BETTING SCHOOL INSIDERS NEWS REPORT Honest and Independent Reviews of Betting Products

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1 Special Edition Part I 2008 BETTING SCHOOL INSIDERS NEWS REPORT Honest and Independent Reviews of Betting Products Welcome to this the third Special Edition of the Betting School Insiders News report. This is a two part publication, in this first part we have published reviews of some of the products that we have found to be profitable in the past year. Products that we use ourselves. In the second part we include specific systems and strategies that you can use today to make profit from your racing. Part II includes - How to rate a race, a method for finding value bets and beating the book. - The Travellers System, a twist and improvement on the longest travelling runner systems that have been used by professionals for years. - The Dutch Overlay, how to win 79% of the races you bet in. You can get a free copy of part two of this Special Edition by visiting this link Click Here In this part I we have included reviews of the Laying Impact which can be fully automated using the tools that are free to all members of the Betting School Insiders Club. That means you can switch on your PC before you go to work and have it automatically place all qualifying bets for you throughout the day. We have also included a review of the False Favourites ebook which requires a bit of time each day, but makes us a profit every week and is probably the best value for money system available today. I hope you find the report useful don t forget to register for part II which contains systems and strategies that you can get started with straightaway. Together we can win Darren Blue Delta Marketing Ltd, Registered Office: Valentine Cottage, Bittering Street, Dereham, Norfolk, NR20 4EP. Registered in England No VAT No. GB All content is copyright Blue Delta Marketing Ltd and may not be reproduced in any way without prior written consent

2 CONTENTS Laying Impact First published January False Favourites... 5 Bet Synergy First Published July And Finally Editor Darren Power Publisher Blue Delta Marketing Ltd Blue Delta Marketing Ltd. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical or otherwise, without the written permission of Blue Delta Marketing Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in the Betting School Insiders News Report are not necessarily those of the publisher or the editor. Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of all editorial material, however we disclaim all liability for any errors or omissions found in this publication. Blue Delta Marketing in no way encourages reckless gambling and it is recommended that readers who engage in gambling do so responsibly and set financial limits. Anyone concerned about problem gambling can contact GamCare on or gamcare.org.uk for further information

3 Laying Impact First published January 2008 Product Name: Supplier/Author: Website: Price: Category: Laying Impact Thomas Adams Click Here $77 + vat Horse Racing Laying System Product Overview Laying Impact is another heavily hyped Clickbank product that has surprised me with the profits that it has made. It requires that you lay two selections in the win markets of selected UK horse races. Summary This system which selects horses purely on the betting market position has produced incredible profits during the test period. Detailed Findings The sales page for this system promises between 10 and 20 points profit per week, which I took with a generous pinch of salt! But during the first three weeks of the test the profit after commission hovered around the 10 point mark for each week. And I suppose I ve been waiting for it to fail but then in the fourth week it took off with a sequence of winning bets which produced 30 points profit in one week. Happily I have been betting the system with real cash, but unfortunately I have been testing to very small stakes! I m not sure now why I didn t test this system when it was first launched, it may be that there were so many (supposed) wonder systems launched around September and October last year that it got overlooked. So let me tell you about the type of system we are dealing with. This is another of those systems that lays certain horses based on their market position in the Betfair markets. In this particular case it lays two selections in each race. And obviously because we are laying in the win market this time we will always have at least one winning bet, (because only one horse can win the race) which effectively means that if the other wins the race and loses for us then our liability is reduced by one point

4 Which brings me onto how the profit is calculated. Because we are laying two in every race we are staking two points on each race, we are laying at odds of less than nine so our maximum liability is seven points (after we ve deducted the one point from the second horse in the race which will have lost). If both selections lose then we can make two points profit. So we are risking up to seven points to win two, which is like laying a 7/2 shot but with the advantage of a slightly lower payout if the shorter priced selection wins. The rules for the system are pretty straightforward, you are laying two horses in races with more than the stipulated number of runners. I have been operating the system at a few minutes before the off as set out in the system rules (5 minutes). I notice that the sales letter states that you don t have to hang around all afternoon waiting to bet, but the system does state that you should place your bets five minutes before the off, which contradicts that statement! I have now increased my stakes on this system and will continue to operate it to see if it will hold up over the long term. (Update Feb 08, am still using this system with our automated betting tool with its in built staking plan and am making good profits) Laying Impact Profit

5 False Favourites Product Name: False Favourites Supplier/Author: Jonathan Burgess Website: Click Here Price: Category: Horse Racing Laying System Product Overview This is a extensive e-book detailing a method or strategy for finding selections to lay on UK horse races. Summary This book may seem overwhelming to some and it is not strictly a system as it is unlikely that any two users will find the same selection, it is instead a detailed study of some of the factors that are common to losing favourites along with a method and check list to help uncover them. It represents excellent value for money and I recommend it to anybody that is serious about finding their own favourites to lay. Detailed Findings The first thing that strikes you as you open up the pdf document that makes up this product is just how many pages it comprises. With the bonus e-books that are included it runs to 216 pages, and this is not your usual large type double spaced. It s pretty much all good info packed in. For the less determined this could be enough to put the buyer of reading it until a later date. After an introduction and the basics of Betfair etc, Jonathon Burgess, the author and a Betfair Accredited trainer, starts us off with a thorough assessment of why favourites lose. Here we touch on some of the obvious reasons like unraced (unproven) favourites being over bet because of their stables reputation. But we also read about the less well known reasons like the bounce factor and form cycles. He then goes on to show us how to extract the relevant information from the Racing Post website. The next important section is where Jonathon sets out the factors that we are to look for that will signify a possible lay. The guide has separate sections for the flat and for national hunt racing. Each section runs to over 30 pages detailing how to assess the race plus a section on what your daily routine should be. The basis of the system is to lay favourites that are available at less than odds of 4.7 where a negative has been found and where there is opposition that is also capable of winning the race. After a detailed explanation of how to assess each of the factors we are provided with a table that we can print out and fill in daily as we do our research. Our daily routine starts

6 by identifying races where the favourites don t do so well. We go on to create a shortlist of three or four horses from which our daily lay will come. Jonathon advises that we should be able to complete the selection process in about 40 minutes per day which is a realistic assessment of the time required. For each section (flat & NH) we get some worked examples, each example takes you through the whole selection process for the race and runs to eight or nine pages for each race worked. In total there are seven worked examples. As well as the two selection method we get two bonus books that run to about 40 pages. The first is a trading tutorial that helps to pinpoint the best time to place your bet and the second deals with the psychology and general good practices of gambling for profit. There are are also sections on staking and various tables to assist you in using the systems. So how did we do, the answer is very well, although we did not match the profit suggested by the author. Jonathon suggests that we can expect to find bets per month and can expect to lose about four of those. He claims to make around 500 per month from 20 stakes. If you do the math on those numbers and factor in an average price of 5/2 then it would suggest a profit of around per month. In the two full months we tested with 20 stakes our profit after commission was 227 and 201. We have however not had so many bets as suggested with just 48 from the full 67 racing days assessed. We have been using the methods since November 26 th and I am reporting on the performance up to February 3 rd, which is 67 racing days. We had 24 days where we didn t consider that there was a strong enough (weak enough) selection and so we had no bet on these days. On the majority of days we stuck to one lay per day, but occasionally selecting two on busy days as the method suggests. Our profit to prices taken on Betfair at around lunchtime is points after commission at 5%. The chart on the following page shows how consistent the selection process has been. In summary then this is a pair of comprehensive methods for selecting losing favourites for both NH and flat racing. Along with a guide to when to bet to get the best prices and a self help type guide to being a successful bettor. I don t think it would be accurate to call this product a system because the rules are open to much interpretation and a lot of the selection process requires the user to use their own judgement. It is unlikely that two users will consistently arrive at the same selection. It is however a comprehensive guide to a strategy that will find losing favourites. It needs a little more time than most of the systems that you buy but it is likely to be more successful for you over the long term because you are essentially learning a skill, rather than following a prescribed set of rules

7 Buyers of the ebook also receive regular s from Jonathon with further advise EG how the current conditions effect layers. All in all a worthwhile value for money product. Recommended. False Favourites Nov 26th - Feb 3rd Profit to 1 point stakes

8 Bet Synergy First Published July 2007 Product Name: Bet Synergy Supplier/Author: Jack Peddar Website: Click Here Price: Category: Horse Racing Betting System Product Overview A method for uncovering value prices that you can then back or trade. Summary Good sound advice combined with a method for selecting value bets which made good profits during the test. Detailed Findings Before I get stuck into this product and criticize all the things that I don t like about it I want to make it clear that this is probably the best and most profitable product that I have tested in the last two years and that if you have the time required to use the method then you should buy it and use it. What I didn t like is that the method is a little open and although it gives the three steps for finding the selections it wasn t prescriptive on when to apply the system or what to do with the selections once you have found them. However this first impression was soon forgotten once I realized that the method was so good that it can be used as and when you want to. Later on in this review I ll detail exactly how we used the system during our test. However even if you follow what we did exactly you will get some different selections. This is because prices change constantly. When we have cross checked selections between myself and my other tester we have still had some variation in the selections. So let s get straight into what is the Bet Synergy. Basically it is a system for finding value bets. No analyse is made to the likelihood of a selection winning, just to whether there is value in a bet. The way this is done is to compare the prices at the bookmakers with those at Betfair, to then look at the weight of money and the price versus volume graph and where all of the methods criteria are met then you have a selection. The logic behind the system is that Betfair represents the true chance of a horse winning a race and it is most likely to represent the true chance just before the off. But also that sometimes the Betfair price lags behind the true chance of a given horse because of the

9 activities of other traders and more particularly those trying to set up arbitrage situations between the bookmakers prices and the Betfair prices. Once you get up to speed it will take about an hour per day to go through all races and determine what selections you have. But because all the selections are value it shouldn t matter whether you find all the selections each day or just some of them, because you will win in the long run. When you have a selection you need to decide what to do with it and the Bet Synergy guide suggests four options. Either back the horse to win, back it eachway, back and then lay for a risk free bet or back and then lay for a risk free (green) profit. Because we are identifying value bets and because the market at Betfair will adjust itself towards the real chance of a horse winning then the prices on the selections we make will shorten. Giving us the chance to trade if we want to. We didn t trade the selections during the test but I can see from the analysis of our results that the price reduced on 139 runners out of the 159 qualifiers. This was a reduction from morning bookmakers price to starting price, so doesn t guarantee a trade is possible but it shows that a large percentage (87%) do shorten. And that trading the price movement is likely to be profitable. Of course the benefit of trading as opposed to backing is that your returns will be more steady and you are less likely to have losing days or weeks. Also if you are backing at the bookmakers early prices you will invariably require accounts with a handful of bookmakers and will need to move money around between them. We have written previously about the importance of value, but basically it is a fact that if you can bet at greater than the true odds of something happening then you will win in the long run, in the same way that bookmakers will always make a profit if they can lay bad value bets. The trouble of course with horse racing is that there is no precise way of knowing the chance of any particular horse winning a race, unlike say roulette where we know all the facts, but of course we also know that the casino always offer bad value on their bets. The way we operated the system was to go through every race at 13:00 each day and our results are calculated on betting to win with the bookmakers at the price available at the time that we assessed the race. You would be surprised at some of the prices that horses, that run well, are available to bet at with the bookmakers. We had one particular horse that was available at 100/1 in the morning and went on to finish second at a starting price of 33/1. You will see from the graph (the grey line) on the next page that if we had bet all the selections at just before the off that we would have pretty much broken even over the test period. This line supports the idea that Betfair does reflect the true chance of a horse just before the off

10 You can also see that there is plenty of action with an average of over ten bets a day being found. Bet Synergy Early Prices Vs Betfair Off Prices 60 P/L to 1 point win bets Betfair 30 secs before off Bookmaker Lunchtime Prices th June - July 2nd All in all this book talks a lot of sense and provides a method that is flexible and profitable. Whether you can use it or not depends on whether you have the time each day to go through the markets sometime after the early prices are up at Oddschecker

11 And Finally Well I hope you enjoyed this report don t forget that you can register for part II by Clicking Here in that we share some of the systems used by the Betting School team. If you want to get started with a Betting School Insiders Club membership straight away you can do so by clicking here. Members receive the following benefits and much more - Your monthly Insiders report which is packed full of reviews, systems and profitable strategies. - Access to the selections of our the long term tested tipping service. - Access to a private forum where members share ideas, selections(some very successful) and strategies - Access to our automated betting tools including tool 2 which automates the Laying Impact system. - Access to club videos showing you how to perform strategies and to use various betting software - Specially negotiated discounts on various other products. All of the above is available for just per month which can be cancelled at any time. To be honest just the ideas shared in the Systems Corner and Ricky Taylor s regular strategies are worth the subscription fee. Both deliver profitable strategies every month. To get instant access Click Here to join at any time of the night or day using your credit or debit card or by standing order from your bank account. Thanks for taking the time to read this report and whether you join us or not I wish you every success with your betting activities Darren Power Editor Affiliates please visit