CL4 and THUNDERSTORM mostly raced in CL4 races. Vulnerable L.T.O.W. Example 2: TARTAN SNOW is another classic example of horse which looked to be vulnerable because: It was a pretty exposed 11 year old horse which had raced 32 times in its career. Even though its chase form could be considered consistent, i.e. 1 win, 1 second and 2 thirds. The fact that this horse has been dropped from class Cl2 races down to CL4 races in the space of a year showed that its connections felt it was beginning to decline in Class ability due to its age.

6 TARTAN SNOW faced a few less exposed younger rivals in its most recent race, i.e. PROSECCO a far less exposed chaser aged 9, mainly raced in Cl3, SHERIF HALL again a far less exposed chaser aged 6 who looked to be improving and EARL GREYZ another consistent 6 year old chaser racing in class.

7 The result Conclusion TARTAN SNOW won a mediocre uncompetitive class 4 race last time out. In that race the animal didn`t beat any previous winners and the rest of the field were only proven to have ability up to class 4 level. TARTAN SNOWS most recent race was a Class 4 handicap chase facing several younger rivals that looked to be improving in their recent chases, i.e. PROSECCO was a far less exposed chaser aged 9, mainly raced in Cl3, SHERIF HALL was another less exposed chaser aged 6 that looked to be improving, and EARL GREYZ was also a consistent 6 year old chaser racing in class. There were also two other last time out winners that lost on the same day. Huntingdon SEE SAFRON Huntingdon DECENT LORD To assess and contextualize a horses last time out win simply follow these simple steps:

8 1. Click on the horses name on the FREE version of the Racing Post website (From its form history click on the L.T.O.W win in the Race Outcome column) this opens up the result page. 2. On that results page click on each of the horse s names it beat, and briefly make a mental note of their most recent race records (last 4 races will be adequate). This will give you a comparison of the horses it beat L.T.O compared to the rivals it faces in the current race. I call this process Collateral Form Profiling Collateral Form Profiling Is a simple but effective way of putting any previous wins into context with the race under assessment. This deadly effective laying method has been developed to help you make your betting pay. If you would like to get your hands on a complete Betting Portfolio of proven backing and laying micro systems the Winning Approach is something that will definitely interest you. Unlike the majority of betting systems The-Winning-Approach is - not a `get rich quick` scam. Its a `real world-profit model` which covers the following seven key areas of betting on horses at the UK`s All-Weather courses: 1. Overall Favourite statistics - Accurate analysis of overall favourite statistics by Race Category, including profitable Backing & Laying angles 2. Favourites by time of year - Accurate analysis of overall favourite statistics for each month, including profitable Backing & Laying angles 3. Favourites by Trainer (Backing angles) In depth analysis of how the top 25 Trainers perform when their horses go off as favourite. 4. Favourites by Trainer (Laying angles) -Trainer monthly P&L records, including profitable laying angles. 5. Trainer Profiles - Accurate analysis of the most favourable conditions to back their horses 6. Trainer & Jockey combinations - In depth analysis of the most profitable Trainer/Jockey combinations. 7. Jockeys - Accurate analytics of the most profitable/unprofitable Jockeys on UK`s All-Weather courses. Each set of statistics has been compiled using the very same data source the bookies use. Therefore they are very accurate, however even accurate data needs objective assessment. With this in mind we have created dozens of `easy to implement` `profitable backing and laying strategies` for each course. Key statistical factors the bookies have used for years. Ultimately they have proven to be the most relevant focus on from a profit point of view: We`ll even provide you with 4 professional staking plans to help you maximise profits and minimise losses.

9 Launched date FRIDAY Be sure to get in early as we are limiting the number copies sold to 250 Wishing you every success Jonathan Burgess

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