Power Generation. Lilian Macleod Power Supply Manager National Grid

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1 Power Generation Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. This text box and image can be deleted and replaced with your own selection from Brand Central s image library. Lilian Macleod Power Supply Manager National Grid

2 Power Generation Factors We Consider Climate Change Targets & Legislation Government Policy & Initiatives Market Intelligence and Project Status Technology 2

3 Power Generation Capacity Part 1 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Nuclear, Coal, Gas/CHP and Carbon Capture & Storage

4 Power Generation Capacity: Nuclear GW 22 9.GW GW GW 22 9.GW GW Nuclear Duration Of Life Extension For Existing Power Stations Average 1 Year Life Extension Average 7 Year Life Extension Connection Date Of First New Power Station Connecting Mid 22 Connecting Early 22 Contract for Difference Strike Price Announcement Pending 4

5 Power Generation Capacity: Coal GW GW 235 GW GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Impact of Environmental Legislation Industrial Emissions Directive Majority Of Plant Opt Out Of IED Broader Range of IED Outcomes Conversion To Biomass Consideration Of Biomass Conversion Emphasis on Biomass Conversion 5

6 Power Generation Capacity: Gas/Combined Heat & Power (CHP) GW GW GW GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP Lifespan of Existing Power Stations Most Existing Plant Open Out To 22 Plant Closures Off-Set By New Plant Level of Renewable Generation Renewable Mix & Utilisation of Gas Plant Emphasis On Renewable Generation Capacity Mechanism Payment Received Under Capacity Mechanism 1 st Auction in 214 for 218/19 6

7 Power Generation Capacity: Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) GW 22 GW 235 GW GW 22 GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Commercialisation Of Carbon Capture & Storage CCS Not Commercially Viable for Coal & Gas CCS for Coal, Gas and Biomass Contract for Difference Strike Price Announcement Pending 7

8 Power Generation Capacity Part 2 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Wind, Other Renewables, Interconnectors & Others (Pumped Storage & Oil)

9 Power Generation Capacity: Wind Onshore & Offshore GW GW GW GW GW GW Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Level of Renewable Generation and Associated Technology Increase Over Period and Compared to GW (Onshore) & 7.5GW (Onshore) & 21.3GW (Offshore) Onshore Wind: Higher Increase Compared to 212 Scenarios Offshore Wind: Lower 22 Compared to 212 (Onshore) & 12.1GW 21.8GW (Onshore) & 37.5GW (Offshore) Contract for Difference (Draft) Strike Price 9 Onshore Wind - to 95 MWh (214/15 & 218/19) Offshore Wind to 135 MWh (214/15 & 218/19)

10 Power Generation Capacity: Other Renewables Biomass, Hydro, Marine & Solar PV GW GW GW GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Government Incentives Modest Levels of Biomass & Solar PV Increased Emphasis on Biomass & Solar PV Technology Development Slow Development of Marine Technology Commercial Deployment of Marine Technology Contract For Difference (Draft) Strike Price Biomass Conversion - 15 MWh Dedicated Biomass CHP - 12 MWh Hydro - 95 MWh Wave & Tidal - 35 MWh ( 3MW) Solar PV to 11 MWh (214/15 & 218/19) 1

11 Power Generation Capacity: Interconnectors & Others (Pumped Storage & Oil) GW GW GW GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Interconnectors Others Interconnectors Others Government Policies Increased Interconnector Capacity Higher Interconnector Capacity Impact of Environmental Legislation Reduction In Oil Plant Capacity 11

12 Power Generation Capacity: 22 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

13 Power Generation Capacity: 22 (212 vs 213 Scenarios) ~5GW Other Renewables ~5GW Gas ~6GW Other Renewables ~5GW Offshore Wind ~4GW Gas ~4GW Coal 2 ~2GW Coal 212 SP SP GG GG 22 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Climate Change Targets & Legislation Market Intelligence & Project Status Government Policy & Initiatives Technology 13

14 Power Generation: What Needs To Happen? Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

15 Power Generation: What Needs To Happen? Installed Capacity Installed Capacity GW GW GW GW GW GW Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Transmission Peak Demand Biomass: Sustainable Sources of Material Wind Deployment: Consents, Support & Finance Effective Supply Chain for Offshore Wind Life Extensions/Span of Existing Power Stations Commercial Deployment of New Technologies EMR To Be Implemented Networks Developed To Connect New Generation 15

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