Equotion. Working with Equotion

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Evelyn Woods
8 years ago
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1 Equotion Working with Equotion

3 Working with Equotion This how to guide has been pulled together to help new users get the most out of the Equotion system. Part of this is to make sure that you understand what it is that Equotion does for you and then how best to utilise this information. What Is Equotion Equotion is a kind of form analysis that looks at racing results over the past 7 years and produces a number of performance metrics for horses, jockeys, courses, race types and conditions. By analysing these 500 million data points across each field in each race, Equotion is able to produce an expected finishing order for that given field. We then run a series of optimisation algorithms to determine how much you should bet on which horses based on your own spending profile. From the analysis of any given days racing we publish a number of tips. Quick Picks is the top ten scoring winning tips for the day Full House is our top pick from every race that day Turf Accountant is the top three winning tips for each race Pro-Investor is the full field result for each race Basic Advice First of all, get yourself a number of online accounts. BetFred, SkyBet, Tote and PaddyPower are a good start but there are also many others. Finally, get a BetFair Exchange Account. Anyone who is serious about making money with on the nose betting should have an Exchange account set up. Then subscribe to The Racing Post they have an odds view that shows you the best odds on any horse in each race every day. A great reference tool. Talking about odds, the earlier you bet, the better the odds will be. So try and schedule ten minutes each morning around the time we publish the tips so that you can get your bets on before the wisdom of the crowd catches up and you miss out. Finally, decide how much you can afford to place into your betting account and transfer the money. You should put three times the amount you want to bet everyday into this account and never take cash out until you are over this limit. This ensures that you are able to bet evenly and consistently every day. Key Things to Remember Equotion is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It is a long term investment in the sports betting marketplace designed to deliver consistent returns over time. If you bet large on a bad day and small on a winning day you will lose money. You have to stay in the game for a reasonable period of time, betting consistently and not being tempted to double down on losses or walk away from the table. Our stats prove that over time you will generate a return but it also shows there are periods where you will lose this is why we suggest you maintain a betting balance that is 3x your daily stake it keeps you in the game! Horses are living, breathing and thinking animals that have their own plan on how the day will work out jockeys have the occasional off day heavy going, rain, cold and other environmental conditions can impact if the race

What Is Equotion Equotion is a kind of form analysis that looks at racing results over the past 7 years and produces a number of performance metrics for horses, jockeys, courses, race types and

4 actually will finish the way it should. On that basis only gamble within your limits and remember it is supposed to be fun! Working with Quick Picks When you log into the Quick Picks screen you will see a view showing you the selection performance over the last 30 days. Generally this is very strong and we have never had a 30 day period where we have failed to make a profit. Beneath this view are yesterday s Quick Picks results and, after 10.30am each morning, todays predictions. We are completely open about our results and performance and will always share the bad day s data along with the good days. In the Quick Picks box you will see the time and course of our selection, the horse we have selected and its early price (the odds available at 7.30am that morning). You will also see a Bet column. This is the bet multiplier, based upon our optimisation analysis. Add up the total number of BET s shown (today is 35), divide your available balance by this number and then multiply this by the BET number for each horse. So a balance of 350 would mean 10 per point and a horse with a BET 4 means a 40 stake. this way. All of our returns are based on betting on the nose. You can bet each way which means when you would have returned a win, you win more and often when you would have lost, you break even. Bear in mind however that an each way bet will double your exposure (or half your unit price) and it is possible to return much less in terms of a percentage profit betting in We recommend the Betfair Exchange as a platform for all on-the-nose betting (always placing a WIN and a PLACE bet on the exchange, rather than each way you will get better returns) OR selecting the bookies offering the best each way deal (quarter or fifth odds) on any given day. Throughout the course of the day we will update the results with Winning Selections coloured GREEN, 2 nd place coloured BLUE and 3 rd coloured RED making it simple and easy to follow your progress. Returns are listed at Starting Price and your returns (from the time or from the Exchange) should always beat this number.

Generally this is very strong and we have never had a 30 day period where we have failed to make a profit. Beneath this view are yesterday s Quick Picks results and, after 10.

5 Working with Full House Full House adds some profile information to improve your betting even further. In your personal preferences you can specify minimum odds, daily limits and the use of Fixed Points. It also gives you access to our primary selection for every race that day allowing you to be much more flexible about how you go about betting. It also links you directly to each race card from that day, allowing you to validate our suggestions at the click of a button. The table below explains the options available to you in the account profile. Function Logic Result Monthly Start Balance Start point for graphing calculations Constrains graphs by your monthly limits Daily Bet Amount Sets the maximum you want to Constrains optimised bets to a risk each day value Point Bet Amount Allows you to set an amount to Multiplies the number of bet per point points per horse by this amount Use Fixed Points Yes = use point bet amount, Sets the correct amount to bet Use Daily Bet Amount No = Use daily bet amount Yes = constrain values by daily amount per horse Ensures that the amount bet each day never exceeds your max You will see the days racing laid out by course, showing the race, distance, going and our tip. We then provide the early price for comparison to the odds you are seeing on your chosen betting platform. The probability column is our calculated probability that the horse will actually win. When going is good to firm, this is pretty accurate but less so when it s soft or heavy bear this in mind. Then we show you the amount to bet on the horse based on your preferences settings. The place bet tick box shows that the selection has passed all of our tests, including your minimum odds test, also set up in preferences.

It also gives you access to our primary selection for every race that day allowing you to be much more flexible about how you go about betting.

6 Working with Turf Accountant Turf Accountant provides you with visibility of our top three picks from each race so that you can make more of an informed choice about the way you choose to bet. It also opens up the world of forecast and tricast betting and the Tote Exacta and Placepot pools. As you can see we are often able to predict 1 st & 2 nd even 1 st, 2 nd and 3 rd (as shown in the example at the bottom of the screenshot). The ability to drive returns through this kind of data is huge. We also provide access to the race card directly from this screen to allow you to further research your betting. Pro investor adds a number of key metrics including Working with Pro-Investor Pro-Investor is a by invitation product with subscriptions starting at 12,000 per annum for an individual; 24,000 for a syndicate or consortium with up to 250k investable assets. Above this level we offer a managed fund product with a management fee and profit share where we manage the investments on behalf of the client. Racecourse Accuracy (with Going Adjustment) this allows investors to see the Equotion Accuracy for that particular course under those particular conditions Form Indicator last 6 races, where did the horse finish Equotion Indicator last 5 races, where did we place the horse We also add weight and OR to the info line The increased access to data allows our Pro-Investor clients, or our internal team, to undertake much more complex and detailed analysis that enables profitable laying of bets and also Betfair Exchange Trading. These are key elements if you are looking to place large amounts of money in the market as there isn t always the liquidity to support daily betting of hundreds of thousands of pounds and our winning profile makes us unattractive to many traditional bookmakers.

As you can see we are often able to predict 1 st & 2 nd even 1 st, 2 nd and 3 rd (as shown in the example at the bottom of the screenshot).

Lay Betting Selection System. Strike Rate!!

Lay Betting Selection System. Strike Rate!! Strike Rate!! Introduction Firstly, congratulations of becoming an owner of this fantastic selection system. You ll find it difficult to find a system that can produce so many winners at such low liability.