Copernicus Climate Change Service

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1 Dick Dee Jean-Noël Thépaut, Vincent-Henri Peuch ECMWF Copernicus

2 ECMWF operates Copernicus Services on behalf of the EC ECMWF has negotiated a delegation agreement with the European Commission to operate: CAMS: the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service C3S: the Copernicus

3 Atmosphere Monitoring Service MISSION Supporting the European strategy "Living well within the boundaries of Turning our planet" research by combining models into operational and observations services to monitor and forecast atmospheric pollution. Contributing to Europe s green economy by providing timely and accurate information on aerosols, chemical pollutants and greenhouse gases.

4 Strategy Socio-eco. impact Experts Users Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service A SIGNIFICANT HERITAGE A decade-long series of R&D projects and experience in engaging with users and potential users in Europe and across the world

5 Atmosphere Monitoring Service CAMS OPERATIONAL STRUCTURE

6 Atmosphere Monitoring Service CAMS PROCUREMENT OPPORTUNITIES

7 Atmosphere Monitoring Service PORTFOLIO AIR QUALITY AND ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION European air quality analyses, forecasts and assessments in support of reporting and policy making, pollen forecasts, global transport of constituents/pollutants... CLIMATE FORCING Distributions of aerosol components and their radiative impacts, other radiative forcings...

8 Atmosphere Monitoring Service OZONE LAYER AND UV Monitoring and forecasting of the ozone layer / hole, UV index, UV radiation (crops, ecosystems)... SOLAR RADIATION Estimates of solar irradiance at surface, improved potential yield assessments for solar plants... EMISSIONS AND SURFACE FLUXES Estimates of human emissions globally and in Europe (high-resolution), emissions by wildfires, surface fluxes of CO 2, CH 4 and N 2 O...

9 Atmosphere Monitoring Service

10 MISSION To be an authoritative source of climate information for Europe To build upon existing national and international efforts To support the market for climate services in Europe

11 How is the climate changing? What will the future climate look like? Earth observations Reanalyses What are the societal impacts? Climate indicators Sectoral information Predictions Projections

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13 Seasonal forecast May-June-July Surface temperature

14 Evaluation & QC Copernicus FP7 projects: ERA-CLIM2, UERRA, QA4ECV, CLIPC, EUCLEIA Climate Data Store Existing capabilities: EU states, space agencies, EEA, WMO, Sectoral Information Systems Stakeholders & users Outreach & Dissemination

15 Distributed architecture Support existing infrastructures Climate Data Store Compute where data reside Support application development Open and free access to data and tools

16 ATMOSPHERE Turning Surface Air Temperature research into operational Snow Surface Precipitation services Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Wind Speed & Direction Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs ECV requirements OCEAN Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity LAND Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture

17 Sectoral Information Systems

18 Evaluation and Quality Control Map user needs to service requirements Monitor quality of climate information and services Identify gaps and guide services development Map Copernicus needs to the EU research agenda

19 Outreach and Dissemination Web content provision and management Public outreach Coordination with national outreach efforts Liaison with public authorities Events (conferences, seminars, summer schools, ) Training and educational material, smartphone apps, etc.

20 Research to enhance C3S Uncertainty in climate information is significant this must be quantified (within C3S) and reduced (via allied research) Research is needed on: Seasonal and decadal predictability; attribution Coupled data assimilation and use of Earth observations Earth-system modelling: regional and global Socio-economic impacts of climate change

21 Summary C3S builds on existing capacities (observations, infrastructure, R&D, existing services..) and EU-funded research It complements and enhances these capacities, to operationally serve the needs of EU DGs and beyond It develops markets by providing datasets, tools and best practice It requires supporting research & innovation to ensure state-of-the-art climate information delivery to the users

22 Timeline Proof of Concept + Pre-operational Phase Stage 0 Stage I Stage II Stage III Operational Phase

23 Additional information at 23