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1 1 Economic Context 1
2 London & UK economic indicators GDP Growth (%) House Hold Disposable Income Growth (%) UK London UK London Working Age Population Growth (%) GDP growth long term average UK 2.5% vs London 3.1% Household disposable income long term average UK 2.8% vs London 2.9% Working age population growth long term average UK 0.45% vs London 0.80% Between 2015 and 2018 we forecast that London will experience above trend growth across all of these indicators UK London 2
3 2 Change in Occupier Profile 3
4 Central London take-up by Sector 2007 Professional services Service sector Professional Services, The Service By 2013 Sector, their share Banking of annual and take-up Finance had fallen made to 33%. up over With 50% the TMT of deals in sector 2007 now accounting for 30% 2013 Professio services Service sector Banking and finance Associations Banking finance Property and construction Professional services Banking and finance Property and construction TMT Unknown Insurance Service sector Associations Corporate Public sector Retailer Serviced Offices 4
5 Office vacancy EC1 City 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 5
6 Southbank take-up Take-up million sq ft Take-up More London, 2&3 Bankside 5 year ave. The News Building, Sea Containers H
7 3 Traditional Occupiers 7
8 Central London office deals Date% Address% Postcode% Tenant% Floor% Size% Sep$13' The'News'Building' SE1' News'Interna9onal' En9re'Building' 430,000' Dec$13' One'London'Wall'Place' EC2' Schroders' En9re'Building' 310,000' Aug$13' Sea'Containers'House' SE1' Ogilvy'&'Mather'Limited' En9re'Building' 226,000' Jul$14' 25'Churchill'Place' E14' EY' 14 th 'to'21st' 205,000' Jul$14' Two'New'Ludgate' EC4' Mizuho'Bank' En9re'Building' 198,000' Jul$13' Cannon'Place' EC4' CMS' '1 st,'2 nd,'3rd' 140,000' Feb$14' 8$10'Moorgate' EC2' ING'Bank' En9re'Building' 120,000' 8
9 4 Growing Occupiers 9
10 The growth of the TMT & serviced office sectors Percentage of Central London take-up 35% TMT Serviced Office 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
11 Amazon London office deals Date% Address% Postcode% Tenant% Floor% Size% Type%of%Space% S7ll%in% Occupa7on?% Mar$12' The'Glasshouse' EC1' Amazon'(Push'BuYon)' En9re'Building' 47,560' First'Move' Yes' May$13% Sixty'London' EC1' Amazon' En9re'Building' 212,995' Expansion' Yes' Sep$14% Leadenhall'Court' EC1' Amazon' En9re'Building' 86,200' Overflow'Space' Yes' Sep$14' Principal'Place' EC2' Amazon' Whole'office' space' 430,000' Consolida9on' Pre$let' 11
12 Google London office deals Date% Address% Postcode% Tenant% Floor% Size% Type%of%Space% S7ll%in% Occupa7on?% May$03' The'Courtyard,'SuYon'Row' W1' Google' 3 rd,'4 th,'5 th '' 14,595' First'Move' No' Aug$05' Jun$06' Nov$07' Sep$08' Belgrave'House,'76'Buckingham'Palace' Road' Belgrave'House,'76'Buckingham'Palace' Road' Belgrave'House,'76'Buckingham'Palace' Road' Belgrave'House,'76'Buckingham'Palace' Road' SW1' Google' Part'4 th 'and'5th' 52,525' Expansion' Yes' SW1' Google' Part'3rd' 10,000' Expansion' Yes' SW1' Google' Part'3rd' 10,317' Expansion' Yes' SW1' Google' Part'3rd' 10,300' Expansion' Yes' Aug$10' 123'Buckingham'Palace'Road' SW1' Google' 3rd' 41,465' Expansion' Yes' Mar$11' 123'Buckingham'Palace'Road' SW1' Google' Part'1 st' (1 st )' 37,442' (45,058)' Expansion' Yes' May$11' Central'St'Giles' WC2' Google' 3rd'to'6 th '+'9th' 157,562' Expansion' Yes' Sep$11% 4$5'Bonhill'Street'(Google'Campus)' EC2' Google' Campus' En9re'Building' 24,883' Expansion' Yes' Mar$13% Kings'Cross'Central'(Dev'Site)' N1C' Google' Proposed'HQ'site' 800,000' Consolida9on' Site'Purchase' Feb$14' 6'Pancras'Square' N1C' Google' Upper'Half' 163,477' Interim'Space?' Pre$let' 12
13 5 Changing Landscape 13
14 Central London prime rents by sub market Market Growth King's Cross % Soho % St James s/mayfair % City Fringe % City Core % 14
15 Right mix of space? 15
16 Something different Buckley building Alphabeta 16
17 Mixed use / Critical mass King s Cross Central The International Quarter 17
18 Fit for purpose Upper Bank Street 10 Aldermanbury 125 London Wall 18
19 Iconic / Luxurious The Shard 10 New Burlington Street 19
20 6 The Future? 20
21 Challenges 21
22 Opportunities 22
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