CHINA ECONOMICS. September 10, NorthPark Drive #102 Weston, Florida p f

Transcription

1 CHINA ECONOMICS September 10, NorthPark Drive #102 Weston, Florida p f

2 Aug-00 Apr-01 Dec-01 Aug-02 Apr-03 Dec-03 Aug-04 Apr-05 Dec-05 Aug-06 Apr-07 Aug-08 Apr-09 Dec Mar 12-Apr 26-Apr 10-May 24-May 7-Jun 21-Jun 5-Jul 19-Jul 2-Aug 16-Aug 30-Aug 13-Sep Apr-10 Oct-10 Feb Apr-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 Chinese Yuan Historical USD-CNY X-RATE China Export Trend China Export Trade YoY Chinese Yuan Close Up USD-CNY X-RATE China Import Trend China Import Trade YoY China GDP China GDP Constant Price YoY China Retail Sales China Retail Sales Value YoY 14% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 2 2 1

3 Apr-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 May-10 Jan-04 Aug-04 Mar-05 Oct-05 May-06 Dec-06 Feb-08 Sep-08 Apr-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Sep-13 USD vs. CNY Currency Rate Consumer Price Index Chinese Yuan vs. CPI China CPI YoY USD-CNY X-RATE U.S. Dollar Index DOLLAR INDEX SPOT % 7% 3% 1% -1% -3% China's Manufacturing China Manufacturing PMI SA China's Industrial Production China Industrial Production YoY CONTRACTION ZONE % % 13% 12% 11% 9% w China's Producer Prices China PPI YoY China's Consumer Prices China CPI YoY 4% 2% -2% -4% - 7% 4% 3% 2% 1%

4 China's Flash PMI CONTRACTION ZONE China HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI China's Stock Market Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index Beijing Home Prices China Newly Built Residential Buildings YoY - Beijing Shanghai Home Prices China Newly Built Residential Buildings YoY - Shanghai 1 14% 12% 4% 2% -2% -4% China's Service Index China Non-Manufacturing PMI SA 60 China Leading Index China Leading Index 1996= CONTRACTION ZONE

5 Jan-05 Jun-05 Nov-05 Apr-06 Sep-06 Feb-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-05 Jun-05 Nov-05 Apr-06 Sep-06 Feb-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-05 Jun-05 Nov-05 Apr-06 Sep-06 Feb-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 China Iron Ore Imports Iron Ore Imports (Millions of Tonnes) China Crude Oil Imports Crude Oil Imports (Metric Tonnes) 80 32,000, ,000,000 22,000, ,000,000 12,000, ,000,000 China Copper Imports Copper Imports (Thousands of Tonnes) China Coal Imports Coal Imports (Millions of Tonnes)

6 1555 NorthPark Drive #102 Weston, Florida p f Notice and Disclaimer This material is provided for information only and is not intended as a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or financial instrument. This material is not a complete analysis of all material facts respecting any issuer, industry or security or of your investment objectives, parameters, needs or financial situation, and therefore is not a sufficient basis alone on which to base an investment decision. Horowitz & Company and its affiliates may have positions (long or short), effect transactions or make markets in securities or financial instruments mentioned herein (or options with respect thereto), or provide advice or loans to, or participate in the underwriting or restructuring of the obligations of, issuers mentioned herein. Moreover, a Horowitz & Company trading desk may have acted on the basis of this material. The information contained herein is as of the date and time referenced above and Horowitz & Company does not undertake any obligation to update such information. All market prices, data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value of investments. Transactions involving financial instruments mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors