CGE and SDB: case of China. ERI AIM Project team. Prepared for 10th AIM Workshop March 10th to 11th, 2005, NIES, Tsukuba
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1 CGE and SDB: case of China ERI AIM Project team Prepared for 10th AIM Workshop March 10th to 11th, 2005, NIES, Tsukuba
2 CGE model application Environmental and economic impact of SO2 policies: application of AIM/CGE for China case By Zhu Songli
3 Scenarios Reference scenario (RS) Scenario 2 investment + sulfur tax scenario (INV) Scenario 3 Investment and emission cap scenario (INV+CAP) Scenario 4 - enhanced investment and emission cap scenario (EINV+CAP)
4
5 Environmental options in transportation sector Technology options in transportation sector Natural gas vehicles (NGVs) Liquefied petrol gas vehicles Methanol-powered vehicles (M85) Ethanol-powered vehicles (E10) Electric Hybrid Electric vehicles Direct-injection diesel vehicles Bio-diesel vehicles Fuel cell vehicles Solar vehicle Miniaturization of vehicle (weight reduction, ultra lightweight steel ) Vehicles with variable valve control (Existing gasoline vehicle) (Existing diesel vehicle)
6 Environmental options in transportation sector Institution, management and planning options Compact city and smart growth Regional system of cities Information technology based communication (to reduce travel demand) Promotion of mass rapid transit (MRT) Promotion of non-motorized transport (NMT) Promotion of community vehicle Car free zones Number plate bidding system Car sharing
7 Environmental options in transportation sector Institution, management and planning options Road pricing Travel awareness initiatives for wise use of automobiles (to reduce car ownership) Vehicle emission standard Inspection/maintenance Vehicle fuel standard Green fuel tax Intelligent travel system (ITS) Public awareness rising on environmentally friendly driving (engine off, etc.). Fuel economy standard
8 Strategic Policy Options for Renewable Energy Sector Technology options in renewable energy sector Wind power Small Hydro Power Micro-hydro power Household methane technology Birdhouse and barn methane(mid and large scale methane technology) Straw burning electricity generation technology Biomass gasification cycling electricity generation technology Centralized gas supply through biomass gasification Biomass producing liquid biofuels technology Biomass molding carbonization technology Directly using of geothermal and geothermal power generation Tidal power generation Solar Water Heater Solar house and greenhouse Solar drying Solar cooking range
9 Strategic Policy Options for Renewable Energy Sector Technology options in renewable energy sector Solar heating power generation Solar photovoltaics (PV) power generation Integration of solar energy in architecture Highzones technology Biomass IGCC technology Biomass liquefaction to make liquid fuels Clean and low-cost production of fuel ethanol through cellulose zymolysis Large off-shore wind farm based on MW level wind turbine Integration of large-scale wind farm with energy storage device Separated ocean power generation and freshwater production system Membrane solar cell Low- and medium-temperature geothermal energy usage technology High-efficiency ground source heat pump Making hydrogen from biomass
10 Strategic Policy Options for Renewable Energy Sector Institution, management and planning Legislation (the Law on Renewable Sources) Make the goal of the development of renewable resources Establish harmonious management mechanism Mandatory Market Share (MMS) Trade of Renewable Energy Certificate Competitive biding for minimum subsidy Combining subsidy with loan ownership model Renewable energy promotion fund Market-based institutional finance Renewable energy feed-in-tariff
11 Strategic Policy Options for Renewable Energy Sector Institution, management and planning RESCO approach to financing Seed finance for energy enterprise development Renewable Portfolio Standards CDM and other clean climate initiatives Micro-credit and self-help group finance Community-based green power purchasing Subsidy policy: Taxation policy Pricing policy Voluntary Policy International mechanism
12 M T N Passenger Transportation Passenger Transportation Vehicle Q E S E J J J R Vehicle Passenger R Transportation O U Train Ship Air Car Bus MRT MRT Car Bus MRT Train Ship Air ()High Eff.) Air (Low Eff.) Ship (High eff.) Ship (Low Eff.) Train (High Eff.) Train (electricity) Train (diesel) Metro LRT BRT Fuel cell bus Natural gas bus Hybrid bus Existing oil bus TDI diesel car Fuel cell car NG car LPG car Gas H2 Oil ELE Hybrid car Existing oil car
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